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Myomo, Inc. (MYO)

Q2 2025 Earnings Call· Mon, Aug 11, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to Myomo Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Tirth Patel, Alliance Advisors IR. Please go ahead.

Tirth Patel

Analyst

Thank you, operator, and good afternoon, everyone. This is Tirth Patel with Alliance Advisors IR. Welcome to the Myomo Second Quarter 2025 Conference Call. With me on today's call are Myomo's Chief Executive Officer, Paul Gudonis, and Chief Financial Officer, Dave Henry. Before we begin, I'd like to caution listeners that statements made during this call by management other than historical facts are forward-looking statements. The words anticipate, believe, estimate, expect, intend, guidance, outlook, confidence, target, project and other similar expressions are typically used to identify such forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and may involve and are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may affect Myomo's business, financial condition and operating results. These risks, uncertainties and other factors are discussed in Myomo's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Actual outcomes and results may differ materially from what's expressed in or implied by these forward-looking statements. Furthermore, except as required by law, Myomo undertakes no obligation to revise or update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date of this call today, August 11, 2025. It's now my pleasure to turn the call over to Myomo's CEO, Paul Gudonis. Paul, please go ahead.

Paul R. Gudonis

Analyst

Thanks, Tirth. Good afternoon, and thank you all for joining us today. As you've seen in our press release issued earlier today, our second quarter revenues were slightly ahead of our expectations, while several operating metrics were below our plans, and those metrics and trends will impact our near-term performance. We've made a number of adjustments in marketing and operations, and we're already seeing initial signs of success. But before we review our quarterly results, I'd like to briefly address some understandable shareholder concerns. We recognize that our recent stock price performance has been disappointing, and we appreciate your candid feedback. Myomo remains committed to market leadership with our proven MyoPro product line, adjusting our plans to grow the business and managing our financials to sustainable cash flow positive operations. On today's call, we'll dive into this with a transparent discussion of the challenges we faced, highlight tangible progress we're making and outline our plan forward to the -- achieve these goals of sustainable growth and profitability. We appreciate your continued trust and look forward to demonstrating meaningful results. Let me begin with an overview of the dynamics of generating leads and converting qualified leads into our pipeline. Recall that in the first quarter, Meta changed its Facebook algorithm in response to privacy concerns around using someone's health information or browsing history as a means to target advertising. As I discussed during our last call, despite stepping up our advertising spend, the number of new leads did not increase in January and February. So we engaged a new digital ad agency to help us with the workaround and lead flow started increasing significantly in March and April. We are pleased with those results and knowing we need to rapidly add more pipeline a$, we allocated more dollars to digital media…

David A. Henry

Analyst

Thank you, Paul, and good afternoon, everyone. Let me start with a review of our second quarter financial results. Revenue for the second quarter of 2025 was $9.7 million. This represents a 28% increase versus the prior year and was driven by a higher number of revenue units and a higher average selling price or ASP. We delivered 178 MyoPro revenue units during the quarter, up 13% with 95 of those units from authorizations and orders received in the second quarter. This higher velocity is also reflected in the fact that approximately 91% of our second quarter revenue was recorded at either shipment or delivery. Our ASP increased 14% versus the prior year to approximately $54,200. Medicare Part B patients represented 56% of revenue in the second quarter. Medicare Advantage revenue was 20% of second quarter revenue and in dollar terms was down slightly from a year ago. Medicare Advantage revenue remained constrained on the high number of pre-authorization denials forcing us into an appeals process in order to serve these patients. 77% of revenue in the second quarter came from the direct billing channel compared with 78% in the prior year quarter. International revenue was $1.5 million in the quarter, representing 15% of the total, primarily from Germany. International revenue was up 41% year-over-year. As of June 30, 2025, the pipeline stood at 1,611 patients, an increase of 37% year-over-year. 61% of the quarter end pipeline were patients with Medicare Advantage or other commercial insurance. In the second quarter, we added 816 patients to the pipeline, which is up 49% over the prior year quarter. This includes 54 patients who are identified by our OMP centers of excellence as we start to get visibility into their individual pipelines. While the pipeline adds were a record, they were lower than…

Paul R. Gudonis

Analyst

Thanks, Dave. We're now ready to take your questions. Operator?

