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Movado Group, Inc. (MOV)

Q4 2012 Earnings Call· Thu, Mar 29, 2012

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Movado Group's Fourth Quarter and Full Year Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] And as a reminder, ladies and gentlemen, this conference is being recorded and may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from the company. I would now like to introduce Ms. Leigh Parrish of FTI Consulting. Please go ahead.

S. Parrish

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. With me on the call today is Efraim Grinberg, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Rick Cote, President and Chief Operating Officer; and Sallie DeMarsilis, Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, I would like to note that this conference call contains forward-looking remarks, which are made pursuant to the Safe Harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Factors which could cause actual results to be materially different from any future results expressed or implied are discussed in the company's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Such forward-looking statements include statements regarding Movado Group's performance for fiscal 2013. However, the failure to update this information should not be taken as Movado Group's acceptance of these estimates or forward-looking statements on a continuing basis. Movado Group may also choose to discontinue presenting future estimates at any time. Let me now outline the order of speakers for today's conference call. Rick will begin, then turn the call over to Sallie and Efraim will then close. Management would then be glad to take any questions that you might have. And now I'd like to turn the call over to Rick. Richard Coté: Thanks, Leigh. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our conference call. We are very pleased with the strong financial results we achieved in the fourth quarter and for the full year. Importantly, the strategic fine-tuning of our brands over the past year or so is bearing excellent results, which is demonstrated by the consistently positive sales trends we have delivered over the last 8 quarters. We are also particularly pleased with the significant improvement we have achieved in our profitability even in the face of the challenging environment and rising costs. We believe our top and…

Sallie DeMarsilis

Analyst

Thank you, Rick, and good morning, everyone. I'm pleased to be with you today presenting our financial results for the fourth quarter and full 2012 fiscal year. We'll first cover the operating results followed by the balance sheet. And lastly, I will close with guidance. To begin, I would like to remind you that effective February 1, 2011, the company changed its method of valuing its U.S. inventory to the average cost method from the first in, first out or FIFO method. The comparative consolidated financial statements of the prior year have been adjusted to apply the new accounting method retroactively, and the detail for the adjustment can be found in our Form 10-K. My remarks this morning will reflect this change. I would also like to remind you that the financial results of the Movado boutiques, which were closed in the second quarter of fiscal 2011, are reported as discontinued operations. Lastly, I would like to point out the special items reported in the fourth quarter and 12-month period of fiscal 2012 and the comparable period of the prior year. Please refer to our press release for a description of these items, as well as the table reconciling adjusted results to GAAP. The fourth quarter and fiscal 2012 include the sale of $3 million of mechanical movement and related parts and were not needed for our forecasted production. The impact of this sale in gross margin was an increase of 50 basis points for the fourth quarter and 20 basis points for the full year. Using the proceeds of this sale and other non-recurring items, Movado made a $3 million pre-tax contribution to the Movado Group Foundation. This contribution is recorded in our operating expenses for the fourth quarter and fiscal 2012 results. Gross margins for the fourth quarter…

