Earnings Labs

Mohawk Industries, Inc. (MHK)

Q4 2010 Earnings Call· Wed, Feb 23, 2011

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. My name is Tiffany, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Mohawk Industry's Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to introduce Jeff Lorberbaum, Chairman and CEO. Mr. Lorberbaum, you may begin your conference.

Jeff Lorberbaum

Analyst · Thompson Research

Good morning and thank you for joining our Fourth Quarter 2010 Conference Call. With me on the call is Frank Boykin, our CFO, who will review our Safe Harbor statement and later, the financials.

Frank Boykin

Analyst · Thompson Research

I would like to remind everyone that our press release and statements we make on this call may include forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, which are subject to various risk and uncertainties, including, but not limited to, those set forth in our press release and our periodic filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. This call may include discussion of non-GAAP numbers. You can refer to our Form 8-K and press release at the Investor Information section of our website for a reconciliation of any non-GAAP to GAAP amounts.

Jeff Lorberbaum

Analyst · Thompson Research

Thanks, Frank. Our fourth quarter earnings per share of $0.66 exceeded our expectations. Sales, as reported in the period, were 6% lower than last year but were approximately 2% ahead after equalizing the number of days and exchange rates. Our European revenues continue to grow, with U.S. residential business stabilizing and commercial remodeling beginning to improve. Our operating margin of 6.8% improved from last year due to enhanced manufacturing efficiencies, reduced costs, improved process consistencies despite rising raw material costs. Our cash position liquidity remained strong, with over $500 million available after we retired $300 million of bonds in January 2011. Our net debt to EBITDA ratio is 2x, and our net debt to total capitalization ratio is 26%, positioning us well for additional opportunities. The U.S. industry decline experienced over the past few years appeared to have reached bottom, with some markets showing signs of improvement. The predicted 3.5% growth of the U.S. economy this year reflects sustained improvement in consumer confidence and increased business spending. Although U.S. housing activity remains low, forecasts anticipate improvement in home sales as we move to a normalized level. Commercial remodeling is already growing, as business investment increases with higher economic growth. Commercial construction should pick up as indicated by the Architectural Billing Index, which is at its highest level in three years. Frank, could you give the financial report?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · Thompson Research

Thank you, Jeff. Good morning, everyone. Net sales, as reported, were $1.262 billion, down 6% from last year. Our fourth quarter sales in 2010 had fewer days than last year, resulting in a 7% impact on sales. As Jeff reported, sales were up 2% using constant days and a constant exchange rate base. European business continued top line growth, and we had stronger U.S. commercial remodel end market. The U.S. residential business is at the bottom and should improve. Our gross margin was 27% and flat compared to last year, after adjusting last year for restructuring charges. We were able to offset the higher raw materials with manufacturing improvements. The SG&A was $256 million, or 20% of net sales. SG&A declined after adjusting last year for restructuring charges by over 10%. All segments are reducing cost while improving their service. Our fourth quarter SG&A is the lowest it's been, in dollars, since 2005. Operating income was $86 million or 6.8%, which compares to 5.7% last year, after adjusting for restructuring charges. We had no restructuring charges in the fourth quarter of this year. Operating income is up over 10% compared to last year, as our strategies across the company continue to benefit us. Interest expense was $30 million. It's down $5 million from last year's result of the $200 million bond tender that we did earlier this year and lower rates that we were able to negotiate on our bank revolver. We anticipate interest expense to run between $28 million and $29 million each quarter in 2011. The income tax rate for the fourth quarter was 19%. We expect the rate to be in the low-20% range during 2011. Earnings per share were $0.66, up 18% compared to last year's earnings per share, excluding charges. If we move to the…

