Kurt C. Hall
Analyst · JPMorgan
Thanks, David. Good afternoon, everyone. Welcome and thanks for joining us for our Q2 earnings call. Today, I'll provide a brief review of our Q2 2013 results and make some comments about our progress in our key strategic focus areas. David will then provide a little more detail about our Q2 financial results and guidance for Q3 and full year 2013. And then, as always, we'll open the line for questions. The current quarter was a record quarter for us as we once again exceeded the top end of our adjusted OIBDA guidance range, with 25% adjusted OIBDA growth on 12% total revenue growth. Our ad revenue grew 15%, as both our national and local ad businesses exceeded their internal targets for the second quarter in a row due to the great leadership and hard work of our media sales teams. The quarter also benefited from a low make-good due to the strong June box office. The strong ad revenue growth combined with tight cost controls, several theater acquisitions by our founding member circuits and an increase in Fathom's margins resulted in a 580-basis-point increase in our Q2 2013 adjusted OIBDA margins versus Q2 2012. Our Q2 2013 national revenue growth of 16% is driven by a strong 17% point increase in inventory utilization and 17 -- 7% higher network attendance associated with the strong box office and continued addition of network affiliates. The meaningful increase in utilization reflects our focus on developing unique integrated marketing campaigns for clients, and more aggressively pursuing new client categories with more flexible pricing structures designed to shift budgets from lower priced ad mediums. We have already added 20 new clients in 2013, 11 included in the Q2 2013 revenue, that have never spent with us or had not spent since 2006. These new national clients included businesses in the apparel, restaurant, QSR, toy, print media, computer software and confectionary categories. While we are successfully expanding and changing our client mix, as expected, is putting pressure on CPMs. This, combined with lower Q2 2013 content partner spending versus Q2 2012, resulted in a 9% lower average CPM. You should know, however, through the first 6 months, our CPMs are only down 1.2%. Another key part of our strategy to expand inventory utilization is our participation in the TV upfront process. Participation in this process allows us to work with clients to create unique integrated marketing campaign packages and book multiple flights during their planning process that are consistent with their marketing plans for the coming year. Our Q2 2013 results benefited from several integrated deals and upfront commitments that were put in place during the 2012 process. Given the success of this upfront strategy launched late last year, we held our second upfront presentation on May 15 during TV Upfront Week in New York City. By all measures, this event was a successful event as over 500 clients, media agency and other media executives attended our presentation. While we're making good progress, it will likely take us several years to increase our advanced bookings to our ultimate goal of 70% to 75% of our annual budgets going into the year from just under 60% going into 2013. Having said this, we appear to be trending in the right direction as our Q4 bookings are up nearly 25% and there are several additional deals in discussion. Our local advertising business posted its third consecutive quarter of strong double-digit revenue growth, with Q2 2013 revenue up 16% versus Q2 2012. Our average contract value was up 10% as we continue to expand our regional business and the number of contracts booked increased 6% with the addition of new network affiliates and an increase in spending by smaller businesses that are becoming more comfortable with the economy -- that the economy will improve into the future. Since the beginning of 2012, we added 16 new network affiliates with 976 screens. While the impact of those additions on our local and regional business took a little longer than we had originally anticipated, with this new theaters fully integrated into our digital network and sales process, we expect to continue to benefit from the increase in DMAs and better geographic coverage across DMAs. Our local and regional bookings for the second half of 2013 are currently up 9% over 2012 at the same time last year. Having said this, our local revenue comps get more difficult starting in Q4 2013. While still a small part of our total advertising revenue, our online and mobile initiative continues to be an important part of our integrated bundling strategy that is helping to drive incremental on-screen buys. This integration strategy combined with an 11% increase in Q2 2013 local online sales versus Q2 2012 were the primary drivers of the 25% increase in online and mobile ad revenue versus the first half of 2012. As part of our overall digital strategy, we continue to aggressively pursue our strategy of connecting on-screen ads to the mobile devices of theater patrons to provide a unique wireless promotional platform for our theater circuit partners and ad clients. Earlier this summer, we launched our FirstLook Sync app as part of an integration with Regal's new app. FirstLook Sync is also available in the Apple and Android online stores as a standalone app, or as part of our Movie Night Out app that has now been downloaded by approximately 2 million users. While the usage of this app is still small, the response rates have been significantly higher than market norms. We're hopeful that the distribution of FirstLook Sync will continue to expand as it is integrated with other movie-going apps, including those of our other circuit partners. As mentioned earlier, our competitive positioning