Efraim Grinberg

Analyst

Thank you, Sallie. I would also like to note how pleased we are with our results for the fourth quarter and the full year. As we reflect on the achievements we accomplished in fiscal 2012, we're particularly gratified to see the strategic plan that we began implementing last year continues to gain traction. With 8 consecutive quarters of sales growth, we believe that we are only beginning to realize the full benefit of these initiatives. As Rick and Sallie mentioned, we have continued to build on our momentum throughout the year, and once again achieved broad-based sales growth across all of our brand categories in the fourth quarter. We're particularly pleased that sell-through of our Movado and licensed brands remained strong, further validating our strategic positioning in the marketplace. Additionally, while our strategic focus on women's watches for Ebel has been gaining traction, we are excited about the 2 new collections that we plan to launch in time for the holidays this year. We believe the new collections, Ebel On [ph] and Ebel X1 [ph], whisper renewed excitement around the Ebel brand. This is just one example of the work we are doing to fine-tune and re-invigorate our product assortments and further strengthen our portfolio of brands. Our strength across geographic regions speaks further to the consistency of our growth. China, which is a key strategic focus for us, continued to perform exceptionally well. And we remain focused on capturing Movado Group's growth opportunities in this important market. We have a long runway of growth ahead of us, and we are excited about the opportunities we see both domestically and in China and other international markets in the future. Overall, we are pleased with the momentum we have built in the business and believe we have the right plans, product and team in place to drive future growth. As our strategic initiatives continue to gain traction, we'll continue to build on our relationships with our retail partners and work to keep our brands fresh and relevant with consumers through ongoing innovation, which is the hallmark of our company. The solid infrastructure that we have in place provides us with a global platform to grow sales, while our healthy balance sheet allows us to reinvest in the business to drive profitable growth and return value to our shareholders. As we look to embark on another exciting year, we remain confident in our brand's strength, our position in the watch category and the strategies we have been implementing to sustain momentum. We would now like to open the call up to questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll take our first question from Oliver Chen with Citibank.

Oliver Chen

Analyst

We had a question related to your guidance. In terms of the net sales algorithm and your commentary on market share, how do you think the category is growing? And does that assume that you'll expand market share? The 8% number potentially seems conservative to us. Also related to your guidance, it looks like the implied gross margin is -- the implied operating margin is somewhere in the 8% range. Could you help us parse out how we should think about that in terms of gross margin versus SG&A leverage?

Efraim Grinberg

Analyst

I'll take the first part of that question on sales and then I'll pass over the operating margin part to Rick. We are looking at a slow growth economy, which is what it's been, and we foresee it continuing to be that. We also think that there are still hurdles to overcome in Europe where there are obviously some financial issues. So I think, in terms of the overall growth of the category and the economy, we're being somewhat conservative in terms of our modeling. For that, we believe that we will continue to gain market share, especially in our Movado brands and in our licensed brands internationally. So with that, I'll turn it over to Rick for the second part of the question about operating profit. Richard Coté: From a standpoint of our operating profit, we're looking at our gross margins basically holding where they've been through this year, continuing to get leverage off of our operating expenses. And part of the reason for the gross margins pretty much holding this year is because of the continued rising costs that are taking place from a China perspective, particularly with people but also from a costing standpoint. And still our position of holding off on having any major price increases, primarily because of the strength of our sales performance and obviously, the consumer is quite focused in on price value proposition and making sure that they're receiving great value for the money. Obviously, having superb brands is a primary driver to that. So we are not looking at accelerating any price increases in the marketplace, and that's why we get to that 8%. Also we call that, with the announcement of Ferrari, we do have infrastructure investments, designing investments that will take place this year without any associated benefits coming from that until the next fiscal year.

Oliver Chen

Analyst

Okay. And related to your SG&A on a normalized basis on fourth quarter, it was up between 6% and 7%. Is that kind of the right normalized parameter for us to think about the year-over-year normalized growth in '12? Richard Coté: I think from an expense standpoint, we are looking at a 6% or so growth from a normalized standpoint. So that 5% to 7% type of growth will be taking place, yes. And again, part of that is with increases in marketing investment behind support of our businesses.

Oliver Chen

Analyst

And would you -- on a quarterly basis when we're thinking about '12, the sales comparisons to get a little bit easier in the back half? And also related to FX, there could be some Swiss franc relief on a year-over-year basis. Are these trends that we should incorporate when we're thinking about modeling the business? Richard Coté: Well, I would sit there and say that I think your comment of the sales growth should be easier in the second half. I'm not so sure that's the case. I think we had very strong growth each and every quarter this year. I do believe that the business is much more commensurate with consumer purchases taking place in the marketplace. So I expect we should see relatively consistent growth quarter-on-quarter, assuming obviously nothing happens dramatically in the economy.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll go to Josh Pachter [ph] with Kenny [ph].