Jeff Lorberbaum

Analyst · Thompson Research

Thank you. During 2010, our focus on innovation, new products, manufacturing improvements and cost reductions have benefited our margins and increased earnings. Our product enhancements and introductions such as Reveal Imaging, SmartStrand, installation boards and hardwood with Uniclic technology are growing as we adapt to current trends. SG&A reductions this year reflect improvements in distribution, marketing and sales expenses. Higher material yields and improved information processes have benefited our operating results. Investments in China, Russia and Mexican flooring markets are expanding our international presence to help provide platforms for future revenue and profit growth. The consensus among economists is that these markets will outperform the more mature U.S. and Western European flooring markets. In the period, our Mohawk segment sales after adjusting for the lower number of days decreased 3% but achieved the highest level of operating margins in two years despite increasing raw material costs. Manufacturing costs, material yields and process controls have improved our focus on efficiencies, quality and energy reductions. These improvements have increased customer satisfaction. Our sustainable manufacturing practices have reduced our waste streams, lowered costs and improved margins. Our market position, after adjusting for the days in the period, stabilized in the fourth quarter as we accelerated key introductions in new residential polyester carpets and commercial carpet tile products. We implemented a 7% to 10% carpet price increase in February to offset our raw material inflation. Sales of our commercial carpet tile continue to grow, supported by a broader product offering and an expanded sales force. We've improved our carpet tile manufacturing efficiencies and increased capacity to meet higher demand levels in the future. We continue improving our sales and customer management systems to enhance our execution and increase efficiency. Improved planning and inventory processes have raised our service levels with reduced delivery times and…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Kathryn Thompson of Thompson Research.

Kathryn Thompson - Avondale Partners

Analyst · Thompson Research

The first is on, I want to dig a little bit deeper on your Mohawk division upside in the quarter. If you were to look past, at your other divisions, Unilin, eight out of 12; led a upside in your Dal-Tile -- three out of 12 previous quarters that led the upside. But what's different in this is this is the first time that Mohawk really led the upside on the margins, and as you noted in your prepared comments, it's the best quarter on a margin basis since Q4 of '07. My question to you is, what is driving the upside to the EBIT margins in the Mohawk division? When you were reducing SG&A, was most of this focused on the division? Just help me understand the big move. And also, further clarifying, does this bode well for Mohawk going forward? Or is this more of an indication of what's going on, maybe on the negative side with Unilin and Dal-Tile?

Jeff Lorberbaum

Analyst · Thompson Research

We've been working continuously on improving the bottom line of all the businesses. We've been reducing our cost structures. We've been introducing new products to help the sales. We have been enhancing the productivity of all the different parts of the businesses. And in the fourth quarter, you're seeing some of the results of that. In all of the businesses, including Mohawk, our goal is that the earnings will continue to increase as we go through this year. We believe we'll continue to get benefits from all the pieces we put in place. And I don't think it's any one specific thing.

Frank Boykin

Analyst · Thompson Research

Yes, it's kind of, it's spread across the business from manufacturing improvements that we've made, quality improvements that we've made, efficiencies we've put in place, cuts we made through SG&A, lower claims. And sometimes, all the stars just align, and that's really, we've worked real hard to get where we are and everything worked out just right this quarter.

Kathryn Thompson - Avondale Partners

Analyst · Thompson Research

If I'm hearing you correctly, essentially, the sequential 300-basis-point swing and 100-basis-point swing year-over-year on an adjusted basis, what you're saying is, we should expect, excluding weather impacts and raw materials, we should expect similar type momentum going into 2011?

Jeff Lorberbaum

Analyst · Thompson Research

You have to make sure to look at the yearly numbers quarter-to-quarter that swing a little, but we expect the yearly numbers to improve.

Kathryn Thompson - Avondale Partners

Analyst · Thompson Research

Okay. Also, digging a little bit more into your CapEx, I know you outlined three major initiatives that you're working on this year. But it is a pretty big swing from CapEx, $280 million from $156 million. How much of the roughly $124 million increase is for those projects that you outlined? And how much of it is changes in your other business, for instance, maintenance CapEx?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · Thompson Research

Out of the $280 million, approximately $120 million is on the three large projects, being fiber extrusion, Mexican ceramic and Russian laminate are the three pieces of the $120 million. Roughly about $100 million, or a little less, is maintenance. And the difference is on a whole host of smaller projects, all of which are going to either reduce costs or give us revenue opportunities.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Eric Bosshard of Cleveland Research.

