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Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. (NCDL)

Q2 2024 Earnings Call· Sun, Aug 11, 2024

$14.31

+1.13%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to the Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. Second Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. A question-and-answer session will follow the management team's prepared remarks. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded for replay purposes. I'd like to turn the call over to Alona Gornick, Senior Investment Strategist at Churchill Asset Management. Alona, please go ahead.

Alona Gornick

Analyst

Good morning, and welcome to Nuveen Churchill Direct Lending Corp. Second Quarter 2024 Earnings Call. Today, I'm joined by NCDL's Chairman, President and CEO, Ken Kencel; and Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer, Shai Vichness; as well as Robert Paun, Head of Investor Relations for Retail & Wealth here at Churchill. Following our prepared remarks, we will be available to take your questions. Today's call may include forward-looking statements. Such statements involve known and unknown risks uncertainties and other factors, and undue reliance should not be placed thereon. These forward-looking statements are not historical facts, but rather are based on current expectations, estimates and projections about the company, our current and prospective portfolio investments, our industry, our beliefs and opinions and our assumptions. These statements are not guarantees of future performance and are subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors, some of which are beyond our control and difficult to predict. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed or forecasted in the forward-looking statements. We ask that you refer to the company's most recent filings with the SEC for important risk factors. Any forward-looking statements made today do not guarantee future performance and undue reliance should not be placed on them. The company assumes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements at any time. Our earnings release, 10-Q and supplemental earnings presentation are available on the Investor and News section of our website at ncdl.com. Now I'd like to turn the call over to Ken.

Kenneth Kencel

Analyst

Thank you, Alona, and thank you, everyone, for joining us on the call today. I'd like to start by taking a few minutes to discuss NCDL's results for the second quarter, and then I'll provide some thoughts on the current market and economic environment and our outlook for the coming months. After that, I'll hand -- I'll hand the call over to Shai for a more detailed discussion of our performance. Overall, I'm very pleased with the momentum we've maintained since our last call. Our performance continues to be strong as we delivered net investment income that exceeded both our regular quarterly distribution of $0.45 per share and our $0.10 per share special distribution. Investment activity picked up significantly during the second quarter with $360 million of new originations, over 95% of which were first lien senior secured loans, and we delivered an attractive 12.3% annualized dividend yield to shareholders. Our investment portfolio performed well this quarter, largely due to the continued strength of our senior loan investments. Net asset value per share declined modestly quarter-over-quarter primarily driven by unrealized losses on two investments that we placed on nonaccrual, which we will speak about later on in the call. Looking ahead, we are optimistic about NCDL's positioning as a leader in the core middle market, given our long-standing track record, deep network of sponsor relationships an extensive, strong LP commitments across the broader Churchill platform. Looking at the overall market. Credit quality remains strong despite the higher for longer rate environment and inflationary pressures on borrowers. While we are seeing modest spread compression during the first half of the year, we believe that our focus on the core middle market enables us to remain largely insulated from the pricing pressure, increased volatility and generally weaker terms we see in the…

Shai Vichness

Analyst

Thank you, Ken, and thank you all for joining us to review our second quarter results. For the quarter, we earned $0.57 of net investment income per share. And in July, we paid regular and special dividends of $0.45 and $0.10 per share, respectively. In aggregate, this $0.55 dividend equates to an annualized dividend yield of approximately 12.3% based on our quarter end NAV. As a reminder, the $0.10 special dividend that we paid in July is the first of 4 special dividends that we declared at the time of our IPO. The 3 remaining special dividends will be paid through the second quarter of 2025 to shareholders of record as of August 12 and November 11 of this year and February 12, 2025. As discussed previously, we intend to operate with a supplemental dividend program that sees us paying out a portion of the excess earnings over and above our regular dividend, allowing us to deliver the benefits of higher returns in the current environment to shareholders as well as grow our NAV. Our total net income for the quarter was $0.37 per share, driven by $0.20 per share of net realized and unrealized losses. We generated approximately $0.02 per share of realized gains on repayments, which were offset by approximately $0.22 per share of unrealized losses, primarily on two underperforming investments that were placed on nonaccrual during the quarter. Our debt-to-equity ratio at the end of the quarter was 1.04x, which is consistent with the guidance we provided at the time of our IPO. We were pleased with our ability to deploy capital and utilize leverage during the quarter, and we remain on track to optimize leverage through the balance of the year with the goal of maintaining leverage within our target range of 1.0 to 1.25x. Our…

Kenneth Kencel

Analyst

Thank you, Shai. I want to conclude our prepared remarks today by acknowledging the efforts of our team here at Churchill. I am pleased with our results for the quarter and the momentum we have achieved since our IPO. We're excited about the quarter ahead and our ability to deliver an attractive distribution yield to our NCDL shareholders. I will now turn the call over to the operator for Q&A.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Brian Mckenna with JMP Securities. Please state your question.

