Earnings Labs

National Fuel Gas Company (NFG)

Q2 2016 Earnings Call· Fri, Apr 29, 2016

$89.48

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, ladies and gentlemen and welcome to the National Fuel Gas Company second-quarter 2016 earnings conference call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to introduce your host for today’s conference, Mr. Brian Welsch, Director of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, sir.

Brian Welsch

Analyst

Thank you, Christie and good morning. We appreciate you joining us on today's conference call for a discussion of last evening's earnings release. With us on the call from National Fuel Gas Company are Ron Tanski, President and Chief Executive Officer, Dave Bauer, Treasurer and Principal Financial Officer, and John McGinnis, Chief Operating Officer of Seneca Resources Corporation. At the end of the prepared remarks, we will open the discussion to questions. The second-quarter fiscal 2016 earnings release and April investor presentation have been posted on our investor relations website. We may refer to these materials during today's call. We would also like to remind you that today's teleconference will contain forward-looking statements. While National Fuel's expectations, beliefs and projections are made in good faith, and are believed to have a reasonable basis, actual results may differ materially. These statements speak only as of the date on which they are made and you may refer to last evening's earnings release for a listing of certain specific risk factors. With that I will turn it over to Ron Tanski.

Ron Tanski

Analyst

Thanks, Brian and good morning everyone. Thanks for joining us for today’s call. As you saw in our earnings release last evening, we had a pretty steady second quarter although earnings were slightly down from last year. Earnings in our utility segment were lower due to warmer than normal weather and the lower commodity prices decreased earnings in our Exploration and Production segment. Dave Bauer will go into the details of the major earnings drivers later in the call. Overall, activities in the field for each of our operating segments moved right along as planned. We are just gearing up for the construction season for our regular pipeline renewal projects in our utility and our Pipeline and Storage segments. At the same time, we’ve slowed the drilling activities at Seneca Resources by moving to a single rig drilling program. Our reduced drilling level combined with getting a partner to fund a large portion of this year’s drilling program has cut our spending to allow us to leave within cash flow for the year. Our current plans allow us to stay to single drilling rig for at least a year before we need to ramp up drilling and completion activities again in order to have enough production to fill the pipeline capacity that will come online in November of 2017, the targeted completion date of our Northern Access pipeline. With respect to our Northern Access project, we received some good news from the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission. At April 14th, FERC issued its notices schedule for environmental review for the project and it confirmed their intention to develop an environmental assessment or EA for the project and announced the July 27, 2016 target date for the EA. Now that fits within our timeline for November 2017 in-service date. The other recent…

John McGinnis

Analyst

Thanks, Ron, and good morning everyone. For the fiscal second quarter, Seneca produced 39.2 Bcfe, which suggest over a Bcf more than we produced in our first quarter. In Pennsylvania, we curtailed approximately 9.1 Bcf of potential spot sales due to low prices and as a result, no spot gas was sold during the first half of our fiscal year. In April, however, prices have actually improved to the point but we have intermittently produced into the spot market at both our Tennessee and Transco receipt points. Though not a large volume totaling just over a Bcf, this was the first time we have sold meaningful spot volumes since December of 2014. In Pennsylvania after beginning the year with three rigs, we have now dropped to a single rig as of March. We plan on keeping this rig active for the remainder of the year to ensure we have sufficient inventory of DUCs to help fill Northern Access now scheduled to be online late next year. We have also reduced the activity level related to our completions crew to daylight-only operations. At this reduced pace, we typically complete five to six stages per day, which allows us to continue to recycle all of our produced water and avoid costly water disposal. Even with our frac crew operating at half pace, we continued to drop our well costs. For the first half of 2016, our development program has averaged under $5 million per well for a 7,400 foot lateral, which equates to costs of around $675 per foot. The key drivers for this continued drop in costs include the impact of the new frac contract executed in September of 2015 and a significant reduction in water costs. We now average less than a dollar per barrel in water costs, compared to…