Eric Bosshard - Cleveland Research

Analyst · Eric Bosshard of Cleveland Research

First of all, the 1Q guidance, the 4Q result was quite strong and you just talked about strength in the Mohawk segment. Why does 1Q look worse? I understand weather in China, but are there any other factors that help us understand a little bit of why 4Q is good, 1Q's not so good, and then things get better from there? Can you give any color on that?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · Eric Bosshard of Cleveland Research

I mean, you have in the first quarter, the softer revenues have always occurred during the period and the weather is impacting it. Other than that, the inventories, we're going to reduce a little bit in the first quarter to get them more in line with where we'd like them. We raised them a little bit in the fourth quarter, due to what we saw coming forward in front of us. I think you have the raw material impact, which is going through and we're would have to catch the prices up. We have actions in every business, in every area to get in front of the raw material increases. We've announced major increases in almost every product category, which we're implementing as we see. We typically take a while to catch those, but those will impact the first quarter and part of the second quarter as they get implementing, as you go through. Frank, anything else you want to add?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · Eric Bosshard of Cleveland Research

Well, we're investing in new products and introductions and earlier shipments, and we generally have higher marketing costs in the first quarter than we do in the other quarters.

Eric Bosshard - Cleveland Research

Analyst · Eric Bosshard of Cleveland Research

Great. And then secondly, with the pricing actions across the business, I'm curious on what your experience and what you're thinking is showing you on product mix. Some of the market share erosion I think you saw in carpet was from some trading from higher-priced to lower priced. What are you seeing in terms of the appetite for mix? Are people back to trading up? Is it stabilizing? Or is mix an issue that's a challenge to, not only the price increases, but rebuilding the margins in these businesses?

Jeff Lorberbaum

Analyst · Eric Bosshard of Cleveland Research

The product mix has declined as we've gone through the downturn. Almost every one of the businesses has a lower product mix than they had before, as customers were trying to minimize their investments. Typically, as you come out of recessions and people's confidence go over, nobody strives to have low-quality merch parts in their home. So typically as you go through, and the confidence rises, the mix also increases as you go through. We anticipate that occurring over the next year or so also.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from the line of Keith Hughes of SunTrust.

Keith Hughes - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst · Keith Hughes of SunTrust

On Dal-Tile, this is the first positive revenue on the adjusted basis we've seen in some time. Is that coming primarily from their commercial markets? Or have their residential markets been assisting?

Jeff Lorberbaum

Analyst · Keith Hughes of SunTrust

I think it's both. The remodeling part of the commercial markets are showing improvement in all the different businesses. On the commercial side, people postponed it; as their businesses are improving, they're trying to invest in those. I think that we're having some share gain in certain of the other markets. Our Mexican business is improving. So as we look forward in all the businesses, and that one is no different, we're anticipating that the flooring industry, which is a very low point, that we'll have growth this year. And the question is will it be a little or a lot more, is the question we're going to ask. It depends on the timing of when things kick in this year.

Keith Hughes - SunTrust Robinson Humphrey, Inc.

Analyst · Keith Hughes of SunTrust

Okay. Second question, you talked about bringing production rates down a little bit to bring inventory in the first quarter. Is that true across all three businesses? And were you running faster production in anticipation of pre-buy before price increases, is that correct?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · Keith Hughes of SunTrust

I think that we probably start out with anticipation that the volume would be a little stronger than we had in most of the business. I think that we tend to try to reduce inventory when we shut down, and some of it hits in the end of the fourth quarter, and some of it hits in the first quarter, just to do the vacation schedules. So some of it's just a timing issue of how it hits and when the holidays hit.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from the line of Bob Wettenhall of RBC.

