Good afternoon everyone and welcome to the M/I Homes Third Quarter Earnings Release Conference Call. All participants will be in a listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions]. After today's presentation there will be an opportunity to ask questions. [Operator Instructions]. Please also note, today's event is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn conference call over to Phil Creek. Sir, please go ahead.

Welcome to our call. Joining me on the call today is Bob Schottenstein, our CEO and President; Tom Mason, EVP; Derek Klutch, President of our Mortgage Company; Ann Marie Hunker, VP, Corporate Controller; and Kevin Hake, Senior VP. First, to address Regulation Fair Disclosure, we encourage you to ask any questions regarding issues that you consider material during this call, because we are prohibited from discussing significant nonpublic items with you directly. And as to forward-looking statements, I want to remind everyone that the cautionary language about forward-looking statements contained in today’s press release also applies to any comments made during this call, including comments related to COVID-19. Also be advised that the Company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements made during this call. Also during this call, we disclose certain non-GAAP financial measures. A presentation of the most directly comparable financial measure calculated in accordance with GAAP and a reconciliation of the differences between the non-GAAP financial measure and the GAAP measure was included in our earnings release issued earlier today that is available on our website. I'll now turn the call over to Bob.

Thank you, Phil. And thank you for joining us today. We had an outstanding record setting quarter highlighted by a 71% increase in new contracts, a 29% increase in homes delivered, and a 94% increase in net income. By the quarter, we sold 2,94 homes. Year to-date through September we have 7,299 homes, 43% better than last year, and more then we sold in all of 2019. Our sales were strong across the board and throughout all of our markets. Our absorption pace improved significantly to 4.6 sales per community per month compared to 2.6 a year ago. A number of factors contributed to our strong sales performance. Low interest rates, low inventory levels, a shift in buyer preference towards single-family homes and an increasing number of millennial's opting for homeownership. All of these are fueling a robust housing market. In addition, we continue to gain market share in most of our markets based upon the strength and quality of our communities. The quality of our online marketing execution and generating online leads and converting those online leads into sales and the continued strong market acceptance of our most affordably priced smart series line of homes. Our smart series sales comprise nearly 36% of total companywide sales during the quarter compared to 28% a year ago. We are now selling our smart series homes in all 15 of our divisions and on average our smart series communities produce better sales pace, better gross margin, better cycle time and better return. We delivered 2,137 homes in the quarter, year-to-date through September we have now delivered 5,467 homes, which is 25% more than last year. Our backlog sales value at September 30 equaled $1.8 billion, an all-time record and units and backlog increased 54% to a record 4,503 homes. Our margins and…

Thanks Bob. As far as financial results, new contracts for the third quarter increased 71% to 2,949, an all time quarterly record compared to 1,721 for last year's third quarter. Our new contracts were up 75% in July, up 94% in August, and up 44% in September. Our sales pace was 4.6 in the third quarter compared to last year's 2.6. Our cancellation rate for the third quarter was 10%. As to our buyer profile, about 53% of our third quarter sales were the first time buyers compared to 50% in the second quarter. In addition, 40% of our third quarter sales were inventory homes compared to 45% in the second quarter. Our community count was 207 at the end of the third quarter, compared to 221 at the end of 2019 third quarter. Break down by region is 86 in the northern region and 121 in the southern region. During the quarter we open 12 new communities while closing 25. And we open 51 new communities during the nine months ended 9/30 this year. We delivered a third quarter record 2,137 homes delivering 58% of our backlog, which was the same percentage as a year ago. An revenue increased 30% in the third quarter, reaching a third quarter record of 848 million. Our average closing price for the third quarter was 380,000, a 1% decrease when compared to last year third quarter average closing price of 382,000. And our backlog sales price is 404,000, up from 390 a year ago. And our backlog average sales price of our smart series is 315,000. Our third quarter 2020 operating gross margin was 22.9%, up to 240 basis points year-over-year and up 100 basis points from the second quarter. And our third quarter SG&A expenses were 11.6% of revenue increasing -- improving 60 basis points compared to 12.2% a year ago, reflecting greater operating leverage. Interest expense decreased $3.4 million for the quarter compared to last year. Interest incurred for the quarter was $10 million compared to $12.9 million a year ago. And the decrease is due to lower outstanding borrowings in this year's third quarter, as well as a lower weighted average borrowing rate. During the third quarter we generated $111 million of EBITDA compared to $67 million in last year's third quarter. We have $22 million in capitalized interest on our balance sheet which is about 1% of our total assets. Our effective tax rate was 23% in the quarter, compared to last year's 24% in the third quarter. Our third quarter rate benefited from energy tax credits that were retroactive to 2019. And we estimate our annual effective rate this year to be around 23%. And our earnings per diluted share for the quarter increased to 251 per share from 132 to last year. Now Derek will cover our mortgage company results.

