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Navios Maritime Partners L.P. (NMM)

Q2 2014 Earnings Call· Tue, Jul 29, 2014

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Thank you for joining us for this morning’s Navios Maritime Partners’ Second Quarter and First Half 2014 Earnings Conference Call. With us today from the company are Chairman and CEO, Ms. Angeliki Frangou; EVP of Business Development, Mr. George Achniotis; and Chief Financial Officer, Mr. Efstratios Desypris. As a reminder, this conference call is also being webcast. To access the webcast please go to the Investors Section of Navios Maritime Partners’ website at www.navios-mlp.com. You will see the webcast link in the middle of the page, and a copy of the presentation reference in today’s earnings conference call will also be found there. Let’s review the Safe Harbor Statement. The conference call could contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 about Navios Partners. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts. Such forward-looking statements are based upon the current beliefs and expectations of Navios Partners’ management, and are subject to risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ from the forward-looking statements. Such risks are more fully discussed in Navios Partners’ filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The information set forth herein should be understood in light of such risks. Navios Partners does not assume any obligations to update the information contained in this conference call. The agenda for today’s call is as follows. First Ms. Frangou will offer opening remarks, next Mr. Desypris will give Navios Partners’ financial results; next Mr. Achniotis will provide an operational update and an industry overview, and lastly we’ll open the call to take your questions. I’d now like to turn the call over to Navios Partners’ Chairman and CEO, Ms. Angeliki Frangou. Angeliki?

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

Thank you, Laura, and good morning to all of you joining us on today’s call. I’m pleased with our results for this quarter in addition to strengthening our balance sheet through recent capital market activities; we also are ready to acquire two container vessels, with employment that will aggregated to the cash flow of our company. For the quarter, we achieved EBITDA of $54.2 million, and a net income of $30 million. We announced a quarterly distribution of $0.4425, representing an annual distribution of $1.77 per unit. Navios Partners is committed to this distribution through 2015. This annual distribution provides a current yield of about 9.3%. We believe that MLP investors will be attracted to Navios Partners, because not only does our current yield exceeds the Alerian MLP index yield by about 60%, a further upside based on our growth and market improvement. As you can see from Slide 2, Navios Holdings owns 20% of Navios Partners, and inherit Navios Partners become a key player in the drybulk industry. Today, NMM, has a market capitalization of about $1.5 billion, and an enterprise value of about $1.9 million. Navios Partners consider the business will also be facilitated – it continues access to the capital market and provide the capability to grow its fleet, and cash flow. In fact, since NMM went public in November of 2007, it has increased its fleet more than four fold. Today, we’re controlling exactly two vessels representing about 3.3 million dead weight tons. The average charter duration of our fleet is about 3.2 years with almost 89% of our contracted revenue coming from charters longest start to the year. Slide 3 highlights our recent agreement to acquire two container vessels. The containers both 8,200 TEUs built in 2006 in South Korea was acquired for a total…

Efstratios Desypris

Management

Thank you, Angeiki, and good morning all. I will briefly review our most recent financial results for the second quarter and six months ended June 30, 2014. The financial information is included in the press release, and is summarized in the Slide Presentation on the company’s website. As Angeiki mentioned earlier, we continue to expand our cash flow generation through accretive acquisitions. We have strong financial performance, and we are committed to a minimal annual distribution of $1.77 per common unit for 2014 and 2015. Moving to the financial results, as shown on Slide 7, our revenue for the second quarter of 2014 increased by 12.3% to $55.2 million compared to $49.4 million for the respective quarter of last year. The increase is mainly due to increase in available days by 43.8%, and was partially mitigated by the 21.7% decrease in the time charter equivalent rate achieved for the quarter of $19,824 per day compared to $25,318 per day for the same quarter of 2013. As discussed in the first quarter results, we terminated our third party credit default insurance receiving approximately $50 million in cash; as a result EBIDTA and net income for the second quarter of 2014 have been positively affected by $17.9 million accounting effect for the insurance settlement. Furthermore, second quarter 2015 EBITDA was positively affected by the $10 million hire payment received in advance on one of our vessels. EBITDA for the second quarter of 2014 increased by $9.1 million, mainly due to the increase in other income items discussed above, as well as the increase in revenues. This increase was mitigated mainly by a $3.7 million increase in management fees, due to the addition of nine vessels into our fleet compared to the same quarter of last year. Net income for the quarter was…

George Achniotis.