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]

Paul R. Gudonis

Analyst

Before having the first question, I just want to thank all of you who attended our June 18 Investor and Analyst Day event, either in person or online. We posted materials and a webcast of the day on the IR section of our myomo.com website and members of our senior leadership team continue to be available to discuss our current operations and plans to scale the business significantly over the next few years. We will also be attending the H.C. Wainwright Conference virtually on September 8 through the 10th. Operator, let's now go ahead and take the first question.

Operator

Operator

The first question comes from the line of Chase Knickerbocker with Craig-Hallum.

Chase Richard Knickerbocker

Analyst

maybe, Dave, just to start out, I'm trying to understand Q3 guidance a little bit more. If I look at it in my model, it looks like kind of conversion from backlog would have to tick up fairly meaningfully sequentially, and there'll also be kind of meaningful improvement sequentially in kind of backlog adds and so can you kind of elucidate what you're seeing so far through July and kind of mid-August here? Are you seeing a lot more fill units kind of would make kind of that elevated conversion for backlog makes sense.

David A. Henry

Analyst

And that's exactly what it is. We are seeing more fill units that are being a higher percentage of our backlog. So that's precisely what we're seeing. But even with that, we are -- the guidance is $9.5 million to $10 million, which is basically flat with where we were this year -- in the second quarter. .

Chase Richard Knickerbocker

Analyst

Got it. And if I look at Q4, kind of what that implicitly guides to, you were talking about a decline year-over-year. And so if we also think about some of that O&P volume kind of being there, hopefully, again, the direct billing channel is down year-over-year, certainly. So can you kind of help with kind of specifically what you think maybe even outside of kind of some of the advertising wells, it's clear we're not getting kind of word-of-mouth benefit. I mean can you just kind of give me some overall thoughts as far as you think some of the challenges may be outside of advertising as well?

David A. Henry

Analyst

Yes. And I think that one of the things that we want to do is that -- and Paul mentioned it in his remarks, which is the referral program, we would like to be less dependent on advertising spending. And I think there's a good -- and Paul had a good quote in his comments earlier that we want to move up into that continuum of patient's care, and we're going to be helping us, ourselves and our O&P providers by doing a lot of the heavy lifting with trying to generate referrals for both of both our R&D partners and ourselves by looking into that incidence population and not relying so much ourselves on the prevalence population. And so we think by doing that, that will help with the conversion rate of pipeline adds because these people are closer to when their stroke occurred, and they may not have had some of these other comorbidities that might pop up as we might -- as we currently see with the prevalence population.

Chase Richard Knickerbocker

Analyst

Got it. And if I think about the O&P channel, the 50-odd leads in the quarter, that's -- maybe share how many O&P providers you have trained at this point, but it's a fairly small number of kind of leads per O&P head. Is there kind of any plans as far as how we can kind of accelerate that contribution to the pipeline to maybe kind of, again, diversify away from the direct billing channel on the advertising side?

Paul R. Gudonis

Analyst

Sure. We plan for significant growth in the O&P channel. We've got about 100 CPOs in that process from -- they've gone through their evaluation training. They've started to do evaluations to become fully certified with us. You only have to build a pipeline, you have to get the authorizations and then you have to fit 3 MyoPros. And our clinical team has been expanded to work with these O&P providers around the country. And so we're getting more of them all the way through that process to get certified. That pipeline is growing compared to where it was earlier this year. We're going to be at EIOPA, which is the National American Orthotics Prosthetics Conference assembly coming up early September to recruit more of these O&P partners to meet with the ones that have already signed up. So I'm expecting we're going to continue to see growth in that channel. And as I mentioned, we want to get more of the incidence population. There are 800,000 strokes a year, 500,000 or more of those individuals survive the stroke and go to these rehab hospitals and half of them come out the back end where they've got chronic arm paralysis. So we've already engaged with these therapists to train them on the MyoPro. Now we're actively seeking to have them refer those patients to us and to our O&P partners so we can basically have more medically qualified patients earlier in their patient journey. So we think that's going to be a really good new source of patient leads for us.