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

I was just looking back on some notes from 2008, 2009. And I just wondered looking how the results are improving so rapidly, things are looking brighter, how does the inventory in the channel look today? And how is the help of the customer base? I mean, what do we take away from those 2 or 3 really tough years that are making us plan better and be a little more -- cautious is the wrong word, but prepared for another leg-down like we just saw? Richard Coté: A couple of things: number one is we dramatically changed our infrastructure support. So our global limitation of SAP, I think, was an important piece, number one. Number two, if you recall, we really focused in -- particularly in the Movado brand from a standpoint of dramatically curtailing the number of doors and taking some pretty aggressive actions to be able to sit there and further strengthen particularly that brand in our distribution in the U.S. So we went from 4,200 doors approximately to around 2,600 or 2,800 doors. Our focus on new product innovation, the whole concept of pillars, price value, the concept of trend product such as gold coming in and being able to make Movado particularly quite relevant in the specialty channels have all helped re-invigorate the brand and our positioning. From a licensed brand standpoint, we did sign 3 new licenses around 2004, 2005. And obviously, with any new licensed, the early days are a little bit tougher -- or we start off at the beginning and obviously start getting the critical mass in a couple of years. So that critical mass certainly took place during the recession and coming out quite strong in our licensed brand portfolio. From an inventory standpoint in our retail, we focused quite dramatically as you know during the recession of again scaling back doors, making inventory positions quite stronger in each of those channels, curtailing the level of product being offered in secondary type of distributions. And during the recession of the 2009, a quite a few retail doors closed. We have closed a lot of those who perhaps didn't impact us, but also the marketplace in the -- particularly in the U.S. was impacted with all the liquidations that were taking place. So that is all behind us and we believe that our actions allowed us to be a much healthier position with our retail partners in the marketplace. So all of those, I think, have led to the foundation that we have today that we believe well positions us for the future.

Efraim Grinberg

Analyst

And I think, Josh, I'd like to add one thing. I think one of the things that's a testament to the strength of our retailers today and the distribution channel is that we had sales growth of 20% and our receivables were virtually flat. So that shows you that we're really dealing with a very healthy and strong that of [ph] customers.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

What do you think the terms are at a normal retailer now of your product?

Efraim Grinberg

Analyst

It varies according to brand and retailer, and so I don't think -- and then it's something that we don't really specifically talk about. We know that it's much improved over the period going into the recession and obviously, in the height of the recession. But it varies dramatically from retailer and brand. Obviously, the fashion segment turns faster than the luxury segment.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

But the metrics you're looking at, though, don't indicate in any way that we have a lot of inventory out there. And where are we at destocking of the stuff from...

Efraim Grinberg

Analyst

I think in Rick's comment, he talked about that we've returned to normalized replenishment, which -- we are very focused on replenishing what sells through and really doing it throughout the year versus building inventory at the retail channels. So we are very focused on keeping the right amount of inventory at retail, not more than they need, in fact, hopefully, less than they need. Richard Coté: And those are the comments we talked about going into the recession and during the recession of worked very diligently and again, reducing doors, making significant levels of inventory out of the marketplace. And that positions us to be quite strong coming out of the recession and allowing us to have the performance levels we have today.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

Let me ask one other thing and I'll get away. The -- I go on your website all the time to buy gifts for people. What do you know about the customer that decides to buy directly through the website versus searching for a retail partner? How has that changed your strategy on the web? And what kind of transparency or understanding of the customer base is actually coming to you without going to a partner?

Efraim Grinberg

Analyst

It's still a very small part of our business and we do, do business with partners on the web, as well as doing it ourselves. We believe that doing it ourselves is offering this consumer the desires to buy directly from the company online today, which is a growing trend that they have that opportunity. But we're in the very early stages of that business, and one of our investments this year is an increased level of CRM to really learn more about that customer. Throughout our business and I think one of the things that's improved our strategies, as Rick has talked about, fine-tuning our strategies has been getting a higher level of consumer insights into our customer base. So I think that has proven beneficial. I think the web will prove very beneficial for that as well, but still in the very early stages of that process.