Management

Thank you, Efstratios, and good morning all. Please turn to Slide 14, world GDP continues to be driven by developing economies, which now contribute a higher percentage of total world growth than the developed economies, representing over half of the global consumption of most commodities. The IMF recently reduced projected world growth for 2014 to 3.4%, but increased it to 4% for 2015. Developing economies are projected to grow at 4.6% and 5.2% respectively. Chinese economic growth is projected at 7.4% for 2014, and 7.1% for next year. Turning to Slide 15, the primary engines of trade growth continue to be China and India. Drybulk rate has expanded by an average of 5.5% per year in the 12 years, since China joined the WTO. Forecast for 2014 and for global drybulk trade to grow approximately 6% in ton-mile growth of about 7%. Net fleet growth is expected to be about 5% leaving to favorable supply demand dynamics for the first time in four years. Moving to Slide 16, iron ore from the major mines outside of China continues to be the lowest cost, highest quality source of this commodity. With future iron ore prices forecasted to remain in the $100 per ton range, Chinese domestic production represented by the red boxes in the lower red graph will become uneconomic. The currently planned expansions of global iron ore mines will add significantly to seaborne bulk commodity movements in 2014 with further significant growth in the following years. While the majority of these expansions are in Australia, this year, about 40% will come from the Atlantic Basin adding ton-miles. Moving to Slide 17, the continued development in urbanization of China will contribute significantly to steel consumption for the remainder 2014 and beyond. Infrastructure, housing, construction, and consumer spending growth underpin future development.…

Angeliki Frangou

Management

Thank you, George. This completes the follow-on presentation. We’ll open the call for questions.

Operator

Operator

(Operator Instructions) Our first question comes from the line of Michael Webber of Wells Fargo Securities. Michael Webber – Wells Fargo Securities, LLC: Hi, good morning guys. How are you?

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

Good morning. Michael Webber – Wells Fargo Securities, LLC: Just a couple of quick questions on the container ship acquisition, for a second can you just kind of walk us through how these deals came about, I mean there’s a lot of demand in the market for this kind of deal, the market we’re looking for – procure the containership. So if you can walk us through, how did this came to you, and how are you able to get it at a pretty well acquisition multiple?

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

As you very much seen, we’re a disciplined buyer, we negotiate, we know that we are also a very favorable counterparty to transact, because this transaction is almost, a very creditworthy counterparty; 30% of the company belongs to the Government of Taiwan. So you are talking about an incredibly good counterparty. And we take the time, they like a company that is able to transact, has the ability to perform and deliver the service. So even though it took us a little bit longer time, because we like the terms that we can defer for sides, we were able to get a deal that gave us an acquisition of 6.2 multiple over five years of duration – over four years of duration. And if you really look at on a residual value risk, it’s minimal. You are generating almost $76 million of aggregate EBITDA, you have a scrap of about $34 million. So you are coming to about a $7 million residual value after the charter. We’ve announced that has, I’ll say about over ten years, well over ten years about 13 years of life. So an attractive transaction, it takes time, because you cannot complete quickly. But because you have a lot of counterparties that were removed, because of season collapse and other counterparties that have balance sheet issues, we are able to really develop this opportunity. Also another very important, I think issue that, okay we can fully fund this transaction through (indiscernible) that we have in our balance sheet, our intention is to finance it. And even financing and completing this transaction, we still have at least over $160 million of purchasing power without doing any raisings. So if you look at this transaction, it got created with usage of breakeven by about 3,700, creates the ability to increase the distribution, and we have firepower to do additional deals and positioning the company for 2015 and 2016 at a very good attractive position. Michael Webber – Wells Fargo Securities, LLC: Got you. And before I move on (indiscernible) you mentioned in the order of $17 million in scrap value per vessel and that look like representing about $460 per lightweight ton. Is that where you guys are actually depreciating through your model?

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

No. No, this is – we use accounting, this is really in a violation – what we provide you is really – how we view the world, how we view our acquisition. We are buying two vessel at $117 million, I mean, actually it’s 8,200 TEU. These are very attractive assets that can be used in multiple deals. So it’s not an issue that we are associating, it’s like how we view the world and how we view risk, and how we can build cash flows even begin this four year charter, and that can create, you have minimum downside risk, ability to re-charter and go over distribution with really, and not really any credit risk on this transaction. Michael Webber – Wells Fargo Securities, LLC: No, that make sense. And just one more to me, I’ll turn it over, but along those lines, you’ve earlier, I think it was last year you came out and publicly supported the distribution at the current level through the end of 2015, best it’s going to bolster that 2016 coverage ratio, and into the point where you guys can start thinking about growing the distribution. How do you think about that, and specifically within the context have we seen – from some other marine MLPs recently where we’re trying to aggregate growth and just from a longer term growth trajectory to the market. How do think, this deal fits into that kind of scenario, and how you think about that going forward especially around – supporting at 2015 distribution at the current level or talking to a growth rate for 2015 and 2016?

