Earnings Labs

Modine Manufacturing Company (MOD)

Q4 2019 Earnings Call· Thu, May 23, 2019

$237.15

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Modine Manufacturing Company's Fourth Quarter Fiscal 2019 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this call is being recorded. Now I would now like to turn the conference over to your host, Ms. Kathy Powers, Vice President, Treasurer, Investor Relations and Tax.

Kathleen Powers

Analyst

Good morning and thank you for joining our conference call to discuss Modine's fourth quarter fiscal 2019 results. I am here with Modine's President and CEO, Tom Burke and Mick Lucareli, our Vice President, Finance and Chief Financial Officer. We will be using slides for today's presentation, which can be accessed either through the webcast link or by accessing the PDF file posted on the Investor Relations section of our website, modine.com. This morning, Tom and Mick will present our fourth quarter and full-year results for fiscal '19 and will provide our outlook for fiscal '20. At the end of the call, there will be a question-and-answer session. On Slide 2 is our notice regarding forward-looking statements. This call may contain forward-looking statements as outlined in our earnings release as well as in our Company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. With that, it is my pleasure to turn the call over to Tom Burke.

Thomas Burke

Analyst

Thank you, Kathy, and good morning, everyone. We finished fiscal 2019 with a strong quarter in our industrial businesses capping our second year in a row of record sales and earnings. As a matter of fact, since announcing our SDG strategy in fiscal 2016, sales have increased 63%, adjusted operating income increased 110% and our industrial businesses now make up 40% of total sales. Further, we're focused on accelerating our transformation to become a higher performing and more industrial company. Looking at the fourth quarter, sales increased 3% on a constant currency basis, driven by strong growth in our building HVAC segment. Our fourth quarter adjusted operating income was $35 million fairly flat from the prior-year. Strong performances in the CIS and Building HVAC segments were unfortunately offset by challenges in the VTS segment. Material costs have continued to have a negative impact on margins in our VTS segment due to the direct and indirect impact of tariffs on our raw material purchases. Overall, fiscal 2019 was a very successful year for Modine. We reported another solid year of revenue and earnings growth despite the significant headwinds resulting from a negative impact of tariffs on our vehicular business. Fiscal 2019 sales increased 7% on a constant currency basis and adjusted operating income of $132 million, increased 10% from the prior year. Overall, I couldn’t be happier with the industrial side of the business and I’m excited about our future, especially as we complete the strategic review of our automotive business that was announced early in the fourth quarter. I’m pleased to report that we’ve made significant progress and we will provide additional details after Mick reviews our fourth quarter results and our outlook for fiscal 2020. Turning to Page 5. Sales for the VTS segment were down 5% from the…

Michael Lucareli

Analyst

Thanks, Tom, and good morning, everyone. Please turn to Slide 9. Fourth quarter sales decreased $10 million or 2% largely due to a negative FX impact of $25 million. On a constant currency basis, sales were up 3%. Gross profit of $92 million was slightly lower by 5% resulting in a gross margin of 16.4%. CIS and Building HVAC had strong gross margins in the quarter. On the VTS side, we incurred a sizable decrease in gross margin due primarily to flat sales, combined with the negative impact of tariffs and tariff related costs. In addition, VTS experienced higher labor and warranty cost in the quarter compared to the prior year. To help offset the volume and material cost challenges, we were extremely focused on SG&A costs, which were relatively flat in the quarter. The $64 million of SG&A costs included $6 million of consulting and advisory fees related to the automotive business review and $1 million for environmental charges. Excluding these items, SG&A was down significantly. Adjusted operating income was $34.6 million, which was relatively flat to the prior-year. As Tom reviewed, the earnings growth in CIS and Building HVAC was offset by the decline in VTS. The appendix includes an itemized list of adjustments and a full reconciliation to our U.S GAAP results. These adjustments totaled $16.1 million and pertain to restructuring expenses, strategy consulting fees and environmental charges related to previously owned manufacturing facilities. The restructuring expenses are mostly severance costs at a European manufacturing location. I also want to point out that we recorded $4.2 million of income tax expense, which is significantly higher than the prior year. Our adjusted effective tax rate was 23% compared to 16% for the same period in the prior year. As we previously discussed over the last year, the lower…

Thomas Burke

Analyst

Thanks, Mick. Please turn to Slide 12. As I said at the beginning of the call, fiscal 2019 was another success year for Modine. Few years ago we laid the groundwork for our Strengthen, Diversify and Growth strategy, which has led us to we’re today, a stronger more diversified thermal management company. Although we’ve clearly made great progress, we are not at the end of this journey. We will continue to improve our business and our competitive position moving forward with strategic actions. This includes the strategic review of the automotive business that we announced early in the fourth quarter, which has progressed significantly. The history of Modine is tied to the automobile, from supplying radiators for the Model T to providing battery chillers for electric vehicles, automotive sales have always been a significant portion of our business. However, this market has changed and is fundamentally different from our other vehicular end markets and from our industrial businesses. The level of capital investment required to remain competitive significantly hampers our returns in this segment. As I've discussed before, Modine's automotive business has a lot of positive aspects. We have a fantastic brand name and IP portfolio. In addition, we're a leader in engine cooling, leading to a lot of development work and new business on electric vehicles. However, in reviewing the market dynamics and our corporate strategy, we believe that the value of this business may be maximized through another owner. The automotive business is approximately 25% of our revenues, representing more than $500 million. Although we don't report margins by customer end market, the margins on total auto sales are lower than margins in VTS segment as a whole. In addition, the automotive industry is significantly more capital intensive than our other end markets. In fact, 40% to 50%…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our first question is from the line of David Leiker from Baird. Go ahead please. Your line is open.

