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MasTec, Inc. (MTZ)

Q2 2023 Earnings Call· Fri, Aug 4, 2023

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to MasTec's Second Quarter 2023 Earnings Conference Call initially broadcast on Friday August 4, 2023. Let me remind participants that today's call is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the call over to our host Marc Lewis, MasTec's Vice President of Investor Relations. Marc?

Marc Lewis

Management

Thanks Yash. Good morning, everyone. Welcome to MasTec's second quarter 2023 call. The following statement is made pursuant to the Safe Harbor for forward-looking statements described in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. In these communications, we may make certain statements that are forward looking such as statements regarding MasTec's future results, plans, and anticipated trends in the industries where we operate. These forward-looking statements are the company's expectations on the day of the initial broadcast of this conference call and the company does not undertake to update these expectations based on subsequent events or knowledge. Various risks, uncertainties, and assumptions are detailed in our press releases from yesterday and filings with the SEC. Should one or more of these risks or uncertainties materialize or should any of our underlying assumptions prove incorrect, actual results may differ significantly from results expressed or implied in these communications. In today's remarks by management, we'll be discussing adjusted financial metrics reconciled in yesterday's press release and supporting schedules. In addition, we may use certain non-GAAP financial measures on this call. A reconciliation of any non-GAAP financial measures not reconciled in these comments to the most comparable GAAP financial measure can be found in our earnings press release. Please note that we have also two documents associated with today’s webcast on the Investor’s Events and Presentation page of our website at mastec.com. There is a companion document with information and analytics on the quarter just ended and to assist and developing your financial models going forward. Both PDF files are available for download. With us today we have Jose Mas, our CEO, and Paul Dimarco, our Executive Vice President and CFO. The format of the call will be opening remarks and analysis by Jose followed by a financial review from Paul. These discussions will be followed by Q&A period. And we expect the call to last about an hour. We had an in line quarter with slide have lot of important things to talk about today. So I’d like to turn the call over to Jose, so we can get going. Jose?

Jose Mas

Management

Thanks, Marc. Good morning, and welcome to MasTec’s 2023 second quarter call. Today, I'll be reviewing our second quarter results, as well as providing my outlook for the markets we serve. First, some second quarter highlights. Revenue for the quarter was $2,874 million, adjusted EBITDA was $255 million, adjusted earnings per share was $0.89 and backlog at quarter end was $13.4 billion. In summary, EBITDA was up $76 million with non-oil and gas EBITDA up 57% year-over-year, EPS was up 42%. And revenue was up 25% year-over-year but about $125 million less than our previous expectations. EBITDA margins improved in every segment in the second quarter, and we expect strong second half performance despite some revenue challenges. I'd like to highlight that our progression -- our margin progression story is greatly intact. And while the lower revenue guidance is having some margin impact on the second half of 2023 margins are generally in line with previous guidance and above 2022 second half performance. I think this is critical as you think about MasTec and our future. I'm highly confident that the goals we set out to show significant margin improvement, specifically in our Clean Energy and Infrastructure segment are proving out. Thus, our challenges in 2023 are predominantly due to revenue misses in some segments, offset by the expected second half revenue increases in our Oil and Gas segment. I'd like to cover our second half of 2023 revenue challenges in more detail. First, let me start with some high level numbers. We still expect 2023 total company revenue growth to exceed 30%. If you exclude IEA from this calculation, so think of it as MasTec mastic pre IEA, we're expected to grow 18% organically, there is about a 5% to 6% bump from the MVP pipeline in that number.…

