Earnings Labs

Navios Maritime Partners L.P. (NMM)

Q3 2017 Earnings Call· Tue, Nov 14, 2017

$72.15

-0.84%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.

Same-Day

-4.50%

1 Week

-1.50%

1 Month

+14.47%

vs S&P

+11.06%

Transcript

Operator

Operator

Thank you for joining us for Navios Maritime Partners' Third Quarter 2017 Earnings Conference Call. With us today from the company are Chairman and CEO, Mrs. Angeliki Frangou; Chief Financial Officer, Mr. Efstratios Desypris; and Executive Vice President of Business Development, Mr. George Achniotis. The conference call is being webcast. To access this webcast, please go to the Investors Section of Navios Partners' website at www.navios-mlp.com. You'll see the webcasting link in the middle of the page and a copy of the presentation referenced in today's earnings conference call can also be found there. This conference call could contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 about Navios Partners. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts. Such forward-looking statements are based upon the current beliefs and expectations of Navios Partners' management and are subject to numerous material risks and uncertainties which could cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements. Such risks are more fully discussed in Navios Partners' filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including the company's most recent 20-F. The information discussed in this conference call should be understood in light of such risks. Navios Partners does not assume any obligation to update the information contained in this call. The agenda for today's conference call is as follows. We'll begin this morning with formal remarks from the management team, and after we'll open the call to take questions. Now, I turn the call over to Navios Partners, Chairman and CEO, Mrs. Angeliki Frangou. Angeliki?

Angeliki Frangou

Management

Thank you, Laura, and good morning to all of you joining us on today's call. For the third quarter of 2017, Navios Partners reported revenue of $60 million and EBITDA of $41 million. Last year was a challenging one for the dry bulk and container sectors. Many maritime companies were tested. Navios' strong balance sheet, disciplined cost management and position as a growth platform, allow us not only to weather the storm, but also to prosper. As you can see from Slide 4, today NMM owns 37 vessels, consisting of 30 dry bulk vessels and 7 container vessels. Recently, we formed Navios Maritime Containers Inc., a growth vehicle dedicated to opportunities within the container sector. Navios Maritime Containers has grown its fleet to 20 vessels, of which Navios Partners owns 34% and has warrants for an additional 6.8%. Slide 5 provides some of Navios Partners' highlights. NMM is expected to generate significant cash flow with no major near-term debt maturities and low leverage. We are in the process of renewing our dry bulk fleet with younger and larger vessels, which will provide us with significant additional free cash flow in the current recovery market. We expect about $625 million in remaining contracted revenue, 80% of this revenue is through charters longer than three years. The average charter duration of our entire fleet is about two years. Our credit ratios are strong with 37.3%, net debt to capitalization as of Q3 2017. Slide 6 focuses on NMM's ability to generate significant cash flow. With a low cash-breakeven per day for 2018 supported by $89 million in contracted revenue, NMM can generate significant free cash flow. Free cash flow generation is expected to be about $100 million of current market rate and about $170 million, assuming 20-year average rate. We have been…

Efstratios Desypris

Management

Thank you, Angeliki, and good morning all. I will briefly review our unaudited financial results for the third quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2017. The financial information is included in the press release and is summarized in the slide presentation on the company's website. As Angeliki mentioned earlier, on August 29, 2017, Navios Containers completed a $50 million private placement where Navios Partners invested $10 million. As a result, Navios Partners owner's percentage dropped from 59.7% to 59.9%, and from that date onwards Navios Containers is not fully consolidated into Navios Partners' results. The financial results of the quarter, includes the operating results of Navios Containers for the period until August 29, 2017, and the share of NMM in Navios Containers' earnings for subsequent period. Moving to the financial results as shown on Slide 10. Our revenue for Q3 of 2017 increased by 19.1% to $60 million compared to $50.3 million for Q3 of 2016. The increase was mainly due to the 13% increase in the Navios Partners available days of the fleet and the $9.3 million revenue from Navios Containers. EBITDA for the third quarter of 2017 was positively affected by the $4.1 million gain on the deconsolidation of Navios Containers, and it was negatively affected by a $0.5 million equity compensation expense and $0.4 million reactivation costs of Navios Containers. EBITDA for the third quarter of 2016 was negatively affected by a $19.4 million loss on the sale of HMM shares. Excluding these items, adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter of 2017 increased by 15.3% to $57.9 million compared to $32.8 million in Q3 of 2016, primarily due to the increase in revenues, which was mitigated mainly by the $4 million management fees of Navios Containers and $1.4 million increase in Navios Partners management fees due…