Chase Richard Knickerbocker

Analyst

Dave, just 2 last kind of financial questions for you. So first on kind of the advertising spend. Should we model that continuing to accelerate from a spend perspective kind of sequentially? And kind of where do you see that going? And then as we're shifting to kind of TV a little bit here, I mean, should we expect that cost per pipeline add stabilizes, goes a little bit higher, starts to come in a little bit? I mean, kind of talk to me about kind of that it's a little bit less focused advertising. Should we be modeling cost per pipeline add? How should we be modeling it?

David A. Henry

Analyst

Yes. I would assume that advertising dollars are roughly flat in third quarter with second. And then in fourth quarter, they generally go down. Historically, they're a bit lower because we -- there's competition from holidays and Medicare Advantage plans that are renewing their memberships and things like that. So we generally lower the advertising spending in the fourth quarter. As I think Paul mentioned in his remarks, with putting more of the advertising mix into television, cost per lead is expected to increase, but we do think the cost per pipeline ad will be lower in the third quarter compared to the second quarter. I don't -- I mean, it's going to take a while, I think, to get back to what a $1,500 was because there's -- we have -- there's conditions that I think are a bit more chronic that we have to overcome, like, for example, Medicare Advantage rates and the fact that some of the patients that we see are also -- we're disqualifying more of them. And so it's less of the pipeline is converting to -- in the backlog.

Operator

Operator

Next question comes from the line of Scott Henry with AGP.

Scott Robert Henry

Analyst · AGP.

First, if I could just for clarity, when you were talking about the O&P channel, I thought on the second quarter call, you noted 300 CPOs. Could you give us an update to that number, how many certified prosthetic orthotists have been trained?

Paul R. Gudonis

Analyst · AGP.

Yes. That's right, Scott. About 300 have gone through the evaluation training. And then there -- it's up to them to then actively go out and seek their own pipeline, evaluate patients and then move forward through the certification process, where there's 3 in-person fittings with us. So out of those 300, we've got 100 active ones in addition to the hanger clinicians.

Scott Robert Henry

Analyst · AGP.

Okay. I think -- in my notes, I show it was 160 in the fourth quarter, '24. It was 300 at the end of the -- it was 160 at the end of the fourth quarter, 300 at the end of the first quarter. So for this quarter, is it a flat number? Or is it up -- maybe you don't have that number in front of you, but it's up some amount.

Paul R. Gudonis

Analyst · AGP.

Yes. That number is probably up because a lot of people will take our online course about evaluations. But our O&P team is out there working with the active clinicians because -- not unexpectedly, not every clinician that goes through the training is out there marketing this. So the ones we're focusing on are the really active ones and it is about 100 of them right now.

David A. Henry

Analyst · AGP.

I think we're -- as Paul mentioned, the 300 relates to sort of the eval training was the first -- which is the first step, but we're focused a bit more downstream now in getting these O&P certified.

Scott Robert Henry

Analyst · AGP.

Okay. All right. Yes, that's helpful. It clarifies a little apples to oranges there. But let's -- walking through the metrics. Obviously, a lot has changed. It's pretty hard to -- I mean, it seems like a lot of this information is evolving. But starting with the pipeline adds of 816, I know you're focused on quality as well now. Would you expect that number to be in the 900-plus range in the third quarter? Is it still growing? Or as you focus on quality, I don't know if you'll -- that may kind of just flatten out in an effort to get better leads. But curious your take on how we should think about that number.