Bob Wettenhall - Royal Bank of Canada

Analyst · Bob Wettenhall of RBC

Wanted to touch base on how much of your price increases have been realized, because they're kind of sizable, and what the customer response has been? And I'm specifically speaking to the price increases at Mohawk and Dal-Tile.

Jeff Lorberbaum

Analyst · Bob Wettenhall of RBC

The Mohawk increases are just being executed in the market place. Nobody likes increases. We don't like them, and our customers don't like them. I think that the marketplace understands that there's a dramatic increase in raw materials across all categories. So they're moving through the marketplace, and it takes a period of time to get them all implemented and executed. But they're going in. The Dal-Tile products are really only increasing 1% or 2%, and most of those increases have been for, we sell products in Dal-Tile FOB local destinations. So we do, as the freight rates change, we have to change the pricing to cover the freight.

Bob Wettenhall - Royal Bank of Canada

Analyst · Bob Wettenhall of RBC

Understood. And I think you touched on both higher freight costs and higher raw material costs affecting Unilin. Could you kind of specify on a margin basis how much of a headwind you're expecting from higher input costs, in the next quarter and the year?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · Bob Wettenhall of RBC

Well, on the carpet side, we put in a 7% to 10% increase to cover those. The Unilin side in Europe, which is where most of the pressure is because of the wood prices in Europe have escalated dramatically and continued to do so throughout the year, I mean we're putting through 10% to 15% increases in the board businesses, which are fairly low-cost products. And then we're putting in a 4% to 6%, 7% increase in our Laminate products, all that we think will take to cover the raw material increases.

Jeff Lorberbaum

Analyst · Bob Wettenhall of RBC

Yes. The plan is, when we put the price increases in, is that they will basically cover the cost increases, the price increase that we actually realize. We generally realize a little bit less than what we actually announce.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from the line of David Goldberg of UBS.

David Goldberg - UBS Investment Bank

Analyst · David Goldberg of UBS

My first question was actually, I know there's been some questions about Mohawk and Dal-Tile. I wanted to know about Unilin and the price increases you're putting through. And what I wanted to kind of focus on was the competitive environment. Are you seeing, I know when you used the word cooperative, but are you seeing competitors trying to put through similar prices? Or is there been more of an acceptance of lower margins in the business as you try to put through price increases now?

Jeff Lorberbaum

Analyst · David Goldberg of UBS

In Europe, most of the business that's going through the downturns in the industry have had very depressed margins, us included. So the industry, as the raw materials have come through, we can't absorb those pricing increases, and we and competition have announced price increases to try to recover those raw material changes. In addition, in the board businesses, there are capacity that has been shut down, and we anticipate additional capacity to reduce the excess production in some of the different product categories over the near term, all of which should help. Again, when you come through downturns where the margins have been compressed, there's no way to absorb the raw material increases which are occurring.

David Goldberg - UBS Investment Bank

Analyst · David Goldberg of UBS

All right. My second question, Jeff, I think you mentioned in the comments that you're now shipping tile back into China, to the U.S. and Mexico, if I understood correctly. And I'm just wondering what the cost structure is. Is it relatively less expensive, all-in when you look at it to be producing in China, relative to your U.S. and Mexican operations? And do you think you're going to kind of eventually be producing more and importing more from China?

Jeff Lorberbaum

Analyst · David Goldberg of UBS

The products we're importing from China are high-end commercial products that tend to have a lot more labor in them. And so it's a very specific market that those things make a lot of sense in. It's not in the major parts of our business. The joint venture in China, we really believe the big benefit is going to be maximizing our participation in the Chinese market. The Chinese market, on a unit basis, is about 25x to 30x larger than the U.S. marketplace, and the exports around the world presently are around 20% of their capacity and our goal is to expand our local participation and where it makes sense to import stuff for the Mohawk sales.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from the line of Mike Rehaut from JPMorgan.

