Alexander Blostein
Analyst · Goldman Sachs.
I appreciate all the extra segment disclosure on the margins, profitability and obviously, the target as well. That's all very helpful. I wanted to ask you guys around the timing to achieve some of these. So you've had the 30% plus pretax margin as a target out there for a little while. It's helpful to understand the pieces a little bit. But as you think about how long it will take you guys to get there, and ultimately, what interest environment does that contemplate? Because obviously, there's a lot of profitability related to NII and you're talking about profitability of the firm as a whole. So I'm curious kind of how that plays into the rubric?
Michael Gerard O’Grady: Sure. So just as far as the backdrop on the market environment for it, it's one of, I would say, like normalized, meaning a normal yield curve, normal shape of the yield curve, and the pace at which you get there. What makes it difficult in managing for any financial institution, is the speed of those changes. So we've gone through a time period, obviously, where rates were going up, but then they went down to 0, then they went up very fast. And now it appears that we're at the beginning of a time period where they're going to go down, but at a more gradual pace that just allows for the transition of duration in the portfolio on the balance sheet to be able to, I'll say, leg into that change in the shape of the yield curve. So that's the expectation. But of course, we have to be positioned for different things happening on that front. I'll say the more important part, Alex, which is just what's the time frame on that. Obviously, we're executing hard on that. You see the positive operating leverage that we achieved in a quarter like this where, as I say, it's kind of chunkier yards, if you will, and you need to pick those up while you can. But if you said, okay, but there are certain quarters or even multiple quarters where it's more difficult to get those chunkier yards and you're grinding more up, that would infer that it's likely to be kind of 2027 where we're achieving that 30-plus percent. If we can get there sooner, great. And as I mentioned, like, the environment can help us, it can create a headwind as well, but that's what we're looking to move towards.