Paul Dimarco

Management

Thank you, Jose, and good morning, everyone. Beginning with our second quarter results, consolidated revenue was approximately $2.87 billion below guidance by approximately $125 million. Despite lower revenue, we still generated adjusted EBITDA of $255 million and adjusted earnings per share of $0.89, both exceeding our estimates. Our quarterly revenue and adjusted EBITDA were both records for the second quarter. Our Communication segment performance was roughly in line with expectations at $869 million of revenue and $94 million of adjusted EBITDA or 10.8%. Adjusted EBITDA margin was up 310 basis points in the first quarter and 40 basis points year-over-year. We did experience some revenue slowdown in the quarter as certain customers revised capital expenditure plans for the balance of 2023. Our Power Delivery segment was also in line with expectations with revenue of $703 million and adjusted EBITDA of $57 million or 8.2%. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved in this segment as well, up 130 basis points from Q1 and 70 basis points year-over-year. We continue to see positive performance trends from our integration efforts over the last year. Our Oil and Gas segment had a strong quarter with revenue of $342 million and adjusted EBITDA of $77 million or 22.5% of revenue, significantly higher than our expectations of low double digit adjusted EBITDA margins. Performance was driven by favorable developments related to project close outs and strong execution on numerous projects. Second quarter clean energy revenue and adjusted EBITDA were both slightly below expectations driven by delays in execution of certain projects. Revenue was $970 million and adjusted EBITDA was $50 million, or 5.1%. This represents approximately 400 basis point improvement versus Q1 and over 600 basis points improvement when compared to last year second quarter. While pleased with the margin progression, there are a number of factors causing…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Alex Rygiel with B. Riley.

Alex Rygiel

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, gentlemen. Nice quarter. A couple quick questions here. First, as it relates to the $1.9 billion the new awards that are pending, what segments that in what's the timing is any of that near 2023 guidance.

Jose Mas

Management

Yes, so to be clear, right, that is specifically renewable projects in our clean energy and infrastructure business. So it's only renewable projects. And the reason we thought that number was important is to is to give, obviously, with the revenue missed, it's to give comfort around what we're seeing how we're seeing it, and why we're so bullish on the future growth of the business. So of the $1.9 billion, it will not all be in ’24, right, some of those projects will extend beyond 2024. And I actually don't believe any of that $1.9 billion is currently in our second half projections for 2023.

Alex Rygiel

Analyst

And then, secondly, your oil and gas, directional guidance for 2024 revenue, it sounded like it was $2 billion, which would be flat to 2023, yes, includes MVP, which is a pretty quick burn project. So I guess my question here is, what's the visibility on the backfill to MVP in 2024, that gives you so much confidence that we see oil and gas flattish in 2024?

Jose Mas

Management

We agree with you, Alex, we purposely said it, because we think it's a very bullish statement on the segment, our visibility is excellent. We have a most of that work secured, although not be -- maybe not all in backlog, but a lot of it is secure. So we feel really good about entering ‘24. We always knew MVP would hit at a certain point in time, and it would impact a given year. And we will always worry about what the next year comp would be relative to that project. And I think the way it's playing out is we're going to do a great job of maintaining the segment revenues, despite having a project that had such a big impact in a given year.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Neil Mehta with Goldman Sachs.

Neil Mehta

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

Yes. Good morning team. I want to start on the clean energy and infrastructure, the $575 million, that's getting pushed out to 2024. So can you give us some more granularity around what's driving the push outs on the ground? And then what's your confidence interval that that does show up in 2024? And some of the issues that are showing up ’23 you get addressed?

Jose Mas

Management

Yes, it's an excellent question, Neil. Good morning, I'd say a couple things. One, as we think about 2024, there is a massive subset of projects available, right, there's incredible demand for the services. And I think one of the most important things that we have to do, right, as we did in our legacy business this year is identify those projects, which we think have the highest likelihood of moving forward. In some cases, those $575 million, some of those projects will definitely be in there. But in some cases, some of those projects we may pass on, right? Because we may not have the high level of certainty that we need to be comfortable. With that said, many of those projects are in very late stages. So some of them we feel really, really good about some of them, we will start before year end. So, and I think there's a lot of different reasons. I think Paul laid out very well. Some of the different things that are happening but we're seeing everything from people trying to understand the rules around the Inflation Reduction Act, right because it impacts their financial -- the financials was the project, some developers more than others I think we're definitely seeing haves and have nots, right, the people that have been in this business for a long time, that have very predictable work that do certain number of megawatts every year have been more consistent in 2023. And some of the newer developers that are building projects, or that are more cyclical, and I think when we look at IEA’s business, it was much more geared toward the latter part, where MasTec business was much more geared to towards the prior type of customer. And I think managing that mix is going to be critically important. And again, I think there's a lot of work out there that allows you to properly manage that risk. And shame on us, we didn't do a good job of that in 2023

Neil Mehta

Analyst · Goldman Sachs.

