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Motorcar Parts of America, Inc. (MPAA)

Q4 2017 Earnings Call· Wed, Jun 14, 2017

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for your patience. You joined the Motorcar Parts of America Fiscal 2017 Fourth Quarter Results Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. Later, we will conduct a question-and-answer session and instructions will be given at that time [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, this conference may be recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to your host, Mr. Gary Maier with Investor Relations. Sir, you may begin.

Gary Maier

Analyst

Thank you, Steve. Thanks everyone for joining us. Before we begin and I turn the call over to Selwyn Joffe, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer and David Lee, the Company’s Chief Financial Officer, I’d like to remind everyone of the Safe Harbor statement included in today’s press release. The Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 provides a Safe Harbor for certain forward-looking statements, including statements made during today’s conference call. Such forward-looking statements are based on the Company’s current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effects on the Company. There can be no assurance that future developments affecting the Company will be those anticipated by Motorcar Parts of America. Actual results may differ from those projected in these forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements involve significant risks and uncertainties, some of which are beyond the control of the Company and are subject to change based upon various factors. The Company undertakes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. For a more detailed discussion of some of the ongoing risks and uncertainties of the Company’s business, I refer you to the Company’s various filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. With that said, I’d like to begin the call and turn it over to Selwyn.

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

Okay. Thank you, Gary. And I appreciate everyone joining us today. As highlighted in our earnings press release this morning, we achieved record sales on a reported and adjusted basis for the quarter and the year-end. We’re particularly proud to highlight the Company’s cash flow performance for the fourth quarter with net cash provided by operating activities of $15.5 million. To put our performance in context, we operate within an estimated $116 billion U.S. automotive hard parts aftermarket industry. Our product categories represent approximately $4.7 billion of the total market size. We still have a lot of growth opportunities available. Our focus is on non-discretionary products for both the do-it-yourself and do-it-for-me markets. We are fortunate to have a global footprint that enables the Company to pursue new product line expansion opportunities based on sound economics and quality. In general, we continue to evaluate new product opportunities based on three criteria; first, we identify non-discretionary product line categories in which we have the ability to compete effectively; then we determine if we can achieve a favorable return on invested capital; and thirdly, we seek to get a strong indication of interest or purchase commitment from at least one customer. For the fiscal year-end of March 31, 2017, we achieved 37% return on invested capital on a pretax basis. We continuously look for opportunities to further deploy capital at favorable return on investment metrics. Our current leverage is approximately 0.24 times our adjusted EBITDA, which we regard as low and which continues to provide us an opportunity to deploy more capital in an accretive manner. Let me reiterate our business plan fundamentals; firstly, we are focused on growing our existing product lines; secondly, we are committed to launching new product lines, leveraging our strong customer relationships; thirdly, we want to deploy…

David Lee

Analyst

Thank you, Selwyn. I will now review the financial highlights for the fourth quarter reflecting, as Selwyn noted, record sales and profitability for our fourth quarter. Before I begin, I encourage everyone to read the 8-K filed this morning with respect to our March 31, 2017 earnings press release for more detailed explanations of the results, including reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP financial measures in the 10-K, which will be filed later today. Net sales increased 17.4% to $114.4 million for the fourth quarter from $97.4 million for the prior year fourth quarter. The $17 million increase in our net sales was primarily attributable to higher sales of rotating electrical products. Adjusted net sales increased 13.8% to $114.9 million for the fourth quarter from $100.9 million net sales for the prior year. The adjusted net sales increase of $14 million was due to the following; rotating electrical net sales increased $15.6 million, or 20.4% to $92.2 million for the fourth quarter from $76.6 million for the prior year, which was partially offset by a decrease in net sales of wheel hub assemblies and bearings of $1.5 million or 6.9% to $20.7 million for the fourth quarter from $22.3 million a year earlier. This was due to the timing of stock adjustments in the quarter. Though for the 12 months ended March 31, 2017, net sales of wheel hubs actually increased $5.4 million or 7.5% to $78 million from $72.6 million for the prior year 12 month period. Net sales for brake master cylinders were $516,000 for the fourth quarter compared with $2.1 million a year ago. This decrease in brake master cylinder sales was due in part to higher stock adjustments for remanufactured master cylinders as the mix shifted to more new units compared with remanufactured units. To clarify, when…

