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Navios Maritime Partners L.P. (NMM)

Q3 2021 Earnings Call· Wed, Nov 10, 2021

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Thank you for joining us for Navios Maritime Partners Third Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call. With us today from the Company are Chairwoman and CEO, Ms. Angeliki Frangou; Chief Operating Officer, Mr. Stratos Desypris; Chief Financial Officer, Ms. Eri Tsironi; and Executive Vice President of Business Development, Mr. George Achniotis. As a reminder, this conference call is being webcast. To access the webcast please go to the Investors section of Navios Maritime Partners website at www.navios-mlp.com. You'll see the webcasting link in the middle of the page, and a copy of the presentation referenced in today's earnings conference call will also be found there. Now I will review the safe harbor statement. This conference call should contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 about Navios Partners. Forward-looking statements are statements that are not historical facts. Such forward-looking statements are based upon the current beliefs and expectations of Navios Partners management and are subject to risks and uncertainties, which would cause actual results to differ materially from the forward-looking statements. Such risks are more fully discussed in Navios Partners filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. The information set forth herein should be understood in light of such risks. Navios Partners does not assume any obligation to update the information contained in this conference call. The agenda for today's call is as follows. First, Ms. Frangou will offer opening remarks. Next, Mr. Desypris will give an overview of Navios Partners segment data. Next, Ms. Tsironi will give an overview of Navios Partners financial results. Then Mr. Achniotis will provide an operational update and an industry overview. And lastly, we'll open the call to take questions. Now I turn the call over to Navios Partners, Chairwoman and CEO, Ms. Angeliki Frangou. Angeliki?

Angeliki Frangou

Management

Thank you, Daniella, and good morning to all of you joining us on today's call. I am pleased with our results for the third quarter of 2021. During Q3, Navios Partners recorded revenue of $228 million, adjusted EBITDA of $145.2 million and net income of $162.1 million. Please turn to Slide 4. On October 15, 2021 we completed a transformative merger with Navios Acquisition. Today NMM is one of the largest U.S. publicly listed shipping companies with 15 vessel types diversified across three segment and servicing more than 10 end markets. About a third of our fleet operate in each of the drybulk, containerships and tanker segment. We believe that this combination offers a stronger, more resilient entity mitigating sector specific cyclicality. NMM has a solid balance sheet and a modest leverage, a healthy income statement and a pipeline of about $2.2 billion in contracted revenue. Overall our diversified platform should provide flexibility, allowing us to capitalize across segment opportunities. We expect to be able to provide more predictable returns to our unitholders despite uneven sector performance. As shown on Slide 5, 2021 has been a transformational year as we expanded in new segments. Year-to-date in 2021 our fleet increased by 163% in terms of number of vessels to 88 net vessel additions. Through this S&P activities we increased our fleet size and reduced average age for our existing segments. For containerships, we increased fleet size by 330% and reduced average age by 24%. For drybulk, we increased capacity by 36% and reduced average age by 18%. Of course we also entered into the crude and product tanker segment. And some are shown on the chart on the bottom of the slide, we have increased available days by 171% to 47,268 available days. Thereby accumulating significant scale in a short…

