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Montauk Renewables, Inc. (MNTK)

Q1 2023 Earnings Call· Fri, May 12, 2023

$1.44

-1.03%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon, everyone and thank you for participating in today's conference call. I would like to turn the call over to Mr. John Ciroli to provide some important cautions regarding forward-looking statements and non-GAAP financial measures contained in the earnings material or made on this call. John please go ahead.

John Ciroli

Management

Thank you. Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome to Montauk Renewables Earnings Conference Call to review the First Quarter 2023 Financial and Operating Results and Developments. I'm John Ciroli, Chief Legal Officer and Secretary at Montauk. Joining me today are Sean McClain, Montauk's President and Chief Executive Officer to discuss business development; and Kevin Van Asdalan, Chief Financial Officer to discuss our first quarter 2023 financial and operating results. At this time I would like to direct your attention to our forward-looking disclosure statement. During this call certain comments we make constitute forward-looking statements and such as involve a number of assumptions risks and uncertainties that could cause the company's actual results or performance to differ materially from those expressed in or implied by such forward-looking statements. These risk factors and uncertainties are detailed in Montauk Renewables SEC filings. Our remarks today may also include non-GAAP financial measures. We present EBITDA and adjusted EBITDA metrics, because we believe the measures assist investors in analyzing our performance across reporting periods on a consistent basis by excluding items that we do not believe are indicative of our core operating performance. These non-GAAP financial measures are not prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles. Additional details regarding these non-GAAP financial measures, including reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in our slide presentation and in our first quarter 2023 earnings press release and Form 10-Q issued and filed this afternoon. Those are available also on our website at ir.montaukrenewables.com. After our prepared remarks, we will open the call to questions. And with that I turn the call over to Sean.

Sean McClain

President

Thank you, John. Good day, everyone and thank you for joining our call. As we previously announced during our fiscal 2022 earnings conference call in March, and as Kevin will explain in more detail, we made a strategic decision not to commit to transfer any available RINs on 2023 RNG production until the second quarter of 2023. The EPA's release of the RVO in December 2022 included RVO obligations for three years, 2023 through 2025 and included volumes of eRINs to be generated from renewable electricity and used in transportation fuel. With the final RVO due to be released in June 2023, we believe this rule making introduced higher-than-expected volatility in the price of D3 RINs during the first quarter of 2023. As a result, we purposefully delayed the timing of all D3 RIN transfers from 2023 RNG production until the second quarter of 2023. We have begun to seeing the benefits of this strategy with the four million RINs related to 2023 RNG production committed in the second quarter of 2023, at an average realized price of $2.04. In March 2023, we announced our entrance into South Carolina with the development of a new landfill gas-to-RNG facility. The planned project is expected to contribute approximately 900 MMBtus per day of production capacity upon commissioning. We expect to incur capital expenditures beginning in the second quarter of 2023, and expect the project to be complete and become commercially operational in 2025. Next, I would like to provide an update on our Pico dairy cluster project in Idaho. During the first quarter of 2023, CARB finalized the engineering review of the Pico facility's provisional CI application and released it for public comments. Public comment period ended, March 14, 2023, and we did not receive any significant comments. CARB certified our Tier…

Kevin Van Asdalan

Chief Financial Officer

Thank you, Sean. I will be discussing our first quarter of 2023 financial and operating results. Please refer to our earnings press release and the supplemental slides that have been posted to our website for additional information. Total revenues in the first quarter of 2023 were $19.2 million, a decrease of $13 million or 40.5% compared to $32.2 million in the first quarter of 2022. The decrease is primarily related to our strategic decision as we are not a force-seller of D3 RINs, do not self-market any RINs from 2023 RNG production due to our belief that the first quarter of 2023 D3 RIN index volatility was temporary. Decreased realized RIN pricing, during the first quarter of 2023 of $2.01, compared to $3.46 in the first quarter of 2022 also contributed to the decrease in total revenues. This decrease is partially offset by losses recognized in the first quarter of 2022 of $3.5 million which were related to a gas commodity hedge program that expired in December 2022. We report the impacts of our gas commodity hedge program within our corporate segment. We have not currently entered into any gas commodity hedge programs for 2023. Total general and administrative expenses for the first quarter of 2023 were $9.5 million an increase of $1 million or 12.6%, compared to $8.5 million for the first quarter of 2022. The increase is primarily related to stock-based compensation expense as a result of the 2022 amendments to restricted share awards issued in the Montauk Ag Renewables acquisition. Turning to our segment operating metrics, I'll begin by reviewing our Renewable Natural Gas segment. We produced 1.4 million MMBtu, of RNG during the first quarter of 2023 a decrease of less than 0.1 million, compared to 1.4 million MMBtu produced in the first quarter of 2022.…

Sean McClain

President

Thank you, Kevin. In closing, we would like to reaffirm our full year 2023 outlook, which remains unchanged from the 2023 outlook we provided during our 2022 earnings call held in March. While we do not provide guidance on expectations of future environmental attribute prices, volatility in the index prices does impact our revenue expectations. We continue to expect RNG production volumes to range between 5.7 million and 6.1 million MMBTUs with corresponding RNG revenues between $137 million and $145 million. We continue to expect renewable electricity production volumes to range between 195,000 and 205,000 megawatt hours, with corresponding renewable electricity revenues, between $18 million and $19 million. And with that we will pause for any questions.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Craig Shere of Tuohy Brothers. Your line is open.