George Achniotis

Management

Thank you, Efstratios. Please turn to Slide 18. World GDP growth in 2017 is expected to be 3.6% and will increase to 3.7% in 2018, accelerating from the 3.2% growth in 2016. Growth in emerging economies is forecast to increase from 4.3% in 2016 to 4.6% in 2017 and 4.9% in 2018. On the back of synchronized global economic growth, dry bulk trade growth is expected to double from 1.2% in 2016 to 1.4% in 2017. At current BDI levels, the dry bulk market is above 400%, above the all-time low of 290% in February 2016, with substantial upside as it still remains 45% below the 20-year average. Turning to Slide 19. Substitution of Chinese expensive low-quality iron ore with fair quality and lower price imports, particularly from Australia and Brazil continues. Imports into China for 2017 are forecasted to rise by about 7% or 67 million tons and a further 3.6% in 2018. Up to the end of September Chinese iron ore imports were up 7% year-on-year. Steel production in China continues to expand up 6% year-to-date. High domestic demand has translated into a full-year high in steel prices, with lower imported iron ore and coal prices, Chine steel mills are enjoying their best profit margins in the last decade. High Chinese domestic steel demand has been stimulated by large infrastructure projects in the recovering the housing market. The One Belt One Road project is a cornerstone of the Chinese economic plans for the next five years, and supports steel and power demand inside and outside China. Chinese steel exports have decreased by over 30% this year to manage the impressive growth in domestic demand. As a result, steel production in the rest of the world has increased by about 5.5% year-to-date. Of note, the Brazilian iron ore exports,…

Angeliki Frangou

Management

Thank you, George. Let's open now the call to questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Chris Wetherbee of Citi.

Christian Wetherbee

Analyst

Hey, thanks. Good morning. Thanks for taking the question. I wanted to touch, Angeliki, on a comment you made earlier on the call about growth opportunities and sort of when you think about debt maturities being out in 2020, there is an opportunity here maybe to grow the fleet. Sort of where do you want to focus and how should we be thinking about that pace of growth? What are the opportunities set? What does the opportunities set look like right now?

Angeliki Frangou

Management

Very good question. One thing I'd like to say that NMM has done a lot of work and we are the best dry bulk platform. Don't forget that we already have done quite a significant improvement of our fleets. We increased our fleets by 30%, going to higher margin vessels and we improve our age profile by 10%. Of course, this process is never ending, and you'll always have a replacement of vessels on your portfolio. But a quite significant improvement of our fleet has already happened. Now, one of the things that we see very important is that the company has done all this. And at the same time, we have one of the best and lowest breakeven, 5,350. And you know all the dry bulk platforms around the capital markets. I think this is the lowest with no debt maturities. Yes, we have one in 2020, easily taken out in today's markets, no CapEx and 9,450 open and index days in 2018 market. So, I think this is an important positioning for the company for a very significant free cash flow generation. Also, we see a path on our containers that are coming to near maturities, to be dropped down to 90T [ph] Navios Containers where we clean up now the structure and we'll become full-focused dry bulk platform.

Christian Wetherbee

Analyst

Okay. So, okay, so there could be some dropdowns in there as well. So, in the context of that, when you think about free cash flow and your allocation how do you think about dividends? Is that something that enters the discussion anytime sooner or will it be too premature to talk about that?

Angeliki Frangou

Management

Okay. That's a good - let's be honest. I mean, we saw a recovery on the dry bulk from the low 2018. So, there is clearly a path towards dividend. The one thing that as a counterbalance that we are looking, and contemplating is that we have not seen long period charters on the dry bulk. But, clearly, you can see that there is a recovery from Q1.

Christian Wetherbee

Analyst

So, yeah, that's helpful, so you need to see some sustainability in a period market before you can feel comfortable that reinstituting a dividend is the right way to go.

Angeliki Frangou

Management

We can see a path, I mean, it may be a modest, but you can see the path from where we are. It's also a Board decision. But you can see clearly a path from where we are.

Christian Wetherbee

Analyst

Okay. And then just one final question on the management agreement, we should be assuming a fixed rate for 2018 and 2019 on the OpEx, and then could you give us a sense of what the - what may be the cost inflator would look like beyond that?

Angeliki Frangou

Management

I think you have seen that in the previous one there was - I mean, there is a minimal increase on two asset classes, and there was zero increase on the other two. So, it's purely what inflationary situation will see. And I have not - on the 10 years that we operate on management agreement, we have never seen more than 3% increase.

Christian Wetherbee

Analyst

Okay. So that's what you should be thinking about going forward beyond the 2019 date?

Angeliki Frangou

Management

I mean, you have long records of that, of 10 years.

Christian Wetherbee

Analyst

Yeah, okay. Okay, that's very helpful. Thanks for the time. I appreciate it.