Brian Mckenna

Analyst

Bryan, thanks. Good morning, everyone. It was great to see the strong pickup in origination activity in the quarter, but there are significantly more add-on deals versus new investments. So what's the outlook for new investments, specifically into the back half of the year? And then we're more than 1 month into the third quarter here. So any early read on the quarter in terms of origination activity or even how the pipeline is refilling for activity post Labor Day?

Kenneth Kencel

Analyst

Great. Thanks, Brian. It's a great question. I guess I would make a couple of comments overall. One is that we continue to be extremely busy on the origination side. I can tell you that -- normally, you get a bit of a slowdown in the summer months, particularly in August. That has not been the case this year. We continue to have a very, very deep backlog, and our pipeline is very robust and that continues as we look through -- through August. And based upon what we're hearing in terms of sale processes and companies being put up for sale, that pipeline looks quite robust as well. So we're -- we are quite optimistic about the balance of Q3 and then into Q4. I would say that we did see a lot of add-on activity. Obviously, we have a very large portfolio across -- across the firm if you look at both our senior lending, junior capital, equity co-invest in over 400 companies across the platform. So we are seeing a significant amount of add-on activity, which obviously, from our perspective, is a good thing since we know the companies. We know their performance and obviously, the sponsors as well. But I would -- I would expect that new deal activity which was quite robust in the second quarter will continue to grow as a percentage of our overall investment activity as we balance out the third quarter and into the fourth quarter. So good new deal activity. Pipeline, obviously, kicking off a lot as well. As I mentioned earlier, we had a record quarter in Q2 in terms of investment activity, and that has not stopped. We're -- we're busy, and we're seeing good quality and obviously remaining very selective.

Brian Mckenna

Analyst

Okay. That's great. And then just a bigger picture question. There's clearly a lot of focus in the market today on the economic outlook into the back half of the year, specifically over the past several days. So it would be great just to get a little bit more detail on what you're seeing across all of your portfolios at Churchill today, not just at NCDL and -- really, what kind of revenue and EBITDA growth are you seeing across portfolio companies? And then are there any new or interesting trends going on? And it's early, but anything just to know even over the past week or so.

Kenneth Kencel

Analyst

Yes. Obviously, it's a bit early to handicap the last few days in terms of assessing what that -- what that will really mean longer term. But I can tell you that on a broader portfolio basis, we track the percentage of our portfolio companies showing revenue growth and EBITDA growth and those metrics remain quite positive. In fact, EBITDA growth across our portfolio, the percentage of company -- portfolio companies, again, this is across all of our investments ticked up during -- during the quarter. So we're seeing the majority of those companies reporting growth in EBITDA and revenue. So from our perspective, we view it as a very, very positive sign. Health of the portfolio, as I mentioned, during our call remains very good. All of our loans start out with a risk rating 4.0 and the overall portfolio right now at DLC is 4.1. So we continue to see good quality in the portfolio, good underlying growth, obviously, an emphasis and focus on strategic M&A add-on acquisitions as a way to enhance that. So we feel very good about -- about those metrics, not just at the DLC level, but more broadly across our overall investment portfolio.

Operator

Operator

And our next question comes from Douglas Harter with UBS. Please state your question.

Douglas Harter

Analyst · UBS. Please state your question.

Hi, I just had two quick questions for you.. So one, you talked about nonaccruals -- two nonaccruals. Do you have any possible insight into resolution for -- for those or any of the nonaccruals that you have to have on your book?

Shai Vichness

Analyst · UBS. Please state your question.

Doug, it's Shai. Thanks for the question. Yes. Is there more?

Douglas Harter

Analyst · UBS. Please state your question.

I mean in regard to like a -- possible timeline for resolutions.

Shai Vichness

Analyst · UBS. Please state your question.

Yes. Look, I would say -- thanks for the question and for joining. It's obviously early in those processes. And as we often do, we get into the situations, we work very closely with the sponsor and the borrowers to get to an attractive resolution for our shareholders. We've spoken in the past about kind of our workout resources, which are robust and are obviously involved here and active in trying to get through resolution. So no specific comments on timeline. But as we always do, we're working hard to -- to try to maximize value on the two new nonaccruals and obviously, anything else in the portfolio that's on that list.

Douglas Harter

Analyst · UBS. Please state your question.

Great. And just in regard to -- do you have any insight in regards to the timeline or the pace of possibly rotating out of the upper middle market loans into the more traditional middle market loans?

Shai Vichness

Analyst · UBS. Please state your question.

Yes. I mean I think as you heard from Ken, both on the call and just in the last question, we continue to enjoy a very robust pipeline of traditional middle market opportunities that we're seeing, obviously, are rotating from the upper middle market deals that we invested in immediately post IPO into the pipeline is market dependent. But based on how we've ramped in the most recent quarter and the pipeline that we're seeing, we're sort of well on our way with respect to that strategy. And you can see it in the numbers in terms of the new -- the yield on the new investments that we made during the quarter. Those were much more heavily weighted towards the traditional middle market, and we would expect that to continue in the coming quarters.

