Peter Oswald
Analyst · Erste Group
Yes. Thank you, Franz. So let's go now into the operations of our 3 divisions, and let's start with our Food & Premium Packaging division. I could almost say, as always, a strong performance. Profitability was slightly up compared to a year ago. So the main we're very proud that we could also increase our adjusted EBITDA margin by 90 basis points. And they also enjoyed because of the initiatives, a strong contribution from our FFF project by about EUR 27 million. Looking into the future, it was very important that we could sign with a number of customers, multiyear contracts, some of them developing new products together. This is exactly where we are focusing on. We don't want to compete in all the tenders which are going on for the more commoditized business, but we want to be a partner of development and work many years together with customers to improve their packaging footprint. If you are a bit surprised why Topline did not develop, first of all, it's not fully comparable because we have divested the plants in Bangor and Leeuwarden, which are all adjusted, when we adjusted for the big acquisition. And so it's not 100% comparable. Now going to our Pharma business, we saw a very strong development. The EBITDA margin improved by almost 200 basis points, so a very nice progress. If you think back, we came here from 6%, 7% EBITDA margin number of years ago. Now we are on our way to 18%. Now we have reached 14%, we've surpassed 14%. So we are on a positive trajectory. Also here, we succeeded in signing a number of multi-year contracts with our main customers, developing products together, developing packaging solutions together. And so we can already go to the next page. Innovation is a very important part of our product offering. And here are just some examples where we have transformed in the first quarter from plastic packaging to, here for example to paper packaging. In this way, so to say, avoiding more plastics. We also use -- we are not just a producer of folding carton, but still a small producer of molded pulp solutions. And also here, we could sign some interesting long-term contracts. The topic in pharma, the big topic is cancer fighting. That's really something which is a very, very important topic for all of us, as consumers that you could buy a medicine, we are sure that it's the original medicine and not just a fake product. And we're very proud about our highly effective micro-optics technology, which gives us a good competitive advantage. Now moving on to our Board & Paper division. There, we were faced with extremely -- with lower prices. And the price deviation was about EUR 70 million. And thanks to our FFF project where we could achieve EUR 59 million profit improvement, we could almost balance this, but not completely. In terms of variable cost, it was a rather favorable environment, first half year compared to the first half year of last year. Our costs for paper and recycling were somewhat lower. Pulp was a bit lower, wood costs were broadly flat. Energy costs were a bit lower despite the already starting Iran war. The situation has now changed, and I will come to this point then in the outlook. Our fixed costs are down even though we produced somewhat more. Now, talking a bit about the top line. The outstanding thing, was which I already mentioned was that prices were significantly lower compared to the first half of last year because they've been sliding for most grades throughout the year, and there was a drop again at the beginning of this year. The good news, however, is that we see a positive price momentum in some grades, not in all grades. And we hope that this gathers momentum in the second half of the year. In terms of volumes, we were very pleased because we could gain market share in Europe, both for WLC, for our recycled cartonboard as well as for our fresh folding boxboard. That is important. We've seen that the overseas markets become less and less attractive also because of the tariffs in North America. And so it is important to sell, so to say, around [indiscernible]. And one reason of that is obviously that we have very good products and we have improved these products. Another reason is our good service. And by good service, we don't mean that we're more friendly sales representative than other companies do, but we are located, especially in FBB on the continent in Europe. So serving out of Frohnleiten and Kolicevo, we are much closer to our customers. We can react much quicker and this is something which is highly appreciated. Now let's make also a deep dive beyond the half year results into our overall competitiveness in Board & Paper because given the disappointing results, this is obviously important. These results, by the way, are very much in line with other competitors in our industry. So, first of all, it's important where we have to sit on the cost curve? And the good news is that 80% of our capacity is in quartile 1 and 2, so above average. I think that's a very, very important message. Then we have some more detailed charts which show what is the age of our machines compared to the competition. So it is on the right-hand side, then it's newer than the average of the industry. If it's on the left-hand side, it's older. And on the Y-axis, you can see the capacity. And here you see the first -- the right upper chart is on FBB. And here, you can see that with much -- so we have more modern machines with a lower technical age, which is obviously very good news. In terms of size, we are hovering around the average. I'm not worried about that at all because a very big machine is only useful if you can produce very homogenous products. But if you have many different products and even worse if you do not just produce FBB but CUK