Efstratios Desypris

Management

Thanks you Angeliki and good morning all. NMM is differentiated by its industry-leading scale and diversified sector exposure. Please move to Slide 9 which provide some selected segment data. Navios Partners controls 142 vessels with balanced exposure to the drybulk, containership and tanker segments. Also we have strength and stability in our balance sheet. Net loan-to-value is about 28.3% in an asset base estimated at over $4.5 billion. Moreover, Navios optimizes its flexible chartering strategy to leverage on fundamentals across its three sectors and calibrate charter 10 based upon segment opportunity. We have a contracted revenue pipeline of about $2.2 billion and about 58% of our 2022 available days are currently exposed to the market. Our market exposure days are calibrated towards drybulk and tanker vessels, while about 88% of our containerships are fixed. Slide 10, details our strong operating free cash flow potential. For Q4 of 2021, our contracted revenue exceeds total expenses by approximately $57 million and we have around 2,500 days with market exposure that will provide additional operating free cash. For 2022 we have fixed approximately 42% of our open days at $29,350 per day and our contracted revenue provides for a break-even of $2,469 per open day. We have 27,437 open in index days that can generate significant operating cash. In Slide 11, you can see the strength and stability of our balance sheet. As of September 30, we had a total cash of $141.2 million and borrowings of $1.4 billion. Leverage remains very low and net loan to value is 28.3% in an asset base estimated at over $4.5 billion. Additionally, we have a staggered maturity profile with no significant maturities through 2023. But together with our contracted revenue of $2.2 billion, provides an enduring platform with significant upside potential. Turning to Slide 12, you can see some fleet and debt updates. We have fixed 10 of our containerships for long durations, creating approximately $690 million in contracted revenue. More specifically, we have contracted our six newbuilding containerships delivering in 2023 and 2024 for five years at an average rate of $37,050 net per day generating about $420 million of contracted revenue. These vessels were acquired for an aggregate purchase price of $370 million. We have also chartered out 4,250 TEU containerships for periods between 3.5 years and 4.5 years, generating revenues of approximately $270 million. The current average contracted net rate of the four vessels is approximately $2,600 per day. On the S&P, we have sold the 2006 Panamax, Panamax vessel for $14 million. We are also constantly working on refinancing and extending maturities. We have arranged the new facility of $72.7 million for the refinancing of three existing facilities with short and medium term durations. Additionally, we have agreed a new $52.7 million bareboat financing for two Kamsarmax vessels to be delivered in the second half of 2022 and Q1 of 2023. I now pass the call to Eri Tsironi, our CFO, which will take you through the financial highlights. Eri?

Erifili Tsironi

Management

Thank you, Stratos, and good morning all. I will briefly review our unaudited financial results for the third quarter and nine months ended September 30, 2021. The financial information is included in the press release and is summarized in the slide presentation available on the Company's website. On August 25, 2021 Navios Partners acquired 62.4% of the equity interest in Navios Acquisition through the acquisition of 44.1 million Navios Acquisition's common shares for an aggregate investment of $150 million. As a result, the balance sheet of Navios Acquisition together with the respective purchase price allocation adjustments are included in Navios Partners balance sheet as at the end of the quarter. However, the results of Navios Acquisition included in the Q3 Navios Partners results are only for the period from August 26,; through September 30, 2021. As Angeliki mentioned, earlier the merger with Navios Acquisition was completed on October 15, 2021. I would also like to highlight that 2021 results not comparable to 2020 as in 2021 NMM acquired two companies and is expected to increase its available days by 85% in 2021 and by 171% in 2022 compared to 2020. Moving to the earnings highlight in Slide 13. Total revenue for Q3, 2021 was $228 million compared to $64 million for the same period last year due to the expansion of our fleet and the improved time charter equivalent rate for both containers and bulkers. EBITDA and net income for Q3, 2021 includes a $30.9 million gain related to the sale of three vessel, Navios Dedication, Navios and Harmony N, a $4 million bargain purchase gain upon obtaining control of the Navios Acquisition, and $2.9 million transaction cost in relation to the merger with Navios Acquisition. I note that we were able to sell these vessels for a book gain…

George Achniotis

Management

Thank you Eri. Please turn to Slide 17 for the review of the drybulk industry. The IMF projects global GDP growth at 5.9% for 2021 and 4.9% for '22. The rate for 2021 is the highest in almost 50 years, and it is led by a 7.2% expansion in China, India and developing Asia. Vaccine roll-outs, continued fiscal stimulus and governmental infrastructure projects will continue to support economic growth. 2021 drybulk trade is projected to increase by 4.5% and further increase by 2.9% in '22. Rates in all asset classes rose sharply reflecting surging trade driven by strong demand for both major and minor bulk commodities. The BDI average for Q3 was 3,732, the highest quarterly average since 2008. In fact the BDI reached 5,650 on October 7, the highest level in 13 years led by increased iron-ore exports out of Brazil, pushing Capesize rates in just under $90,000 per day in early October. More recently the freight market has corrected on the back of Chinese winter steel production limits and power shortages due to unavailability of gas and coal. However, it should be noted that current rates are still above two times the 10-year averages. Turn to Slide 18. Post pandemic stimulus measures in the advanced economies and increasing industrial production has fueled demand for the three major bulk cargos, specifically the iron ore global trade is expected to grow by 3.4% in 2021 and 2.4% in '22. Additional availability of Atlantic exports to the Far East are expected to increase as steel mills replenish stockpiles. For returning coal high gas prices have driven power plants to switch back to coal-fired power generation, and the IEA estimates that global coal-fired electricity generation is expected to rise by nearly 5% this year and exceed pre-pandemic levels before increasing a further…

