Barry Sloane
Analyst · KBW
Thank you Jenny. I’d like to turn everyone’s attention to page 2 of the power point, where we talk about our full year 2015 financial highlights. Our net asset value was 204 million or approximately $14.06 a share at December 31, 2015. That was an increase from the NAV last reported on October 01 of $13.10 when the Board declared the special dividend. The adjusted net investment income was 22.2 million or $2.06 per share, which is approximately $0.65 per share for Q4. The debt-to-equity ratio was about 66.5% at December 31, 2015. We did a lot of capital raising in the third and fourth quarter of last year. We did a $36 million equity raise, we did a $40 million plus securitization of our uninsured 7(a) loans, and we did an $8 million plus daily bond offering. So the company is very well positioned going forward in terms of cash as well as debt-to-equity ratio going forward. We also announced the stock repurchase program underway which company may repurchase up to a 150,000 shares. Our blackout period will lift this Friday and the window will be open until March 31, and the window will close again based upon our knowledge of earnings. We recently closed in the third quarter of 2014, an $8.2 million Baby Bond deal. It was the first deal of this nature that we did 7.5% notes due 2022, stock symbol NEWTZ. We acquired from your payments in July of 2015 as a controlled portfolio company to add to our merchant processing business. We are excited about the acquisition of Premier, a Long Island based payment processor that combined with UPS Wisconsin to give us a real strong foothold in the market. Premier has been experiencing in 2015 double digit revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth year-over-year. In small business lending highlights, we funded $242 million of 7(a) loans in 2015, an increase of 20% over 2014. That was in line with previously issued guidance. We also are today reaffirming loan funding forecast of 320 million which includes SBA 7(a) loans that [BDC] and SBA 504 loans which originated by one of Newtek’s controlled portfolio companies. We chatted about the Standard & Poor’s securitization that we did, which was done in September of 2015. That was a AA rated transaction sold to investors at a net yield of 2.5%. We’ve had good success so far this year in our double guaranteed loan participation sales. Through March 4, we’ve had a net premium, net to the company of 112.4 and a short weighted-average term of 14.8 years. A few things that we’ve experienced that we’ll focus on the increased pricing that we have achieved; number one, we’ve been issuing smaller loans so far this year, and you’ll see that in future slides. Number two, a negative obviously has been what’s going on in the equity markets, but the debt markets have rallied, which has made government guarantee floaters more valuable and clearly there’s been a flight to quality. So the fact that we have been selling smaller loans in to the secondary market which trades better than larger loans, and I’ll try to clarify that. When you’re selling a $3 million government guarantee piece in to the secondary market, the investors that assemble the government guarantee pieces have larger risk exposure to the one loan. So the smaller loans typically get better pricing, because they can create diversified pools. You will see that this is going to be a trend in our business as we’re moving towards doing more with smaller loans and we’ll explain the technology behind that and the strategy behind that later on in the presentation. One of the things that we wanted to highlight is, if you go to the slide 4 of the presentation at net premium trends; so over the course of the last five years you can see, you’ve really got about 2% band on these government guaranteed floaters from 2011 to 2016. We also showed the weighted average term. You can see the longer the term typically the greater the price. The longer data securities been trade at greater prices, however sometimes the offset is the longer loans which collateralize by commercial real estate tend to be larger. For those of you that are trying to take care at your slide rule and figure out what our premiums are, I will tell you, it’s difficult. But the company does a really good job of managing the referrals that comes in, picking up the best credits to enable itself to meet its guidance and fulfill all of its obligations which you’ll get a better feel for as we go through the rest of the presentation. When you look at the average loan balance of loans sold; in 2015, it’s approximately 900,000, that includes the government guaranteed piece and the uninsured piece. So far this year, and this is through March, that number will pop up a little bit, because towards the end of the quarter you tend to do the larger loans. We are currently averaging around 400,000. I would say that’s one of the primary reasons for the better pricing that we have