Thanks, Jose, and that follow up is just around leverage. And that you had indicated that there's a glide path to get to the low 2s from a leverage perspective. So just talked about balance sheet management, and how you want to get, where you want to get your debt to and the path to get there.

Jose Mas

Management

Sure, Neil, so a lot of it's from earnings growth, obviously, we've got a big appreciation EBITDA in the back half of the year, but we do think we're going to be able to pay down, a couple 100 million dollars of debt through year end as well encapsulating the revenue growth that we see. So there's probably some working capital investment required for that, but with the cadence of the year, and our DSO and DPO being at the level they should be, it's a, we feel pretty confident about the ability to achieve that.

Operator

Operator

We go to our next question from Andy Kaplowitz with Citigroup.

Andy Kaplowitz

Analyst · Citigroup.

Hey, good morning, everyone. Jose, maybe give us a little more color regarding what's happening to IEA. Like, just from the ground, your large peer talked about hiring 3,000 people this quarter, which is a jump for them, maybe talk about the workforce, are you seeing any sort of unexpected attrition and then could you give us more color in terms of wind versus solar? Is it really just a wind projects game delayed? Obviously, there's been a lot of issues in the wind industry. So sort of what are you seeing there?

Jose Mas

Management

I maybe backtrack a little bit. And again, reemphasize some of the stuff we said in the prepared remarks. Last year, I did about just over $2.4 billion in revenue. Obviously, it was an acquisition that closed late in the year public company, we were able to really do a lot of deep dives on the planning process post-acquisition, which for all intents and purposes, was done by the time we bought them. And, quite frankly, we felt good about their plan, right? We didn't have a lot of growth estimated in the plan, we knew that the wind business would be challenged in 2023. We knew the solar market was growing. We, they have a very good customer base, that they have a lot of history for, I think, historically they had done an okay job of managing revenue expectations relative to reality, although they did have some issues in the past. So, we generally felt okay, we didn't get too aggressive around the plan. And again, first and second quarter were generally in line with what the expectations were so as the year develop, there's no question that historically they've been heavier on the wind side, they're also heavier on the union side, which adds another complexity to these types of projects and the ability to kind of move resources to other projects that are available. So we've -- it’s split, there's definitely a bigger hit to the wind business, their wind revenue is down more than their solar revenue. But their solar revenue didn't grow at the level that it should in 2023, either. And it's because a lot of the projects they had slated to begin got pushed. So I think it's really about, understanding where the customers were, understanding where the projects were. And then, once you commit to a job, it's really hard to go secure another job because you've got your resources committed. And I think what we saw was a number of their customers begin to fall off without the, in short order, the works not available to re-mobilize those resources. So, to your question about our peer, look, there is absolutely no doubt that the industry right now, the demand is incredibly high. And the reason we wanted to kind of split legacy versus IEA was to show you the success that we're having in our legacy business, right, we have 25% organic growth in our legacy business. So the markets there, right, these are unforced errors on our part that we need to fix. We're not worried about the go forward, potential the market, it's about our ability to understand the projects, execute on them and plan better. And I think that's what we're all working very diligently to do.

Andy Kaplowitz

Analyst · Citigroup.

Okay, that’s helpful. And then, just going over to Telecom, you've obviously been bullish. And you talked about customers adjusting CapEx, so maybe you can talk about, what changed during the quarter for you. And, moving forward, you didn't change your sort of near term forecast for telecom, that $4 billion number, but would you say near term is pushed out? And 2024 could be more challenging telecom as well or maybe color that would be helpful?

Jose Mas

Management

Sure. So I think when we deep dive into that, right, the majority of what we're seeing and slowdown is only on the wireless side, the wireline business is extremely active. We think there's more than enough wireline business to execute solid growth for 2024, which is why we didn't change the near to midterm outlook. We think that wireless will come back, but at this moment in time, I think it's one of the few places that our larger customers have to adjust spend. And with the interest rate environment where it is, I think you're seeing slight tweaks. So again, it's not a, I think instead of growing high single digits to 10%, we're going to grow 5% for the year, so it's. we're still growing in the business, we still have a strong second half, but it's slightly less than what original expectation was.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Steven Fischer with UBS.

