James Litinsky
Analyst · Jefferies
So Laurence, I think it's actually the opposite. There's probably -- I don't know how many listeners we have today because there's another exciting call happening where there's a $1 trillion pay plan being proved because we're going to have humanoid robots whether it's Musk or Jensen talking about that. I mean if we look out, and I don't know if it's 5, 10 years, whatever it is, but there's no question that physical AI is going to just create explosive growth in rare earth magnetics. The issue is that, in the very short term, we can't be leveraged by the Chinese from a supply chain standpoint, we've got to have an industry that is here and thriving. And actually, if you take my remarks, I want to be clear that when I talk about the structural realities, it's not because that is a forever condition. I do think that there's room for a lot of other players and a lot of other supply, but I think that the point is that to get to that 5 or 10 years, you're going to need materially higher prices. So the sort of the MP deal, if you will, I just don't think that's enough. And so I think that what you're really going to see is that, in the very short term, the administration has made sure that we have a successful national champion in MP. We've got to execute, but we are going to sort of open the -- pave the path, if you will, to then figure out how there's much broader supply coming online. So obviously, 10 years is a long enough time to, not in the short term, think about kind of what that role looks like. We'll think about the next couple of years of getting things online. But I think if we don't have some development in physical AI by then, these -- the markets -- I would be least worried about MP relative to pretty much many other places in the market. So I don't lose any sleep over what demand is going to look like in 10 years and what NdPr prices and magnetics prices are going to be. I think it's going to be amazing for us. My bigger guess is that we'll have grown our business and move downstream. Just as if you think about us 5 years ago versus where we are today, I think on that roll date, it will not be as material portion of our business remotely compared to what it is today.