Angeliki Frangou

Management

Thank you, George. This complete formal presentation and we open the call to questions.

Operator

Operator

We take our first question from Randy Giveans with Jefferies.

Randy Giveans

Analyst

So, starting off with the merger, your fleet is clearly massive, it's diverse. So a few questions around this. You mentioned that you sold the 2006 Panamax, but still have a handful of 2004 and 2005 built vessels. So any plans for further asset sales, especially on those older vessels? And then I guess on the other hand, any plans for further growth in either of the three sectors that you now have exposure to?

Angeliki Frangou

Management

I think that one issue that I faced, no matter was on 140 vessel fleet, you will have some replacement. So think about something between five vessels to 10 vessels to a minimum per year you will have to replace, because either this is the way, or you see that vessel may have - may come in to - you see that the potential in 2023 and we have more consumption, for different technological or commercial reasons or CapEx you have to put. So this is an ongoing process that will be going over and over again depending on - and you have seen us doing that even in the top every market, in the bottom and the top, it is a continuous process that we'll do replacement. It doesn't indicate, now on actual investment, we just completed a $1 billion investment, 45 vessels in the tanker segment. And I think on a - it seems to be that Q3 was the low part of the tanker segment, and we are seeing the market slowly recovering. So this is a big investment for Q3. And what we are looking is how this investment we did will play. What we have done is that, we have created a fortress balance sheet by chartering the container sector, which is extremely strong. And we have seen that, we have $1.6 billion contracted revenue on containers, $2.2 billion overall on the company. This - the advantage we took on the container vessels gave us a historically low break-even of $2,469 per open day in 2022. So basically, we have a fortress balance sheet. We can be very comfortable watching the drybulk market develop, we have 86% of our available days in the drybulk open to the market exposure because we are bullish on that. And we have the tanker sector that we are watching as establish. So this is basically what we have been doing and what we are seeing developing.

Randy Giveans

Analyst

No, yes, that makes sense. And then you mentioned the word replacement, right. So you have 140 vessels to 150 vessels, is that the kind of range you want to stay with or with those kind of asset sales kind of bring down the fleet levels from these numbers?

Angeliki Frangou

Management

There's always a replacement to give, you know, one of the things that we said from, and I think, Stratos also mentioned, we have an average age. We are about two years below industry average. So this portfolio in order to be kept on the same age below industry average, and create, you will always have a 10, 15 vessel. So, it's not that we are basically - it's not a number, but you will need to do, you know, sell and manage the technology. If we find opportunities, we can always expand. And that is something that we are not shy doing. But I'm talking about as a portfolio, you'd like to keep an age profile characteristics somehow on a certain level.

Randy Giveans

Analyst

Yes, no that's fair. I think the sales of the older ones will slowly reduce that or I guess keep it relatively young. All right, second question, looking at Slides 11 and 14, clearly showing the strength of your balance sheet, you mentioned earlier in the call, your fixed charter backlog is giving you pretty substantial cash flow visibility, very low spot day break-evens. So, I guess going forward, is there a specific debt target or leverage ratio you're pursuing before kind of switching to some kind of return of capital, be it either repurchasing units at a massive discount to NAV or increasing the quarterly distribution?

