Earnings Labs

The Marzetti Company (MZTI)

Q3 2023 Earnings Call· Sat, May 6, 2023

$126.37

-0.96%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.
Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. My name is Carmen, and I will be your conference call facilitator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Lancaster Colony Corporation Fiscal Year 2023 Third Quarter Conference Call. Conducting today’s call will be Dave Ciesinski, President and CEO; and Tom Pigott, CFO. [Operator Instructions] And now to begin the conference call, here is Dale Ganobsik, Vice President of Corporate Finance and Investor Relations for Lancaster Colony Corporation.

Dale Ganobsik

Analyst

Good morning everyone and thank you for joining us today for Lancaster Colony’s fiscal year 2023 third quarter conference call. Our discussion this morning may include forward-looking statements, which are subject to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially, and the company undertakes no obligation to update these statements based upon subsequent events. A detailed discussion of these risks and uncertainties is contained in the company’s filings with the SEC. Also note that the audio replay of this call will be archived and available at our company’s website, lancastercolony.com later this afternoon. For today’s call, Dave Ciesinski, our President and CEO, will begin with the business update and highlights for the quarter. Tom Pigott, our CFO, will then provide an overview of the financial results. Dave will then share some comments regarding our current strategy and outlook. At the conclusion of our prepared remarks, we’ll be happy to respond to any of your questions. Once again, we appreciate your participation this morning. I’ll now turn the call over to Lancaster Colony’s President and CEO, Dave Ciesinski. Dave?

Dave Ciesinski

Analyst

Thanks, Dale and good morning everyone. It’s a pleasure to be here with you today as we review our third quarter results for fiscal year 2023. In our fiscal third quarter, which ended March 31, and we were pleased to report both record sales and higher profits. Consolidated net sales increased 15.2% to 465 million, while consolidated gross profit improved 37.9% and to 94.2 million. Operating income reached 29.4 million compared to an operating loss of 7.6 million last year. Prior year operating income included a restructuring and impairment charge of 22.7 million. The Retail segment reported Q3 net sales of 247 million, up 16% and driven by the favorable impact of pricing actions to offset inflation and strong volume growth of 6%. The volume growth measured in pounds shipped was driven by the continued success of our licensing program and double-digit growth for our New York Bakery frozen garlic bread products. In licensing, Buffalo Wild Wings sauces, RV sauces, Chick-fil-A sauces and Olive Garden dressings, all contributed to volume growth. IRI data for our fiscal third quarter showed sales gains from marquee retail brands and notable share gains for our category-leading New York Bakery and Sister Schubert brands. New York Bakery’s leading share of the frozen garlic bread category grew 350 basis points to 43.5%. In Sister Schubert’s leading share of the frozen dinner roll category increased 150 basis points to 53.1%. In our Foodservice segment, net sales grew over 14% to 218 million, driven by pricing actions, volume gains for several national account customers and higher demand for our branded foodservice products. In total, Foodservice segment volume increased less than 1%. Excluding the sales of some less profitable product lines that were discontinued during the past year, foodservice volume was up over 4%. During Q3, we continued to experience high levels of inflation for raw materials and packaging. That said, through the benefit of our pricing actions, PNOC or pricing net of commodities was favorable versus the prior year. This is a continuation of the trend that began in Q1 of this year in which we were recovering some of the negative PNOC we experienced last year. We also benefited from another quarter of sequential improvement in cost savings attributed to productivity gains. In the quarters ahead, we will maintain our focus on supply chain productivity, value engineering and revenue management to improve our financial performance. Before I turn it over to Tom, I’d like to extend my sincere thanks to the entire Lancaster Colony team for their ongoing commitment and contributions to our improved operational and financial performance. I’ll now turn the call over to Tom Pigott, our CFO, for his commentary on our third quarter results. Tom?