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

Yeah, it’s Angeliki. We are yielded a – of our 9% and we are at a 60% discount Alerian yield. But reality, will give you a roadmap of growth and our creative deals. We have over $150 million of purchasing power that can really further reduce our breakeven or give us the ability to increase our distribution. It is something that we will view with – but the one thing we will say is that, we have the ability without raising to really grow with a – typically a creative deal. Michael Webber – Wells Fargo Securities, LLC: Sure. Yeah, I think at this point it’s about (indiscernible). Okay, I think that’s all I’ve got, I appreciate the time guys.

Efstratios Desypris

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Christian Wetherbee of Citi.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Good morning. This is (indiscernible) for Chris. If I could just follow-up on – on the distribution outlook, can you guys have a checklist per say, I mean if you think about – in order to grow to the distribution you need to see your recovery and spot rates or the period market and the drybulk market, I mean is it the drybulk market that could be the swing factor for potentially growing the distribution or is just the…

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

I’d say it’s not only the drybulk, because as you see our acquisitions now and then, containers really bring our breakeven, but it’s also really of creating the sufficient length and a cushion on the break even that will give us a comfort. And the good thing is that, we done in the last 18 months, we have done quite a substantive efforts to really bring down, to really create that ability for company (indiscernible) to market conditions.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Sure, that really makes sense. I guess with the 8 to 10 year old tonnage, and 6,000 to 8,000 TEU container market, is that still the most accretive place, the most opportunistic part of the container market, or I guess out of all the shipping that you think you’re going to continue to look at going forward?

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

I think we have selected the container, the container segment as an area where we grow, I mean the previous deals with this was a little bit smaller TEU, we are now moving to the larger TEU, and importantly it’s cash flow durations and creditworthiness of the counterparty and actually quality of the tonnage, everything is South Korean from top six guys.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay. Great. I’ll turn it over.

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ben Nolan of Stifel. Ben J. Nolan – Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Yeah, thanks. And again congratulations on this deal, it seems like an especially good deal, especially given the strength of counterparties you’re putting together there, I guess my question relates, my first question relates to that, when thinking about how you guys are accounting for this acquisition, how much of the total purchase price is allocated towards to value of the contract as opposed to simply the uncharted value of the asset?

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

I mean, we actually work with that market, I mean the reality that a credit worth account really looks at the ability of Navios Partners’ (indiscernible) they need to be dedicated, so the real barrack between really in the container market is today, if you are able to transact, if you have the balance sheet to transact, you are able to really acquire vessels at almost market with contracts, with credit worth account at bulk. So this is a real opportunity where we saw and that’s why in the last – from the fourth quarter last year, we enter into the container market, we saw that opportunity. Ben J. Nolan – Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Okay, very good. Along those lines, given that this is a little bit older asset relative to something that’s brand new, how do you – how do you think about allocating a portion of that cash flow towards replacement CapEx, or I guess another way to ask it, are you allocating a greater percentage of the cash flow towards either debt repayment or eventual replacement CapEx as a function of the vessels being a little bit older?

Angeliki Frangou

Management

I’ll let Efstratios go through that, but one of the things we have done from day one is, we have a replacement CapEx, and this is something we do day one. We provide that, and this has been in excess with – we can actually say that some of our dry bulk vessels that we acquired brand new, remember last year we actually been able to do it at – more attractive than the replacement of our older vessels we have in our book. So this is an ongoing process, and we see the ability through the cycle to actually acquire the vessels. You have the replacement CapEx through the cycle, and also accounting the cycle correctly, you are able really to acquire the vessels at more attractive prices.

