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Nutanix, Inc. (NTNX)

Q1 2020 Earnings Call· Mon, Nov 25, 2019

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to the Nutanix Q1 Fiscal 2020 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today Tonya Chin, Vice President of Investor Relations and Corporate Communications. Thank you. Please go ahead, madam.

Tonya Chin

Analyst

Good afternoon and welcome to today’s conference call to discuss the results of our first quarter of fiscal 2020. This call is also being broadcast over the web and can be accessed in the Investor Relations section of the Nutanix website. Joining me today are Dheeraj Pandey, Nutanix's CEO; and Duston Williams, Nutanix’s CFO. After the market closed today, Nutanix issued a press release announcing financial results for the first quarter of fiscal 2020. If you’d like a copy of the result - the release, please visit the Press Releases section of the Nutanix website. During today’s call, management will make forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Safe Harbor provisions of federal securities laws regarding among other things the company’s anticipated future financial performance in various periods, including anticipated revenue; software and support revenue; or TCV revenue; billings; software and support billings or TCV billings; gross margin; operating expenses; net loss; net loss per share; weighted average shares outstanding and annual contract value or ACV. The assumptions underlying our anticipated future financial performance in various periods, our plans to provide future projections and financial guidance, our plans, and timing for and the benefits and impact of our transition to a subscription-based and recurring revenue business model including anticipated impacts thereof on our business and financial results, and our ability to complete the transition successfully and in a timely manner, our business plans, initiatives and objectives, and our ability to achieve such business plans, initiatives and objectives successfully and in a timely manner and the anticipated benefits and impact thereof on our business, competitive position and financial performance, demand for and customer adoption of our products and services, and our ability to retain and expand upon existing customer relationships, our continued investment in talent, technology including our subscription-based product and…

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

Thank you, Tonya. Good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for joining us and a very happy Thanksgiving in advance. In September, we celebrated our 10th anniversary. It reached $1 billion in annual revenue, faster than most software companies had in the past 20 years with deferred revenue at almost $1 billion as well. In the last two years, we have transformed our business model from appliance to software and are now doing sole subscription. As we look to our next 10 years, we see even bigger opportunities to continue to work hard with our customers to ensure that words frictionless, reliable, and invisible remains synonymous with Nutanix. Q1 was a strong quarter for us based on better than expected financial results, progress in subscription, recorded large deals, as well as continued new product traction. To build on last quarter’s strong momentum with $370 million in software and support billings or TCV billings and $305 million in software and support revenue or TCV revenue both metrics beating consensus. We signed the second highest number ever of large deals in a quarter which we define as deals greater than $500,000. Subscription grew to 73% of total billings up from 71% last quarter as we move steadily towards the goal of more than 75% which is our stated goal by the end of fiscal 2020. Later, I'll talk more about why our move to subscription model gives us a competitive edge in a world that is increasingly going hybrid. We also had strong 39% year-over-year deferred revenue growth in Q1 reaching nearly $1 billion in the quarter, a notable milestone. In this call, I want to focus on the three pillars of our execution that are driving this improved financial performance; our go-to-market engine, our move to subscription model as we establish a new…

Duston Williams

Analyst

Thank you, Dheeraj. Q1 was a quarter during which we met or exceeded our guidance for software and support billings, software and support revenue, gross margin, operating expenses and earnings per share. We were pleased with the amount of pipeline we generated in the quarter in that our backlog position showed very little change from Q4 FY 2019 to Q1 FY 2020. This was in sharp contrast to the fact that over the last three years we have experienced on average about a 25% decline in backlog from Q4 to Q1. During the quarter, we also made good progress on our shift to our recurring subscription business. In Q1, subscription billings accounted for 73% of total billings up from 71% in Q4 and subscription revenue now accounts for 69% of total revenue, up from 65% in Q4. This subscription shift for the quarter was in line with our guidance last quarter at which time, we mentioned that the subscription percentages would fluctuate a bit plus or minus for the next couple of quarters with a goal of 75% of billing from subscriptions by Q4 of fiscal 2020. Q1 marked our fifth quarter into the subscription transition, we have strived during this transitionary period to find an ideal financial metric to portray an apples-to-apples comparison of our top line growth one that mixes the attributes of the old life of device model with the new subscription model. Historically, we've had one metric TCV or total contract value for software and support that we apply to show the growth rates for the entire company which combined the old life of device model business model and the new subscription based business model. Using TCV as a growth metric works well for the old life of device model but not for the new subscription…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Matt Hedberg from RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Matt Hedberg

Analyst

Thanks for taking my questions. And first of all happy 10th anniversary and congrats on the strong results, guys. I wanted to touch on maybe just first the macro spending question. Then I had a question on partnerships. Obviously good results here. It sounds like you had good progress in the Americas’ strong large deal performance. I'm curious if you could talk about rest of world and maybe some of the things you've learned in the Americas that can be applied to the rest of the world. And maybe just your overall comments on IT buying patterns, spending patterns.