Tom Pigott

Analyst

Thanks, Dave. Overall, the results for the quarter reflected continued top and bottom line growth driven by pricing actions that offset inflationary costs, improved supply chain performance and strong volume growth versus the prior year quarter. Third quarter net sales increased by 15.2% to $464.9 million, this growth was driven by pricing and volume, decomposing the 15.2% increase in revenue, 11.3 percentage points were driven by pricing with the remaining 3.9 percentage points driven by volume and a more favorable sales mix. Consolidated gross profit increased by $25.9 million or 37.9% to $94.2 million. The increase in gross profit reflected favorable PNOC improved supply chain performance and higher volume. If you recall, in Q3 of fiscal ‘22, we had negative PNOC as we [indiscernible] the rapid run-up in costs. We continue to recover those losses – while our commodity inflation was approximately 20% this quarter our pricing actions offset this increase and the prior year shortfall. As it relates to the improved supply chain performance, in the prior year quarter, we experienced a high level of supply chain disruption resulting in higher costs. This quarter, execution improved, and the company generated cost savings that contributed to the improved gross profit performance. Finally, both segments reported volume growth despite the impact of the product discontinuations. Selling, general and administrative expenses increased 18.9% or $10.3 million. The increase reflects higher incentive compensation, investments to support the growth of the business and charges resulting from the settlement of lawsuits. The investment to support the growth of the business included higher consumer spending and increased brokerage costs. Consumer spending is increasing in the second half to drive volume growth as our product supply position has improved. Expenditures for Project Ascent, our ERP initiative, were down as the project progressed into its later stages. Costs…

Dave Ciesinski

Analyst

Thanks, Tom. As we look ahead, Lancaster Colony will continue to leverage the combined strength of our team, our operating strategy and our balance sheet in support of the three simple pillars of our growth plan – to: one, accelerate core business growth; two, simplify our supply chain to reduce our cost and grow our margins; and three, to expand our core with focused M&A and strategic licensing. In our fiscal fourth quarter, we anticipate retail sales to benefit from our licensing program incremental growth from new products, flavors and sizes that we introduced this fiscal year. And in foodservice, we expect continued volume growth from several of our national chain restaurant customers. It’s worth noting that our consolidated net sales will compare to last year’s fourth quarter that benefited from an estimated 25 million in incremental net sales attributed to the advanced customer orders ahead of our July 1 ERP go-live date for Wave 1. Cost inflation will remain a headwind to our financial results, but we expect our pricing actions and cost savings initiatives to offset the increased cost. Finally, I’d like to provide you with an update on the implementation phase of our ERP initiative, Project Ascent. As we shared previously, this past July, we successfully completed Wave 1 of the implementation – and in October, we completed Wave 2. During our fiscal third quarter, we successfully completed Wave 3 of the implementation, adding our largest dressing and sauce production facility in Horse Cave, Kentucky to the new system. The implementation went as planned, but as expected, we did incur some incremental cost as production and service were unfavorably impacted by the ERP system cutover process. I’m happy to report that the team has successfully addressed those issues. We expect to complete the final wave of Project Ascent in the coming months with the implementation phase scheduled to conclude during our fiscal first quarter. I would like to extend my sincere thanks to all of my teammates for their ongoing efforts on this important strategic initiative. This concludes our prepared remarks for today and we would be happy to answer any questions you might have.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And it comes from the line of Todd Brooks with The Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

Todd Brooks

Analyst

Hey, thanks. Good morning, everybody.

Dave Ciesinski

Analyst

Good morning.

Tom Pigott

Analyst

Good morning.

Todd Brooks

Analyst

A couple of questions for me, if I may. One, can we dive into the SG&A spend a little bit. I’d love to get some color going forward, maybe what the legal charges that were in that total? And then talk about maybe the higher level of customer spending that was expected in the back half of the year, if that was either outsized versus prior expectations or if we just were too conservative in our modeling of G&A?

Tom Pigott

Analyst

Okay. Todd. So I’ll take you through that. So as we – in the quarter, the incentive compensation increase year-over-year was $4 million. And really, what we had is the case where last year, on the financial performance of the business was below the overall company’s expectations. And this year, it’s exceeding. So – so that $4 million is more of a transitory item that is kind of a catch-up for the first half of the year as well as the third quarter. The legal settlements were related to closed businesses and that was $2 million. So that $6 million is more transitory in nature. Then when you get into the next bucket, you’re really – we’re really talking about the things that invest to grow. The consumer spending was up $1 million and the brokerage was up a couple of million dollars. And then the last driver I’ll touch on is really the SAP costs in the core business, and that’s the amortization and the licensing costs from going live on the new software. So those are the key items I want to hit on. In terms of the outlook for Q4, we’re going to continue to invest to grow to support the business. So we do expect the consumer spend to be sequentially higher than last year as their supply position has improved, and we continue to want to drive volume growth. and we will continue to spend on Ascent. Some of those transitory costs, particularly the legal and some of the bonus won’t be repeating. So sequentially, we do expect the overall spend to decline in the fourth quarter.