Steven Fischer

Analyst · UBS.

Thanks. Good morning, just want to follow up on the IEA integration. Can you just talk a little bit about the progression of the acquisition integration costs since the deal closed? What has each increment accomplished? And if there were to be another step up, what would it need to address because they've been kind of ramping up here, they're all kind of below the line. But I'm really also wondering what the cash impact of these integration costs are and how that's ramping and whether you've included that in your kind of net $450 million of free cash flow.

Paul Dimarco

Management

Yes, Steven, this is Paul. So they ramped down in the second half of the year. And your second question, any severance or termination costs are factored in to the back half of the year guidance around acquisition integration expense. So any impact on cash flow was captured as well.

Steven Fischer

Analyst · UBS.

Okay, but it's all just you're finding it, you’re keep raising it, because you're just finding more kind of more layers of overhead that need to be cut. And just kind of curious why it's not –

Paul Dimarco

Management

Sorry about that. Sometimes it's the timing when it can be enacted, right. So savings on things like, bringing them on to our insurance program, for example, right. It's something that has to be done at a renewal, or termination of license agreements, things like that. So that's where there's some tail on it. But I think we've captured it all and do expect it to moderate into Q3 and into Q4.

Jose Mas

Management

And then to your I guess the first op, which was integration. We've spent an enormous amount of time obviously, on integrating IEA, I think, again, when we look at the differences in terms of the performance of the two units, we've done a lot of combining, we think our go-to-market strategy today is far superior to what it was, prior to the IEA transaction, we think that we were capturing all of the detail that we need to understand the customers, the projects were in deep negotiations with lots of customers over multiyear projects and long term projects and labor availability and labor resources, the ability to commit those over a long period of time. So I think that understanding the market, positioning ourselves for ’24 and beyond putting the right team together to execute on all of this at a much more structured level, I think we're making really good progress on and I think over the next coming quarters, we'll talk a lot more about that.

Steven Fischer

Analyst · UBS.

Okay, and if I could just follow up on the telecom side, I know, Jose, you just said that you expect the wireless business to come back. But in the meantime albeit slower growth, I guess, to what extent are you shifting your focus strategically from wireless to fiber and cable? I know you've kind of pursued some of the od-off programs. is that a strategic shift that you are making? And if so, kind of what else has to happen to support that shift in strategy?

Jose Mas

Management

I don't think it's a shift, if you look at our year, this year, our wireline business will grow, more than 20%. So we're having a really strong growth year there. In our business, today's mixed, we're still incredibly bullish about wireless over the long term, we think it's a great business albeit the growth is moderated a little bit for the second half of this year, when you think about, how we all live and how we use devices and how attached we are to devices and the amount of data that goes through these devices, the need for wireless will always be there, the need to create more capacity on the wireless networks is going to continue to increase. And that's what we do, right. So I'm very bullish in that market. I know we're, unfortunately, in an uncertain economic time, some of our larger customers in which all of these companies are very large, might have some slight adjustments. We're not seeing it impact the wireline business as much as we're seeing impact the wireless business. And at this moment in time, the wireline growth opportunity is greater and we're going to take advantage of it. And we think we could have similar growth, if not better growth and ‘24 on the wireline side versus ‘23. So I think when we look at the full year opportunity for us, in ‘24 versus ‘23, it's still somewhat unchanged.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Justin Hauke with Robert W. Baird.

Justin Hauke

Analyst · Robert W. Baird.

Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. I guess I wanted to ask on the margin assumptions, you guys don't give point estimates you give ranges high single digit, mid-single digit whatnot. And those aren't changed. You've got MVP coming in here in your highest margin business. And obviously, you're taking your margins down. So I guess I just wanted to clarify, is it each segment that you're assuming is kind of lower profitability than where you were? Or is there some type of concentration in one segment versus another one, just maybe a little bit more help on the segment expectations?

Jose Mas

Management

Yes, Justin. So I'll take a stab at it and then I'll turn it over to Paul. I mean, just as it relates to MVP, right, MVP is a cost plus job, it's not a unit job. So we've always talked about MVP, having a lower margin profile than the balance of our oil and gas business. Again, we didn't expect that project to be in 2023. So as that project executes out in ‘23, it'll have a slight dilution to the margin of that segment.