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

Well, I think - thanks for the question, Matt. I think at the high level when we look at our overall quarterly performance, 40% from International hasn't been and in line with what we did a year ago. So we don't see anything unusual in APAC and EMEA. Obviously, Chris' leadership has been telling in America, they would love to actually go and apply a lot of that rigor to both APAC and EMEA as well.

Matt Hedberg

Analyst

Then, I guess in terms of your partnerships, you've specifically called HP which was it was great to hear some of the success there. And you commented briefly Dheeraj on GCP with Xi. I’m wondering if you can give us a little bit more of an update on GCP in particular. If there's anything that you have in terms of joint customer or momentum that you could share, that would be - it would certainly be helpful.

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

Yes. Again on GCP, you know I talked about Google test drive, one of our most important projects to get right for us to increasingly have a digital go-to market motion and it's a very, very important project for us to really, really improve the efficiency of our commercial segment. We are working very closely on Kubernetes, Calm and Anthos are coming together well. And our approach is to integrate Anthos to the control team of Calm, rather than raw hypervisor like AHV or something. So, there's some really good progress we have made over the last three to six months in Anthos with GCP. And we’re hopeful that with the recent acquisition of CloudSimple, it will open up new doors for bare metal as a service. And bring GCP on par with what we are doing with AWS and Azure.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Rod Hall from Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

Rod Hall

Analyst

I wanted to ask for starters just to double check that our math is right on the top line impact this quarter. So the ACV grew 18% year-over-year and then software support up 9%. So the difference in the two is I guess what you would say is the top line impact from the transition. Just double checking that, Duston.

Duston Williams

Analyst

Yes, it's not as simple as that necessarily because the ACV calc obviously different term lengths are weighted differently within the ACV but you can get some feel there for the difference but I wouldn't take that literally.

Rod Hall

Analyst

Right just going to put this in a ballpark anyway. Okay, thanks for that. And then the main thing I wanted to ask is ACV is accelerating to 25% growth in the forward quarter at least that's kind of where we are on the midpoint. I wonder if you guys could maybe comment on what's driving that? Is that GreenLake or is it - there's some other thing that is driving that acceleration in ACV?

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

Well part of is just creating a new baseline because that - we just flushed through a big chunk of the transformation. We think we have a stable term length now. Our salespeople are getting used to selling subscription. Our customers are getting used to hearing about subscription, our channels partners have gotten enabled. We know how to defend value, protect value through software. It's getting better as well in that sense. So, I think all in all this was a tough 12 months for us. But I think it was well worth it. So, I think - to summarize it's really a new baseline and of course we put some real meat behind the bones when it comes to pipeline and marketing and demand generation and things like that.

Rod Hall

Analyst

And do you guys - just one last question and I'll give up the floor. But do you guys Dheeraj have hopes for expansion beyond GreenLake to other on-prem cloud services like AWS, outposts or other things like that? I mean is it a good possibility maybe we’ll see you in some of those in the future or can you just comment on what the strategy there is?

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

Yes. I think you know AWS definitely wants their hardware outpost to really run our software as well but also we hope to actually do a lot of that stuff in a way that is reliable and stable and because we take longer - one of the things that people don't know about is how we tested the heck out of the flash drives coming out of the platform vendors and now our test suite is the industry standard. And we've kept failing many of the very large SSD providers because of our rigor. So, we want to apply very similar rigor when it comes to these platforms coming out from hyperscalers as well.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from line of Aaron Rakers from Wells Fargo. Your line is open. Mr. Rakers, your line is open.

Aaron Rakers

Analyst

Congratulations on the quarter. As you guys move through the subscription transition, one thing that you’ve talked about in the past was the next kind of transitional phase for the company would move to more of a ratable type model. Can you just give us any kind of updated thoughts you have around that? What maybe the timing might be and what exactly that would entail as the next phase?

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

Sure. Yes, obviously our new products are effectively mostly all ratable in nature. Now they’re still a relatively piece of the equation there. It’s something that’s on our minds but quite honestly I think we have a few more quarters to get through first to I think maybe earn that right to do another movement in the model. And I think right now the focus is on consistent execution, continuing to get the business back to a level of expectations that we have for the business certainly and you know that's the focus. But ultimately, you know we'll need to do that I think to ultimately complete the transition and get to a very predictable revenue model building model etcetera.