Thanks, Phil. Our mortgage and title operations achieved record third quarter results in pre tax income, revenue and number of loans originated. Revenue was up 115% to $28.9 million due to a higher volume of loans closed and sold, along with significantly higher pricing margins. For the quarter, the pre tax income was $19.2 million, which was a 241% increase compared to 2019 third quarter, 76% of the loans closed in the quarter were conventional, and 24% FHA or VA, compared to 78% and 22%, respectively for 2019 third quarter. Our average mortgage amount increased to $314,000 in 2020 third quarter compared to $312,000 last year. Loans originated increased to a third quarter and all time record of 1636 loans, 32% more than last year. And the volume of loans sold increased by 39%. Our borrower profile remains solid, with an average downpayment of over 15%. And for the quarter, the average credit score on mortgages originated by M/I financial was 747, up slightly from 745 last year. Mortgage operation captured over 85% of our business in the third quarter, which was in line with last year. We maintain two separate mortgage warehouse facilities that provide us with funding for our mortgage originations prior to the sale to investors. At September 30th, we had $136 million outstanding under these facilities. We extended our repo line this month through October of 2021 and increase the commitment amount from $65 million to $90 million. Both facilities are typical 364 day mortgage warehouse lines that we extend annually. Now I'll turn the call back over to Phil.

Thanks, Derek. As far as the balance sheet, our total homebuilding inventory at 9/30 was $1.8 billion, an increase of $16 million over last year. Our unsold land investment at 9/30/20 is $760 2 million, compared to $821 million a year ago. At September 30, we had 362 million of raw land and land under development, and 400 million of finished unsold lots. We owned 4,942 unsold finished lots with an average cost of 81,000 per lot. And this average lot cost is 20% of our 404,000 backlog average sale price. Our goal is to maintain about a one year supply of finished lots and do own a two to three years supply. Lots owned and controlled as of 9/30/20, total of 39,600 lots, 15,100 of which were owned and 24,500 under contract. We own 6900 lots in our northern region and 8200 lots in our southern region. A year ago, we own more than 14,800 lots and controlled on additional 14,200 lots for a total of more than 29,000 lots. And during this year's third quarter we spent 107 million on land purchases and 89 million on land development for a total of 196 million. Year to-date we have spent 267 million on land purchases, and 222 million on land development for a total year to date land spend of 489 million and about 48% of our purchase amount was raw land. And at the end of the quarter, we had 266 completed inventory homes, about one per community and 1,113 total inventory homes. And of the total inventory 550 are in the northern region and 563 are in the southern region. As September 30, 2019 we had 531 completed inventory homes and 1,513 total inventory homes. This completes our presentation. We'll now open the call for any questions or comments.

Ladies and gentlemen, at this time we'll begin the question and answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question today comes from Jay McCanless from Wedbush Securities. Please go ahead with your question.

Hey, good afternoon, guys. Congrats on a really good quarter.

Thank you.

The first question I had, if you think about smart series versus the other product lines, maybe on a percentage basis, where were you all able to push price the most? On smart series or on the traditional product?

That's a really good question. My intuition is that pushing price as opposed to starting margin. That's pretty much across the board. I think that we've had the ability to expand margin pretty much in a really good sampling of all of our communities. Having said that, before we were able to successfully push margins, on average our smart series communities command a higher margin. So they start with a higher base, if you will, base margin. But Phil, I don't know, if you have a slightly more nuanced view of that. I don't think it's really much different. I can think of so many communities that are non smart, where we've had the ability to push margin, and we're doing so carefully. You don't --- other than in hindsight, you don't know whether you really did it accurately. We think we've been very prudent in the way. We've approached it. And -- but I think it's pretty. I think it would be wrong to suggest that it's anything but broad based.