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

Okay, David. Thank you very much. As you can tell, we’re excited by the multi-product line growth in our business, and look forward to continued success. I thought it would be useful to identify some of our recently completed key initiatives we have either added or in the process of adding the following facilities; a new wheel hub factory in Malaysia, which began producing units last quarter and we were encouraged by the ramp up and quality of the product; an additional alternator and starter factory in Malaysia; we have opened our Chinese QC and distribution center in Shanghai; the construction of our build-to-suits additional facility Tijuana, Mexico is progressing well with completion of the shale by the end of the second quarter of this fiscal year, and moving schedule for the fourth quarter; a training and technology center in Torrance, which is attracting considerable interest. We’re excited about the future opportunities that this provides. We’ve also made in-roads in several new product categories. As I mentioned earlier, we launched brake power booster in August of 2016 and we were gaining market share. This complements our wheel hub and master cylinder line launched in 2013 and ‘14. As I’ve previously discussed, our Turbocharger new product line is ramping up nicely, and we expect a sizeable market opportunity as the domestic market develops. In addition, we continue to evaluate other new product opportunities. As noted last quarter, tuck-in acquisitions are also part of our growth strategy. As highlighted earlier, we achieved positive free cash flow for the quarter, which demonstrates the opportunity for cash generation in a controlled growth scenario. We expect fluctuations in cash flow for our quarters as we digest some of the new business gains. We are pleased with our inventory management. For the fiscal year-end of March…

Operator

Operator

Thank you, sir [Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from the line of Steve Dyer of Craig Hallum. Your line is open.

Steve Dyer

Analyst

As you look forward to the next year, I guess, it sounds like back half loaded growth in the second half. Any commentary around what category or categories you would expect to drive that, whether that’s an existing one, whether that’s a new one, et cetera?

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

We have commitments in all of our categories right now; so rotating electrical will continue to be a driver; we have new wheel hub business; commitments in all of our categories; and we expect Turbochargers to start rolling out this shortly, as well. So we’re optimistic about all the categories. And having said that, I mean, we are very aggressively pursuing a number of potential new categories as well.

Steve Dyer

Analyst

I guess, maybe some color. It sounds like Q1, a little bit impacted by the replenishment rates, following the warm winter. But what sort of the dynamics are you seeing in the first half of the year that would cause that single digit growth, which is well slower than you've been in quite a while?

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

I think it’s that, Steve, it’s all that. Because there is inventory out in the marketplace and sales at the register levels, obviously, as you can see all the different public reports out there, was slower. And so we anticipate some burning down of that inventory before vibrancy returns. I've seen this many times in career here. I believe it’s temporary. And I believe our customer base is well positioned for a strong come back.

Steve Dyer

Analyst

And then you had mentioned, I guess, some shift within Master Cylinder from reman to used -- from reman to new. Is there any risk of that, do you see another categories, particularly rotating electrical or do you view that as a temporary thing?

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

No, I think Masters’ -- I think rotating electrical is more complex than new. I think the -- we do a lot of new already in rotating electrical. There is some risk, but I think it’s nominal. Again, we are on both sides of the equation. So I think it's measured but nominal.

Steve Dyer

Analyst

Okay, a lot of chatter lately. And I guess I’ll just give you a chance to comment in a public forum on it about sort of the risk around Amazon and to what extent this industry gets dis-intermediated there. Maybe just your color or your commentary around what you feel like your role is there and what’s your risk are or not?

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

So again, I'm cautious not to comment on any of our customers’ initiatives. But the world has not changed. We don’t see a change in that at all. We think we’re well positioned with all customers. And there is a lot of commentary about online; many of the bricks and mortars have online; online guys are growing a little. But we’re somewhat agnostic and we don’t believe it will have, whichever direction it goes, we don’t believe it should have much of a major impact on us.