Angeliki Frangou

Management

I think the number one is that, what we see is a good positioning on the company. You have this low break-even, 2,400, historically the lowest. But don't forget, we are 86% of our available days open on drybulk. And the tanker sector is just coming off - just coming up from a very low point, which was the lowest point in Q3. So, basically what we want to see is number one, this market drybulk to materialize, which we are bullish about it. But also to, you know, a recovery on the tanker segment. So, on that, what - after these two conditions, we are seeing as a return, a total return to our investor is an important part of our strategy.

Randy Giveans

Analyst

And do you have a maybe preference there in terms of repurchases or distribution increase?

Angeliki Frangou

Management

I think this is something that we are very .

Operator

Operator

We'll go next to Omar Nokta, Clarksons Securities.

Omar Nokta

Analyst

Also - good afternoon and also congratulations on there, your first call here post-merger. Wanted to maybe follow up on the commentary you just had with Randy, just in terms of deployment of capital, right now you're generating huge sums of cash. And that's likely to grow here as we look ahead with the time charters you just announced on the containers. You can pay down debt aggressively, you can reward shareholders aggressively and you can actually acquire assets fairly aggressively. And in terms of those sort of three, are you willing to rank at the moment of those three, which is the most appealing or if one outranks the other two or any sort of color you can give on how you are thinking strategically about whether you decide to pay down debt, pay back shareholders or grow the company.

Angeliki Frangou

Management

I mean when we did the transaction we - when we did the transaction we're about 35%, we increased our debt to about 35%. So the target is always to bring down the debt and that is to about 20%. But overall, today the biggest thing that we have to see is that we have created operationally a unique platform. We have historically low break-even gives us on a 47,000 days. You have a huge fleet, and you have a break-even per open day of 2,460. This is unique. But on the other side, we are very exposed to the market. We are 86, which I think is a rather big percentage for our drybulk to be open. But we have the luxuries. We see good - we see a good market potential, but we have to see it realize. And also we have to see that target, which we also see a good potential to actually happen. If these conditions happen, the next thing on the market, on the debt, I think we are in a - we can both allocate on reduction of our debt and also on actually providing to our investors. So this is something that we are focusing very much. But most important is we need to have the right conditions. We have - we see the potential, but we see - we need to see it materialize.

Omar Nokta

Analyst

Thanks, Angeliki. Definitely sounds like you have the flexibility across the board with that. And I did want to also just ask about the containership charters, which I thought were, you know, you ordered thus four plus two shifts, if I recall. And it was somewhat opportunistic at the time, they were on a speculative basis I guess or at least orders without charters. Here you fix them for the 37,000 a day, which, as I run the numbers, it looks like a 5-year payback, which sounds pretty substantial given these are new buildings. In that context, and thinking of deploying capital in the future, we've talked about how maybe tankers is an appealing asset class to go after because it's the bottom of the market to an extent. But on this containership opportunity, how repeatable could you say that deal is? Will you order those ships and then subsequently contracted them and now you have basically a five year, maybe 5.5 year payback. Is that a repeatable opportunity you think?

Angeliki Frangou

Management

You know, it's like as we die. If everyone dies, it is not anymore existing. But the reality is just to go back to your question is, is the following thing, I mean, the capacity of the ship - the shipyard capacities has been full, and also we see that materials maybe going up. So you always have to be very alert to see what is the best area where the opportunity lies. Sometimes it's in newbuildings, sometimes it's in secondhand vessels in different sectors. That is - there is no one formula to this. And you need to be always running the different scenarios. We did see one thing that we showed as a great opportunity on the container segment, we show that the smaller vessels and this is a widebody, the 5,500 TEU. What is unique - what we like about this is vessel is about in the flexible vessel at 260 meters, very nice dimensions, you can actually take advantage of the point to point transportation that is now developing the difference on the supply chains and from - and all these, you know just in time to just in case. So all these unique things that we see on the supply chain happening, these vessels we think is a good match. And basically by ordering these vessels, you go away from the basic Panamax that used to be the vessel that was designed at that time for passing through Panama Canal, but we saw that had a good life afterwards to something that is particularly great for the necessities of the inter-Asia trade.