Duston Williams

Analyst

And even before the ratably change there just a sales comps of that you know and this involves change management and the enablement and you know obviously we are more agile in our quota setting which is twice a year. You know, we do six month quotas unlike most of the enterprise heavy companies. So we are really trying to understand when we move to an ACV base sales comp.

Aaron Rakers

Analyst

That's perfect. And then the follow up question, you know the number of deals now involving more than one product or one product above core at 28% that's a notable trend you know that the company started to see over the last few quarters. You know, I think last quarter you also noted that you've yet to kind of drive a more bundled sales approach across your organization. You know, can you talk a little bit about what's driving the success of that continued increase? And when looking-forward we can expect maybe a sales motion that bundles a bit more effectively the additional or add-on products?

Duston Williams

Analyst

Yes, we know we are approaching this more top down like customer in more solutions-driven than product driven. Each solution will drive many portfolio of products, and that's how we are educating our sales force and our prospects. So in many which ways we are asking him to segment their campaigns based on solutions and then they don't have to go and really talk about six or seven different products, maybe just three different products. Now we have not gone ahead and created a queue out of this bundle, where at the very least, we’re really helping them think about a mini portfolio based on a solution they're approaching.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Katy Huberty from Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

Elizabeth Elliott

Analyst

This is Elizabeth on for Katy. Now two questions. One, well, what would your view have been on ACV growth if you had a full quarter of HPE each compared to the 2018 growth that we supported. And where do you expect ACV growth for the full year? And then, I have a follow-up.

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

Yes. It's hard to answer on the HP thing – HPE thing. It clearly depends on the length of the contracts and how much extra we could have done. So that's a tough one to theorize on that one. And then, we did mention I think in the script here that ACV growth for the year would roughly be 25% based on the TCV billings that we presented. And also this GreenLake thing which is fully ratable consumption water is very early for us to comment on. I think over the course of the next four quarters, as we understand the opportunities and the challenges in this hardware subscription model that HP has will be able to come and talk more about it.

Elizabeth Elliott

Analyst

Thank you. And then a follow-up related to the deals outside of the core offerings. What are some of the software products that are most outperforming your expectations and could you give us an idea of what percent of customers have purchased something outside of the core HCI?

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

Yes. On the former, I think we talked about, I talked about it in my narrative as well, obviously AHV, we don't charge for and that's been 47% of our business on a rolling four quarter basis. Prism Pro has been doing very well in terms of attached files which is our software-defined filer, our micro segmentation product called Flow which is now integrating with our SaaS product called Beam. So that together they'll become the unified security posture for the company in a multi-cloud world. And then there’s Era and Frame. So these products, we definitely see a lot of conversations going on, and a lot of attach as well.

Elizabeth Elliott

Analyst

And did you have an idea of what percent of customers have purchased something outside of the core offerings?

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

Not in our hands right now I think is to 28% of our deals this quarter on a rolling four quarter basis.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jason Ader from William Blair. Your line is open.

Jason Ader

Analyst

On the macro - on the guidance for the year, you talked about macro being a little bit weaker at some of your competitors. Just to be clear, is that something that you have seen in your business up to this point?

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

It's early actually and it's so mixed because we're small Jason, that it's hard to really say whether we're seeing something right now. As I’ve said, international business continues to be the way it was from quarters ago. I don’t know Duston if you want to comment on this?

Duston Williams

Analyst

Yes. It’s something obviously that we keep our eye on Jason just because of the frequency I think that you hear about it now. And you know when we’ve look at spending we, you know trying to take a prudent approach to the spending equation looking forward. But there's nothing that you know is significant that we can point to. You always hear a story here or there but there's no trend that we've uncovered from that perspective.

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

Not large enterprise in America is we actually do see doing well. There is a lot of noise in Brexit and China and we continue to monitor that and be cautious about it.

Jason Ader

Analyst

And then just a follow up, Dheeraj clearly things have gotten better for you guys. But maybe you could talk about some areas of the business where you know you still feel like you could be doing a lot better?

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

Well, I think the big investments that we’re making in commercial and how we really need to make it extremely digital and a lot more efficient is a big part of this. How we can go and get even more developer productivity, I think that's one thing that we don't talk about externally. But we - it's on my mind and the minds of a lot of our people as well as how do we really bring delight to our developers who are also customers actually. We think a lot about our customers outside but sometimes the cobbler's children have no shoes so I think that's one thing we really focused on for the last six months. And I think it's going to bring a lot of you know sort of efficiency to our R&D as well. And we believe there's a lot that we can unlock there too. So between commercial and doing things you know with, with test drive and with test drive and Dev productivity.