Steve Dyer

Analyst

And then lastly from me, and I'll hand it off. Your operating expense guidance of $49 million for this next year, would seem to imply that, maybe there were some one-time items in Q4 such that you'll be below that $13.5 million run rate. Am I thinking about that right?

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

It's correct.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Matt Koranda of ROTH Capital Partners. Your line is open.

Matt Koranda

Analyst

For the new business, can we dig into that a bit more? I was just wondering, just given kind of the range in your guidance. Do you already have essentially all of that second half ramp in hand, or is there something you’re counting on winning between now and the end of the first half of your fiscal year to meet that upper end of the guidance?

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

We have the substantial majority of that already pinned or committed; but having said that, we always expect to get more business, as we continue day-by-day. So we’re excited about the commitments that we have and we continue to push for new, for more.

Matt Koranda

Analyst

And then, in terms of the long-term core inventory needs to meet that new business. Is there any rule of thumb you can share with us, just given the business that you have today? What that may require in terms of core buys or addition to the long-term core inventory under balance sheet. I mean, by my calculation, you guys are supporting about $1.35 worth of reman revenue for every dollar of core inventory that you have on the balance sheet. But can you hold that ratio constant over the coming year? How do you expect that to trend?

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

That’s a ratio that’s not rolling off of top of my tongue, I mean top of mind either. So I don’t want to comment on that ratio. I’m happy to dig in with you after the call in that ratio. But the growth on core repurchasing is slanted towards rotating electrical growth. I mean that’s where the majority of the core is sitting out there. We still do have some core repurchases there, but in some of the other categories, it's light in those areas. So depending on the mix how -- the mix ultimately turns out is how much core repurchasing will have to make. But I’m not sure about that ratio off the top of -- David, do you have a comment on that?

David Lee

Analyst

Again, it depends on the product line and which product lines we have.

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

So I’m not sure I can answer that right now, Matt. But we can take it offline.

Matt Koranda

Analyst

But just my takeaway is the, rule of thumb is the more skew toward rotating electrical growth, the more core buys essentially is a high level, sort of…

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

Rotating electrical is predominantly remanufactured and as a result, I mean, the core buyback is a big part of it.

Matt Koranda

Analyst

And then could you just help us a little bit in terms of directional commentary at least on the quarterly revenue cadence this year. I mean, I know, we can kind of use some of the puts and takes from your commentary about things being choppy, because of inventory destocking with a stronger back half. But maybe could we put some numbers, maybe to the first quarter, in terms of up or down relative to last year and just the expectations?

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

I think the first quarter is going to be relatively flat compared to last year. Just because we suffering from a hangover of a mild winter here and then replenishment orders, we don’t anticipate we’ll be as strong. We are optimistic that that’s changing and we will see some changes as we go through the year, but it’s not instant, and so that’s why we’re little cautious on the first six months. And then the backend, we expect replenishment to go up. I mean as we get through more summer and then also launching all of the new business. I mean even in the existing categories. So we’re very confident in the back end, I mean, we’re little more cautious on the front end.

Matt Koranda

Analyst

One more, just in terms of adjustments this quarter, I noticed a larger than normal adjustment related to new product line start-up costs. Can you just help us understand, essentially what product that’s associated with, and why the higher number than the usual couple of hundred thousand for several quarters?

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

That’s great boosters. We’re ramping that up; we’ve had somewhat of a challenge on the cores; on brake boosters we’ve got through that now; we have a lot of demand for that product line. And so I think we’ve been overly aggressive in trying to increase capacity there. And it's showing a little bit in the numbers. So a lot of those expenses are shown up before these revenues are showing up right now. But the exciting part of that is, is that we’re seeing nice opportunity there.

Matt Koranda

Analyst

So that’s essentially -- you’re requiring cores for to boost capacity in that product category to support growth. Is that we’ve been…

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

Yes, and we’ve acquired than at a premium as well to make sure we can get ahead of our supply curve.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Scott Stember of CL King, your question please.

