Robert C. Skaggs Jr. - President and Chief Executive Officer
Analyst · Carrie St
Thanks Glen. Good morning and thanks for joining us today. My comments this morning will be relatively brief to allow as much time as possible for your questions. First and foremost, I want to provide you with an overview of our fourth quarter and 2007 earnings outcome. Along the way, I'll highlight a few of the many key results and accomplishments our teams delivered during the year, then finally, I'll wrap up with a discussion of our outlook for 2008, which we view as the pivotal year on our path-forward business strategy. Now, a few reflections on 2007; which was in many ways a landmark year for NiSource. As those of you who follow NiSource know, we took aggressive steps during 2007 to clear the decks of distractions and position our company for long-term growth. We resolved a number of critical legacy issues, we solidified our commitment to managing and growing our core regulated business segments. And we set the stage to deliver long-term sustainable growth for our shareholders. With that foundational work largely complete, each of our business segments is now poised to do what they do best, execute on a path-forward strategy to become North America's premier regulated company. In many ways our new release this morning is a testament to our team's many accomplishments during the year, culminating in our reported net operating earnings per share of $1.37 non-GAAP for 2007. That result is slightly higher than the guidance we provided in May, and we believe it's consistent with our balanced and investment driven long-term earnings outlook. I will touch on that in more detail later. Our consolidated operated earnings non-GAAP for 2007 were almost $998 million, about $4 million less than 2006. Focusing on the fourth quarter, our net operating earnings non-GAAP for the three months ended December 31st, 2007 were $118.5 million, or $0.43 per share. That's about even with $116.9 million or again $0.43 per share for the fourth quarter of 2006. As I mentioned before, we focus on net operating earnings and operating earnings, both non-GAAP measures, because we believe these measures better represent the fundamental earnings strength and performance of the company. Schedules 1 and 2 in the news release reconcile net operating earnings and operating earnings to GAAP. I'd now like to briefly highlight some of the key results and accomplishments in each of our business segments. As I said before, the news release catalogs many of these in more detail, so here are just a few. First, our NiSource Gas Transmission and Storage segment delivered operating earnings of $371.8 million in 2007, which constituted about a $14 million increase over 2006. Net revenues, excluding trackers were up more than $13 million, despite low revenues from optimization-related services due to less volatility in the natural gas market. Impact from capacity and commodity revenues; have been strong compared to last year. Key driver behind this improvement is that the Columbia Gulf's mainline and onshore capacity is almost fully subscribed. Pipeline throughput has also increased, as a result of higher storage injections, gas-fired electric generation demands and increased marketing activities. GT&S also benefited during 2007 from enhanced equity earnings, in large part from our Hardy Storage partnership which began operation in April. As I've discussed on previous calls, an important initiative for us during 2007 was the development of a master limited partnership, which we view as a strong complement of our Gas Transmission and Storage growth strategy. In December, NiSource Energy Partners, LP filed a registration statement with the SEC. The following proposals and the initial public offering of 12.5 million common units with the initial asset being the 3400 mile Columbia Gulf system. As I've mentioned in the past and somewhat limited as to what I can say at this point, regarding the development of our MLP. Moving beyond the MLP, our GT&S team has also advanced a number of key growth projects, such as the $140 million eastern market expansion, which the FERC approved just this month. The team also recently proposed a major expansion of capacity into the Florida Gas Transmission system. The team executed on several new low-cost, but high return connections to the Columbia Gulf system and in turn Millennium large construction on the first major new pipeline to metropolitan New York in decades. As you can see, developing and executing on the steady stream of pipeline and storage growth projects remains a key plank in our long-term growth platform. Another key component of our strategy is synchronizing commercial and regulatory initiatives with major infrastructure enhancement projects in our Gas Distribution segment. And here again; we made significant strides during 2007. From a long-term growth standpoint, the latest breaking news in the Gas Distribution segment is in Pennsylvania, where on Monday, Columbia Gas at Pennsylvania filed a base rate case seeking $60 million per year increase in the company's base