Kenneth Kencel

Analyst · UBS. Please state your question.

Yes. And I would just add to that and -- I agree with all of that. I would add to that, that as we look at the market environment today, we think that the fact that we are largely focused on the core middle market has enabled us to drive what we believe are the most attractive risk-adjusted returns. We're talking about businesses where we get underlying financial covenants, generally lower leverage, pricing premium to be in that core middle market and obviously directly originating those deals. I think that what we continue to see in the second quarter on an ongoing basis is that our model of being a very large and significant LP in -- as I mentioned during the call and over 300 private equity funds, 240-plus advisory board seats, it's a tremendous dynamic that continues to show itself as we drive attractive deal flow. And it's a continuity that enables us to -- to get a first look at transactions and in many cases, the last look. So it's -- I think the power of that very differentiated origination model continues to drive very attractive opportunities in the core middle market where we are directly originating and we're seeing very good value.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Mark Hughes with Truist Securities. Please state your question.

Mark Hughes

Analyst · Truist Securities. Please state your question.

Mark. Yeah, thanks. Good morning. You had pointed out that the overall portfolio you're -- you're benefiting in terms of spread from that migration of the core middle market. But within the middle market, what are you seeing in terms of spreads, say, on kind of the same -- same-store basis?

Kenneth Kencel

Analyst · Truist Securities. Please state your question.

Yes. I would say if you look back over the last six to nine months, we've seen spreads come in a bit in the core middle market, nowhere near as much as we saw in the broadly syndicated market. You saw a much more significant spread compression in the BSL world. And that obviously was a direct result of funds flows into that BSL market and the reemergence really of the CLO market and the loan funds that caused spreads that have tightened quite dramatically in the BSL world. We've seen some more modest impact in our world, roughly 25 basis points quarter-over-quarter. And if you went back six months, I would say that's probably more like 50 basis points. But that compares to a much more significant compression in the BSL world of, call it, 150 or even 200 basis points. So modest compression, nowhere near what we saw in the BSL world, and I would say that quality in terms of new deal activity and certainly when you think -- think through that relative to our level of selectivity, we're very happy with the quality of what we're seeing. And on a relative basis, I think the -- the value of core middle market opportunities compared to BSL has become even more pronounced more recently. So we feel good about what we're seeing and -- and good about the overall underlying spread dynamics in -- in the core middle market.

Mark Hughes

Analyst · Truist Securities. Please state your question.

And -- understood. Maybe a little pressure from the top down from the BSL market on the spreads, but obviously, you're -- you're insulated as you described. How about competition from other direct lenders within the middle market? Is there more capacity out there, more -- more dollars chasing those deals?

Kenneth Kencel

Analyst · Truist Securities. Please state your question.

So it's an interesting dynamic. And this -- these are comments that I know have been echoed by a number of our peers. I think what we're seeing is a dynamic where the largest scale players in the core middle market, and there are obviously 5 to 8 of us or so that -- that really are playing and investing in this world for firms that can underwrite and hold upwards of $400 million, $500 million, $600 million per deal. We see the market right now is consolidating and that those firms -- those handful of firms, of which Churchill is one, are benefiting from that consolidation. The new players firms that are raising $500 million, $1 billion fund, they're not going to be able to issue commitment letters and to fund $300 million, $400 million, $500 million per deal. So I think this is an environment that -- that favors the established players with relationships. Obviously, we, along with that handful of firms compete for opportunities. But we have deep and long-standing relationships in the sponsor community, and that really has enabled us to -- to be on the front line of that kind of -- that quality deal flow. But new entrants are really not impacting in our world. I would say in the lower end of the middle market, that's where you might see that impact where you have a new entrant. They really can't do the larger core middle market deals, they're really limited to more smaller middle market, smaller companies, maybe less established sponsors. So in the world, we plan, it's -- it's a handful of firms that continue to raise significant capital. We obviously continue to raise substantial capital at our platform. We feel very good about that. We had a very good first half of the year in terms of capital raising that enables us to stay in the mix with the larger core middle market deals, and we think that's -- that's where things will play out through the balance of this year. So a smaller number of large-scale players getting access to the quality deals, newer entrants playing at the kind of smaller end of the market. And then you've got the larger end of the market where we generally see terms and structures less attractive to us. So we feel we're in the right place in the market and driving what we believe are the best risk-adjusted returns.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We'll pause to see if there are any remaining questions. Thank you. At this time, we have reached the end of our question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn the floor back over to Ken Kencel for closing comments.

Kenneth Kencel

Analyst

Thank you, everyone, for joining us on the call today. If you have any additional questions, please reach out to our Investor Relations team. I hope everyone enjoys the rest of the summer, and we look forward to speaking with you on our next earnings call. Thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And with that conclude today's conference. All parties may disconnect. Have a good day.