Okay. And then the second question I had and thinking about the community count, and sounds like you all ran through a fair number of communities during the quarter. Could you maybe talk about where you think the community count goes for the rest of the year? And then any help you can give us in terms of where the community count might go in 2021?

You know, Jay, that's really challenging situations for us. If you look through the first nine months of the year, we've closed 69 communities. Last year, the first nine months, we closed 46. So we've had 23 more communities closed this year, opening up the communities as about been the same year-to-year. We're trying to get communities opened the right way as fast as we can. Of course, the good news is that our absorption pace is up significantly, not giving any guidance, because that's just such a difficult answer. But we are hoping. We are focused on community count. And I think it will be difficult for us the next couple of quarters. But I think as we get into the latter part of next year, hopefully, we'll be in a little better situation. But having said that, as Bob said, there are more smart series communities, those sales pace are better. So we're watching it very carefully and do all we can.

The other thing I'd add to that is that there's two factors that are impacting community count in the very near term, there probably will be a little bit of choppiness. One of those factors is the very robust sales pace for the last four to five months, and selling even though we're controlling sales, if you will, in a very decent portion of our communities, not wanting to get too far out ahead of ourselves, notwithstanding that, we are selling out of some communities faster than we anticipated. The other side of that is, is because of COVID and work from home or furloughs. It's not everywhere, but in many of the locales in which we operate, the sub markets, the municipalities, the townships, et cetera. The entitlement process and the sign offs needed to complete development and to commence new home construction and secure the first tranche of building permits and so forth, has been delayed for no economic reason, but for just the reality of the shortage of people that are there to do the work. So, you're sort of getting pulled from both ends. Having said all that, we've said this before, we'll say it again, we're poised for growth. The growth may not be on an even plane, but we think we're really poised for growth based on what we believe today and what we know today, over the next 12 to 24 months.

Great. And then the last question I had, last year you guys had a backlog conversion rate in the fourth quarter, roughly 66%. Just wanted to see if you're running a similar rate to that with what you've converted so far. Or if there's any type of dispersion you can give us something when all the huge crop of orders in 3Q might deliver over the next couple quarters?

Jay, we don't give any projections as far as fourth quarter closings are for your or anything else. I mean, we do hope and plan to close more houses in the fourth quarter than we did a year ago. The backlog is quite a bit higher. I would point out a couple things that when you look at the large amount of sales we had in the third quarter this year versus last year. For instance, if you look at the 9/30 backlog this year, like 65%, 66% of those sales and the 9/30 backlog came in the third quarter. It takes a certain amount of time to get those houses in the field and built. If you look at the backlog, at September of 2019, about 58% of those houses were sold in the third quarter of 2019. So my point is, there's more recent sales in the current backlog. There's also a situation where even though I have a few more houses in the field 9/30 this year than a year ago, I do have you know, 400 less specs. And those specs in general are not as far along construction wise. So, I would not be surprised to see my backlog conversion rate lower in the fourth quarter. But having said that, we do hope and plan the same and things kind of stay the way they are that we will close a few more houses in the fourth quarter than a year ago. But it won't be any crazy number way above last year to kind of answer your question.

Okay. That's great. Very helpful. Thank you.

Our next question comes from Alan Ratner from Zelman and Associates. Please go ahead with your question.

Hey, guys, good afternoon. Congrats on the great results.

Thanks, Alan.

So I wanted to -- I might have misheard this number. So I was hoping to double check it and just get your thoughts on it. I thought I heard you gave roughly 5,000 unsold finish lots? And if that's correct, just please confirm that. But you think get a comment after the fact that said like your target is a one year supply of finish lots on the book. So, if that number is right, it would appear to be well above kind of a one year sales pace, at least that you've been running at this year closer to the 8,000 to 9,000 range. So, can you just talk a little bit about that A, if I'm hearing that correctly? Or B, if not, can you correct me?