Paul Dimarco

Management

Yes, and then I would just add, I think there's probably where we were previously, a little bit of pressure on communications, just with the lower operating leverage, and a little bit of pressure versus our prior guidance on clean energy, still good improvement, but just with the lower volume, we are going to be carrying some costs to deal with this workload as it comes in right in the foreseeable future. So, still in that same range, but relative to where we thought they were, at our Q1 guidance, slightly lower margins in those two segments.

Justin Hauke

Analyst · Robert W. Baird.

Okay, thank you. I guess my follow up, you talked a lot about IEA. I wanted to ask actually about Henkels acquisition, which I think is, they had some legacy infrastructure projects in there that you guys have talked about kind of working through and cleaning up. It looks like you're kind of unbuild or has kind of up ticked a little bit in terms of, what's on the balance sheet. I was just curious, the status of those jobs, and are there still charges that you're working through? That are -- they're pressuring the margins at Henkels specifically?

Paul Dimarco

Management

Yes, so I think the industrial products you're referring to those weren't from Henkels, those were projects from MasTec’s clean energy segment that we've been working on over the last year and a half or so. We're working through those projects are mostly complete. I think we're in various stages of negotiation with the customers on any close out and claims that we have. And we feel very good about our positions on those, and we look forward to having those behind us, hopefully by the end of Q3 from a performance perspective, they should all be complete.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Adam Thalhimer with- Thompson Data.

Adam Thalhimer

Analyst

Hey, good morning, guys. Jose, in your oil and gas outlook for next year what's the nature those jobs, does that kind of traditional oil and gas jobs? Are we starting to get into some of the carbon capture?

Jose Mas

Management

I think we'll be better prepared to talk about it over the course of the next couple quarters, I think there's, a lot available, I think our statements, and the work that we've got currently booked is still around traditional, the traditional work we've done. There are opportunities for alternative types of pipelines to be built, starting as early as next year. So we're excited about that. And I think we'll be talking a lot more about that in the coming quarters.

Adam Thalhimer

Analyst

Okay, fair enough. And then power delivery, not much talk today. What kind of project activity are you seeing for that segment?

Jose Mas

Management

I mean, look, we didn't talk a lot about it, because it's kind of performing exactly as we expected for both the quarter and the year, to Justin's earlier question about, Henkels and then how we feel about the integration. I mean, we actually think that integration has gone really smoothly, we're kind of past it. We've got a completely revamped business relative to how we're going to market, how we're executing on that tremendous opportunity in that business. I think we've positioned ourselves really well for future growth. And I think this was still a year where we were kind of trying to put everything together, and it's working out as planned. And I think next year, we'll have an opportunity to show really nice growth in that business yet again.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Jamie Cook with Credit Suisse.

Jamie Cook

Analyst · Credit Suisse.

Hi, good morning, I guess two questions. Jose, one, one of your peers was talking about, margin being way down by investment required ahead of some of these large projects that are going forward. So to what degrees are risks in 2024, that margins are way down by investment, understanding the longer term margin potential is still fairly positive. And then my second question. My second question is, I understand you don't really want to talk about 2024. But given the backlog that's out there, in the growth prospects, you see, as we think about 2024, do you still expect earnings to be sort of more of a back end loaded year? Or do you see opportunity for, earnings to be, I guess, more normalized throughout the year versus just a back end loaded year, like the past few years? Thank you.

Jose Mas

Management

Hi, Jamie. So a lot there. Let me try to deconstruct it. So I think on from a margin story and the work that's available in ‘24, as business units, obviously, every type of work is different when we're thinking about our renewable strategy, and the work that we've done, obviously IEA is coming off of a down year in ‘23 going into ‘24, we think they have a capacity to do a lot more without a lot of further investment. I think if you're looking at pure renewable projects, the investment required is substantially lower than if you're looking at large transmission projects. And as we think about our growth in ‘24, it's not necessarily going to be on the really large transmission side, it's going to be on more of the traditional renewable projects, which we think require less capital. So we don't think we have -- our expectation isn't, for us to have a margin deterioration as we're growing, we actually think we can manage through that, and still improve margins in ‘24 relative to 2023, just based on the book of business that we're going after in the mix that we have. So we actually feel good about that.