David A. Henry

Analyst · AGP.

Well, we're not giving specific guidance on pipeline adds for third quarter, but the things that we are doing is meant to grow the number of pipeline adds over time because we obviously need to do that if we're going to achieve the top line results that we're looking for. So no, we're not cutting back or anything like that on trying to grow pipeline adds. We're trying to -- through various means like the referral program and things like that, trying to generate more of them but maybe rely less on advertising to do so.

Paul R. Gudonis

Analyst · AGP.

We are working through a record number -- Scott, we are working through a record number of leads though in June that we got from the advertising. So even at a lower rate of conversion of lead to pipeline, there's still a significant backlog of these leads for our call center and clinicians to work through.

Scott Robert Henry

Analyst · AGP.

Okay. And just another -- there's a couple of metrics that obviously jump out the past couple of quarters. That authorization rate, you may use a different fraction, but using my numbers, it used to be around 17% to 18%. In Q1, it was 14%. It looks like it's around 13% in this quarter. Would you expect that to get back up to the 17% range and over what time period?

David A. Henry

Analyst · AGP.

No, I think it -- I think that rate is going to probably continue. Hopefully, it stabilizes here, but I think it's going to -- I don't know if it returns to the 17% until Medicare Advantage plans start authorizing more because as I mentioned, we had 1,611 patients in the pipeline, 61% of them were Medicare Advantage. And so the first-time authorization rate for a Medicare Advantage patient is somewhere around 15%. That means 85% of the pipeline adds for Medicare Advantage kind of sit there while we go through an appeals process and try to move them all the way through to an ALJ hearing. So that that's part of -- that's the headwind we face on trying to improve that authorization rate.

Scott Robert Henry

Analyst · AGP.

Okay. And then the final number in that model was the percentage of the pipeline that is lost. It used to be -- it's been a little higher. It's been as low as 22%. Now it's up kind of around 30%. Do you think -- is that number going to start improving? I guess, in theory, if the leads are better, that number should be decreasing. But just trying to get a sense of what you expect for that. I guess it's an attrition rate would be a...

David A. Henry

Analyst · AGP.

Yes. One of the things that we're doing now, and we mentioned it is that there's -- for some patients, there will be a pipeline add and if they successfully pass that initial telehealth screening. But there are some patients that successfully passed that first screening that we view as patients that might be more marginal and might not be good candidates. So in order to try to weed out some of those patients more earlier in the process as opposed to waiting until potentially a fitting when we have the device in the patient's home, we're doing a second in-person evaluation for some of those more marginal patients. And so if those -- and about half the time for those second in-person evaluations, those patients won't continue. And then half the time, they will move on to the process. So for those half of the patients that don't continue, that reflects as a drop from the pipeline. So I would -- because we're going to continue to do that in order to try to get more patients that shouldn't be in a MyoPro out of the process sooner, I would expect that drop rate to continue to be in that 30% range that it is now.

Scott Robert Henry

Analyst · AGP.

Okay. And I mean, just -- I would just say in perspective, you guys have done a great job growing this business. I know it's a little tough right now, but if we look back a little further in the rearview mirror, it's been considerable growth. So I commend you for that even if it's challenging right now. But the final question is, do you feel that your confidence is improving in the metrics? I mean, I know at the Analyst Day, you kind of felt like you had it under control, but this wouldn't necessarily suggest that. But now that you've reset expectations, are you feeling an increased confidence? Or are you still trying to figure out how these levers are moving?

David A. Henry

Analyst · AGP.

Yes. I would say we're encouraged by the July results on the metrics that gives us a sense that the modeling that we do internally is making sense versus what we're seeing. And so I would say the answer to that is I think we have identified -- I mean, there's a -- there's a lot of issues there and that we've talked about in the call. But I think we've identified most of them, and we have put plans in place to deal with those things. And we -- and where there's things like it's the leads, we've put fixes in place or it's things like a higher percentage of patients being disqualified. We know that, and we're dealing with it. We're putting plans in place to assume that, that continues and deal with it.