received in addition to the market performing well on the government guarantee bond side. Smaller loans give us greater efficiencies. I think it’s really important to note, we are not cutting credit. When I say why are smaller loans more efficient? The SBAs’ requirements for documentation in the file require less work. You don’t have to spread three years with balance sheet, you don’t have to spread three years’ worth of income statements. You get to the difference between 15 to 20 tabs in an Excel spreadsheet versus three to five. So efficiencies in doing smaller loans are there. We can get the volumes out of the smaller loans, we can get the greater diversification, we can get the better pricing without cutting in to credit. Basically diversified portfolio of smaller loans is better than larger loans, which I think is one of the reasons why Newtek is an attractive investment opportunity versus other BDCs. One more thing that I will add, while our staff is doing the smaller loans, it gives out staff the ability to focus more on the larger loans and make greater opportunities and the amount of referrals that were being calling through. We’re going to spend some time on that to give the market place and investors a good sense that we think we can grow our originations with the number of looks in our [pearls] that we are currently getting. Slide number 6, we wanted to focus on the loan sale premium income trend. It’s kind of an important slide. It is important to note that the gains that we get, the capital gains from selling the government guarantee pieces do not show up in NII. So on a GAAP basis using BDC GAAP accounting, when you look at NII, this doesn’t show up. Sometimes Reuters will pick up this GAAP number and report that we’ve lost money, which is why we position ourselves when we look at NII on an adjusted basis. These gains do show up in adjusted NII. I’ve heard analysts basically look at these gains on sales and investors and say this is non-reoccurring. You just have to look at the facts. These are reoccurring events, we’ve been in this business for 13 years, we’ve always had gain on sales, its part of what we do. There is a little bit of volatility in numbers, you could see that from the price chart that we previously discussed and obviously our volumes keep increasing which we think is going to occur. We have growing volumes, fairly stable pricing, this looks pretty good, but I want to repeat, it’s really important to understand our business model. We are not a simple BDC that just has coupon, debt, static portfolio of loans. There is more to understanding Newtek, and in 2015 investors got rewarded for it. Looking at our dividend payments, the company declared $20.9 million worth of dividends, cash dividend, the cash quarterly dividends, which came out to $1.76 a share during 2015. That represented approximately 94% of our taxable income. Our taxable income did not exactly match the adjusted NII. It will be a little bit closer in 2016 going forward, but importantly we came in right in the middle of the range in 2015 for our cash dividends versus our taxable income. We paid a one-time special dividend that was paid on December 31, 2015 of $2.69, 27% of that was paid in cash, 73% in newly issued shares. Important to note, that of the 2015 quarterly cash dividends, 35.8% were allocated to qualified dividends. That is a very valuable statistic to understand, because obviously the qualified dividends attack that 15% to 20% rate, they got preferential tax rate versus the ordinary rate. We do believe and we’re going to forecast this at the trends of our dividends which are about 35% to 40% come from the business services entities which have a reoccurring revenue stream, and our tax as portfolio companies are going to be pass-through. So a significant portion of our dividends are going to shareholders at tax advantage rates. Looking forward, the company has forecasted a $1.50 a share or approximately $21.8 million in quarterly dividends that represents a 4.3% gross increase over the $20.9 million in cash dividends for 2015. The Board of Directors declared a $0.35 a share dividend or $5.1 million payable on March 31 to shareholders of record on March 22. If you were to buy the stock today, you would receive that particular dividend. To clear up some confusion, there are investors that have looked at the $0.35 for the first quarter, the straight lined it, they come to $1.40. That’s been consistent with our $1.50. Historically over the course of a decade the company has paid more, has earned more in the second half of the year than the first half of the year. That’s been the part of the payment business being seasonal for the third and the fourth quarter, as well as loan business also having more loan closings, fundings, and gains on sale in the third and fourth quarter as well. On slide number 8, we wanted to point out some examples that might have created confusion by the one-time historic