Rob Hamwee
Analyst · KBW. Please go ahead with your question
Thank you, Steve. Before diving into the details of the quarter, as always I'd like to give everyone a brief review of NMFC and our strategy. As outlined on page 6 of our presentation, NMFC is externally managed by New Mountain Capital, a leading private equity firm with over $15 billion of assets under management and 100 staff members, including over 60 investment professionals. Since the inception of our debt investment program in 2008 we have taken New Mountain's approach to private equity and applied it to corporate credit, with a consistent focus on defensive growth business models and extensive fundamental research, within industries that are already well known to New Mountain. Or, more simply put, we invest in recession-resistant businesses that we really know and that we really like. We believe this approach results in a differentiated and sustainable model that allows us to generate attractive risk-adjusted rates of return across changing cycles and market conditions. To achieve our mandate, we utilize the existing New Mountain investment team as our primary underwriting resource. Turning to page seven, you can see our total return performance from our IPO in May 2011 through November 2, 2015. In the four and a half years since our IPO, we have generated a compounded annual return to our investors of 11.4%, significantly above our regular dividend yield and dramatically higher than our peers and the high-yield index. Page eight goes into a little more detail around relative performance against our peer set, benchmarking against the 10 largest externally managed BDCs that have been public at least as long as we have. Page nine shows return attribution. We attribute our success to, one, our differentiated underwriting platform; two, our ability to consistently generate the vast majority of our NII from stable cash interest income in an amount that covers our dividend; three, our focus on running the business with an efficient balance sheet and always fully utilizing inexpensive, appropriately structured leverage before accessing more expensive equity; and four, our alignment of shareholder and management interests. As outlined on page 10, since August, we have witnessed significantly increased market volatility and a widening of credit spreads. This has been a function of global economic growth [trends], uncertainty around the direction of interest rate, and general investor risk aversion. We also believe technical factors are at play, as regulated banks and investment banks continue to pull away from middle market leverage credit. While spreads have reduced modestly in recent weeks, the environment for deploying capital remains attractive. Given the continued focus in the market on the possibility of future short-term and long-term rate increases, we wanted to highlight NMFC's defensive positioning relative to this potential issue. As you can see on page 11, 83% of our portfolio is invested in floating-rate debt. Therefore, even in the face of a material rise in interest rates, assuming a consistently shaped yield curve, we would not expect to see a significant change in our book value. Furthermore, as the table at the bottom of the page demonstrates, a meaningful rise in short-term rates will generally increase our NII per share, with the only exception being a modest rise having a slightly negative impact as the cost of the majority of our borrowings rise while our interest income does not initially go up, given the presence of LIBOR floors on our assets. Our highest priority continues to be our focus on risk control and credit performance, which we believe over time is the single biggest differentiator of total return in the BDC space. If you refer to page 12, we once again lay out the cost basis of our investments, both the current 9/30/15 portfolio and our cumulative investment since the inception of our credit business in 2008, and then show what has migrated down the performance ladders. Since inception, we have made investments of $3.5 billion in 167 portfolio companies, of which only four -- representing just $36 million of cost -- have migrated to nonaccrual; and only two -- representing $6 million of costs -- have thus far resulted in a realized default loss. Approximately 97% of our portfolio at fair market value is currently rated 1 or 2 on our internal scale. Page 13 shows leverage multiples for all of our holdings above $7.5 million when we entered an investment, and leverage levels for the same investment as of the end of the current quarter. While not a perfect metric, the asset-by-asset trend in leverage multiple is a good snapshot of credit performance and helps provide some degree of empirical, fundamental support for our internal ratings and marks. As you can see by looking at the table, the leverage multiples are roughly flat or trending in the right direction, with only a few exceptions. Of the four loans that show negative migration of twp turns or more, one is to a business that is under contract to be sold, resulting in a full repayment; one is to a business that is currently in the early stage of a sale process, expected to either pay off the loan in full or yield a modest loss; and the final two are first-lien loans to energy service businesses that, while cyclically challenged, have significant liquidity. These last three loans are rated 3 on our internal scale and are carried at meaningful discounts to par, reflecting the degradation in earnings and prospects, although none are likely near-term nonaccrual candidates and all have a reasonable chance, in our judgment, of continuing to make full and timely payments of interest and principal through maturity. The chart on page 14 helps track the Company's overall economic performance since its IPO. At the top of the page, we show how the regular quarterly dividend is being covered out of net investment income. As you can see, we continue to more than cover 100% of our cumulative regular dividend out of NII. On the bottom of the page we focus on below-the-line items. First, we look at realized gains and realized credit and other losses. As you can see, looking at the row highlighted in green, we have had success generating real economic gains every year through a combination of equity gains, portfolio company dividends, and trading profits. Conversely, realized losses including default losses, highlighted in orange, have been significantly smaller and less frequent and show that we are typically not avoiding nonaccruals by selling poor credit at a material loss prior to actual default. The net cumulative impact of this success to date is highlighted in blue, which shows cumulative net realized gains of $43.1 million since our IPO. Next we look at unrealized appreciation and depreciation. This quarter, small mark-to-market gains on underlying assets were outweighed by mark-to-market losses, primarily reflecting broad-based market weakness for asset prices in the third quarter. As you can see highlighted in grey, we have cumulative net unrealized depreciation of $43 million, of which approximately $30 million relates to unrealized mark-to-market losses on our historical nonaccruals, primarily UniTek and Edmentum. Finally, we combine net realized with unrealized appreciation to derive the final line on the table, which in the yellow box shows current cumulative net realized and unrealized appreciation of just under $1 million. The point here is to show that on both a realized and combined realized/unrealized basis we have consistently and methodically offset any credit losses or impairments with below-the-line gains elsewhere in the portfolio. While market-driven volatility around unrealized appreciation and depreciation may cause the bottom-line number to vary, over time true economic gains and losses will accumulate in the realized bucket, where we will strive to retain a positive balance. Moving on to portfolio activity, as seen on pages 15, 16, and 17, originations in the quarter ran at a strong pace, totaling $211 million. Additionally, repayments were unusually small at $9 million. This trend has continued in the current quarter to date, as we have had $128 million of origination so far against $34 million of repayments. This large net origination activity led us to raise equity in September, which I am pleased to say we have effectively deployed. We sit here today with a statutory debt-to-equity ratio of 0.72 times and an economic debt-to-equity ratio of 0.85 times. Pages 18 and 19 show the impact of Q3 investment and disposition activity on asset type and yields, respectively. Both asset originations and repayments were heavily weighted towards first-lien investments. Given that weighting, yields on originations were moderately lower than those on the portfolio as a whole, but meaningfully higher than quarterly dispositions. The bigger change in effective portfolio yield came from a flattening of the forward LIBOR curve in light of diminished expectations around a potential Fed rate increase. The net impact is that portfolio yield overall is down modestly to 10.4%. In terms of the portfolio review on page 20, the key statistics as of 9/30 look very similar to 6/30. The asset mix has shifted modestly back towards first-liens. As always, we maintain a portfolio comprised of companies in the defensive growth industries like software, business services, and education that we believe will outperform in an uncertain economic environment. Finally, as illustrated on page 21, we have a broadly diversified portfolio with our largest investment at 3.4% of fair value and the top 15 investments accounting for 37% of fair value. With that I will now turn it over to Adam Weinstein to discuss the financial statement and key financial metrics. Adam?