Dave Bauer

Analyst

Thanks, John. Good morning, everyone. Excluding the ceiling test charge, earnings for the quarter were $0.97 per share, down $0.05 from last year. The unseasonably warm weather in our service territory relative to last year's record cold, lowered earnings by a combined $0.11 in our utility and Pipeline and Storage businesses. Meanwhile, our ongoing focus on cost control across the system helped to offset the continued weakness in oil and gas prices, which lowered earnings by about $0.25 per share. All told, considering the twin headwinds of weather and commodity pricing, both of which are largely beyond our control, the second quarter was a good one for National Fuel. Seneca's production was up nearly 10% over last year's quarter and 3% on a sequential basis. This increase is largely attributable to Seneca's firm transportation capacity and associated firm sales related to the Northern Access 2015 project, which was placed in service late in calendar 2015. As a reminder, this was a joint project between our NFG Supply Corporation subsidiary and Tennessee Gas Pipeline designed to move a 140,000 dekatherms per day from our WDA acreage to the Canadian border at Niagara. For the quarter, this project contributed over $3 million in revenues to our Pipeline and Storage segment. In addition to benefiting Seneca and Supply Corp, the increase in Seneca's production combined with our partner IOG's share of the volumes from the joint development wells also helped our gathering business where revenues were up by $4.2 million or nearly 25%. Controlling operating costs was a focus across the system and we saw excellent results during the quarter. At Seneca, per unit LOE was $0.96 per Mcfe, down $0.07 from the first quarter. Most of this decrease was attributable to our California operations. In light of lower oil prices, our team…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Kevin Smith of Raymond James. Your line is open.

Kevin Smith

Analyst

Thank you and good morning, gentlemen.

John McGinnis

Analyst

Hi, Kevin.

Kevin Smith

Analyst

John, congrats first on joining the earnings call but with that, I will kick off the question. Can you discuss current shut-in volumes in the Marcellus and maybe how much you’ve been able to sell to spot since differentials have been tightening?

John McGinnis

Analyst

Say that again. I’m sorry, you are breaking up.

Kevin Smith

Analyst

I apologize about that. Can you discuss current shut-in volumes in the Marcellus and then maybe how much you’ve been able to sell into spot and what that’s looked like over the last month?

John McGinnis

Analyst

Yes. We’ve sold essentially nothing in spot for the second quarter, a little over a Bcf in April because prices had improved upon we could, both on Tennessee and Transco sell into the spot market. But recently though pricing has dropped off again so we are shut-in. But I think we are about $40 million to $50 million of available spot in our Tioga area and a little over 100, 120 in Lycoming if I remember correctly.

Kevin Smith

Analyst

Got you. That’s helpful. And would you mind providing some more details about the new firm sales agreements? Basically what’s the length of those contracts?

Dave Bauer

Analyst

Yes. Sure, Kevin. This is Dave. We did -- well for fiscal ’16, we did about 5 Bcf of additional firm sales and then looking out into ’17, ’18, ’19, we did a bunch of fixed sales ranging, call it from 10 to 30 Bcf per year, kind of in the high but just under $2 range.

Kevin Smith

Analyst

Okay. Great. That’s extremely helpful. That’s all I had. Thanks.

Dave Bauer

Analyst

Sure.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And we do have a question from the line of Holly Stewart of Scotia Howard. Your line is open.

Holly Stewart

Analyst

Good morning, gentlemen.

John McGinnis

Analyst

Hi, Holly.

Holly Stewart

Analyst

Maybe just one on sort of what you see on the capacity market in Northeast PA. I mean the rig count, I think in Northeast PA has dropped to maybe three now. Just curious if you’ve seen a pickup in capacity being offered out there and sort of what you are looking at in terms of volume, maybe a pickup in order to bring some of that volume on -- some of your shut-in volume online?

John McGinnis

Analyst

I think it’s actually down to two rigs now. I was just looking at that the other day. It continues to fall. We haven't seen any help on the capacity side as of yet. Whether producers are bringing on wells as they had shut in, we just -- we haven't seen additional, at least significant additional capacity available in that part of the state.