Unknown Analyst

Analyst

A subtle way of telling me to buy more watches on the web, okay.

Operator

Operator

We'll take our next question from Oliver Chen with Citibank.

Oliver Chen

Analyst · Citibank.

I did have a question related to the strategic kind of decision on that attractive special dividend. If you could speak to that a little bit, it would give some greater insight. Also in terms of your view and your perch of the international markets, could you share with us roughly what's your thoughts on -- what you're seeing in Germany and the German consumer? And secondly, if you could speak regarding China and how that may evolve as your business and becoming eventually a bigger material item of mix. And lastly, if you could speak to us a little bit about the Movado Bold and what you're seeing there?

Efraim Grinberg

Analyst · Citibank.

I'll try to hit upon those topics. The first one is that one of obviously, our focus has always been to return value to our shareholders. And this was an opportunity to return incremental value to our shareholders. Still allowing us -- leaving us with a large cash position is very, very strong balance sheet and a lot of flexibility as a company. So that's always been a priority for us to return value in whatever way we can to our shareholders, including growth. Germany, I believe, is one of the more solid European economies. We've seen our business there and it's mostly in the licensed brand front and Ebel performing well. So we see it as somewhat stable. On the China front, we are in the early stages of our China business. In fact, we have a team there now getting a higher level of consumer insight into that market for us really to fine-tune our strategies for the China marketplace. And Bold has been an important part of our Movado brand and more so from really the halo effect it has given the overall brand by increasing the level of innovation, making the product offering extremely fresh and bringing a younger consumer and newer channel of distribution through predominantly our specialty store channel into the mix. As a part of the business, it's not a significant part of the overall business. It's a nice contributor. But we think it's a really exciting part of our business in the way -- and that enables us to communicate with our consumers and with our retailers in a very effective manner.

Oliver Chen

Analyst · Citibank.

And parsing out how you're thinking about use of cash, is there -- are there any parameters between organic versus return to shareholders versus potential M&A and kind of going forward, any strategic...

Efraim Grinberg

Analyst · Citibank.

I think we want to maintain a lot of flexibility. So that's what we -- the special dividend allows us again, as I said earlier, to return value to our shareholders at the same time maintain an extremely strong balance sheet and a lot of flexibility. And all of those areas that you mentioned, investing in our business and potential future growth opportunities as well. And you can see that by our recent announcement of the Ferrari license that we are very excited about and believe represents a great growth opportunity for the company for the future.

Oliver Chen

Analyst · Citibank.

And a lot of the buzz is related to China and Asia -- about the watch cycle is related to that opportunity there. Is there a certain point in time at which we will notice that, that will be a percentage of mix of Movado that's a bigger chunk?

Efraim Grinberg

Analyst · Citibank.

That's obviously our objective, but to make it a -- a relevant percentage of our overall business, but not a dominant percentage of our own overall business. So we would like to get to a healthy balance. We are now at a very healthy balance between our international and domestic business. And we believe we have opportunities domestically to further grow our licensed brand business and internationally to further grow our core brands, as well, Movado, Ebel and those in China is included in that mix.

Oliver Chen

Analyst · Citibank.

I think that strategy amongst your core and licensed is quite attractive. Do you think that your percentage of mix, in terms of license being somewhere in the neighborhood of 40%. Is that going to stay around that mix over time? Are there any intentions to change that? Richard Coté: I think when you look at the mix of business -- I think, as Ephraim said, we have a healthy mix today, 40% being 45% obviously, with having Ferrari on. Obviously, we see lots of growth still in our core brands as well. So I think the mix we have is a pretty good mix. It's going to change 5, 6, 7 point share but that's I call just settling out.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] That concludes our question-and-answer session today. I will now turn the call over to management for any closing comments they may have.

Efraim Grinberg

Analyst

I'd like to thank you all for participating today. As you can tell, we are very excited about the results. But most importantly, we are very excited about our prospects for the future. So again, thank you very much for participating with us today.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation.