Earnings Labs

Northwest Natural Holding Company (NWN)

Q2 2020 Earnings Call· Sat, Aug 8, 2020

$52.97

-0.47%

Key Takeaways · AI generated
AI summary not yet generated for this transcript. Generation in progress for older transcripts; check back soon, or browse the full transcript below.
Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. Welcome to Northwest Natural Holding Company Second Quarter 2020 Earnings Conference Call. All participants will be in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions] After today's presentation, there will be an opportunity to ask questions. Please note, that this event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Nikki Sparley, Head of Investor Relations. Go ahead.

Nikki Sparley

Analyst

Thank you, Kate. Good morning, and welcome to our second quarter 2020 earnings call. As a reminder, some of the things that will be said this morning contain forward-looking statements. They are based on management's assumptions, which may or may not occur. In addition, some of our comments today reference non-GAAP adjusted measures. For a complete reconciliation of these measures and other cautionary statements, refer to the language and reconciliation at the end of our press release. We expect to file our 10-Q later today. As mentioned, this teleconference is being recorded, and will be available on our website following the call. Please note these calls are designed for the financial community. If you are an investor and have additional questions after the call, please contact me directly at (503) 721-2530. News media may contact Melissa Moore at (503) 220-2436. Speaking this morning are David Anderson, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Frank Burkhartsmeyer, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. David and Frank have prepared remarks and then will be available, along with other members of our executive team, to answer your questions. With that, I will turn it over to David.

David Anderson

Analyst

Thanks, Nikki, and good morning, everyone, and welcome. I hope you, your families, your work colleagues are safe and well. Like all of you, we continue to navigate these unusual times. Cities within our service territory began reopening in the second quarter. And like many parts of our country, we began seeing an increase in COVID cases in late July. But it has appeared to plateau lightly. Now more than ever, we are tapping into our core value of caring for each other and the communities we serve. From a business perspective, we continue to focus on providing safe and reliable service while ensuring the health and safety of our employees. We continue to benefit from a conservative business model with stable utility margins. A majority of our revenues have recovery mechanisms in place to weather normalize and to decouple margins. We also remain focused on efficient operations. That, combined with the decline in natural gas prices, has led to natural gas bills that are about 40% lower today than they were 15 years ago, which is very good news for our customers. The third leg to our strategy is to look for growth that fits our conservative risk profile. Most recently, this has been a new contractual revenue stream from the North Mist gas storage expansion and, of course, our water and wastewater businesses. Our solid business strategy allows us to adapt to unforeseen challenges, such as the coronavirus. And our core values of integrity, safety, caring, service ethic and environmental stewardship are the foundation and guiding principles for all we do. Safety continues to be a value at the forefront of our minds, and we remain vigilant during this pandemic regarding the safety of our 1,200 employees and, of course, the 2.5 million people that we serve. Our…

Frank Burkhartsmeyer

Analyst

Thank you, David, and good morning, everyone. I'll begin with a summary of our second quarter and year-to-date financials, and then discuss the key metrics and financial implications of COVID-19 on our business and guidance for 2020. I'll describe earnings drivers on an after-tax basis using the statutory tax rate of 26.5%. Our effective tax rate for the quarter was 24.6% as a result of the return of excess deferred income taxes to our Oregon customers. Also note that earnings per share comparisons were impacted by the issuance of 1.4 million shares in June of 2019 as we raised equity to fund investments in our gas utility. For the quarter, we reported a net loss from continuing operations of $5.1 million or $0.17 per share compared to net income of $2.1 million or $0.07 per share for the same period in 2019. The decline in earnings for the quarter reflects two key drivers. First, the second quarter results reflect the financial impacts of COVID-19 on margin, O&M and interest expense. We estimate the total impact of COVID-19 to be in about approximate to be approximately $4 million or $0.12 per share, most of which hit in the second quarter. We have recorded a deferral for a portion of these costs with an offsetting reserve until we have more clarity with regulators as to the recoverability of these costs. Second, last year's second quarter results benefited from the reversal of an earnings test reserved for environmental remediation expenses that we booked in the first quarter equal to $0.11 per share. Looking at the gas distribution segment. Utility margin decreased $1 million. Higher customer rates in Washington, customer growth and revenues from the North Mist expansion project contributed $2.9 million, which was more than offset by a $3.2 million increase in environmental…

David Anderson

Analyst

Thanks, Frank. While we continue to focus on day-to-day operations, we're also advancing key long-term objectives. As I mentioned earlier, we strive to provide stable earnings while adding new earnings streams with similar risk and cash flow profiles as our regulated gas utility. We believe the regulated water utility sector fits this profile and aligns with our core capabilities. Furthermore, the investment potential is promising as the water industry is highly fragmented, and in many cases, these utilities have not been able to adequately invest in their infrastructure. To that end, in 2017, we began building our water utility business, and I'm very proud of the progress we've made to date with regulatory policies, mechanisms. Excuse me. While we've seen some decline in activity lately due to travel restrictions related to COVID, so far, in 2020, we closed several transactions, including Suncadia in Washington State and our first water utility in Texas. In addition, we continue to execute on our tuck-in strategy and around our existing systems. Just a few days ago, we closed our first municipal transaction in Idaho, acquiring water and wastewater utilities near our falls water system in Idaho Falls and signed another agreement to acquire a small water system in the region. Cumulatively, we've invested $110 million in this space. Operationally, the water utilities continue performing well amid the pandemic. We leveraged our natural gas expertise to follow best practices regarding health and safety guidance for COVID, provide centralized resources and planning as well as provide a larger, stronger balance sheet. The ability of our water utilities to work together along with our gas utility during this crisis further validates our roll-up strategy. In closing, our company has weathered many things in the last 162 years, and I'm confident in our ability to handle the challenges at hand. I stand behind our commitment to customers to provide safe and reliable service, and I believe in our regulated business strategy and the resilience of this team. So with that, Kate, that wraps up our prepared remarks, and we'd be happy to take any questions from analysts, if there's any in the queue.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Aga Zmigrodzka from UBS. Go ahead.

