Earnings Labs

Movado Group, Inc. (MOV)

Q4 2017 Earnings Call· Mon, Mar 20, 2017

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, everyone, and welcome to the Movado Group, Inc. Fiscal Fourth Quarter 2017 Earnings Conference Call. As a reminder, today's call is being recorded and may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from the company. At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Rachel Schacter of ICR. Please go ahead.

Rachel Schacter

Management

Thank you. Good morning, everyone. With me on the call is Efraim Grinberg, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Ricardo Quintero, President; and Sallie DeMarsilis, Chief Financial Officer. Before we get started, I would like to remind you of the company's safe harbor language, which I'm sure you're all familiar with. The statements contained in this conference call, which are not historical facts may be deemed to constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual future results may differ materially from those suggested in such statements due to a number of risks and uncertainties, all of which are described in the company's filings with the SEC, which includes today's press release. If any non-GAAP financial measure is used on this call, a presentation of the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure to this non-GAAP financial measure will be provided as supplemental financial information in our press release. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Efraim Grinberg, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer, of Movado Group.

Efraim Grinberg

Management

Thank you, Rachel. Good morning, and welcome to Movado Group's fourth quarter conference call. We delivered a solid year despite a very difficult retail market, especially in the United States. While we recognized early on that the retail environment would be challenging in both brick-and-mortar and in the watch category, the trend accelerated throughout the year, especially in the fourth quarter. Even in this environment, we delivered sales within the range of our outlook and operating earnings towards the high end of our outlook. We also continued to build our strong balance sheet, with cash growing to a record $256 million. During the year, we delivered a number of new leading products across our brand portfolio that we're very proud of, including the new Movado Heritage and Esperanza collections and saw the success from our Ultra Slim designs across our licensed brand portfolios and Movado collection. Despite -- sorry, these products helped us gain market share in the segments in which we operate. Over the last several years, the watch category has been impacted by the decreased traffic to our retail partners, combined with the introduction of wearables. We believe that the digital shift -- consumers moving to purchasing on their smartphones -- and the consumption of digital media has accelerated greatly over the last 18 months. Given this, investment behind our digital initiative is becoming our #1 priority. For fiscal 2018, we will reallocate a much larger portion of our marketing dollars into the digital space, and we will focus on accelerating our e-commerce sales, both through our own site and our retail partners. The second impact to our category has been the introduction of wearables. While disruptive to the fashion category, we're still big believers that there are many opportunities with conventional watches that are differentiated by great…

Ricardo Quintero

Management

Thank you, Efraim, and good morning. The fourth quarter proved to be challenging for retail in general, and particularly for the U.S. department store channel and mall-based retailers. The rise of online appears to be an accelerating trend that continues to grow double digits and although only represents 15% of the U.S. watch category as tracked by NPD, it has had a significant effect on retailer brick-and-mortar traffic and its sales results. The total U.S. watch category, in the 0 to $3,000 price range, declined approximately 14% in the fourth quarter, resulting in a full year decline of 11%, making it one of the weakest performing categories tracked by NPD. To note, the fourth quarter was also highly promotional, particularly in the U.S. fashion watch category. Although our fashion brands were not as promotional as our competition, our sell-through trends for Coach, Tommy Hilfiger and HUGO BOSS declined in the mid-single digits compared to the market declining in the mid-teens. As mentioned on our third quarter earnings call, we chose not to participate with Movado Bold in certain promotional events in order to protect brand equity and the long-term health of the brand. As expected, this had an impact on our short-term sell-through, but despite this planned decision, the Movado brand outpaced the market. During the fourth quarter, in the $300 to $3,000 price range, the Movado brand gained 50 basis points in market share and continues to be the leading player, holding at over 21% market share for the full year according to NPD. Given the challenging sell-through results and overall conservative outlook on the watch category, retailers are more focused than ever on reducing and re-basing inventory levels to significantly improve productivity. This resulted in the decline of 19.2% in our Wholesale business in the U.S. during Q4.…