Craig Shere

Analyst · Tuohy Brothers. Your line is open

Hi. Good afternoon and congratulations on the decision to bank those RINs. It seems like a good decision. So, I was just wondering, if you have any detail about how much Pico RNG is in storage to be sold in second quarter? And what exactly that CI Score was?

Kevin Van Asdalan

Chief Financial Officer

CI Score that was finalized was minus 261, I believe, Craig. And in regards to providing detailed volumes on our underlying operating sites, we generally don't do that, but we do expect that all of the volumes in storage -- remaining in storage will be released during the second quarter of 2023.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. One moment for our next question. Our next question comes from the line of Matthew Blair of Tudor Pickering Holt & Company. Your line is open.

Matthew Blair

Analyst · Matthew Blair of Tudor Pickering Holt & Company. Your line is open

Hey good afternoon, Kevin and Sean. I was hoping you could provide or maybe just confirm the lost EBITDA in the quarter from holding back the incremental RINs. We were coming to about a $3 million impact. But on the call, I thought there was a mention of like four million RINs at $2 a RIN. I just wanted to confirm that. And then also, could you just -- on the big picture level could you just outlay what gives you confidence that RINs will be moving up in the future? Thank you.

Kevin Van Asdalan

Chief Financial Officer

Thanks, Matthew. If you want to base your first part of that question on averages, I believe the first quarter D3 RIN index average was $2.02 million, $2.03 million and of that if you want to apply our approximately 8.3 million RINs generated, but unsold that would give you a top line revenue. And then we have an approximate 20% or 25%, depending upon what site they would be sourced from. But our RNG segment royalty of approximately 20% would reduce those revenues. So again depending upon timing of sales, but if you wanted to apply our first quarter RINs generated but unsold balance against that first quarter average D3 index price and then take an estimated RNG segment royalty which is probably in the neighborhood of 20% or 22% or 23% I'm not saying that would definitively approximate the deferred EBITDA out of Q1 into Q2 or the rest of the year, but that would give you a good approximation.

Sean McClain

President

And Matthew just to answer that last piece. I mean consistent with our guidance provisions that we do we do not provide guidance on our expectations of future attribute prices. I mean we are sensitive to the fact that the volatility in those index prices, it does impact our revenue and EBITDA expectations.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. One moment please for or next question. Our next question comes from the line of Manav Gupta of UBS. Your line is open.

Manav Gupta

Analyst · Manav Gupta of UBS. Your line is open

Guys I just want to ask a macro question. A number of your peers in the RNG space are very excited about what Cummins is doing with the natural gas engines and they think it could be a game changer for RNG in the transportation segment of heavy-duty vehicles. I just wanted to know what your views are on the entire developments that are happening in the space as far as Cummins bringing new vehicles, which are competitive with diesel in terms of strength. How do you feel about that?

Sean McClain

President

That's a good question, Manav. We continue to evaluate all sources of development uses of our products. We are very excited about the future prospects of eRINs and the ability for our facilities to generate those attributes for utilization in electric vehicles beyond just fleet usage, but consumer vehicles. We are excited about the possibility of natural gas engines and the utilization of that fuel. We are excited about the potential of carbon utilization for a number of sustainable energy source productions that are also being used in the transportation space. There's a number of exciting developments that continue to expand the prevalence and the diversification of how we can sell our products our commodities as well as our attributes.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. One moment please. Our next question comes from Matthew Blair. Your line is open.

Matthew Blair

Analyst · Matthew Blair of Tudor Pickering Holt & Company. Your line is open

Hey, thanks for taking my follow-up. So it looks like on the $2.01 realized RIN price that's coming in at approximately 97% capture against just average RIN prices in the quarter, which is pretty good. Normally, we see some cases where other companies are having to take more of a discount when they self-market their RINs. So I was hoping you could talk about that a little bit. Is there anything special on your end that's allowing you to capture more of the benchmark RIN pricing? Any sort of commercial efforts you can highlight or anything in that regard?

Sean McClain

President

Matthew, I think, it's a good question. Obviously, we are not a force-seller of our attributes and that allows for you to do a couple of things. It allows for you to carefully watch monitor project what we see to be a higher-than-expected volatility in pricing. And we also manage our cash flows and our cash needs for development and for operations very carefully. That combined with our base revenue from fixed price contracts particularly those in our renewable electricity space allow for us to not only time and patiently monetize our attributes, but to do so more directly with the actual obligated parties as opposed to intermediaries that will provide cash flow much needed cash flow for other industry players but do so at a more meaningful discount.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. I'm showing no further questions at this time. I'll turn the call back over to Sean McClain for any closing remarks.

Sean McClain

President

Thank you, and thank you everyone for taking the time to join us on the conference call today. We look forward to speaking with you on our second 2023 quarter conference call.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, this does conclude today's conference. Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect. Have a great day.