Efstratios Desypris

Management

Ben, we have the way that we are calculating the replacement CapEx, this is standard we have done it for all the vessels that we have in our fleet, so any vessel that we are adding, there is always a reference Slide or a five year old vessel. So irrespective of the age of the vessel that we’re buying, still at the end of the day what we want is to replace this with another 5 year old vessel. And if you see all the filings that we have done up to now, you see that our operating surplus, our distributable cash flow always excludes this replacement CapEx. So this is a portion that we keep out of our distribution. Ben J. Nolan – Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Okay, so this is no different than – your thinking of this is no different way than any of the other acquisitions that you’ve done in terms of the replacement CapEx?

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

Yes. Ben J. Nolan – Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Okay. And then my last one, maybe either for you Angeliki or George, when looking at the drybulk market in general, we had seen a lot of the big mining companies come with record levels of production of iron ore in June even, and yet we’re really not seeing any material uplift and Capesize rates. And furthermore we’ve also seen iron ore prices that have been below the theoretical level of where you’d see a lot of domestic mines, and China not being economic, is it simply a function of supply or demand needing to catch up to supply or is there something else going on here that’s keeping the Capesize market soft, and are there supply and demand games that are being played or I don’t know, is there something that you are seeing in the market that sort of explains the difference between what the mining companies are saying, and what’s actually being translated into with respect to Capesize rate.

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

Actually, overall we saw that there was – I don’t know but mostly from Australia, and that is – in a ton-mile demand is less than what you get from Brazil, what is estimated in second half is really an increase from Brazilian iron ore that will create more ton-mile demand. As whole, number of fixtures, what we already seeing is that, volumes are starting to be healthy, which is the first indication before movement on actually levels of the chartering. So I think this was mostly, I don’t know from Australia versus Brazil, we have the addition that you will see that, yes if iron ore remains at below certain level, this is not an immediate effect, it takes some period, but then the close of mines will happen, and that will go into the theme Chinese government where they do not want to waste asset and money on non-productive mines and situation. So I think overall if the price remains, we’ll provide closure of mines, and what we see from everything available is that, second half will be more Brazilian iron ore around the first one. Ben J. Nolan – Stifel, Nicolaus & Co., Inc.: Okay great. Well that is very helpful, and thank you for that. And again, nice acquisition there, so that’s it from my questions, thank you guys.

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes in from the line of Nish Mani of JPMorgan. Nish Mani – JPMorgan Securities LLC: Hey, good morning guys. Want to follow-up on the axis real quickly, and get a sense of where you think you’re in terms of drybulk acquisition opportunities because you’ve always been active in the container space recently, but there has been a relative dearth in drybulk acquisitions by you guys, and I want to get a sense to see this implied that you thought drybulk asset values could perhaps fall further, and you would be able to get better deals because we saw a slight run up in asset values in the first half of the year, but we have seen some slow down and some pullback actually since. And then I want to see how you guys are thinking about that in the medium term?

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

Yeah, Ben don’t forget we have a large drybulk position, we are – six vessel last year, so it really – it really gave us an ability to grow fleet that. So you know – the focus on the container cost, it gives us a better advantage right now on pricing because of the reduction of counterparties around where we have been able to really attract better deals and you can also create a cash flow. So there – we already have invested in the drybulk is a large position overall. We have 25 drybulk vessels and we will beat transactions if you remember, we have got delivery last year at the beginning of the 2014 at a very good price. So the container deals make more sense because of valiant cash flows. Nish Mani – JPMorgan Securities LLC: Okay. That makes sense. I mean the implication there being that in the drybulk side, you aren’t seeing many available opportunities that the charter is attached, now you could actually have that cash flow of the above and be the cash flow available. Is that correct?

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

Yes. Nish Mani – JPMorgan Securities LLC: Okay. And then turning to the drybulk rate environment more broadly, I mean I think that rates came off probably stronger this summer or weaker the summer that were themselves farther than most probably expected, and there is kind of a flashback other both seasonal and fundamental kind of periods of weakness. You guys have 10 vessels coming open between now and year end. And some of these are fixed and kind of the mid-teens to be even closer to $20,000 a day, are you prepared to take a significant share count on re-chartering those vessels perhaps in the low double-digits kind of $10,000 to $12,000 range?

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

I think that if you look at on an overall as a portfolio is not very far away from where is the current one here. So it is not something that if you see – okay if you judge it from the spot market and look quite (indiscernible) it can really including all quarters not only the seasonal low. The average as we are coming – the average rate on the vessels chartering, they are not very far from where one get rate. So we don’t see a significant risk there. Nish Mani – JPMorgan Securities LLC: Okay. And in terms of charter durations for those vessels, the ones that are coming up between now and the end of year. Are you guys thinking about still the kind of that 12-month charter as being the sweet spot, but you don’t miss no essential upside in the cycle?