Jamie Cook

Analyst · Credit Suisse.

And the second question, the second question which is about earnings in 2024, back end loaded, can we expect --?

Jose Mas

Management

Yes, it's a good question. the beginning of ‘23 was relatively slow for us. So we actually think early ‘23 is going to be a good comparable to what we're seeing in ‘24. We have a lot of renewable projects that are starting or that have already started that are going to go well into ‘24. So I think we're going into ‘24 with a lot more activity in the early part of the year than we did ‘22 to ‘23. So I think you will not see, we're always going to have a bigger second half of the year versus first half of the year because it's just the nature of our business. But I do think we're set up well for good comps in the first quarter of ‘24 versus the first quarter of ‘23.

Operator

Operator

Our final question comes from Sean Eastman with KeyBanc.

Sean Eastman

Analyst

Hi, Team, thanks for taking my questions. Just wanted to come back to the comment about the improved revenue predictability going into 2024 for the renewable operation, maybe just a little bit more color there, Jose, in terms of, beyond kind of the operating environment type stuff, what's been action there, where the MasTec kind of way has been implemented to help improve that predictability into next year? And, to the extent you're comfortable, I mean, maybe relative to this, near term potential $6 billion in revenue number, what is like a reasonable expectation for the revenue stacking up into next year.

Jose Mas

Management

So, a couple things, right. One is, again, we highlighted MasTec legacy clean energy, because it's just important to note the difference, right, I think we did a really good job this year of assessing risk relative to projects on the renewable side. I think we've taken all of that. And we've now implemented that at IEA, we've got, one team that's kind of taking the lead on all projects assessment going forward. Our own revenue, internal stacking based on projects, and in the viability of projects, and what we think it's going to be, I think you're going to see us be more conservative as we guide into ‘24. Because we don't want to be in this position again. So we're, we, there is no question that we will have significant growth in that segment, in 2024, relative to 2023. I don't think you're going to see us guide to $6 billion, but I think you'll see us guide to a number that was higher than our original guide for 2023.

Sean Eastman

Analyst

Okay, that's helpful. And then one for Paul, just coming back to Steve Fisher's question. On the cash flow, how is it that the cash flow guidance is intact with pretty significant reduction to the earnings guidance? And the GAAP earnings guidance down quite a bit? Is it working capital has been tightened up, what's been the offset there to help you keep that that number in play?

Paul Dimarco

Management

Yes, so we're, I mean, we're down on the range $50 million, right. I think, a little bit lower revenue helps. So there's less work capital investments, the cadence of the year helps. And, I think we've had some conservatives built into the number based on the near term DSO performance, and I think we're seeing really good momentum there, across the company, to improve those working capital metrics. So it's not a -- there's not an aggressive assumption set to get us to that level.

Sean Eastman

Analyst

Okay, got it. And then just last quick one, I mean, any color on what -- where you're achieving that success on the DSOs, where you're at -- where you're kind of capturing that slack in the working capital?

Paul Dimarco

Management

Yes, some of its mix. I mean, the Clean Energy segment historically has and traditionally has lower working capital requirements than some of our other businesses, and then there was a couple of pockets and communications that what got a little bit long in the tooth, and we've taken the opportunity, with a little bit of volume slowdown to be more diligent with our customers around getting things build quickly, that we're getting paid more properly as well.

Jose Mas

Management

And maybe, to that point, just maybe even add a little more specificity to that. We added a lot of customers in the course of the last year in various segments, including our communication segment. And I think just understanding them and getting into the right cadence of how you bill how you get paid quicker. I think they're starting to show a lot of dividends. And that's part of what we're seeing today, which gives us a lot of competence in the back end of the year.

Operator

Operator

That will conclude the Q&A session. I'll now turn it back to Mr. Jose Mas for any additional or closing comments.

Jose Mas

Management

Just want to take the opportunity to thank everybody for participating. And we look forward to updating you on our third quarter call in a few months. Thanks for joining us.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen that will conclude today's conference. We thank you for your participation. You may disconnect your phone line at this time.