rates to be effective during the fourth quarter of 2008. But Pennsylvania rate case follows more than a year of advance preparation, including our 2007 launch of a 20-year, $1.4 billion gas infrastructure enhancement program across Pennsylvania. Synchronizing infrastructure investments of this type, with complimentary regulatory initiatives is of course central to our growth strategy. In Pennsylvania, for example, a number of key stakeholders are now supporting legislation that would establish a timely cost recovery mechanism for natural gas infrastructure improvements. Meanwhile, in neighboring Ohio, Columbia Gas of Ohio and other stakeholders reached a landmark agreement in December that provides Columbia of Ohio and its key stakeholders with critically important certainty for the future. The agreement establishes the framework for operations under the company's CHOICE program for the next several years and provides for a wholesale gas supply auction by early 2010. With this agreement in place, the stage is now set for Columbia Gas of Ohio to proceed with its infrastructure oriented base rate case proceeding; in fact our notice of intent to solve that case will be submitted yet this week. Also during 2007, Columbia Gas of Virginia received approval to implement an off-system sales and capacity release incentive mechanism effective this month. Bay State Gas received approval for $6 million increase in base rate, effective last November 1st. Northern Indiana Public Service Company received approval in May for a rate simplification program that benefits both the company and customers. And Columbia Gas Kentucky received approval of a rate case settlement that increases revenues by $7.25 million. On an earnings basis, our Gas Distribution Operations reported operating earnings of $350.2 million for 2007, compared with $373.8 million for 2006. Net revenues, excluding trackers were up nearly $23 million for this segment, due to customer growth, regulatory initiatives and other service programs. These increases were more than offset by increased operating expenses, in fact as our news release points out, significant portion of the increased cost in each of our business segments related to the pricing structure under our business services agreement with IBM. We successfully restructured that agreement in the fourth quarter and going forward, we expect cost to be stabilized and quality to be improved. The accomplishments in our Gas Distribution segments speak to our continued commitment to take constructive, collaborative approaches to address business and regulatory issues affecting our company and our customers. That same approach holds true in our Electric business, where we reported 2007 operating earnings of $288.8 million. Those earnings compare with $314.1 million for 2006. Net revenues in our Electric business were up by $15.2 million, excluding trackers due to increased wholesale margins, residential and commercial deliveries, lower unrecoverable MISO charges, sales of emission allowances and overall customer growth. It's notable that revenues were up, even after $16.2 million accrual in the third quarter related to a NIPSCO purchase power settlement reached in November. Overall, operating earnings were down for the Electric business again, because revenue increases were more than offset by higher operating expenses. The purchase power settlement that I just mentioned was more in a several steps taken to set the stage with company's upcoming rate case. First, NIPSCO reached a settlement with regulatory stakeholders and large customers, resolving matters related to the cost of purchasing electric power to meet growing market demand. Then NIPSCO filed an Integrated Resource Plan or IRP with the Indiana Commission, outlining plans to meet increase customer demand for about 1000 megawatts of power by 2014. The IRP concluded that the best alternative to meeting that need would be the acquisition of gas-fired combined cycle generating capacity. And finally, in late November NIPSCO filed a request with the Commission to authorize the purchase of the Sugar Creek Power Plant, of 535 megawatt combined cycle gas cogeneration facility, owned by LS Power Group and NiSource's Whiting Clean Energy facility, a 525 megawatt combined cycle gas cogeneration facility, both facilities were successful bidders in a request for proposal process. The latest news on that front is that BP has indicated desire to exercise its contractual right of first refusal to purchase the Whiting facility for the same price offered by NIPSCO. For its part, NIPSCO is reviewing potential alternative, should BP acquire the Whiting facility. As in this side, I should note that our Indiana segment is benefiting from the energy and the leadership of Eileen Odum, who joined NiSource in December as Executive Vice President and Group CEO of our Indiana Companies. Eileen is charged with profit and loss responsibility for Indiana businesses. Chris Helms has the same responsibility for our Gas Transmission and Storage segment and we plan to name a third Group CEO for our Gas Distribution segment during the