Sallie DeMarsilis

Management

Thank you, Ricardo, and good morning, everyone. For today's call, I will first review our income statement and balance sheet and then discuss our outlook for fiscal 2018. Before I review the quarter and the year in total, I would like to point out the special items included in our full year results for fiscal 2017 in both our fourth quarter and full year results for fiscal 2016. Please refer to our press release for a description of these items as well as a table of GAAP and non-GAAP measures. Our fiscal year 2017 GAAP results include a charge recorded in the third quarter of $1.3 million, which equates to $900,000 after tax or $0.03 per diluted share for an impairment of a long-term investment in a privately-held company. Our fiscal year 2017 GAAP results also include a $1.8 million pretax charge, which equates to $1.1 million after tax or $0.05 per diluted share in connection with the vesting of stock awards and certain other compensation in the first quarter related to the announcement of our former COO's retirement. On fiscal 2016 GAAP results include a $4 million pretax charge, which equates to $3.9 million after tax or $0.16 per diluted share in connection with our operating efficiency initiatives and other items. $1.3 million or $0.06 per diluted share of is charge was in the fourth quarter and the remainder was in the first quarter. The balance of my remarks will exclude the special items just discussed. For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2017, our sales decreased 8.7% to $130.8 million, in line with our expectations. In constant dollars, sales decreased 7.5%, as currency unfavorably impacted our sales by $1.7 million. Decreases in our luxury brand and license brand categories were partially offset by an increase in our retail sales.…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll take our first question from Oliver Chen with Cowen and Company.

Oliver Chen

Analyst

We have a few questions. Regarding the shift to digital, what percentage of your spend will be in digital? And is this going to be a bigger catalyst for your wholesale or direct-to-consumer? And what is kind of the rationale for accelerating now versus prior? It does seem like this is highly relevant with how the consumer is moving. Also, a second question on, as you think about the cost-savings opportunities, which operations where you have the most opportunities? And how do you balance those against the changes happening and just ensuring that you have the right investments in the right places? Just curious about what your thinking is around where you see the most savings?

Efraim Grinberg

Management

Well, on the first part, the digital part, we've obviously been increasing our digital investment. And this year, I would believe that out of our media budget, it will be approaching 50%. So that's a significant increase. And it's done to drive both our e-commerce business, our overall brands, because that's really where the consumer is not only shopping, but also getting their information and their education on products and drive retail demand both in brick-and-mortar and e-commerce for our retail partners. So -- and we've already launched that campaign now but it will obviously be accelerating through the spring gift-giving season.

Ricardo Quintero

Management

And then on the second question, Oliver, in terms of where we see bigger opportunities, we're seeing great traction in Europe, as I mentioned in my prepared remarks. So we want to build and invest in these markets where we're seeing a stronger return on a sell-through basis. So certainly places like the U.K., like Germany, France, which are markets where we now have our direct-operated subsidiaries are places where we want to continue investing.

Oliver Chen

Analyst

Okay. On the guidance, your overall revenue growth seems less negative on the guidance than how the industry has been trending and it looks like the back half, there's an expectation for an improvement. So what gives you the confidence? I mean, should we have concerns that your new revenue guidance isn't conservative enough just given the rapid changes that have happened in the fourth quarter, how fourth quarter unfolded relative to your expectations?

Efraim Grinberg

Management

Well, I think -- the fourth quarter already has some of that built in for us, because you did see a decline in replenishment from Christmas based on the challenging holiday season, and that's probably the part that had the greatest effect on the fourth quarter. And that's why believe that there is still an inventory -- that retailers would be very focused on their inventories and rightsizing the size of their business during the first half of the year, but the trend should begin to stabilize in the second half of the year.

Oliver Chen

Analyst

Okay. And lastly, on the Android Wear product, the announcement is exciting. What's the price range of that product and where will it fit? And how have you been feeling overall, Efraim, with how consumers have embraced wearables? It still feels very fragmented and evolving and -- I'm a little unsure about how this will manifest on a multiyear basis with the technology and the pricing.

Efraim Grinberg

Management

So we will start at approximately $295 in Tommy Hilfiger and then our entry price point in Movado will be $495. We believe it's still a competitive price -- competitive marketplace for pricing in the technology sphere. As Ricardo and I both shared in our comments, we are big believers still in traditional watches and believe that that category will stabilize and begin to grow again. But there is an opportunity for wearables, although we believe it's not as large an opportunity as it might be for some of the people who make -- who were in the sport watch market or directly in that connected space. And you already have seen a saturation, for example, in fitness bands, and the category is beginning to really get highly, highly commoditized. So it's not a space where we want to play.

Oliver Chen

Analyst

Okay. One last question, which we're getting some comments on. You have a really nice balance sheet. Just could you remind us of your strategy for use of cash in terms of your long-term views on how you prioritize cash versus investments?

Efraim Grinberg

Management

Well, I think, in this environment, it gives us a great deal of flexibility in terms of what we can do and provides a solid foundation and security for the company. Obviously, you are also -- there may be ability to repatriate significant portions of that cash in the future. And we have bought back stock through our plan to offset dilution as well as continue to pay dividend.

Operator

Operator

We'll take our next question from Ed Yruma with KeyBanc.

Matthew Degulis

Analyst · KeyBanc.