Yes. You're hearing that correctly, Alan. And again, I always use the most current closing rate, optimistic people tend to use sales, but being conservative financial personnel always use the closing rate. So, I like that 7500, we have less than that. We'd also like to have own two to three years of our current run rate. And if you look at our current closing rate, we're close to that two number. So, Creek [ph] with Bob, totally, we think we have a very, very strong land position. What we'd like to own a few more lots in certain situations? Yes, the answer is probably yes. Having said that, there's a difference if you have finished lots ready to go optioned, or even raw land that you know, ready to put the shovel in the ground. So you've got to look behind and see what compose is that option. But we think we have a very strong land position. But if we add a few more lots that probably make us a little happier. Bob, I don't know if you read on that?

Well, yes, other than what I said before, Alan, have we sold more houses than we thought we would have, of course, so is everyone else. And our newer communities going to come online, maybe a quarter or so slower than anticipated. Probably maybe not a full quarter, but maybe a month or so which could impact the quarter. I mean, that's just the reality that we're dealing with in most of our markets. Having said that, I want to just reiterate, we have a great land position. It doesn't, at least at this point keep us up at night. And we are poised for growth. And we've really are -- we've got great momentum, and we've gained a lot of traction in so many of our markets, that several years ago, we wouldn't have been able to say that today. And it's good to have that momentum. I think that -- I think our performance in most of our 15 markets is standing tall today. And we don't say that lightly and we don't take it for granted.

Got it. No, that's helpful. And thank you for walking me through that. So I guess the follow on to that then is very impressive increase in lots owned, or excuse me, option this quarter, big sequential increase in year-over-year as well. So do you have any way to kind of tell us the development phases of those lots that you tied up through option? I mean, are these lots that you would expect to contribute to 2021 growth at all? Is this more of a 2022 kind of community count driver? Just curious where these lots are located and in what development stage they're at?

I wouldn't be able to give you too accurate of a read. But I had to take us take a guess. My guess is that a small fraction of them will contribute to sales and closings in 2021, that the overwhelming majority is 22 business and beyond. But we're in pretty good shape for 2021. And some of that additional stuff will create some additional sales and closings next year in 2021, but most of it will be pushed out beyond that. Phil, did you want to say something.

Yes. You actually looked at the numbers, Alan. The majority of the uptick in the control is actually in our Texas markets, happens to be primarily raw land pieces. And Bob is correct as usual. I mean, we're really in great shape for growth in 2021. And actually in really pretty good shape, even for 2022. So the uptick really is more for the second half of 2022 and 2023 in Texas.

Got it. Okay. Thank you for that. And if I could squeeze in one more. The cash position among the highest levels on record here. So great progress on the balance sheet. And obviously, I'm sure investing in land is the number one priority. But how do you see the balance sheet unfolding? I mean, your stock is at book value. Obviously, M&A has been an area in the past where you've selectively been able to allocate some capital towards deals to drive near term growth. So how should we think about that $200 million cash balance over the near term?

Well, I think buying back stock is overrated may not be a popular thing to say on this call. But I do believe that, and I've had experience with other industries. And I still feel that way. Having said that, first of all, economic conditions are uncertain. Let's face it. A year ago today, no one could have predicted what we've seen occur in 2020. Not just the pandemic, but what happened once the pandemic hit. Latter part of March, early April, we thought this was going to be a rerun of the great recession or worse. And by early May, it was like, wow, this is quite extraordinary, the bounce back in demand. And by the end of May, it was at least for us and most builders are record setting pace. No one could have anticipated that. I think the same kinds of vagaries exist today with the future. As long as -- I think interest rates is the primary driver for housing right now. Certainly some of the demand is fueled by some pandemic unique circumstances, very low resale inventories, I think is partly impacted by the pandemic, this notion of a preference for moving on a high density urban areas. Is that a long term thing, is that is -- will that soon change once the pandemic, hopefully happen soon is in the distant mirror. Those things may not be for the long haul. But I do think the millennials are beginning to come off the sidelines is not going to reverse itself. I think that's more driven by just changes in family situations than anything else. And I think low interest rates, as long as they stay closer to three then the four, I think will continue to drive housing and right now they're below three. So all that said, we think we've got a lot of reason to hold on to capital to invest in our business. We would love to be in another market or to if the opportunity presented itself. The good news is we don't have to. We can achieve our growth goals over the next two to three years without doing so. But at some point, we probably need another flag or two. And that could require a lot of capital. So if you put all that in the blender, you sort of set on it right now. And we think our return on equity is top two or three in the entire industry. And hopefully we'll be judged by some of these other metrics more than how we're deploying our cash for those that would rather see a short term buyback.