Todd Brooks

Analyst

Perfect. That’s really helpful. Thanks. And then my final question and I’ll jump back in queue. And this is just trying to level set everybody. So Dave, you teased out the $25 million that we’re up against in this quarter that was a pull forward. But you also talked in the release about some potential pull forward into the March quarter from just Easter timing and the Easter shift. Is there an impact that we think about as we’re thinking about the Retail segment based on that timing? Maybe what type of revenue do you estimate was pulled forward into the market?

Dave Ciesinski

Analyst

First, Todd, I’ll start just talking about Q3, and then maybe we will talk about the outlook for Q4. For Q3, Easter was a contributor, but it was really a more modest contributor. The bigger driver in the swing on volume was shipments behind new items that we’re launching. So in particular, sort of a range of those sauce items that have gone out, the larger size of play, for example, and some of the others. And the other driver on volume has been just the strength of the Buffalo Wild Wings proposition as we’ve been able to bring online incremental capacity as we’ve had some of the viral marketing that’s taken place, we’ve seen that business continue to run. As we look forward in Q4, I think it’s important for you and for the others to continue to track. We did have that $25 million pull forward last year. $10 million of that was in retail, $15 million of that was in Foodservice. Importantly, as we think about what the volume outlook might be like for the consolidated business, we continue to see a pathway to modest overall volume growth for the business in Q4. If you then screw in a little bit tighter and you look at the retail business, we see line of sight there probably to possibly on an organic basis as much as mid to mid-single-digit volume growth on that business. So we continue to feel good about it.

Todd Brooks

Analyst

That’s really helpful. Thanks. I’ll jump back in queue.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And it comes from the line of Andrew Wolf with C.L. King. Please proceed.

Andrew Wolf

Analyst

Hi, thanks and also good morning.

Dave Ciesinski

Analyst

Good morning.

Andrew Wolf

Analyst

As on – kind of the state of trade relations kind of an open-ended question a bit. Just the retailers, most of the supermarket chains or certainly the sectors having negative volumes, it’s not horrible elasticities, but it seems like all this pricing has caught up to the trade a bit. Some brands are losing share to private label, some of yours were. Now they are not. What is this data play overall with price increases into saying, hey, we need another round of increases to retailer X, Y and Z? And second, what is the state of play with them asking for ramped-up promotions? I see you talked about your customer side, which goes through G&A, but more of the net sales one, which goes into the retail trade. Are they asking for more of that as well?

Dave Ciesinski

Analyst

So Andrew, maybe I’ll start by talking about – I’ll start with retail about those conversations at the highest level. And I would characterize them as continuing to be very constructive. The last thing we want to do is go in and talk just about pricing to our customers. And the unfortunate reality is, in the last couple of years because of the rate of inflation we’ve had, we’ve had a lot of conversations about pricing. We’ve been able to counter those conversations by always being able to talk about new item launches and other things that we’re doing with them to drive outsized growth. So I think – as I think about the disposition of our relationship with our retailers, I would put them in a very constructive category because we’re in there talking about not just pricing, but a lot about volumetric growth and category growth ideas. I don’t know if that’s necessarily the case for all of our peers, but I can tell you that’s sort of where we stand today. As far as pricing is concerned we have had some tough conversations, and we continue to price through the first half of the year. We haven’t taken any pricing since the last time that we’ve talked. Our retail business remains not positive. And to the grid to which we need to go back into the marketplace and have conversations around pricing, we fully expect those conversations to be a whole lot more tough than they were in, let’s say, the last 18 months. So now your other question is what can we expect to see on the trade front. And what I would tell you is, to-date, we have not been getting lots of pressure to increase our trade rate on our items. Where I would…

Andrew Wolf

Analyst

Thank you. Appreciate that. Quick follow-up just on the foodservice side, you’ve been kind of rationalizing some either items or contracts that were low margin. And I think you said it was a lot or 4% volume impact. When does that cycle?

Dave Ciesinski

Analyst

We are really cycling through the end of that. You’ll see a little bit of an impact in Q4 and then it will have essentially run its course. The foodservice team beyond rationalizing customers has done a tremendous job of rationalizing SKUs – and that’s been a really important contributor to their ability to improve their margins overall. I mean it’s – I mean we’re talking strong double-digit decreases in items that are helping us simplify that business to create better operating leverage. They deserve a lot of credit in that space.

