Barry Sloane
Analyst · Raymond James. Your line is now open
So Robert, definitely appreciate the question. And we've been doing this for 20 years, 18 as a public company, and we've been very good and, I think, accurate in being transparent to the investment community. As a matter of fact, when rates started their move a couple years ago, I kept getting asked by many, by analysts, by investors, "Hey, what's going to happen? Rates are going. Are your prices going to go down?" And I said, "No, they're not." I said, "It's driven by prepays." And we've been very right. As a matter of fact, all the way through the end of last year, we held that sort of 112 pricing mechanism. And there's also sort of a supply-and-demand component here. I feel very good about the overall guidance that we've given. I think that's really what's important because, in many instances, we have the investment community looking at volume and price and then everything else is just sort of noise. And now we've got; okay, you've got volume, you've got price, you've got other business lines that are growing, you've got - which is why we do what we do. I mean many times people say, "Hey, can you just do 7(a)'s and go home?" And after doing this for 20 years, I've learned that things cycle in and cycle out, just like '08-'09. So I feel very good about the guess. Now here's what I want to be really clear about; I have absolutely no clue as to whether we're going to be a 111, 111.25 or 110.75. Here's what I did give you. I gave you my real good transparency and best guess and a forecast, and importantly what I've tried to do is give comfort to yourself and people in the investment community that we have enough opportunity in the looks that we had last quarter of, I think, $4.6 billion, $4.8 billion in Q1, to be able to I'll use the term meet and hopefully beat our numbers. We can't always beat our numbers. Sometimes you just meet them. But we really try very hard not to disappoint and that's been our 4-year track record. So I don't know if that cleared things up because I can't - I have no idea where we're going to be for the quarter. But that's our best guess.