Operator

Operator

Next question comes from the line of Sean Lee with H.C. Wainwright.

Sean Lee

Analyst · H.C. Wainwright.

My first one is on reimbursement. So you mentioned you're seeing a higher percentage of challenges, denials, especially from Medicare Advantage payers. So I was wondering whether you're seeing the same thing from commercial payers and whether this high number of denials is more of an industry trend that you're seeing or more specifically related to the lower quality leads that you've had in Q2? And do you expect this number to improve in the second half?

Paul R. Gudonis

Analyst · H.C. Wainwright.

Sean, so what we've seen is, I think what the whole health care provider industry is seeing is that these Medicare Advantage plans are trying to deny to delay approvals. And so we are taking more to hearings, and we're winning more. In fact, our winning percentage has increased over the last 2 months because we have a strong medical case, and we have a strong legal case based on the code of federal regulations. On the commercial plans, some follow the same approach as Medicare Advantage. However, I can tell you that we are getting authorizations with commercial plans such as some of the Blue Cross Blue Shield plans where we've entered into contracts. And as I mentioned on previous calls and as Dr. Coleman presented at the Analyst Day, we're getting more and more state Blue Cross Blue Shield plans under contract, and that's facilitating authorizations under those plans.

Sean Lee

Analyst · H.C. Wainwright.

Great. My last question is on the supply side. So you mentioned a part of the reason for the higher cost of goods was the increased supply cost. I was wondering whether these were related to the recent tariffs? And if we expect this number to hold steady for the rest of the year?

David A. Henry

Analyst · H.C. Wainwright.

Yes. To clarify, I mentioned higher material costs, but that's not necessarily due to pricing increases. That's due to things like higher material used for like warranty, for example, warranty work, higher inventory adjustments that might happen during the quarter. So for things like that. We haven't seen too much in the way of price increases yet as it relates to tariffs, and we've only had, I think, a couple of vendors actually start to actually place price increases on us for that. So it's not meaningful right now. We put out -- we analyzed this a few months ago, and we still expect that the impact from tariffs might be only about 100 basis points on gross margin this year.

Operator

Operator

Next question comes from the line of Jeremy Pearlman with Maxim Group.

Jeremy Pearlman

Analyst · Maxim Group.

First question related to -- you mentioned earlier on the call that the leads from Facebook were of a lower quality than what you experienced in the past. Maybe do you have any reason why you think that was? And you did say you were shifting some of your -- the ad spend into television. Is there -- do you think that these lower quality Facebook social media leads are something that that's what's going to be in the future? Or is there a way to get that back to the higher quality leads that you've had in the past?

Paul R. Gudonis

Analyst · Maxim Group.

While Meta, which owns Facebook, implemented some new privacy policies around health care earlier in the year, similar to what Apple did with its iOS operating system a couple of years ago in that they used to be able to provide you with a more targeted group of people who might have been interested in stroke or rehab and so on. And that was very successful for us for the last several years. But with this change at the beginning of the year, we had to do some workarounds, look at what I call lookalike groups and so on. And we just found that the leads we were getting from Facebook, while the volume was increasing, they weren't as high quality, meaning the patients -- or whoever was responding to the leads have just been very curious or they weren't responsive to our call center. We make thousands of calls back to leads every month. And we just found that they weren't as engaged as in the past. So we just said, as Dave mentioned, we're shifting our dollars to what works. And so in our case, the targeted TV advertising we use has worked. We get more response to our call center and the ads there. And then will it change with Facebook? I don't know. We're kind of expecting it to be status quo. We'll see if we still put some of our advertising dollars into Facebook, but we've also diversified it to YouTube, Google ads and so on. So I can't tell if it's going to improve at Facebook or not.

Jeremy Pearlman

Analyst · Maxim Group.