liner, all other sorts of products, then actually the big size of the machine is not of any advantage at all -- on the lower chart, you can see that in the right upper section, which is newer machines and bigger machines, all 3 machines are MM machines, so Neuss, Freudenberg, and Gernsbach. Kolicevo is also a relatively modern machine, but a bit smaller than the average. We could expand it, but don't do it in the current market environment. The only one which is in the left lower part is from Frohnleiten PM2. But as this is part of a group with 2 machines -- of a site with 2 machines, we also think it's very good. So, in summary, we have a very strong cost position from the cost curve. But let's go now to the next slide. It's not just where you sit on the cost curve, which is important. It's also what is your capacity utilization, having a great machine, which is 70% utilized is not what delivers the results. And here, the good news is that we could steadily improve our capacity utilization, and we're now at an average of 87%, specifically for FBB, to preempt here any question, it's 80%. The third aspect which drives your profitability is do you produce products for markets which reward your products or do you have to dump them all over the world? And the very good news is that we could pass now for our folding cartonboard in Europe. So both recycled and virgin together, we can sell more than 90% in Europe. So we've deliberately cut back on overseas markets, as the price competition against Chinese import tariffs in the U.S. is just not very attractive. And last but not least, it's not just about machinery. It's not just about capacity utilization. It's at the end of the day about people running it. And in terms of operational excellence with the CapEx, which we did in 2023, we were struggling a bit to adopt to this new machine setup, but now we have fully regained our leadership in operational excellence and also Kwidzyn and Kotka have improved very much. So in summary, we have a very strong market position. Yes, we have this extreme market share fight, especially in FBB, and we have to live with it for some time. But finally, we see that we are in a very strong position, and that gives us confidence for the future. And this leads me to the outlook. So there are negatives and positives for next year. First of all, not really a negative, but just to remind you about second half, we always do our annual maintenance stop in Kwidzyn and in Kotka mills. We did in other mills as well, but they are not so relevant. And that has a negative effect of about EUR 35 million. The real bad news is that due to the Iran war, we are faced with higher transport costs, up about 10%, energy costs, chemicals and not directly related now to the Iran war, slightly higher wood and paper for recycling costs. And there is -- we see at the moment, still a subdued consumer demand. On the positive side, we have our pockets of growth, be it in our pharma business, our GLP-1 products. We see a nice development in beauty, beverages and pet food. As I already mentioned, we see a positive price trend in some board and paper grades. And last not least, Fit-For-Future will deliver again with a contribution of more than EUR 100 million. So this is the specific outlook for the second half of this year. If we look more to '27, I think there are a number of -- we're not commenting here on the market, that's too far away to predict. But what are the things which we can improve. First of all, as already mentioned, the acquisition of the Reno de Medici's Arnsberg mill has a lot of synergy potentials. Just to remind you, the deal is not closed yet. It's only signed. We're still waiting for the competition clearance. Secondly, very important, we have several CapEx in Kwidzyn amounting to about EUR 100 million and the benefits will flow through, that will start to flow through end of this year, but mainly then in next year. And it's 3 important investments. One is the new continuous digester, which will significantly reduce our energy and CO2 costs and also material usage. Secondly, we get the new winder, which will enable us to produce more packaging kraft paper. We could sell here more, but we can't deliver it because of this bottleneck in the winding and also more uncoated fine paper in reels. And thirdly, we've invested in a new sheeter, which will help us to service this express service much more, which we've installed for Poland. We will roll it out to Germany, where our customers can ask very short-term deliveries, but we need this sheeting capacity in order to react on very short notice. This is very well received. It's a unique position which we have, only those who are really close to the customer can offer this. Then we have a number of packaging expansionary CapEx in packaging. One is in Romania, a new machine. We've invested in several machines in the U.S., and that will positively contribute in '27. And last not least, Fit-For-Future is not done. It will not just deliver for the next half year. It will also deliver then in the future for '27. And I'm fairly optimistic that we can upgrade then the expectation again in the next half year results announcement, so for the full year of '26, but let's wait and see. So far, our expectation is above EUR 60 million. And so, all in all, to wrap things up, -- we believe that in comparison to these market circumstances, we have delivered a good result. We are very well placed for the future, but we have to endure the price situation, especially on the FBB side, just now for some time as the market leaders are not willing to shut down their capacities. And so we have just to be patient until this happens. So -- and with this, I would hand back to Stephan, and we are looking forward to your questions. Thank you.