continues to benefit from our strategy to expand our national digital network. So far in 2013, we have signed 4 new affiliate theater circuits with approximately 246 screens and 7 million annual attendees as we continue to have promising discussions with several other regional circuits. As of the end of Q2 2013, we had 19,587 total screens in our network, representing a nearly 3% increase in total screens versus the end of Q2 2012. Our founding members have also been very acquisitive with transactions involving individual theaters and the Great Escape, Rave and Hollywood theater circuits. Net of acquire -- dispositions -- require dispositions, our founding members have acquired 109 theaters with 1,437 screens since late 2012. While 97 of these theaters with -- are 1,245 screens were already part of our network, and thus do not expand our reach or impression base, the higher margin theater access fee structure with our founding members will increase our future margins. We should note this benefit is already implicit in our 2013 guidance. It is also important to note that included in these acquisitions are 192 screens and approximately 9 million attendees that will not be added to our network until their Screenvision contract expires in a few years. We currently expect to receive approximately $3 million of integrated -- integration payments annually as compensation for the NCM LLC units that have been issued related to those acquired theaters that are not yet part of our advertising network. We also continue to improve the quality of our network with 97% of our attendance now part of our digital satellite network, with approximately 1,500 -- 15,500 screens representing over 80% of our satellite digital network attendance featuring new, higher quality digital cinema projectors. Our Q2 2013 Fathom Events revenue decreased $2.9 million or 33% versus Q2 2012, due primarily to a decrease in the number of consumer events held, to 15 from 26 during Q2 2012. Some of this decrease was due to fewer Met events as this season's schedule is more heavily weighted to Q4 2012 and Q1 2013. The lower revenue was offset by margin improvements related to 2% higher revenue per event, and lower programming cost percentages, resulting in only a slight decrease in Fathom's operating income versus Q2 2012. The Q3 and Q4 consumer event pipeline looks very promising, with a start of the new Met season, the return of Kirk Cameron, the highly anticipated Mayweather-Canelo fight, 2 comedy events and the resurgence of classic rock music with Grateful Dead, Bruce Springsteen and Def Leppard concert events. As we have mentioned in the past, we have been working with our founding member partners to find a more effective long-term ownership and business structure that would allow the Fathom business to attract more high-quality programming and more effectively leverage its national network. And let NCM management focus its full attention on our growing and much higher margin core advertising business. We should note that for the trailing 12 months ending June 2013, our Fathom Consumer business only represented 6.3% and 1.2% of NCM's total revenue and adjusted EBITDA, respectively. Earlier this week, we signed a nonbinding letter of intent whereby NCM will contribute its Fathom Consumer business into a newly formed LLC, that will be owned 30% by each of our founding member circuits and 10% by NCM LLC. In addition to the 10% ownership interest, NCM will receive a $25 million 6-year 5% note that will be paid in equal annual installments. The note will be guaranteed 1/3 each by the 3 founding member circuits. In order to create a smooth transition, we will continue to provide certain operating and corporate overhead services to the new entity for 9 months after closing for an agreed-upon fee. Due to the related party nature of this transaction, NCM formed a committee of independent directors, which is being advised by Peter J. Solomon Company. Closing is expected in late Q3 or early Q4 of this year. Looking ahead, while we continue to work on a number of late Q3 2013 national advertising and scatter proposals, consistent with comments on our first quarter call, we're expecting lower Q3 revenue and adjusted OIBDA versus 2012. While our Q3 local and regional ad businesses continue to grow, as expected we will not be able to completely replace the record $20 million Q3 2012 national campaign of one of our telecom advertising clients. Despite a lower projected Q3 2013 national ad revenue, with first half adjusted OIBDA up over 22% versus 2012, our 9-month adjusted OIBDA implicit in our Q3 guidance range would represent a record first 9 months for our company. With the shift in our revenue mix from Fathom to our higher-margin advertising business and other margin improvements related to tight cost controls and theater acquisitions by our founding members, we're keeping our annual guidance unchanged but are increasing our annual adjusted OIBDA guidance slightly. This annual guidance reflects the robust first half and the increase in late Q3 and Q4 proposal activity versus this time in 2012. While this increased booking activity may relate to a stronger future economic outlook, we may also be benefiting more meaningfully from some favorable media market trends relating to digital programming fragmentation and the proliferation of the DVR and other ad skipping -- TV ad skipping technology. Our broadening national reach and increasing impression base and unique engaging theater environment where ads can't be skipped, make our core selling proposition stronger than ever. I'll now turn the call over to David, our interim co-CFO, to give you some more details concerning our Q2 2013 financial performance and our Q3 2013 annual guidance. David?