Scott Stember

Analyst

Could you talk about the weather, did we see an impact in Q4, which products? And maybe, and obviously we saw the rotating electrical business was up very nicely. I imagine that was all because of new orders rather than a sign of end demand, I guess, or sell through. Correct?

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

That is correct. We had significant new business that you saw the full effect in the fourth quarter for rotating electrical, but replenishment on all product lines was slower. I mean just that was the winter. I think if you read all the major public companies reports on the weather and the effect on sales was definitely a general slowdown. We had that been a normal winter and we -- our numbers would have been better. And I think what’s -- we had a lot of uptake orders in the fourth quarter. And so you know we were able to have a great quarter, in my opinion, despite very slow replenishment revenue. And now we’ll see a little bit of hangover in the first quarter, which is April through May -- April through June. And we should see it come back. I mean I’ve seen this many times. And there has been a lot of negative publicity out there on this and that. But at the end of the day, all those cars are still on the road; the car, the makeup of those calls hasn’t changed; the failure rates of those cars hasn’t changed; and a couple of blips of hot weather here and there and all of a sudden we’ve spoken about how great the industry is again. So we’re optimistic about that. We’ve seen it over and over again. At some point, these vehicles will have components that are going to fail and it's not a question of whether they will have them, it's just a question of when? So we’ve been cautious in the first six months and really focused on the back-end.

Scott Stember

Analyst

And as far as on the other side of the equation, warmer weather. It's my understanding that a decent portion of your rotating electrical business, in particular, does benefit from hot or the normal summers. Can you talk about how that could be a potential catalyst and how that could potentially benefit you.

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

I think it will. I mean if we get some hot weather in the summer, I think the rotating electrical is an opportunity to spike because we’ve certainly got some deferred maintenance, right now. I mean we haven’t had these failures. The product line that we get hurt the most is that on wheel hubs we really -- you generally see a spike from lots of snow. And so I think we’ve missed that and hopefully, we’ll have that for next winter. But on rotating electrical, I think, there could be a substantial -- on all the other product lines, quite frankly, I think there could be a substantial pick up. But we can’t count on that. I mean, at this point, I think we’ve put out some realistic conservative guidance. We’ve generally lived up to our guidance and we want to be cautious.

Scott Stember

Analyst

And my last question is revolver on the gross margin. It was up very nicely in the quarter. Did you guys call out any one thing with just absorption of startup costs and just higher sales throughput? And also your comment for 2018 suggests that the high end would be a little bit lower than what you actually did in ‘17. And I'm just wondering if how much of that onetime benefit in the third quarter is creating a difficult comparison? Thank you.

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

I don’t know. I mean I think our structure is relatively stable. We certainly own a position to absorb a lot of new business, and that will help our absorption going forward. It also depends on our product mix as to where the gross margins are. And obviously there are various competitive factors and it's very difficult to the number of product lines. But we’ve generally come in at the top end of our guidance. And the fundamentals remain the same as of this point. And so it is price competitive out there, but we feel like we’ve managed our supply chain, we’ve managed our production efficiencies, overhead absorption, to take that into account. So, I don’t see much change other than product mix, and some of those cyclical demand challenges. If the cores are very soft, obviously, overhead it goes down a little bit but absorption goes down, but it gets made up when you have a stronger quarter with. So I don’t see any fundamental change in the margins. I mean we are being a little more conservative than what we actually came in and I would recommend that for everybody.

Scott Stember

Analyst

And just to clarify, the growth in the quarter, was related to the strong growth in rotating the electrical, I mean, that part…

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

Yes, that was the big driver. And then we expect that to, by the way, we expect that to continue. I know people have questioned us on whether we can continue to grow rotating electrical. I will tell you that we have significant new commitments in all the product lines, but in particular, rotating electrical.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Jimmy Baker of B. Riley and Company. Your line is open.

