Alexander Shulgin
Analyst · Morgan Stanley
Thank you, Arkady, and thank you all for joining us today. In the fourth quarter 2012, Yandex consolidated revenues increased 37% year-on-year to RUB 8.8 billion, taking our full year revenues to RUR 29 billion, a 44% increase year-on-year. Contextual or text-based advertising accounted for 87% of total revenues in Q4 and continued to grow at a healthy pace of 40% year-on-year, faster than the overall Russian online advertising market. Yandex-owned sites constituted 70% of total revenue, while advertising network contributed 17%. Yandex advertising network grew 41% year-on-year, generally in line with our owned sites. As you will recall, in Q4, we left several changes we made to the Yandex Ad Network, as well as the inclusion of Rambler. Display advertising accounted for 11% of our revenue in Q4 and grew 12% year-on-year, considerably faster than the 4% growth posted by the overall market. The remaining 2% of our revenue came from Yandex.Money and other sources. As Arkady mentioned, in December 2012, we announced the joint venture with Sberbank. Under the terms of the JV, we are to receive $60 million from Sberbank for a 75% stake in Yandex.Money. We will retain a blocking 25% stake in Yandex.Money once this transaction is completed in Q2 of this year. Our advertising network TAC grew in line with our network revenues, while distribution TAC grew slightly faster than our own integrated revenue. But the increase in distribution TAC as a percentage of O&O revenue was very modest at only 24 basis points. Total TAC increased 41% year-on-year. TAC-based revenue was driven by growth in paid clicks, which increased 26% year-on-year; and by growth in cost per click, which grew 11%. Since we left the technology initiatives that I mentioned, we returned to a normalized growth pattern under which paid clicks cost lower than overall revenue, while cost per click increased. Before I address our costs, I wanted to briefly mention LiveInternet. Many of you called that follow our market share data as reported by LiveInternet. Since the end of 2012, LiveInternet is reporting that our share has increased by about 2%. And so while we agree with the direction of our market share developments, we would caution you against overreliance on daily LiveInternet data, as we believe that for a number of technical reasons, LiveInternet slightly overstates our share. Now turning to our cost structure. Our total operating costs and expenses, excluding traffic acquisition costs and depreciation and amortization expense, grew 53% in Q4 and 43% for the full year. Excluding stock-based compensation and other noncash items, our costs grew 45% in Q4 and 38% for the full year. Personnel costs remain our largest cost item. In Q4, we added 154 employees, of which, 78 were in product development. Our total personnel costs increased 44% year-on-year in Q4 and remained at 18% of revenue as in previous quarter. The increase of personnel costs is partially driven by contingent considerations related to the acquisition of SPB Software. U.S. generally accepted accounting principles require us to report part of this acquisition price as personnel expense. Excluding this noncash item, the growth of personnel cost in Q4 over the same period last year was 28%. Growth in SG&A in Q4 was primarily driven by our browser marketing campaign in Russia and in Turkey and an acquisition-related charge. Our depreciation and amortization expense for the quarter increased 48%, with its growth rate in excess of revenue growth rate, primarily driven by last year's forward investments in servers and data centers. Our adjusted EBITDA grew 30% year-on-year; and our adjusted EBITDA margin was 48%, up sequentially, but down from 51% 1 year ago. This quarter, the impact from ForEx effect on our net margins was quite minimal, a RUB 17 million gain, primarily related to dollar denominated liabilities in our balance sheet, helped the rubles transit from 30.9 as of September 30, 2012, to 38.4 on December 31, 2012. Our effective income tax rate in Q4 was 22.7%, in line with Q3 effective tax rate of 22.5%. This reflects management's intention to continue to reinvest cash and write it in Russia without upstreaming dividends to our parent holding company in the Netherlands. Adjusted net income after adjusting for the effects of share-based compensation, foreign exchange gain from the losses and the RUB 173 million of contingent compensation related to the acquisitions of SPB Software, grew 35%; and adjusted net income margin was 34%. Our Q4 CapEx was RUB 1 billion or 11% of revenue, a considerable change compared with Q3 when CapEx was at 21% of revenue. As we mentioned on our previous call, CapEx is not usually evenly spread across quarters. For the full year, CapEx was 14% of revenue, below our guidance of 15% to 18% of revenue. Turning to our balance sheet, we ended the quarter with around $900 million in cash and investments. Now let me spend a few minutes on guidance. On a like-for-like basis, after removing Yandex.Money from our 2012 and 2013 figures, we expect earnings to grow from 28% to 32% in 2013. Please note that we will still continue to report Yandex.Money in our consolidated results until the transaction with Sberbank is complete. To put it differently, we expect our 2012 advertising revenues of RUB 28.2 billion to grow 28% to 32%. We are not explicitly forecasting the revenues associated with Yandex.Money, even though we'll continue to recognize its revenues until the deal is closed. I apologize if this is a bit more complicated than it has to be, but it has to deal with the accounting treatment of this transaction. Since we are going to have a blocking stake in Yandex.Money after the deal closes, we cannot treat it as discontinued operation today. After the transaction is completed, we'll be recognizing our share of the JV earnings in the other income line on our income statement. And now I will turn the call over to the operator for the Q&A session.