Andrew Wolf

Analyst

Great. Thank you.

Dave Ciesinski

Analyst

Thanks, Andrew.

Tom Pigott

Analyst

Thanks, Andrew.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And it comes from the line of Connor Rattigan with Consumer Edge. Please proceed.

Connor Rattigan

Analyst

Hey, guys. Good morning. Thanks for the question.

Dave Ciesinski

Analyst

Hi, Connor.

Tom Pigott

Analyst

Hi, Connor.

Connor Rattigan

Analyst

So obviously, a really strong top line this quarter, congrats guys. And I was just wondering, maybe could you help us sort of understand the drivers here a little bit better. So obviously, the license portfolio was crucial, but I’m just wondering maybe how much of that 6% retail volume growth was due to just given that you’re comping a pretty launch quarter. And also on the food service side, is that increased demand that you guys called out, just incremental placements or higher consumption at existing locations?

Dave Ciesinski

Analyst

Sure. So the Arby’s contribution was a little less than 20% to that. So it was a notable contributor, and we continue to be excited about how that proposition is performing. We also saw Buffalo Wild Wings was a strong contributor to that. To play was a strong contributor to that as well. And our own brand, in this case, New York Texas Toast was a strong contributor as well. The supply chain team has done a really nice job continuing to figure out how to wring out incremental capacity and our selling and marketing organization has done a nice job of continuing to sell that. I think overall, that brand continues to be a really nice story where whether you’re looking at the 1 year or even a 2-year stack, you’re looking at a business that’s up between 20% and almost 25% on the sales line. And we are also seeing it behind volume growth, as I noted here.

Connor Rattigan

Analyst

No, that’s great. Really helpful guys. And then also on the cost side as well. So I know you’ve been trending at around 20% inflation for a while. Unless I missed it, do you guys have a 3Q inflation figure you can share? And also sort of around the commentary you respect to pricing and cost savings to cover in place [indiscernible] I guess, we expecting year-over-year margin expansion despite the inflation in 4Q?

Tom Pigott

Analyst

Yes. So, thanks for the question. The Q3 inflationary impact was about 20%. And it does begin to moderate a bit in Q4. When we look at the natural dilution from higher prices and higher commodities, we are looking at more of a 150 basis point impact year-over-year. But then as you look at the offsets, we get a better contribution from the cost savings initiatives value engineering. We’ve talked about improved sales mix and the discontinuations Dave mentioned in-sourcing. All of that will help us mitigate that natural dilution we get in Q4. So, we are looking at kind of a consistent gross margin percentage versus the prior year in the fourth quarter.

Dave Ciesinski

Analyst

And then beyond that, we haven’t given specific guidance on the outlook. But I think what I would share with you is, as you might expect, it is moderating. We are seeing oil moderate. We are seeing some of the other categories moderate like eggs, particularly more recently, but they are being offset by other categories that are continuing to run, particularly sweeteners. So, we will have more to share with you on that as we come out with our Q4 results.

Connor Rattigan

Analyst

Okay. Perfect guys. And I am just going to squeeze one more quick one in here. And the track data that we see, it really looks like just kind of following that additional rollout track similar to Chick-fil-A. So, I guess just how happy are you guys made with the rollout to-date? And is it just roughly in line with our expectations or maybe running slightly ahead?

Dave Ciesinski

Analyst

I would say it’s in line with our expectations. What we have learned with every one of these, Connor, is that it just takes time for our retail partners to get them cut into the shelf to get the right number of facings on the shelf for consumers to become aware and for the items to turn. And that is very, very true with the Arby’s proposition. And it’s – I mean across the longer arc of time, I think it’s true with Buffalo Wild Wings. What you ordinarily see when you come out with a brand like this that, let’s say, has awareness because of the restaurant, but doesn’t necessarily have retail trial is retailers initially cut it in wherever they can place it. So, usually it’s going to be two phasings maybe for the bottom or the top of the shelf. They really don’t make a dramatic change to the planogram. Then as that item starts to turn, what happens is you will see it migrate from the bottom to the top of the shelf a little bit closer to the bull’s eye. And then they will change the mix of items. You could go from two or four facing sometimes to six and they will dial in the mix of those SKUs to make sure that they have the right amount. It was true with Olive Garden, true with Chip [ph]. We are seeing it in Buffalo Wild Wings. And that same thing seems to be playing out on Arby’s. So, it’s very much running in line with what we thought, and we are just thrilled that Arby’s was willing to partner with us on this proposition. Our team has done a great job of just loving on that business and executing it in retail.

