Greg Lang
Analyst · JPMorgan. Your line is open
Thank you, Dave. We focused this company on the Donlin Gold project because it has all the key ingredients required to build a successful gold mine. Staring with size with almost 40 million ounces it’s one of the largest undeveloped gold deposits in the industry and provides us an un-expiring warrant on 39 million ounces of gold. Beyond the current resource, Donlin has the longevity that is measured in decades. Once in production, the project will contribute great economic benefits to our stakeholders and owners and shareholders for many years to come. On Slide 13, another key attributor to the Donlin Gold project is its grade, at 2.25 grams it's one of the highest grade undeveloped open pit gold deposits around. This is a very important quality in the context of an industry facing challenges of declining grades, higher cost and lower production. Beyond size and scale Donlin also has tremendous exploration potential with multiple unexplored targets that is shown on Slide 14. The future mine occupies a very small portion of the gold bearing system at Donlin. It’s important to look at the fundamental drivers for gold, they remain unchanged. If you look at Slide 15, you will see that there has been a significant drop off in discovery rates and in spite of extreme cost cutting in the industry there is limited exploration activities and gold is getting harder and harder to find. At the same time, production is going to be dropping. We anticipate it could drop as much as much 15% in the coming years. Jurisdictional risk is another issue to exasperate this problem. But the gold demand remains strong especially in the emerging markets. Central banks are net buyers and new supply and demand pressures support higher gold prices. Slide 16 illustrates the significant leverage that the Donlin Gold project has to rising gold prices. The long mine life offers very high likelihood that it will be around for multiple gold market cycles, beyond which is captured in the NPV and traditional financial calculations. In addition to our permitting activities, we're working with our partner to identity ways to reduce capital and optimize the development scenarios for this project. Capital cost matter to both partners and our priority is to ensure that this project provide its owners an attractive rate of return, which is very highly dependent on the gold price. As we've outlined on Slide 15, we're bullish on the gold price because of declining supply and demand. The feasibility study is now four years old and prior to making a construction decision, we will be updating the capital and operating costs and other inputs that drive the returns on this project. Projects like Donlin needs strong partnerships from communities to operations to partnerships are what bring success. Mining is an integral part of the communities and the native Alaskan corporations who are partners need economic development in their regions. Slide 18 highlights some quotes from executives at our native partners. They really demonstrate the strong and time-honored relationships we've had with them. TKC and Calista are important, supportive and active participants in the permitting process, trying to bring great economic benefits to their people and their companies for many years to come. Slide 19 is overview of the timelines we're operating under, as well as key permitting milestones. When you look at any projects' lifecycle and in particular Donlin’s, we think the current investment in time and resources for permitting, is insignificant in the context of a 30 year mine life. The permitting is progressing as we expected it would and we anticipate completion in about two years in a rising price environment. On Slide 20, we highlight the attributes of our Galore project. It is a large scale deposit in the state jurisdiction and although we continue to evaluate opportunities to monetize our interest, we are fortunate to have the financial flexibility to enhance the value of this asset with minimal spending as we wait for markets for base metal projects to improve. Why would you invest in NovaGold now, we're fortunate to have an excellent shareholder base, over half of our shares are held by our top shareholders who have been in the Company a long time and are steadfast in their commitment to see us advance a great undeveloped gold asset. Looking ahead for this year, the focus of this company is very simple. We are advanced Donlin Gold project toward a construction decision. We'll keep our relationship strong with all shareholders. We'll move Galore Creek forward with a minimal level of expenditure. We will keep our balance sheet strong and we'll look at opportunities to monetize Galore when the time is right. In closing, the Company is well-financed to continue our permitting activities at Donlin. And I am confident that the hard work, determination and conviction and patience of our team will be rewarded. We are truly an institutional quality investment in the gold space. Operator, we would now like to open the line for questions.