Holly Stewart

Analyst

Okay. Okay. Great. And then maybe you could just help us think about the progression of production for the next few quarters, give us your wells turned to sales during this past quarter and then sort of the remaining target for the year?

John McGinnis

Analyst

Yes. I can give you our target for the year. I can't tell you what the second quarter was. We are targeting for fiscal ‘16 about 50 wells to drilled, 45 to be completed. We will end the year with about 60 to 65 DUCs. And in terms of the well count, back half of the fiscal year, we are looking at bringing on an additional about 25 wells.

Holly Stewart

Analyst

Okay. Great. Thanks, John.

John McGinnis

Analyst

Yes.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question is from Becca Followill of U.S. Capital Advisors. Your line is open.

Becca Followill

Analyst

Hi guys.

John McGinnis

Analyst

Hi Becca.

Becca Followill

Analyst

You talked a little bit. I know you’ve had the one-rig program. What does it take to start to ramp that back up again?

John McGinnis

Analyst

Well, part of why we want to keep a single rig going is that it keeps in the half, sort of the daylight-only or what I call a half frac crew is that it keep our DUC count relatively flat. And so really to ramp-up, it doesn't really -- we are not going to necessarily need to bring in an extra rig. What we will end up doing is we will go to 24-hour frac crew and potentially two frac crews, obviously -- depending on the ops and the in-service date related to Northern Access. So really it’s more to bring in an additional frac crews as opposed to a rig count.

Becca Followill

Analyst

Thank you. And then on the water permit, what is the timing you're expecting to get that permit from the DEC?

John McGinnis

Analyst

Well, assuming that it takes the full year, Becca, it would be the beginning of March of 2017. Are you getting that?

Becca Followill

Analyst

Do you think it will take the full year?

John McGinnis

Analyst

I think we've -- that's kind of what we have planned at the outside. We had the luxury of being on 98% of the route sites, so that we had what we think was a very, very complete application. Whether that state will move it along any faster, we can’t guarantee. We just know that there is a year timeframe from filing. So that’s what we are planning on.

Becca Followill

Analyst

Thank you. And then lastly on the Empire open season. I think there was something in the slide deck about precedent agreements were tendered in February. So, can you talk a little bit about that expansion?

John McGinnis

Analyst

Well, we are working through that. We did have a good open season for the Empire North project. It was -- to a certain degree it was oversubscribed because certain parties tried to put together different combinations of transportation routes and so that's really what we’re working through, Becca, in order to kind of rationalize the best flows and the best combination and get that worked in to precedent agreements. We don't have any of them signed just yet and we just continue to work away at that.

Becca Followill

Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question is from Chris Sighinolfi of Jefferies. Your line is open.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hey guys. Good morning. This is actually Chris Dillon [ph] on for Sighinolfi. How are you?

John McGinnis

Analyst

Hi, Chris.

Dave Bauer

Analyst

Good, Chris.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

I was just wondering if you could provide an update on the JV and whether or not you feel like the partner is likely to exercise the option there as we approach that date and what I guess, kind of conversations you are having and what might be under consideration from their side?

John McGinnis

Analyst

The relationship is great. We drilled 30 of the 42 wells. With those pads just -- they are early. They are just now coming online. Our costs have been about 10% or more down which they are pleased with. We have conversations around entering into the second tranche, but really that's a decision that they are going to make in July and that’s really all I can speak to right now on that.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay. That’s fair. That was it for me. Thanks guys.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And that does conclude our Q&A session for today. I would like to turn the call back to Mr. Brian Welsch for any further remarks.

Brian Welsch

Analyst

Thank you, Christie. We would like to thank everyone for taking the time to be with us today. A replay of this call will be available at approximately 3 p.m. Eastern Time on both our website and by telephone and will run through the close of business on Friday, May 6, 2016. To access the replay online, please visit our investor relations website at investor.nationalfuelgas.com. And to access by telephone call 1-855-859-2056 and enter the conference ID number 84814628. This concludes our conference call for today. Thank you and goodbye.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for participating in today’s conference. This does conclude today’s program. You may all disconnect. Everyone have a great day.