Connor Rattigan

Analyst

Alright. Thanks for the color guys. That was great as always. Appreciate it.

Dave Ciesinski

Analyst

Of course, thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We have a question, one moment, please. We have a follow-up from the line of Andrew Wolf from C.L. King. Please proceed.

Andrew Wolf

Analyst

Hi, thank you. Yes. From a strategic question, but it’s with the third wave of the ERP implementation behind you, you have seen – you have handled different phases from beginning phase to getting things up and running and all that, working with a lot of consultants to doing it yourself. It seems you have addressed from the outside at least, kind of all the contingencies and all the process as one would go through. And I want to link this to potential M&A since getting a good ERP system is into a decent-sized target would be a big part of realizing synergies of various kinds. Where are you at with the ERP implementation, as you guys think about it, such that you would have enough confidence to say we can take this target and do all we need to do with integration based on how the ERP implementation has gone?

Dave Ciesinski

Analyst

Sure. As we pointed out, Andrew, in our script, we have gone through Wave 1, Wave 2, Wave 3, so we have taken the financial backbone and the GL, all of that’s on our new system. And then sequentially, we have been rolling in plants and warehouses with our flagship factory in Horse Cave being really what comprised the better part of Wave 3. Now, we still have Wave 4 that’s out there that we are going to be driving in this current quarter. And really what that’s going to be consisting of is bringing the last of our dressing factories, online and two of our dressing warehouses. So, none of this is going to be new art that we are taking on in Wave 4. It’s just – you want to make sure that you have enough people in place to perform hybrid care as you are fundamentally changing the way people are working, so you can service the business. So, we fully expect between now and when we are together with you in August, talking about our Q4, we will have wrapped up our way forward. And really, our release one, as we call it, will be complete. What we expect to do at that point in time is really to focus around a period that we are calling stabilization, utilization and training. What after really fundamentally changing the way people work in our factories and our warehouses just bedding down the system, cleaning up the remnants of broken glass that may still exist and focusing on helping our people in those plants get far more efficient and effective in how they are doing this work. Now, all of that also creates a window for us to talk about M&A. And that’s an item that we are very,…

Andrew Wolf

Analyst

Thank you. And a follow-up on the training and utilization part that you will be entering into fiscal ‘24. Just as a sense of my experience or my understanding of ERPs is after all the – what you just described the process, all the training and utilization, it’s kind of cumulative, it’s sort of crawl, walk, run and then potentially exponential benefits if it really goes well. Do you feel you need to have some legs behind that before you would get a target acquired because alright, you feel good about implementation, but do you also want to feel good about getting the payoff that you expected, or do you feel you can implement and learn the payoff simultaneously and just bringing in new business as well?

Dave Ciesinski

Analyst

I guess the way I would – the way we are thinking about it here in Columbus, Andrew, is really a reflection of the total weight on the branch, right. How much weight do we have on the branch for the organization. In the last – let’s call it, the middle chunk that – well, the better part of this whole year has had a lot of weight on the branch. We have had the ERP implementation. But the other thing we have done is we have doubled the size in square footage of our flagship factory, and that in and of itself brings with it a fair amount of complexity. So, we are seeing the weight of the branch from the expansion start to diminish. The weight of the branch from ERP will diminish. So, I wouldn’t go so far as to say we feel like we have to have the system infected before we could entertain an acquisition. But I think we would have to be able to look at the business and look at all the other things that we have going on and feel like there is a sufficient amount of weight available for the branch for us to take on an acquisition and make sure that we could service our strategic customers, retail and foodservice operators seamlessly.

Andrew Wolf

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] I am not showing any further questions. I will turn the call back to Mr. Ciesinski for his concluding comments.

Dave Ciesinski

Analyst

Thank you, operator and thank you everyone for your participation this morning. We look forward to sharing with you our fourth quarter results when we are back together in August. Have a great day.

Operator

Operator

Thank you again for participating and you may now disconnect.