Richard A. Simonson - Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Analyst · Banc of America Securities
Thanks Olli-Pekka. Let me cover Nokia overall in our device businesses, financials first and then we will move to Nokia Siemens Networks. In the third quarter, Nokia net sales were up almost 3% sequentially. Nokia's gross margin was 34.3% and was up over 300 basis points from Q2. The combined device businesses' gross margin was stable in the third quarter. This was impressive since we did not ship any new significant turfs... any new products in significant volumes during the quarter. Gross margins in the Mobile Phones Business Group were up even as the proportion of very low priced devices grew significantly in Q3. More on this in a minute. Gross margins held up nicely in our combined devices business. However, we need to continue to execute well in order to maintain the current levels. We need to make sure our product portfolio remains competitive and we need to continue to introduce iconic products. We must remain vigilant in taking out costs where we can. Nokia's operating margin was 14.6% in Q3, excluding special items. The 14.6% Nokia operating margin included the negative impact of €144 million associated with the NSN purchase price accounting items. The operating margin of the combined device business continued its strong trend and was up for the fourth quarter in a row as mentioned earlier. Mobile phones operating margin was up a 150 basis points sequentially, driven by its improved gross margin and some OpEx leverage. Multimedia's operating margin was up almost a 150 basis points sequentially, driven by lower OpEx as a percentage of sales. Enterprise Solutions' operating margin continued to be strong in quarter three, but was negatively impacted by the hiccup in the ramp of the E90. As I said earlier, gross and operating margins in Mobile Phones Business Group were up again nicely this quarter. This was the case even as the proportion of volume from the entry level grew again in quarter three. In fact, the volumes we sold under €30 were up very significantly in the quarter. The sub-30 euro market is growing fast and we estimate it will be as much as 20% of the total device market in 2007. Our main competitors seem to be steering clear of this market, but Nokia is very strong here and we make good money in this segment. We've been doing high 20s gross margin in our broad entry segment for several quarters, and of course OpEx in entry level is relatively speaking low. This gives us very healthy operating margins in the entry level. We talk a lot about our position in entry level, but as you know our strength in mid range portfolio and our leading position in smartphone market have been critical elements in the recent margin improvement. In fact, in quarter three we had about 50% share of the smartphone market and over 40% of our absolute gross profits came from this segment. OpEx was down sequentially in our combined devices business, driven largely by lower sales and marketing expenses. Several of our key products during the quarter were capacity constrained, so there wouldn't have been much benefit to spend more on sales and marketing in Q3. Research and development spending was at our planned levels for the third quarter. Looking for the fourth quarter, we believe OpEx will be up in our device businesses on an absolute basis and up slightly as a percentage of sales. We expect sales and marketing to be up significantly in quarter four, given the ramp up of all the new products and the typical market dynamics in Q4. As we said in our press release, our overall volumes for the third quarter were somewhat constrained by component shortages. In the fourth quarter, both seasonal market growth and expected high demand for Nokia products are expected to result in some constraints. However, we have moved very quickly to secure the components we need and if they can be found, I think our people are best in the world to digging up incremental supply. Nokia's third quarter device average selling price was €82, down sequentially from €90 in quarter two. The lower sequential ASP in Q3 was primarily the result of a significantly higher mix of entry level device sales, especially in the under €30 category that I just spoke about. Overall pricing pressures in the market have been normal as expected; our own pricing moves have reflected that situation. The reported Nokia tax rate in quarter three was 19%. There were two main drivers of the lower rate in the third quarter. During Q3, the statutory tax rate in Germany was reduced by approximately 10 percentage points. In addition to some benefits in Nokia's effective tax rate in the quarter, this event required Nokia to revalue Nokia Siemens Networks' deferred tax liabilities in Germany. This revaluation resulted in a reduction of... to Nokia Siemens networks' tax liabilities of approximately €70 million. Of course since Nokia Siemens Networks is 50% owned by Siemens, Siemens gets 50% of the positive impact, so only half of the €70 million fell in Nokia's bottom line. Nokia and Nokia Siemens Networks operate in over 150 countries globally and changes in tax rates in different jurisdictions are not unusual. The second reason for the lower tax rate was a shift in our quarter three sales mix to countries with a lower tax rate. While we have been running at a lower tax rate than our