Great. Now very, very detailed and thorough, Bob. Thank you very much and great luck.

Thanks so much, Alan.

Our next question comes from Aaron Hecht from JMP Securities. Please go ahead with your question.

Hey, guys, appreciate all the insight you gave on the land position so far, because it's a critical aspect of the business and totally understandable why there's going to be some volatility, given the results you guys have had, because it's really been amazing to watch. So I want hear on the land. But wondering in terms of margins, there's been some cost inflation over the year, lumber being the one that's been called out a number of times. So wondering if we need to be sensitive of what the margin profile is going to look like over the next couple of quarters. And the orders that you took this quarter and earlier in the year, roll through with some of those cost inflation items?

When you look at stick and brick costs in general, lumbers definitely jumped up quite a bit, then come off some. I think, if you look at across our company, in the third quarter, we had a 3% to 5% increase in those type cost. We had been raising price very, very aggressively. The good news is land development costs have not been up that much. We've been very, very pleased with the improvement in our margin the last couple of quarters. Don't predict what they will be. But I will tell you that we really try to focus on opening new communities, the best way we can. Demand is still very good. So, we're hoping very much to keep these strong margins we have. Our margins in Texas have improved dramatically. All four of our Texas divisions now are at that 500 unit a year run rate plus. And that's really given us more communities and more scale. And as Bob talked about the smart series, those margins being better. So we focused on it a lot. Hopefully, lumbers going to continue to come down a little bit. We are being very careful with sales getting too far out on delivery dates. And then making sure we have our costs not only locked in, but locked in with people we believe that can honor all those commitments and not get too far ahead of our sale. So having said all that, we're doing all we can to keep our margins as strong as we can.

And Bob, you made a comment to Alan about potentially looking at new markets. Do you want to share which markets you might be contemplating, entering at some point?

If we were further along, I would. Right now, first of all, let me be really, really clear. We do -- at least for the next several years assume we can grow our units by -- of course, this year, they've grown by an almost unimaginable pace, 71% growth in the last quarter in units. That's not long term sustainable for us or anyone. But assuming we can grow our units in that 10% to 15% or more over the next several years. At some point, we believe we would need an additional market or two. So it's not something that right now we need to do something or we'll have trouble achieving our growth goals over the next two or three years. But -- so there's probably four or five markets that we've been sort of looking at. But I can't really comment on it. It wouldn't be smart and it might be misleading.

Okay, And Phil, in terms of expense interest rolling through the income statement, is there now enough backlog to be to capitalize that interest? Or we should think that line could go to zero pretty soon?

I will not count on that. We have been pleased that are interest incurred has been going down. However, our land spend and some of our land activities have been kind of lower than we thought they would be. We did hit the pause button in that March, April May timeframe, would expect land activity to increase in the fourth quarter and next year. So hopefully, we'll continue to be efficient there. Would not see that number getting down that low of a level. But hopefully we'll continue to see some improvement.

Thank you very much. Great results.

Thanks a lot, Aaron.

Our next question comes from Art Winston from Pilot Advisors. Please go ahead with your question.

I suspect I can thank you guys on behalf of most of the shareholders for your excellent stewardship of this company. So thanks. I was wondering, in the second quarter conference call you gave your conservative outlook and all the things that might not be right. Yet it seemed like you stepped up your investment in land and communities very rapidly. And I wonder if anything changed during the course of the quarter, or anything changed in your procurement hurdle rates or anything like that?

First of all, are thanks for your comment. As far as the question, maybe a little bit, I think that there's several things that have been true at the same time. And one of them is that in the face of much more rapid than expected sales, and selling out to communities faster, we realized that in a few of our markets we needed to be more aggressive as we looked out over the next one, two, three years. But at the same time, some of the additional purchases have been fueled by improved operating performance and execution. And frankly, confidence in that execution in some of our markets that two or three years ago had been struggling. A couple of years ago in some of our Texas markets, we weren't doing nearly as well as we are now. We were underperforming, frankly. And we're not anymore. And it's one thing to say, we want to grow in a certain market from x to x plus 20% x plus 40%. It's another thing to say, let's get x fixed first. And so, in probably two or three or four of our markets where we've seen, we've gone from so-so performance or under performance to very high level of performance. Now we really have confidence that we can take those markets to the next level, have the opportunity to do so, the markets will allow us to admittedly the very competitive, but we think -- we believe we can compete. So I think it's the two of those things happening at roughly the same time that have spike some of the additional land under control.