Jason Marcus

Analyst · Mike Rehaut from JPMorgan

This is actually Jason Marcus in for Mike. Just a follow-up on the Unilin segment. Assuming that you're able to get most of the price increases through, do you think that you'll be able to get to a double-digit margin in 2011?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · Mike Rehaut from JPMorgan

We're going to try to improve -- the margin will improve from where it is right now, but we're not going to give out specific guidance on margins for this year.

Jason Marcus

Analyst · Mike Rehaut from JPMorgan

Okay. And then just regarding the Chinese joint venture extended holiday, is there any way to quantify what, from an earnings perspective, the impact will be in the first quarter?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · Mike Rehaut from JPMorgan

I'm sorry, ask that one more time.

Jeff Lorberbaum

Analyst · Mike Rehaut from JPMorgan

What's the impact…

Jason Marcus

Analyst · Mike Rehaut from JPMorgan

The earnings impact from the Chinese joint venture extended holiday?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · Mike Rehaut from JPMorgan

Again, we're not prepared to give out information at that level of detail. But it's going to depress earnings from where we were with China, from where we were in the fourth quarter.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from the line of Dennis McGill of Zelman & Associates. Dennis McGill - Zelman & Associates: The first question, Frank, just wondering, you guys kind of touched on all the moving variables within the Mohawk segment, whether you think about it for the quarter or for the year. Can you maybe split out the benefit of, or detriment of raw materials versus price, and then the cost savings from all the other initiatives that you've talked about?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · Dennis McGill of Zelman & Associates

We generally put that out in the 10-K, Dennis, and I'm not sure I have the exact numbers. But we had significant improvement in the quarter as a result of the restructuring activities, the benefits from the restructuring activities and the SG&A cost cuts that we did. And raw materials, that more than offset obviously, the headwinds that we had from raw materials net price. Dennis McGill - Zelman & Associates: Okay. I wanted to ask you about working cap in 2011, but just a follow-on to that. Would you still have a tailwind as you enter 2011 from some of those initiatives? Or have most of those run the course?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · Dennis McGill of Zelman & Associates

I think we'll still have some opportunities going into 2011, from the initiatives we were working on in 2010, to realize the full benefit. You want to say anything else on that, Jeff?

Jeff Lorberbaum

Analyst · Dennis McGill of Zelman & Associates

Also, we have a large list of additional opportunities. So some of them haven't annualized yet, so you'll have to get benefit from there and then there's a significant list of new opportunities this year that each organization has defined, measured and is aggressively pursuing.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from the line of John Baugh of Stifel Nicolaus.

John Baugh

Analyst · John Baugh of Stifel Nicolaus

My question is on the Mohawk side. When you look at your raw material costs, in terms of what flowed through your P&L in the fourth quarter versus what the market price of your raw materials increased and then how that relationship might look in the first quarter?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · John Baugh of Stifel Nicolaus

The question is the spread between price and raw materials Q4 to Q1?

John Baugh

Analyst · John Baugh of Stifel Nicolaus

Well, yes. Really, in terms of what flowed through. In other words, you're purchasing raw materials that are escalating, I assume, starting in October, November and have continued. Yet what you've ran through your P&L with FIFO accounting was lower than that. And I'm just curious what that relationship was in Q4 and then what that looks like in Q1.

Frank Boykin

Analyst · John Baugh of Stifel Nicolaus

Well, we had year-over-year raw material inflation in Q4 and offset a portion, but not all of that, with price in Q4. But we're going to have higher raw material inflation in Q1 running through our P&L and then into Q2.

John Baugh

Analyst · John Baugh of Stifel Nicolaus

Any quantification on that or no?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · John Baugh of Stifel Nicolaus

Not at this point.