estimated 26% so far in 2007, we are still estimating a tax rate for Nokia of approximately 26% in the future. This is justified given NSN's exposure to higher tax jurisdictions and the likelihood of Nokia's device sales mix shifting somewhat to higher tax jurisdictions. Now let's look closer at Nokia Siemens Networks' financials. Last quarter, we said we expected the operating results of NSN to improve in the second half. We did a good job of stabilizing the business and I think the results are encouraging. Net sales were up 7% sequentially with a stronger sequential growth in the mobile and services businesses. Nokia Siemens Networks' operating margin was actually a positive 3%, excluding special items and items associated with purchase price accounting. For your reference, we put a slide in the appendix of this presentation that lays out where all the special items and the PPA, it's the NSN profit and loss statement. Let me give you an update on the synergy in the integration project... excuse me, progress for Nokia Siemens Networks. Overall, NSN remains on target to deliver against its €2 billion synergy goal. Personnel restructuring is well underway and reductions are on plan. Restructuring activities are ongoing in approximately 70 countries. Since its inception, Nokia Siemens Networks' direct personnel related to the cost synergies have been reduced by approximately 2300 with some acceleration in quarter three. NSN has been executing a shift to low cost growth markets led by the company's global services hub in India and its R&D activities in China. To-date NSN has reduced its real estate footprint by approximately 200 buildings, approximately half of the year end 2008 goal. In terms of direct sourcing, Nokia Siemens Networks has completed negotiations with its 25 top suppliers that account for 45% of the direct sourcing volume and is now focusing on accelerating progress with the remaining suppliers. Culture development remains an important area for Nokia Siemens Networks management. Progress has been made here as well. Third quarter saw the launch of Nokia Siemens Networks Company values, leadership and employee development programs have been put in place, banded compliance training continues and there is an ongoing focus on employee enablement to ensure all employees have clarity about their roles and their expectations. Overall, we think that third quarter shows the Nokia Siemens Networks is heading in the right direction, they know what needs to be done and the organization is well aligned to act accordingly in the coming months and quarters. Last quarter, we said we were accelerating our previous €1.5 billion synergy target in 2010 and of 2008. This is well underway. In addition, we said that we have targeted a further €500 million in annual cost synergies bringing the total cost synergy target to €2 billion. We have now identified those additional savings. As we said today in our press release, we now estimate that there will be slightly above €2 billion in total charges associated with the €2 billion in annual cost energies. The total restructuring charges recorded to-date are €991 million. We estimate that we will take the majority of the remaining structuring charges in the fourth quarter of this year. We estimate that most of the additional cost energies and charges will come from items such as refinement in certain components of Nokia Siemens Networks' product portfolio. Let me now summarize the total special items for Nokia in the third quarter. During the quarter, there was a net negative €26 million of special items. All the special items are outlined on the slide and in the press release. Excluding these special items, the third quarter operating margin was 14.6% versus a reported 14.4%; diluted EPS €0.40, both including and excluding special items. The Nokia Siemens Networks, a €144 million of the items associated with purchase price accounting are included in the NSN's operating margins and the Nokia earnings per share. You can do the math, but if you exclude these items along with the net negative impact of €26 million in special items EPS would have been slightly higher than the €0.40. Let's now look at some of Nokia's balance sheet and cash flow items. Inventory was up in the third quarter sequentially, which is typical of preparation for the fourth quarter seasonality. Accounts receivable is also up in quarter three, driven by Nokia Siemens Networks. Revised accounts receivables were down in the quarter. Total operating cash flow in the third quarter was €2 billion. Cash flow from our devices business was very strong, again was offset by Nokia Siemens Networks' negative cash flow, which was approximately €4 million in the quarter... €400 million euros in the quarter. Our cash and other liquid assets totaled €9.2 billion at the end of the quarter. Let's take a look at currencies. The reported third quarter year-on-year net sales growth was 28%, in a constant currency it was 32%. The U.S. dollar had a negative impact on our net sales both year-on-year and sequentially. The U.S. dollar has continued to weaken and now stands at around 1.42 to the euro. We are expecting that the recent fall in the dollar may have some negative impact on our net sales in quarter four. For our outlook for Nokia, Nokia Siemens Networks and the industry, please refer to the earnings release and the slide. Now back to Olli-Pekka.