Angeliki Frangou

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Noah Parquette of JP Morgan.

Noah Parquette

Analyst

Thanks. I just want to ask - you guys have been pretty active on fleet renewal and then inspecting, looking at ships. Have you seen firming in asset values at all? I mean, and the brokers has kind of showed them at flat for a while now despite improving market. Just wanted to get a sense of what you're seeing.

Angeliki Frangou

Management

What you don't see - reports always don't give the full situation. I think one of the things you see is that you don't have very willing sellers in this market, Q4. So, you see a lot of cash flow generation. Let's say on the - I'm talking now especially on the good assets, the Capesizes, you are generating over 22,000. And if you had above index for a good Japanese vessel that is a 110 or the 120 of the index, it's generating this quarter 25,000, 26,000. So, it's a peculiar market. I think you will not - you will never see the market going smoothly. It does jump, plateaus and it does jump. One of the things we are very proud on the way we did the replacement is that we went early on, pick up the asset and we got the entire fleet that we acquired. The seven vessels were all in our fleet within July. And August was the last one. So, we had the full ramp-up on the market with an increased rate of Q4 with the entire fleet in there. You may see that - I mean, relative to where you had earnings in the beginning of the year to the end, you can see a very good ramp up of over 20%.

Noah Parquette

Analyst

Okay. And then, in terms of the financing for unchartered dry bulk ships, it looks like you knew that - or you took a little bit more on the term loan for some of the vessels. What's the financing availability like for secondhand uncharted-ships?

Angeliki Frangou

Management

I mean, if you have seen, we have done facilities with Bandpay [ph]. We extended the DVB facility and we add it on our term loan. So, we did all of them.

Noah Parquette

Analyst

Yeah, so the DVB facility, that was extended. So, there isn't a bullet payment in November anymore, right?

Angeliki Frangou

Management

No, no, it was extended.

Noah Parquette

Analyst

Okay, okay. Thank you.

Efstratios Desypris

Management

That's up to 2020, Noah.

Noah Parquette

Analyst

Okay, thanks guys.

Operator

Operator

Your final question comes from the line of Peder Jarlsby of Fearnley.

Peder Nicolai Jarlsby

Analyst

Hi, there. Just a quick few questions for me, you touched briefly upon the - on streamlining the company and you're dropping the container vessels down to an NMCI. Could you talk a bit more about the timeline for that and what we should expect?

Angeliki Frangou

Management

I mean, one of the things I will say we have couple of vessels next year that they roll off. And as the vessels roll off this is a natural home, Navios Containers. So, can see it is vessels are from Q2 to Q3, something like that.

Peder Nicolai Jarlsby

Analyst

Okay, so with those, is it fair to assume that we'll see a gradual streamlining of the company rather than just one larger transaction?

Angeliki Frangou

Management

I cannot comment to that. I mean, this is capital market. And I think that what I want to say is the logics. In that, the logic is that as these vessels were lost, they come down and it's a natural home for the company to grow. And then you have the possibility of this becoming a very clear traction.

Peder Nicolai Jarlsby

Analyst

Okay, thank you. And then - and just finally in terms of - you're expecting to generate quite a bit of free cash flow next year. So, what do you believe is the best proceeds for that free cash flow going forward?

Angeliki Frangou

Management

That's very good. I mean, one of the things I doubt is that, listen, literally knowing whether we have done a quite significant one, we are of course going to buy vessels and renew our fleet portfolio if necessary. But I think we see also that the company inevitably will have a path towards dividend. And, of course, you have to be very - we have to always balance that with the fact that we have not seen period charters on dry bulk, but there is clearly a path.

Peder Nicolai Jarlsby

Analyst

Yeah, okay. And just in terms of - in terms of renewing the fleet you've done a good job so far. But in terms of larger deals out there, fleet deals, did you see any - is there potential to do that or is it more just taking up single assets or you don't - just trying to get in terms of what you're seeing in terms of opportunities out there.

Angeliki Frangou

Management

Listen, the reality is we're not about - you're talking about one company that absorbs a whole company out of Singapore. We have done more capital market transaction than anyone. And we have done also single vessels. The reality is that the big transactions that sched lines and it's not a distress is the easiest thing to do in the world. It's a matter of brokers getting information. The reality is how you really try to find the best portfolio and try to get a deal that makes sense. So, don't worry, we can do anything from a single to 20 vessel at onetime.

Peder Nicolai Jarlsby

Analyst

Okay. That's good to hear. Thank you very much.

Angeliki Frangou

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. I will now return the call to Ms. Angeliki Frangou for closing remarks.

Angeliki Frangou

Management

Thank you. This completes our Q3 results.