event of the special dividend which was a special dividend because of the requirement to change from C-Corp to a BDC, because of our changing from C-Corp to a BDC, we had to distribute approximately $34 million to $35 million worth of retained earnings. With that said, the special dividend that we issued and were received on December 31 of 2015, created additional shares to shareholders of record in November, I believe it was $1.8 million additional shares. There’s been a lot of confusion with investors looking at what we paid in cash dividends are expected to pay in 2016 versus 2015. We took a look at one example which we have on this chart, the regular quarterly cash dividend which was paid on a cash basis which is how all of you performance based investors are accounted for. You got three quarterly cash dividends of $1.36 and then the cash portion of the special dividend was $0.84 to receive cash of $2,200 for 1,000 shares. In 2016, those shares which if you receive a special dividend - extra shares and didn’t sell the extra shares, you’d have approximately 1150 shares approximately a 15% increase. You would have gotten the $1.50 cash dividend that we anticipate paying, that dividend must be declared by the Board. The only dividend that has been declared is the first quarter dividend of $0.35, and you will receive the $0.40 cash dividend that was already paid from the prior year to come up with cash of $2185, pretty close. Another way to look at it is, if you just look at quarterly cash dividends versus quarterly cash dividends on 1150 shares at $1.50 that’s $1725. On a 1,000 shares at a $1.76, that’s $1760. I have to say this is very close. I know we’re not playing Horse Shoes, but when I hear people say that our dividends are cut this year, I’m kind of scratching my head. On slide number 9, we’re going to focus on Newtek’s differentiated business model from other BDCs. We are internally managed BDC, we don’t pay any base 2% or 20% to an external manager, everything is internal. Our controlled portfolio companies are wholly owned, three of the four for over 10 years, the payroll business for approximately four years. 40% of our BDCs adjusted net investment income was earned from dividends generated at our controlled portfolio companies. That gives you preferred rate very valuable. We’ve been lending for almost 13 years, we’re not new to the business, we don’t purchase re-packaged loans, we don’t use BDOs. We have a real 50 state retail business. The average unguaranteed loan that sits on our books, this is the unguaranteed, uninsured loan but not subordinated 176,000, really offers a tremendous amount diversification to investors. We’re primarily a senior secured first lender, I think that’s real important. When we say we’re a senior secured first lender in the small business phase, we are typically lending to no growth or slow businesses. Frankly, no growth or slow growth businesses have got collateral behind loan our great opportunity for payment, frequency in terms of good quality loans, as well as not having severity. Our competitors tend to lend to modest growth for high growth business, which is the only way they can get compensated for that 10%, 11%, 12%, 13%, 14% rate of interest plus the equity ticker which they need to charge because they are taking 2% and 20% or 4% out of a deal. All of our coupon goes directly to our shareholders not if it’s taking out form of a management phase. We have no direct lending exposure to oil and gas industry. We have few gas stations and convenient stores on the books on a low debt-to-equity ratio, which gives us the ability to raise significant amounts of debt without having to go back to the capital markets provided their NAV maintains stable at $14.06. We do not presently anticipate raising equity in the foreseeable future, we did our capital raising in the third and fourth quarters of last year. On slide 10, you could see internally managed BDCs typically trading the premium. I would point to Hercules, Mainstream and Triangle, KCAP is at a discount. We are clearly currently trading at a discount. On slide number 11, you can look at the breakout of cash flow. Not suggesting that EBITDA is the right way to look at a lender, but you could see that a significant amount of our cash probably in 2015 is coming from the portfolio companies and non-lending businesses. We anticipate that being the same in 2016 and you can see that on slide number 12. When you look at our NAV and you proportionally breakout NAV, the lending business contributes approximately a 110 million or so to our NAV, the other businesses are 92 or 100 million or so. Our pre-tax net income from our lending business this year was a little bit over $16 million. If you put a market multiple on that, you may come up with a different valuation for our lending businesses as one. I think it is important to note, when you look at our lending business, there’s 50 state retail lender