John Baugh

Analyst · John Baugh of Stifel Nicolaus

And then, it sounded like the Mexican facility will not come online until '12. Does that mean that in terms of P&L impact, that startup costs, we're really only looking at Russia impacting '11? Or were there -- because I assume the extrusion capacity really won't be terribly disruptive to earnings. Or are there any major cost startup issues to think about in '11?

Jeff Lorberbaum

Analyst · John Baugh of Stifel Nicolaus

I mean there are always startup costs with every project, so we have a long list of projects. On the other hand, we're expecting to get benefit from the ones that implement during the first half of the year. We're supposed to see positive benefits during the year. You're correct that the startup costs from the Mexican plant, most of those will go into cost of the facility, other than some of the labor and training we'll have to do towards the end of the year to get ready. I don't know, Frank, any more color?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · John Baugh of Stifel Nicolaus

So the largest impact, like you said, John, on startup costs this year should be from the Russian laminate plant.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from the line of David MacGregor of Longbow Research.

David S. MacGregor

Analyst · David MacGregor of Longbow Research

I wonder if you can just help us understand, if you bundle together everything you've got, I realize some things start up sooner then later. But if you bundled all the emerging markets: China, Mexico, Russia enterprises together, what's the revenue contribution in 2011? And I realize it's a bit early, but can you give us some sense of what you'd expect in 2012?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · David MacGregor of Longbow Research

It's kind of a mix. I mean if you looked at our total international business revenues, I think it's in the kind of high-teens. Remember that the Chinese joint venture is one line in our P&L, so the sales aren't consolidated there. So it becomes a little bit difficult to answer your question, as you're posing it. But what we're doing is we're growing significantly from a small base in these emerging markets, Russia, China and Mexico.

David S. MacGregor

Analyst · David MacGregor of Longbow Research

Maybe another way to ask it, what would that international fraction be, come 2012, based on your projections today?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · David MacGregor of Longbow Research

'12, we're not ready to answer.

David S. MacGregor

Analyst · David MacGregor of Longbow Research

Can you try to ballpark for us? I'm just trying to get a sense of proportion as to how fast that's growing and – you're not able to do it…

Jeff Lorberbaum

Analyst · David MacGregor of Longbow Research

Let's see if we can give you any color. You have the capacity, Frank, with the different pieces? In Mexico, I believe it's going to be around 90 million square feet of capacity, is going to put in the Mexican marketplace, in ceramic. I believe that we're going to put in an additional, in Russia, do you have the number?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · David MacGregor of Longbow Research

No, it was 50 million or 60 million square in square feet. David, I can get the capacity numbers for you. We don't have them right here in front of us. Maybe that will help with what we're putting it in some of these emerging markets, how about that?

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from the line of John Fox of Fenimore Asset Management.

John Fox - Fenimore Asset Management

Analyst · John Fox of Fenimore Asset Management

I was going to ask about the CapEx, maybe which was asked in the first question, drill down a little bit. The $120 million, which kind of the investment in the three big projects, can you kind of talk about the expected benefits of those? Whether it's lower cost or whether building something in Russia allows you to sell more since you're on the ground in the country? And just talk about the benefits from those investments.

Jeff Lorberbaum

Analyst · John Fox of Fenimore Asset Management

Let's start with the Mexican ceramic. In Mexico, the plant in Mexico makes higher value porcelain products that we have today. So we participate in the high-end portion of the market only, which is a relative small part of the total Mexican marketplace. The new plant, which is located near Mexico City, which is where the populations are, to reduce freight costs, as well as it's located near different body materials, will allow us to produce moderately-priced tile and compete in the top of the bell curve of the marketplace. So in Mexico, we have less than a 10% market share, and we believe we can start participating as a full line supplier across the business. We are adding salespeople, we are adding product lines in order for us to participate in that. The Mexican marketplace this year grew 3%, it's anticipated to grow about 6% next year. So we believe it's a good market to be in. We have management talent there that understands how to operate the plants, and understands the customer base. And we will invest this year, broadening our distribution, and in some cases, selling the products that we have into the marketplace and they'll be replaced by new ones when the plant – or converted to the new plant when it comes up. In the Russian market, we've been importing ceramic laminate from our European plants. A year ago, we put in a distribution center in order that we could improve the service level and get prepared for putting a plant in it. We have spent the last year broadening our sales, using that local distribution center to increase the sales, to get to a different customer base. All that will continue this year, and that will allow us to participate in Russia. And also,…