Okay. Understood. And then I know you mentioned that roughly half of your pipeline adds come from leads within the past 30 days and then the rest 6 to 12 months. Is there any -- is there anything you could do to maybe shorten that 6- to 12-month time frame? Just -- I mean, again, just my assumption that a patient who's engaged initially might be more -- might be a higher quality than someone comes back 6 to 12 months down the line. Is there any way to shorten that time frame?

Paul R. Gudonis

Analyst · Maxim Group.

Well, we engage with the patients. We follow up with them. We'll send them information either online or by mail. And some people have been like waiting for this. And so it's like, yes, get me screened. I'm going to my doctor and so on. And we've seen a number of people. This is not like buying an impulse item. They say, this looks interesting. Let me talk to my family about it. Maybe I'll go back to my doctor. I'll go talk to other people. I'll go talk to the rehab hospital. Now there's only so much we can do because -- and there's a good part of our presentation during the Investor Analyst Day that talks about the steps in that patient journey, that we stay in touch with them. They're in our CRM system. We've got thousands of these people who've expressed an initial interest, and we find that they do come back. And when they come back, they are engaged because they say, okay, now I've thought about it. I want to move ahead.

Jeremy Pearlman

Analyst · Maxim Group.

Okay. Understood. And just last question from us. You mentioned, I think you said roughly 8% of the workforce was cut to help lower expenses, reduce expenses. Is there any part of the business that you're or plans that you had that are being pushed off now and delayed until, let's say, revenue comes back up to expectations? Or it's going to be business as usual in this you were able to find cuts that didn't -- are not affecting your really the day-to-day in your plan that you had?

Paul R. Gudonis

Analyst · Maxim Group.

Well, look, it's always tough to do a riff. We looked at how can we not impact the company's operations, both from a revenue perspective as well as quality of operations. We basically pretty much across the board, except in a few clinical areas, which are absolutely critical to the company's and the patient's success. We took down some headcount there. And as they pointed out, we're not adding any headcount because until we see that revenue growth, we're staffed up right now to build 80 to 120 devices a month. So that's kind of our target is let's get to that level of revenue units.

Operator

Operator

Next question comes from the line of Edward Woo, Ascendiant Capital.

Edward Moon Woo

Analyst

It looks like you had another strong quarter in international, particularly Germany. Is there -- what's working over there? And is there any plans to accelerate growth even more than you have?

Paul R. Gudonis

Analyst

Well, in Germany, you're right, it's our strongest growing segment year-to-date. And they've done a good job with recruiting, training O&P providers, and they've got over 100 locations now that are certified on the MyoPro. And they also have a whole clinical team that has -- goes out to the rehab clinics and sources patients from those clinics, attends a lot of medical conferences. I've been to some like OT World. And that's been a good source of patient candidates. We're actually replicating some of that success here in the U.S. now going forward.

Edward Moon Woo

Analyst

Great. Is there any plans for you to maybe step on the gas in Germany?

Paul R. Gudonis

Analyst

We are continuing to add a few more people in Germany. It's about hiring more business development managers and hiring more clinical staff. John Frijters, our Head of International, will tell you that the unemployment rate for occupational therapists is 0.6%. So our challenge there is recruiting quality therapists who want to leave the rehab hospital and come joining us. But we've been successful in doing that and the team is very motivated once they join the company.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Paul Gudonis for closing remarks.

Paul R. Gudonis

Analyst

Well, thank you all for your questions and for your ongoing interest in Myomo. And there was a lot to unpack in today's release, and I hope we've conveyed that we are making the adjustments that will lead to continued revenue growth and greater efficiency in our operations. And we appreciate the support of our shareholders and the Board as we drive the business forward, these goals of penetrating this large market to serve many more patients with chronic arm paralysis and building sustainable, profitable business here at Myomo. We'll speak to you again in about 3 months when we report out our Q3 financial results. Have a nice evening, everyone. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.