first quarter of the year. We believe providing a single point of P&L responsibility for each of our business segments is key to driving execution. Back to 2007 results, since I mentioned Whiting earlier, I am also pleased to report significantly improved results in our so called Other Operation segments, primarily as a result of our first full year of Whiting's redefined agreement with BP. Other operations logged earnings of $9.2 million, versus a loss of $24.3 million in 2006. The $33.5 million improvement is primarily driven by positive results from Whiting. Finally, on the financial management front, I would like to remind you that in late August, NiSource successfully issued $800 million of senior unsecured notes maturing in 2018. The fact that our finance team was able to successfully complete this plan placement, despite choppy market conditions is evidence of NiSource's strong capital access and liquidity. Speaking of liquidity, net cash flows from operating activities for the year ended December 31st, 2007 were about $771 million, a decrease of $385 million from the $1.2 billion of cash flow in the year ended December 31st, 2006. You'll recall that the 2006 cash flow amount was unusually high, because of working capital changes, beginning in late 2005, stemming from cold weather and higher natural gas prices. Beyond the short-term changes in working capital, increases in net income and changes in deferred taxes, totaling $169 million improved net cash flow from operating activities relative to last year. Before leaving the topic of capital excess, I'd note that both Moody's and Standard & Poor's confirmed investment grade credit ratings for NiSource in late 2007. In the process, we were encouraged by the agencies favorable view of our business profile by accomplishing key milestones and continuing to deliver solid financial performance, we expect improvement in our ratings over time. The impressive list of 2007 key accomplishments is proved positive of our team's ability to execute on our game plan, to position the company to deliver on our four-part business plan for long-term sustainable growth. We moved aggressively and powerfully to clear the deck... decks of distractions, engage our stakeholders, make disciplined investments and position our teams to execute on NiSource's growth strategy. We also recognize some of the actions taken during 2007 to establish a foundation for future growth, will place pressure on NiSource's earnings in 2008. For example, our planned acquisition of new generating facilities will impact earnings, prior to the resolution of our electric rate case. Having said that, with our regulatory and commercial initiatives now firmly in queue; we are excited about the prospects for long-term earnings growth for NiSource. The bottom line is that we continue to believe that net operating earning per share for the 2008-2010 period will fall within a range of $1.25 to $1.35 per share on a non-GAAP basis. On a GAAP basis for 2008, the lower end of the range for basic earnings per share from continuing operations is $1.23 per share, due to transition cost associated with the amendment... amended IBM agreement that are projected to impact 2008 by approximately $0.02 per share. For 2009 and 2010, there are no forecasted differences between the ranges for the GAAP and non-GAAP measures. We believe that our forecast range reasonably reflects NiSource's near term earnings expectations, as our path-forward strategy unfolds over the course of the next few years. Thereafter, we expect our ongoing capital investment program and our growth projects currently in the pipeline to begin producing meaningful and sustainable annual growth in our earnings per share. With that in mind, 2008 will indeed be a pivotal year in our strategy with three critical areas of execution. First, we are focused on achieving our key regulatory initiatives, including gas base rate cases in Pennsylvania and Ohio, as well as NIPSCO's electric rate case scheduled for filing on July 1st, 2008. Second, we're advancing our NGT&S growth strategy, including securing approvals and timely construction of announced projects, developing an array of potential new growth opportunities and continuing with formation of NiSource Energy Partners. And finally, we are executing our major infrastructure enhancement projects, which will constitute a significant portion of NiSource's more than $1 billion annual capital investment program for the 2008 to 2010 period. And the capstone is that our entire team is energized, engaged and committed to this plan and quite frankly, as a regulated energy company, we welcome these priorities. This is absolutely what we do best. As always, we remain committed to communicating with our investors and all our stakeholders in a transparent and timely manner regarding these and all of our efforts. Ongoing updates will be provided through our analyst calls and new releases, posted on nisource.com. Thanks again for participating today and for your ongoing interest and support in NiSource. With that, we'll open the call to questions. Question And Answer