Jason Ader

Analyst

What do you mean by Dev productivity Dheeraj? Is it like more DevOps practices? I'm not quite sure what you mean by that.

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

Well, we have sort of disaggregated our products in the last year and the more we disaggregate the more independence we give them to read independent of each other because in a multi-product portfolio does come up with the challenges of how do you do release management and how do you do integration and testing of integrated products and at the same time provide autonomy to individual product owners to go and release code at even agile, more agile pace setting those are the kind of things that unlocks a lot of value for growing companies.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Simon Leopold from Raymond James. Your line is open.

Simon Leopold

Analyst

I wanted to touch on the competitive environment given that some of the others within sort of the IT supply chain have talked about, some players becoming more competitive and cutting price whether or not you've seen any change in behavior from the folks you're going up against and then I've got a follow up.

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

Yes, I think the win rates have not changed much. In fact, it's pretty much consistent with the last four quarters. I would say three, four years ago the competitive pressure was from converged infrastructure and big incumbents of the space of storage and virtualization and networking and now, it just happens to be two of us VMware and us and we are talking about how will you navigate this multi-cloud environment over the next five years and we think we have different approaches. I think hyperconvergence as a magic quadrant is really driven by software now as opposed to hardware. And I think it was a battle that we had to win over the last three, four years and I think the dust has finally settled that it's really an operating system play. And I would say that multiproduct portfolio is probably the next big battleground for both companies how to really do this well. I mean, we're doing this organically with no small teams that we come in together with and acquire and we believe that over the long haul I think this is a much better approach than going in and acquiring revenue. So we believe that there is obviously going to be competition. It's a very large market and large markets are red oceans. Red oceans are whales and red oceans are bloody. So we got to be the faster shark that knows how to really navigate change. And just in the last 18 months itself, this notion of running our software and hyperscaler public cloud involvement was something that we probably didn't conceive of three years ago. So, as we go and really expand the surface area for software, we get into other battlegrounds that we haven't talked about before.

Simon Leopold

Analyst

And just as a follow-up, I wanted to see how you're thinking about getting back to generating cash. Early in fiscal 2019, you had very strong cash from operations and then you sort of pivoted to making more investments. And I just want to think about what's sort of the trajectory to being a cash-generating company? Thanks.

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

Yes. Thank you. And I think this goes back to the transformation of our sales force, being more disciplined about extracting more value for software. I mean, it's a big change for a company that used to sell appliances till about 18 months ago. So I would say that a lot of it is around operational rigor and setting those enablement goals for our sellers who are now selling pure software and subscription, and going and educating the market on this transition itself.

Duston Williams

Analyst

Yes. And I think clearly over time, and this is obviously through the next several years here, it's how do we take advantage of the efficiencies that come from a subscription model. And we have to have a flow of renewals coming in first, but what we're doing in the interim is starting to structure the business, thinking from a productivity perspective, a channel productivity, how do we kind of position some of the things that we need to in advance of the subscription renewal and flow if you will, and how do we take advantage of those efficiencies. So, that's over time what's clearly going to help drive that. Now, when we exactly going to get back so we've given you guidance for FY 2020 and you know what that looks like and then now clearly give some updates at Investor Day back in - upcoming in March.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from line of Mehdi Hosseini from Susquehanna Financial. Your line is open.

Mehdi Hosseini

Analyst

Thanks for taking my question. It’s Mehdi Hosseini from Susquehanna International. Dheeraj, I want to go to Slide 14 and wanted to reference your view that the industry is becoming more like a duopoly where Nutanix is coexisting with VMware and I think the bar chart to the left of the Slide 14 captures that and you’re coexisting with your main competitor. In that context, when I look like - when I look at two, three years from now, what percentage of your billing should capture the entire stack of products that you're marketing. In other words, the second bar chart on the Slide 14 when would this represent more than 50%, 60% of the entire stack of products? And I have a follow up.

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

So, one thing it’s easy to show that the balloon can be made to look bigger by pressing it on the core side. You can always financially engineer things that come out of the core and go into the new products. Do it as accretive revenue is where the real sort of goodness belongs to any multiproduct portfolio company and we are very much focused on that. So, it actually improves seller productivity and channel productivity and it actually the accretive dollars. I would say that in the next three years, if you can actually get 25% of our business accretively to come from there, that’ll be huge actually you know. And doing this right methodically without having to take money out of the left pocket and put in the right pocket will be key to this transformation.