Jimmy Baker

Analyst

Most of my questions have been answered. But just want to come back to the Master Cylinders. So first could you just talk about how that sales trend looks on a gross basis, if you were to strip out some of the noise from the returns? And then just a couple of follow-ups there; first, do you expect to be able to redeploy the remaned product that you took back; and I guess second, as the market has shifted towards the new, are you in a situation where that impacts the market value for your cores or other inventory that you're carrying?

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

No, I think we write down those cores pretty confidently every quarter. So I don’t think there is any impending big write down on cores at all and Master Cylinders. I would say today, we’re probably 90% of the product, just probably in new units. And so the challenge of growing that and it’s kind of grow. I mean we have a lot of interest in that. We’re not concerned about the growth. Is that how customers are sitting on reman product, which is being replaced by new units? There is the question of what you do for core, and the reality is that cores are being scrapped. There is no use for that core, going forward. And so we have experience some of those write-downs. Now, how much more of that’s going to happen, that’s a little bit hard to predict. But I do think that the return -- again, the return on capital in that line is going to be very strong, and even taking into account, the conversion of reman to new in that category.

Jimmy Baker

Analyst

And what would the sales trend have been, if you just looked at on a gross to gross basis year-over-year?

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

Do you know that number?

David Lee

Analyst

Gross unit?

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

Yes.

David Lee

Analyst

Yes, gross units increased, but because of the stock adjustments, which is recorded as a reduction to that gross sale that’s how we’re seeing the reduction.

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

And I’ve got it somewhere, I don’t have it at the top of my -- we don’t have that exact number. But it was up. I mean, I think, I’m guessing now. But I think it was up very high-single-digits, close 8% to 10% sort of range.

Jimmy Baker

Analyst

And then just one…

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

There is a lot of new -- we haven’t got too many customers in that area. We’ve been slowly expand that but now it's accelerating in terms of the new business that’s coming from that.

Jimmy Baker

Analyst

And I’m just curious as it pertains to the first quarter. I mean that was your slowest growth quarter of last year. So I’m just -- maybe this is just a function of back-to-back mild winters. But I’m wondering if there is any seasonality emerging to stocking initiatives, inventory initiatives that your customers that’s deploy here or this is really just a function of weather?

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

I think it’s both. I mean, last year I think -- I think that generally, the April month, is the slowest month of the year. You come off the big updates that are generally coincidently in the March. And March is probably our biggest month and April is probably our slowest month, as it gets granular on it. So I think the first quarter, in general, is our weakest quarter just because of the cycle of the update orders and stock adjustments. And then it’s us picking up again from that. I think it’s unusual that it’s being hit with -- it’s unusual year because being hit by lower replenishment as well as being a typically slow quarter, slower quarter.

Jimmy Baker

Analyst

And then just lastly a couple housekeeping items, the $49 million in operating expenses. Is that including or excluding stock comp? And then the interest expense in Q4. Could you give us the breakdown between factoring expense and interest on the debt that would usually be in your filings?

David Lee

Analyst

So for your first question, the $29 million operating expenses does not include stock-based compensation. And your second question regarding the $3.7 million of interest expense. The majority of our interest expense is going to be related to the vendor financing progress. So the small debt that we do have, it’s at about 3.5%, the remainder will be factoring. So as sales increases, the interest expense will increase because of the factoring interest expense.

Jimmy Baker

Analyst

Am I in the ballpark that it's $2.8 million, $2.9 million in the quarter from factoring?

David Lee

Analyst

It’s going to be closer to $3 million.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. At this time, I’d like to turn the call back over to management for any closing remarks.

Selwyn Joffe

Analyst

Well, I thank everybody for their interest, and we appreciate your continued support. And we thank you for taking the time to join us on the call. And we look forward to our progress and development, and we look forward to speaking you when we host our first quarter results in August and at the investor conferences in the interim. Thank you everybody.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, sir and thank you, ladies and gentlemen. That does conclude Motorcar Parts of America’s fiscal 2017 fourth quarter results call. You may disconnect your lines, at this time. Have a wonderful day.