that currently focuses on SBA 7(a), 504, receivable lines of credit and inventory lines of credit. We’ve looked to expand that in the future as we’ve raised additional capital. On slide 13, you can look at new stock performance, we’ve beaten all the major indices over the course of five years, NASDAQ, S&P, Russell and the S&P Small Cap. On slide number 14, looking at our lending operation, we are unaware non-banking lending licenses there’s only 14 of them. I do not believe that the SBA has issued a new one in over 20 years. We are the 7th largest SBA 7 (a) lender that includes banks. We’ve been in this business for over 13 years, we’ve done six S&P rated securitizations. Our average loan size sits on our books and is funded by a line of credit from Capital One Bank and securitizations. Our balance sheet, gives us a real good diversification too. We are not overly dominated by any one particular, which we think is a major differentiator between other BDCs. Once again, I want to reiterate, Newtek as a lender, as a lending platform that’s driven by financial technology, it gives the ability to acquire small business credits cost effectively, process them in a remote location not in the bank environment cost effectively. It’s been doing this for over 13 years. And when we look at some of our referral numbers in the pipeline, I think you’ll also appreciate the optimism that I have for the business going forward. On slide number 15, you could see what our current 2016 SBA 7 (a) loan pipeline looks like. Total pipeline through March 4 of 2016, 526 million versus a year earlier of 309 million. Our referral parties are starting to kick in, the additional RVPs that we have put in to the system, as well as significant alliance relationships are giving us a lot more looks. When you look at the pipeline, we’re almost to the $100 million of loan prequalified. So this will bode well for the second quarter. Loans and underwriting; now loans and underwriting were higher last year, but my point here with respect to underwriting is given that we’re looking at a lot of small balance which are going through the system quicker. You’re not going to have loans sitting in the loans and underwriting bucket as long as you used to. They’ll go in and out much quicker which is extremely important to us. We are very bullish on the pipeline. I want to move ahead if I can to slide number 19 and then I’m going to come back. Slide number 19 looks at the amount of lending referrals that we’ve gotten over an 80% year-to-date increase, and right now we are on track to receive $2 billion of gross referrals in the first quarter of 2016. That’s 8 billion run rates, last year we look to 5 billion. So we’re getting more referrals, our process is getting more efficient, and we’re able to do more with the smaller balance loans. We’re going to announce the rollout of a small balance loan app here within the next 7 to 10 days, which should make us more efficient. We believe we’re going to be able to higher conversion ratio on a number of looks. We hope and anticipate to get better diversification which reduces our risk, as well as get better pricing. We are all under the cover of our financial technology lending model. I’d like to go back to slide number 16, if I can, this is the classic slide that we have in all of our presentations. Net cash created in the typical 7 (a) loans with the current pricing of a 112.40 net to us, creates 20,000 of cash after the gain on sales of the government guaranteed piece, and the financing of the uninsured loans that sit in our books through approximate 70% advance rate of the debt and securitization. Slide number 17 shows the accounting gain that’s up to approximately $94,000 that is a risk adjusted. Slide number 18 an important, we’ve had very strong loan portfolio performance. We have gotten better looks in the market place. We are able to be more selective as more opportunities come to us. We’re extremely happy with the loan performance. I just need to make everybody aware that this is charge-off so the losses that you see are actually once the loan goes all the way through liquidation, and get written off our book. When goes in the non-performing category, we mark all the collaterals in the market, we take a write-down, but that’s an unrealized loss that affects our NAV, doesn’t affect our income. I think this is - should give people comfort when they are concerned about BDC market, they are concerned about credits going bad, they are concerned about mezzanine and subordinated debt not being worth as much as it used to be, which clearly has been the case for the first month of this year. I think it is important to note, obviously we’re showing really good credit numbers here, and we’re looking at a 98% to 99% currency ratio on the existing portfolio of loans. So rest of the loans were mark-to-market and it’s very easy to mark our loans to the market. When I say it’s easy to do, you’re looking