Understood. It seemed like a risk tick, right, that the investment, new investment for community is higher, that you're buying bigger, bigger communities or investing in bigger land from larger communities. Is that possible?

I think in general, when you look at our smart series communities, they tend to be more lots. They also tend to be, if it's 200 lots. We may be putting the 75 or 100 lots on the ground as opposed to 50. Just because sales are so strong, and we don't want to go dark in there. So yes, communities have gotten a little bit larger. But that's also something that we can manage closely and quickly, if demand or the market changes.

Got you. One last question. I heard what you said about stock repurchase, even though historically, you've done a very judiciously and effectively. But what about the outside possibility of just blowing another $100 million or $150 million at 3% or something and putting on the balance sheet case you ever need it. You could afford to pay the interest rate right now. Is that added consideration?

I think that, as Bob talked about, even though business is very, very good, there is a lot of uncertainty. We think we have a very good business positioned well, but also we do think the land spend is probably going to tick up the next couple of quarters. We also think that being in a lower leverage situation during these uncertain times, probably makes a lot of sense. We are very glad in good shape to have a $500 million bank line undrawn, which we can get to if we need. So we think we have a lot of liquidity there if we need. So again, it's something that we look at constantly and discuss with our board, and we'll continue to.

Okay. Well, thanks for everything.

Thanks Art.

And our next question comes from Alex Barron from Housing Research Center. Please go ahead with your question.

Hey, guys, good afternoon and congrats on the strong results.

Thank you.

I was curious if you guys could comment on roughly the trend of the orders in the quarter. And also whether you could offer any comments about how October is going?

I'll let Phil comment on the monthly, year over year increase from September, August. and July. We will not -- we have not and do not provide any guidance on the current month. But Phil, if you want to talk about the three months in the quarter?

Yes, Alex. I mean, the demand really was solid all the way through the month. When you start looking at the numbers, it depends a little bit on how last year's July was. How last year's August was. Did we do a little more managing of sales as we went through the quarter? The answer is probably yes. Again, not wanting to get delivery dates out too far. to outrun our cost protection. Not get out in front. We do still have supply challenges with those appliances, each market are different. I think we're working through all things, okay. And by full time its not really gotten any worse. But demand has continued to stay very, very strong.

Okay, great. So that said, is right now, there's this conversation about price versus pace. Right now, you still feel comfortable that you can handle the current pace? Or you guys, I guess more inclined to be limiting sales and pushing the prices?

That's a subdivision by subdivision decision. And we trust our experienced area presidents, along with our region presidents to work through those things. The backlog is significantly higher than last year. We had a very, very strong sales pace. Our margins were up, 250 basis points. So hopefully we're pulling the right levers. It just really comes down to a subdivision by subdivision, answer, Alex.

Got it. One other question on the SG&A. Notice the corporate dollar amount, I guess, was a little bit higher than last year obviously. But I was curious, do you feel like this is kind of a new run rate that we should expect going forward? Or was there any one time items in there?

Alex, a big piece of that was incentive compensation. Our leadership team. Our people in general are based -- are compensated to a large amount on bonuses, income, customer service, and those type of things. And those bonuses are booked primarily as the income is earned. And we have almost $100 million pre tax quarter, the best quarter ever. So that generated higher bonus accruals. So again, that was the biggest reason for that increase.

Got it. Okay, well, best of luck for the rest of the year, guys. Thanks.

Thanks, Alex.

Thank you.

[Operator Instructions] And ladies and gentlemen at this time I'm showing no additional questions. I like to turn the conference call back over to management for any closing remarks.

Thank you very much for joining us. Look forward to talking to you next time.

Ladies and gentlemen with that will conclude today's conference call. We do thank you for attending. You may now disconnect your lines.