This is Matt on for Ed. We're wondering about how the cost savings will flow through to the income statement and if there is any seasonality to the cost reductions? And do you believe you will get to the $15 million annualized savings by Q2 or will the full changes take longer than only 1 quarter to implement?

Sallie DeMarsilis

Management

Okay. Matt, I'll address a little bit of that and just a little clarification. So as I mentioned in my comments, that cost-savings initiative will predominately impact the first quarter, with the remainder happening throughout the rest of the year as far as the charge goes. We will identify that in our first quarter results as well as throughout the year and identify the amounts to you. It's predominantly in our operating expenses, it will be a little in gross margin, a little bit in our -- and the remainder being in OpEx. And the annualized number is $15 million, the number for this year. The savings will be $12 million. And since we've just kicked it off now, being March, we're going to have a partial impact in this first quarter, with the remainder happening throughout the year as far as the savings impacting favorably to the P&L.

Matthew Degulis

Analyst · KeyBanc.

Okay. Can you also talk about your comfort level with channel inventory? Particularly we want to know what the multi-brand, especially watch stores.

Efraim Grinberg

Management

Well, I think inventories have been declining, and you're seeing that and especially since, for us, our year-end is in January and retailers use that period of time to bring down their inventory and continue to focus on that in Q1. What we're very pleased with is that the quality of our inventory, both our own and in the marketplace, is of excellent quality. So -- and that's something we always focus on.

Matthew Degulis

Analyst · KeyBanc.

Okay. And one more, if we could. I believe you said your outlet sales were up 7% this quarter. Are you seeing similar trends at other discounters like T.J. and Ross?

Efraim Grinberg

Management

We don't have a big role in those other off-price retailers. And I think that's a highly -- a fairly segmented business. So I wouldn't -- we don't really, particularly, know that, but we were very pleased with our trend in the fourth quarter in our own outlet stores, especially given the fact that that traffic continued to be down. But when people came into the mall and came into our stores, they bought watches, which further affirms to us the fact that the consumers continue to be interested in nice watches.

Operator

Operator

We'll take our next question from Frank Camma with Sidoti.

Frank Camma

Analyst · Sidoti.

Follow-up on the capital allocation question. Are you opposed to -- because I know, obviously, most of our cash is still overseas -- are you opposed to borrow in the short term to repurchase your shares in hopes that you can repatriate later?

Efraim Grinberg

Management

I think we've done that in the past. So we're not averse to it.

Frank Camma

Analyst · Sidoti.

Okay. I just -- I think recently you've kind of pulled back on that. Is that a fair statement or not?

Efraim Grinberg

Management

I think, in Q4, we generally have bought more stock back, I think, in the first of the year generally than in the second half of the year.

Frank Camma

Analyst · Sidoti.

Okay. And just a little more detail on the pretty significant drop in the gross margin. You did call out the channel and the product mix. Now do you mean by channel that the retail -- that your outlets were more of a mix? I'm just trying to figure out why the drop? I mean, I understand what you're saying, but it's still a pretty significant drop when you compare it to your last multiple quarters there. So if you can just give me a little more detail on that.

Sallie DeMarsilis

Management

Frank, I'll try to address it a little bit and, perhaps, someone would want to add a little color. We do have some seasonality to our gross margin. Our gross margin in the fourth quarter is historically lower. We have a certain amount of fixed costs, for instance, so in a smaller quarter, which the fourth quarter is one of them, it's hard to leverage some of those costs. I mean if you go back and look, perhaps, 2 years ago, we're right in line with where we were. We were not highly promotional. So the decrease was a function of mix -- of where it's selling and what's selling and so forth, but we're not in a highly promotional situation as, perhaps, maybe some other people are.

Efraim Grinberg

Management

And I think, just to add to Sallie's, it's basically directly related to volumes. So the fact that replenishments were lower in January would certainly have an effect on our gross margin and mix. And being able to leverage the fixed production costs and that -- some of our cost cuts are also in the gross margin area as well.

Frank Camma

Analyst · Sidoti.

Okay. So going forward, I mean, in your guidance, is your gross margin -- it sounds like your gross margin is relatively stable year-over-year, not calling out specific quarters. But is that a fair statement on a year-over-year basis?

Sallie DeMarsilis

Management

Yes. We would -- yes, that's fine. That's fair.

Operator

Operator

And it appears there are no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn the conference back over to management for any closing remarks.

Efraim Grinberg

Management

Okay. I would like to thank all of you for participating on today's call. And we look forward to talking to you during our first quarter conference call. Thank you, again.

Operator

Operator

And this concludes today's call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.