at securitization exits, you’re looking at government guaranteed exits. We run our own true pieces for a disguised cash flow model. We stress them out. We feel very good about the valuation of our loans. I think it’s also important to note, when you look at a senior secured loan that we do, there’s personal loans of the other [Board], 80% to 85% are backed by real estate. The senior secured loans of other BDCs are typically backed by the leverage loans. So yes they are senior secured, but is there collateral buying that loan? Am I making a loan at four, five or six times EBITDA? Does that business need growth? So it’s a bit of a misnomer in many cases to compare as to other BDCs. It is extremely important if you want to be rewarded, be a little more than last year to do the work, take a look at what we’re doing, and have a good understanding of what’s in that BDC wrapper. Comparative loan portfolio and statistics you could see on slide 20. We opened up 504 loans, we’ve funded our first loan in November, we anticipate reporting a sale this year. We’ll have further information on that on the next quarterly call, but there’s a nice sample 504 loan that shows you the types of profit that can be earned on a 504 loan or you make a loan backed by commercial real estate, you sell off a 50% LTV first, the government buys the 40% second debenture, you are left with no exposure on the balance sheet, a gain on sales and the servicing asset. In comparing our lending to other businesses which isn’t easy, we look at Live Oak Bank trading at a little over two times book. BankUnited recently acquired Certus’ Small Business Finance Unit that was a non-bank lender. They paid a 10% premium over the loan portfolio and Certus hadn’t made a loan I believe in over a year or two and actually was out of capital compliance. So lot of good comparisons to what our small business lender is worth. A look at our portfolio of companies on slide 25, our payment processing business doing really well. We came in revenue up approximately 9.1%. Over the prior year, adjusted EBITDA of 10.9 million, that was a significant increase over the prior year. Looking forward, particularly with the acquisition of Premier payments, we are prospectively looking at an EBITDA number in 2016 of our payments business, 13.1 million, you’re looking at approximately $5.5 billion worth of processing volume, of course 16,500 accounts. As this business starts to get bigger, the valuation should move towards the public comps of a Heartland or Vantiv or a First Data, which we’re all trading in multiples in the double digits. We look at payment processing opportunities, adding additional alliance partners, American Express OptBlue program table and mobile base, opportunities in the market place and EMV compliance solutions. Our managed tech solutions business, we believe is about to reverse its downward trend. We don’t hide the fact this has been a struggling business for us, but we are optimistic with new management changes and restructurings, the valuation of 1.6 times last 12 months trailing revenue and 1.5 times expected going forward. We are very comfortable with the business, we’ve been in it for over 10 years and we look at the independent business shown its migration to the Cloud as being a valuable positioning opportunity in our portfolio, businesses looking 24/7 outsource managed services in our datacenter, hot backup as well as doctors, dentists and other medical practitioners needing HIPAA compliant solutions. So, we’re excited about the future for managed tech and hope to report some good numbers in the first quarter of 2016. We’re also moving to a new location in Lake Success in New York, it’s on the Queens-Long Island border, 34,000 square foot facility. We anticipate putting four of our businesses with presence in that location. So that’s going to help us datamine, cross-sell and develop an aggressive outbound call and [home] marketing strategy in to our existing and alliance partners client base. We’re very excited about the opportunity to finally put all of our businesses on one flat floor and give us presence. In summary, we are a real interesting opportunity in the BDC space, being internally managed, looking at approximately $11 to $12 stock price, $1.50 forecasted cash dividend, not a lot of leverage. We finished the year at 0.66; we have the ability to borrow, to grow in the near term. Management’s interest is very much aligned with shareholders, the founder, myself, management, Board, we believe control in excess of 15% of the outstanding shares. Our interests are very aligned, we do not have trenched residual credits to get these yields. We are not lending at 10% to 14% with equity kickers with leverage on businesses that must need to grow. We have now no direct lending exposure to oil and gas industry, and we are very pleased to report our first year as a BDC. I’d like to Jenny to do a financial review of our numbers for 2015.