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

Yes, what we mentioned is, one of our longer-term goals is really to build our duration. So, we will cease out the market recovery, long-term – we’re an MLP, we get about distributions, we get about visibility. So our longer-term target is to create a longer durations on the appropriate time. What we see is – with the vessels we have longer charters and they’re built to really get this creative container, it give us the ability to do it in a relaxed way, in a way that we’ve been more beneficial for our investors.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay, understood. Thank you so much for your time guys.

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of (indiscernible) of Morgan Stanley.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Good morning and thank you. I want to ask you about the – you have three older vessels that they should come of charter, and it seems that these vessels are not going to be able to contribute the same way as in the past. Are there any source of disposing this assets, and I’m talking about the vessel that they are around 17 years, 18 years old?

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

We already have both six drybulk vessels in this downturn. So, we have the ability to do it. We will do it when it’s more appropriate, don’t forget that vessels are very well kept and will create cash flow. So this is a matter of the appropriate moment, we are not – we are never going to pre-announce a sail or a disposal. But we have already taken position on the drybulk, we already have booked six vessels from re-sale, new buildings to gain vessels five years of.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Thank you. And one last interesting question, if you can explain a little bit further as a weakness and what is going to be the drive that you mentioned earlier, the iron ore out of Brazil, but do you see that, this is the only driver and the only reason that the lack of Brazilian iron ore supply that keeps the market weak or there is something else going on in the coal market. And how do you expect the coal trade to develop the next year?

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

The reason we are talking about the Brazilian, because we saw the first half being more Australia, which has less ton-miles, so that together with an increased volume out of Brazil that will increase the ton-mile demand in a multiplied effect. Of course you still have, there will be, the coal demand is something that remains there – there is going to be the Indonesian bank recovery, and most importantly, I think as we have seen advanced economics being even with a more recent IMF releases, then we give them what was estimated. So if that’s going to be the recent revisions downwards, it’s happened mostly on the advanced economies. On the supply of the vessels, vessel demand, I mean we have seen that actually, we have non-deliveries going well, 30% non-deliveries, scrapping is inline, so net growth is not really a real problem, and demand will be growing at above net free growth. So with the volatility in between, the long-term theme is there, but of course you always have the relative volatility.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Thank you very much for your time.

Efstratios Desypris

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our final question comes from the line of Nick Norstrom of Jefferies. Nick Norstrom – Jefferies LLC: Hi, good morning, guys.

Efstratios Desypris

Management

Good morning. Nick Norstrom – Jefferies LLC: I was wondering, getting back to the drybulk market, if we should get a nice seasonal rally into year-end. If you guys would ever consider monetizing some of your drybulk assets, and maybe accelerating the shift to more containership assets given that there is more duration in that market is that something that you guys have thought much about at all?

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

We are here to really create – to create a visible increase on the distribution capability of the company, so this is something that we view, we like durations, and we like assets that can provide that. Of course we’d like to have a diverse portfolio. So we are not kind of reviewing every possible way, meaning you may – this is a part of our thought and our business planning, I mean we always do whatever is best on increasing the visibility of cash flows, and putting this cash into use. Nick Norstrom – Jefferies LLC: Okay. That’s great. And kind of along the lines of that, in the containership market, are you strictly focused on secondhand acquisitions, and do you feel that, that pipeline is pretty full or would you at some point ever consider the opportunity for maybe NM to build some new building tonnage and create some drop down visibility for NMM?

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

We’re going to talk about NM, but one thing we’re always scared about, if you do first part of the acquisitions, you will always try to get a – to get vessels that are in the quarter, otherwise it creates a negative cash flow. Don’t forget that, Navios Holdings has a large, fleet and it has vessels at that timing, and we cannot talk about NM’s plan, but you have – I mean the sponsor has a strong fleet. Nick Norstrom – Jefferies LLC: Sure.

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

And a visible, I mean time that it can go in, and we view the ability of vessels at that timing in 2014, 2015 and 2016. Nick Norstrom – Jefferies LLC: Okay. That’s all I have. Thank you very much for the time guys. Thank you.

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

At this time there are no further questions. I will now turn the call over to Angeliki Frangou for any additional or closing remarks.

Angeliki N. Frangou

Management

Thank you for attending our second quarter results.