Joe Vruwink

Analyst

Hi. Good morning. This is Joe Vruwink for David.

Thomas Burke

Analyst

Hi, Joe.

Joe Vruwink

Analyst

I was wondering if we could do a bit of a retrospective on fiscal 2019. So you ended up generating $132 million in EBITDA guidance started the year at $135 million to $145 million. But in thinking about bridging those two numbers, there was a much more substantial material cost headwind that arose as fiscal '19 went on. Can you quantify what that ultimately ended up being and then discuss some of the actions in Modine's control operational actions that allow you to mitigate that impact?

Michael Lucareli

Analyst

Yes. Hey, Joe, it's Mick. I will kind of take a stab at the material cost impacts and then let Tom comment on the operations side. So in fiscal '19 it was the combination just as a reminder of several items for often I think others. The first was the direct impact of the tariffs and net of any recovery that we got from customers that was about $2 million approximately. In addition, the tariffs started to create some cost challenges and Thomas talked about in the past, particularly with one or two domestic suppliers that increase prices towards the end of the calendar year that had a net impact of about another million. And then while the LME was the -- the underlying metals, were only up about 4% or 5% last year. The transaction premium on aluminum more than doubled, it's up about a 115% and that was about a $5 million impact. So from where we started the year, where we finished, at least $8 million of material cost increase that we needed to absorb or try to step -- offset from the operation standpoint.

Thomas Burke

Analyst

Yes, from other actions, clearly CIS and Building HVAC over performed versus the plan where we started the year. So again it was a demonstration of being the diversified focus if we could leverage that growth and convert that effectively. Our procurement team did a fantastic job on over performing last year as well on the -- beating our expectations for our budgeted amounts for procurement savings by a significant amount. And then as you know we dug ourselves into a hole coming into the year with launches specifically one plant in China, one plant in North America, where we had significant launch ramp up activity kind of 24/7 type of coverage that we had to offset as well at the beginning of the year we made progress through the year, significant progress, I’m pleased to say that we are back nearly where we should be. Specifically in China, feel very strong where we’re at our plant near Shanghai. It’s operating at -- with KPIs at our expected level. And in North America, again, with a lot of change focus and discipline we’ve got the trend reversed there going in the right direction. So, let's say, CIS, Building HVAC offsetting some of those challenges that Mick described, procurement effectiveness with what we've invested in, with resource and talent and then turning starting at the momentum turned around towards the end of the year to help us get back as well.

Joe Vruwink

Analyst

And then -- that was helpful. Can we have a similar conversation just in terms of what's contemplated in the 2020 outlook. It sounds like vehicular operationally should be better in 2020 relative to 2019. Unfortunately it seems like later in the year we’re going to see a receding in volumes from some of the commercial vehicle and off-highway markets really if that’s a possibility, so maybe cyclically you're dealing with new pressures in vehicular. Do you think that's pretty much contemplated and could CIS and HVAC be the offset again, so you feel -- it's always tough to call, but you feel like the 135 to 145 range, ultimately that includes some buffer in the projection?

Michael Lucareli

Analyst

Yes. Joe, it's Mick. Yes, I think we will run through that. There's a lot there you covered, but its good. Just kind of lay it out as we see it. So back to VTS, yes, I think we see the same market dynamics you guys are seeing the challenge -- biggest challenge in the VTS area right now is not seeing that market lift from a volume standpoint. We do have the full-year impact of the tariffs, the direct and indirect tariffs. So while operations is improving in a normal year, we like to see some margin improvement and you'd expect to see that the tariff will be about an incremental $7 million or so cost to us as we go to the full-year impact of the direct and indirect tariff. The actual traditional metal exchange numbers are neutral to slightly positive for us this year. So the biggest headwind is lower volume and the tariff impact. And then from the other side, we will continue -- we ended Q4 obviously really strong on the Building HVAC side and across all of our markets. The indications are we're off to a really strong start and we feel good about the run rate heading into the year on Building HVAC both in the U.S and in the U.K and in Europe. From a CIS standpoint, we've got first half of the year probably a little bit more difficult comps. We have record level sales of data center business last year. We are expecting the second half and good indications from our markets and customers about some pickup in the second half of the year from a CIS standpoint. So, I guess, before I turn it back to Tom, the way I’m thinking about it is a little bit tougher comps from the CIS standpoint, but we feel like the dynamics and the markets there and data centers globally. Building HVAC seems to have a tailwind as we head into this year, when we think about whether its cushion or just comfort, that’s feeling good. And then biggest challenge we have is more flat markets on VTS combined with tariffs that we need to find a way to offset. Tom, would you add anything?