Mehdi Hosseini

Analyst

So, in the longer term two or three years, we should see basically at least a quarter of your billing driven by the entire stack of products. Is that what you're saying?

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

New products, new products. Yes, I mean at least based on ACV right now we are tracking to like 10%, 11% or something.

Mehdi Hosseini

Analyst

And then one other question outside of the U.S., yes there was a migration towards a multi-cloud but I still don’t see a more organized way of doing this. There's a lot of standardization in North America or Europe, but not much in the Asian market. How do you see your capitalizing on this? In the past, you've had relationship with the likes of Lenovo. Is there anything there that you can capitalize on? Is there any views or thoughts that you can share with us?

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

Yes. I think China definitely between Insper and Lenovo as the server platform partners. But there's something there with Alibaba. We have not had bandwidth to go much deeper there, but it's actually coming up more and more. And Alibaba is also pretty prevalent with SoftBank in Japan. So there's some regional players coming up in that part of the world that we have to get really good with over the course of the next 12 to 18 months. And Tarkan is passionate about international and he talks a lot about - I'm learning a lot from him as well in some of these things. But I think there is going to be the Japanese several platform partners, Fujitsu being an important one and ECE, Hitachi. We’re doing a lot of good work with Fujitsu in Germany as well. So I think there’ll be a lot of local partners that we have to go and share some of the profits with, and that's the value of software that the cost of an additional unit is $0. So you can actually expand the market by sharing some of the margins with other partners. And that's our intent really. Doing this with the hyperscalers, Alibaba, in particular in APAC, but also the server platform vendors who are regional players like Lenovo and Insper and NEC and Fujitsu and Hitachi.

Mehdi Hosseini

Analyst

Should I be concerned with OpEx commitment? Does this require more investment to be able to drive incremental billing?

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

I wouldn't think it's going to be anything substantial or I mean, mostly a lot of this is supporting of software to these platforms. There's another one where we believe service providers in Asia Pacific will also be a very important part of our overall go-to market transition as well. I mean, we talk about Xi and Xi right now is our data centers but then in the next 12, 18, 24 months, we really want to do this with our software running on partners’ capital so their data centers and their hardware investments and if they’re willing to actually use our billing, and our payments and our identity, then all of sudden we actually get the best of both world between an asset light model of Nutanix with assets really coming from the partners.

Operator

Operator

Your last question comes from the line of Jack Andrews from Needham. Your line is open.

Jack Andrews

Analyst

Duston, I wanted to see if you could drill down a little bit more on your comments regarding the backlog. I think you mentioned it was largely unchanged versus typically a sequential decline from 4Q to 1Q. Could you go into a little more detail about what is comprised in the backlog now? Do you have a series of much larger deals this point than you typically see?

Duston Williams

Analyst

I don't think the composition is that much different and again for us, it's just the backlog again is defined as a PO that we've received that we have not build and there's a different mix of customers and transactions and things like that, but there’s nothing in there unusual that one customers’ dominating and there’s something along those lines. So, it’s pretty much a similar composition and just the fact that at this point in this Q1 we were able to hold that flat and usually Q1 we rely on that a little bit more quite honestly with the weaker both EMEA and APAC are typically weaker for us. And in Q1, Americas had a good Q1 for us. Federal had a pretty good Q1 and things like that. So, nothing unusual there.

Jack Andrews

Analyst

Okay, thanks for the color. And then just a quick follow up. As you had gone through the educational and enablement process with your sales force in the channel around all your new subscription products, I mean what are people most excited about which product or a couple of subscription products do you think represents the most significant upside from here?

Dheeraj Pandey

Analyst

So, frame for sure, desktop is a service product. Lot of good proof of concept going on files for those who are actually selling hardware before we are really looking at how do you really connect with channel partners who related to hardware but these days will relate to similar services except being pure software as I think files is another one. And then database is a work in progress many of the bars don't relate to it but the SIs do. The global SIs definitely working on DevOps and as they relate to error a lot, I would say. And many of the mid-market resellers also relating to micro segmentation. So Flow has become a very big part of the AHV drag. So, we don't go and sell AHV by itself because if you can just sell free like oh it's cheap, it's free, you really don't have a good way to sell that but if you go and talk about slow and microsegmentation and the fact that you’re democratizing something that’s very expensive otherwise people are actually embracing both Flow and AHV.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today’s earnings call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect. Have a great day.