David S. MacGregor

Analyst · John Fox of Fenimore Asset Management

Okay, terrific. So I mean, a number of these investments are to grow the top line going forward?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · John Fox of Fenimore Asset Management

All of them.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from the line of Kalpesh Patel of Jefferies & Company. Kalpesh Patel - Jefferies & Company, Inc.: I wanted to ask about the contribution margin or the operating leverage in your business model. Obviously, you've taken out a lot of costs over the last few years. What sort of levels of operating leverage should we think about, in terms of the three different segments?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · Kalpesh Patel of Jefferies & Company

I think what we've tried to do in the past there, is to give you an idea of fixed cost in the different segments. And if you look at fixed cost in the Cost of Goods Sold section of the P&L for the Mohawk segment, fixed costs are in the, I'd say, mid-teens level. And then in the Dal-Tile segment, they'd be close to 20% and higher, maybe 25% in the Unilin segment. And then across all the businesses, SG&A is probably 50% fixed. Kalpesh Patel - Jefferies & Company, Inc.: Okay. So you want us to kind of use those numbers to get to the operating leverage numbers?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · Kalpesh Patel of Jefferies & Company

Yes. Kalpesh Patel - Jefferies & Company, Inc.: Okay. And then my follow-up question, you said in your press release that you, I guess, gained market share in the carpet or it improved. Did you lower prices there, in your commodity products? Is that what happened? Or what sort of changed from last quarter or the last two quarters?

Jeff Lorberbaum

Analyst · Kalpesh Patel of Jefferies & Company

What we said was that we thought our position had stabilized, that we'd been losing some share, that the marketplace had moved in the product-to-polyester faster than we anticipated. As the prices went up, the market moved to lower cost raw materials faster and that we needed to increase our polyester introductions. We started doing that in the third quarter and those introductions are gaining traction. At the same time, the other area that's growing is the commercial carpet tile. We've also increased the number of the commercial carpet tile introductions. We've increased the capacity of our carpet tile, and it's growing significantly. And we think both of those will continue and help get us where we want to be.

Operator

Operator

Your next question is from the line of Laura Champine of Cowen Company.

Rob Simone - Cowen and Company

Analyst · Laura Champine of Cowen Company

It's Rob Simone stepping in for Laura this morning. We were wondering if -- you talked about inventories before and, I mean in dollars, your inventory balance is up 13% year-over-year. But we were wondering if you could just kind of segment what portion of that growth came from the different components, so like inflation, the demand component that drove your inventory growth, and whether or not your prior period's inventory growth was trailing or ahead of how demand developed in Q4?

Frank Boykin

Analyst · Laura Champine of Cowen Company

If you look at the increase, about almost 40% came from inflation and pre-buy, where we're trying to get out ahead of the cost increases. And then the balance of it was just increased volume in quantities. Both of which were, as we said earlier, planning to reduce the inventory levels and improve the turns back to more normalized historical levels by the end of the first quarter.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. Presenters, do you have any closing remarks?

Jeff Lorberbaum

Analyst · Thompson Research

Yes. We appreciate everyone joining us. We believe that this year that the industry will see improvement and that we're well-prepared to participate in it. We're taking the actions we need to cover the raw material increases, and we'll keep reacting to them as the circumstances change. Thank you very much for joining us.

Operator

Operator

This concludes Mohawk Industry's Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call. You may now disconnect.