Thomas Burke

Analyst

Yes, I think you said it right. I -- about 180 maybe a little bit higher of our sales now are directly tied to data centers. That’s with the whole megatrend on digitalization. Really pleased that we have some really good engagement both in North America and onto the U.K with those two businesses that we want to make sure that we take advantage of and grow when we see good indications as Mick said in both regions that continuing this year. We will continue to focus on our procurement efficiency, which again I’m very pleased with, and I expect productivity to be gaining in VTS significantly this year, so to be offset to some of those challenge that Mick laid out. So I think that’s the best summary we can put together for that.

Joe Vruwink

Analyst

Okay, great. Specifically on HVAC, based on lot of your commentary, it seems like the share gains that took place in fiscal '19 that that’s sticking based on the order book and you’re maybe continuing to grow market share. Is that a fair characterization of what's happening in that business?

Thomas Burke

Analyst

Yes, we definitely gained market share in fiscal '19 over '18, which was also strong year specifically on heating. And we’re really seeing that pick up on U.K from a precision cooling and chillers standpoint as well, where we are gaining a share in those regions with the data center business and the related products there. So, moving forward, we have a heavy focus on continuing with that, on concentrating on regions where we see share gain possible in North America as well as capitalizing on potential transatlantic opportunities that may develop from chiller and chiller sales from U.K needed in the U.S by certain customers. So, again, really good momentum across all segments within -- all sub-segments within Building HVAC.

Joe Vruwink

Analyst

And so thinking of the trend for that business when you start to compare against 15%, 20% revenue growth in the second half of 2020. If you're maintaining that market share, even though of course there is probably growth moderation, would you expect to be down year-on-year? It doesn't sound like if you maintain market share and you’re continuing to grow, you would necessarily be down?

Thomas Burke

Analyst

Yes, we think we will up slightly maybe not quite the jump that we had last year to your point because of the share gain and we have that same look forward, but we expect to be up.

Joe Vruwink

Analyst

Okay, great. And then my last question, more of a housekeeping item. How much of commercial vehicle business is still left to roll off in Europe?

Michael Lucareli

Analyst

Yes, Europe and there's a little bit in the U.S on service approximately $40 million, Joe, in fiscal '20.

Joe Vruwink

Analyst

And that is …

Thomas Burke

Analyst

Go ahead.

Joe Vruwink

Analyst

No, sorry. Go ahead, Tom.

Thomas Burke

Analyst

I was just going to say, and of course, we’ve some new model launches that are starting to prepare for North America with recent business wins and good quote activity still going on with European customer. So I -- yes, this is going to be a roll off year this year yet, net roll off, but yet with gains coming in behind it.

Joe Vruwink

Analyst

Okay, great. I will get back in queue. I might have another one, but I wanted to turn it over to someone else. So thanks very much.

Kathleen Powers

Analyst

Joe, you’re actually I think the only one in queue right now. So if you have other questions, why don’t you keep going?

Joe Vruwink

Analyst

Okay. If you humor me with one more, my two last question. On the automotive business, so you've obviously communicated this to the market. I would imagine you are having conversations with customers, what has been the feedback on the decision? Is it having any ramifications on bookings activity that might influence ultimately the value you are able to get for the business? And then, any spillover effects to what Modine ultimately intends to retain in the VTS segment?

Thomas Burke

Analyst

Well, let me handle the first part and I will make sure I understand the second part later. So the first part is, yes, we are in discussion with customers, and obviously they are very curious as to how this is going to proceed. Clearly they’re staying close, nobody is necessarily taking us off any supplier platforms. But I would, say we are kind of in close watch. It will -- and we think that there's a prospective buyers that could add value with this valuable asset that we have as they think of subsystem integration and being able to put that together with maybe people are thinking of diving into thermal management. So still I think it's just like a close watch and not really being -- not hampering this at the moment, but one that we stay in close contact with customers. And what was your second part of the question, Joe?

Joe Vruwink

Analyst

I think -- yes. I think you’ve been very transparent and explicit about what you intend to retain in VTS and the fact that you’re fully committed to commercial vehicle off-highway?

Thomas Burke

Analyst

Great point. Yes, I was thinking clearly from an automotive customer standpoint. On the commercial vehicle off-highway side, very positive feedback from customers. I personally visited several and make sure it's clear that our focus is to be able to do this to give us more resource capability, whether it's capital or human resource, to focus in on not just the industrial portion of the business, but we think the off-highway commercial vehicle tucks in very nicely within industrial business. I want to make sure they saw that, there's a long-term strategy we have. So very positive feedback from truck and off-highway customers.

Joe Vruwink

Analyst

Okay, great. I appreciate your time. Thank you very much.

Thomas Burke

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And I'm showing no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the conference back to Kathy Powers.

Kathleen Powers

Analyst

Thank you and thank you for joining us this morning. A replay of this call will be available through our website in about two hours. We hope that you have a great day.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today’s conference. You may now disconnect.