Omar Nokta

Analyst

Yes, thank you. Definitely looks well-timed and a good overall return. Maybe just, I know, one final one I did want to ask. I noticed in the release, and you mentioned it also in your comments, just about securing drybulk charters in the period market when the time makes sense. Could you just give a flavor of sort of what the liquidity looks like from your perspective in terms of deploying the drybulk fleet away from spot on to time charters. What does the liquidity look like across the one year to three year time-frame?

Angeliki Frangou

Management

I think the - you can find one year versus three year, you have basically today discovering hugely. And you don't see the 3-year market developing. It will take some time, I mean, there is good, I mean, we show volatility, we went to gates from 80,000, we are down to around 30,000. Now 30,000 is a very good level. But purely the volatility that we show create, you know, people are still waiting to make an assessment on period. You need to wait and see that market develop. We are not shy of actually fixing it. If you have seen in container segment what we did, we - and is the example that you see on the charters we just announced, we were fixing one year. And today we fix over four years, and you know with 2.5 times the rate. So you are actually creating this cash flow when the market is right. So we need to wait for the drybulk, we enjoy the - we have the luxury because of our balance sheet and a low break-even to really to have the luxury to be open. And to capture the spot market and wait for the period market to come. And this is the strategy going forward.

Omar Nokta

Analyst

Yes, the essence of the diversified fleet. Well, thanks, Angeliki for your comments. I'll turn it over.

Angeliki Frangou

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

We'll take the next question from James with Citigroup.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Citigroup.

Just wanted to actually ask about how you're thinking about the capital structure from here. I mean, you have much larger asset base. It's more diversified, you're thinking about basically moving forward with an even lower level of leverage than you have. Now is the important or something like an unsecured pieces that might make sense, something that basically might be a little bit more permanent piece of the capital. Just trying to understand how you're thinking about the work to be done on that side?

Angeliki Frangou

Management

The big thing is about - we're looking at reducing further. And that one other thing we have done is we have about $1.5 billion in, I mean, Eri will give the exact numbers, but $1.5 billion on debt. We have about - commercial banks, about $600 million in Japanese and Chinese leases, which provides us more easier covenant. So we're creating this with this different two tier financing. And this is something we like to give the flexibility of having the Asian leases plus the commercial banks in Europe. And overall we like to have a low leverage. I think a low leverage is a big driver to our model.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Citigroup.

And then separately, can you just share generally the front and center. Obviously it's been a large factor in the market, but has that lack of visibility to sort of the core demand created any sort of headwind to getting business done on the container shipping - just this is actually more pertinent to the container shipping side. But could there be any sort of headwind getting, any sort of incremental business done or extending - for or extending any particular charges to vessels. Just trying to understand, if that's actually sort of impacting your operations outside of just sort of the rate impact. Just trying to understand how the fee through there.

Angeliki Frangou

Management

Big picture just, you should understand that all the inefficiency is net positive for our business. So basically we can fix and you have seen in the container segment we fix multi-year contracts. We - the announcement we did between the six new buildings that we did for five years and the four other vessels, we did quite significant number of what we say, 600 and...

Efstratios Desypris

Management

$690 million.

Angeliki Frangou

Management

$690 million of contracted revenue. So this is a net benefit, the inefficiency. And we always get - we get advantage of this on the long-term period because they need of turner.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · Citigroup.

Yes, totally understand the benefits to sort of the market capacity and rates. But just trying to understand, basically the lack of visibility has been sort of discouraged, sort of incremental ordering or sort of any commitments under customers' part. It doesn't sound like it has, but curious if there's any sort of hold back because of that lack of visibility. Just curious there.

Angeliki Frangou

Management

Sorry I am not a 100% sure on the question, I cannot - it's a little bit hard to hear you. But one of the things I'll say is that, we see visibility on chartering - the demand for charters, if I answer your question. And we have seen it. And this is something that actually has benefited quite significant on these market, especially on the container.

Operator

Operator

I'll turn the call back over to Angeliki for any closing remarks.

Angeliki Frangou

Management

Thank you. This completes our quarterly result for NMM. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This does conclude today's program. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at any time.