Aga Zmigrodzka

Analyst

Good morning. My first question is really on O&M. So it's up a lot year-over-year. And before, you talked about that this year, the O&M will be higher. However, a lot of your peers in 2Q cut costs on travel, training, deferred some expenses to kind of offset the impact from COVID. Were you able to see any cost reduction due to those items?

Frank Burkhartsmeyer

Analyst

Good morning, Aga, it's Frank. Most of our benefits or efficiencies that we are targeting will actually roll through the second half of the year, kind of to the July through December time frame. We have certainly some operational efficiencies that we're targeting. But we're also reducing and we start with a pretty efficient model to start with, but there are some operational efficiencies that we are putting in place. We also are reducing our marketing expenses significantly for the year. We've reduced essentially frozen our hiring practices. But these are really more take effect in June, but they're really going to track out through the rest of the year. So you'll really see that benefit in the second half, not in the first half.

Aga Zmigrodzka

Analyst

Perfect. And then, you noted the impact from COVID of roughly $4 million and then an increase in bad debt. Could you provide more color on what recovery you can expect? And are you in discussions with the commissioners like how could you recover those costs going forward?

David Anderson

Analyst

Yes, Aga, this is David. I'll start. In all of our jurisdictions, we're in regular communication with the regulators and deferral orders have been filed. And each jurisdiction is approaching it a little bit differently. In fact, like in our water operations in Texas, the regulators have indicated they wanted to "get back to normal now," which means disconnect and late fees being charged. It's obviously a fairly small portion of our company. Washington, Governor Inslee has ordered no disconnects or late fees through the end of October. So there's still conversations going on with the Washington regulators on what that means long term. Here in Oregon, it's a voluntary status, and we're working closely with the PUC. And Commissioner Thompson with the PUC here is taking the lead of trying to work not trying, but working with all utilities to orchestrate a path forward. I think we expect to have some resolution of that process in September time frame. All the utilities, at least here in the Northwest, and we've been fairly vocal about it, too, is that we need to do all we can to get back to, for lack of a better term, normal operations before we get into the winter months. Obviously, the impacts of COVID are you've seen it in the financials for the first and to some degree, in the first and second quarter for us. But it's really imperative that when we get into the winter months that we have the ability to operate on a more normal basis. And I'm hoping with both jurisdictions that we will be in that position or there will be further guidance on deferral situations or whatever happens at the federal level with stimulus programs, etc.

Aga Zmigrodzka

Analyst

Perfect. And my last question is really, right now, we have the legislation in place clarifying RNG rules. How do you think about your expansion of RNG portfolio? Are there any CapEx opportunities to invest in connection to RNG facilities? Or maybe investing in clearing equipment to get RNG-to-pipeline quality? Any color would be helpful.

David Anderson

Analyst

Yes. No, no, on the RNG, thank you for that question. We're really, really excited, not only about the legislation but I think the rulemaking that came out from the Oregon PUC followed the intent of the legislation and gives us great flexibility. Justin Palfreyman is here. Why don't I let him kind of he takes the lead on it, so on the RNG processes for us a little bit. Why don't you try to give a little bit more color for Aga?

Justin Palfreyman

Analyst

Yes. Great. Thanks, Aga, this is Justin. So we have been building up a team and capabilities enabling us to execute on our RNG strategy really in parallel with finalizing the rules. We are actively engaged in opportunities to invest in specific RNG projects and we have a strong set of rules that will enable us to do that. We are also out in the market right now with an RFP for procurement, entering into long-term RNG gas supply agreements. And what we're doing is really evaluating what's the best for our customers over the long term. We believe we'll end up with a mix of some investment opportunities as well as longer-term procurement or gas supply agreements. But we'll be approaching it very much through the lens of what's best for our customers.

Aga Zmigrodzka

Analyst

Thank you for the color.

Justin Palfreyman

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Richard Ciciarelli from Bank of America. Go ahead.

Frank Burkhartsmeyer

Analyst

Hey, good morning.

Richard Ciciarelli

Analyst

Hi guys. Soon all right. Just wanted to follow-up on the prior question there. Just curious if you can provide a little bit more color on quantifying the CapEx opportunity and as well as the timing of spend. Do you see it potentially crowding out some of your spending currently in your plan? Or is it potentially all incremental?

David Anderson

Analyst

Well, I'll start here. And you're talking about the RNG, Richard, to make sure I understand it correctly?

Richard Ciciarelli

Analyst

Yes, correct.

David Anderson

Analyst

Yes. So the number one goal for us as a company is to get as much RNG product on our pipeline and decarbonize our product as much as possible. And so that's goal number one. And whether it's outright purchase of the RNG or it's "through rate basing," interconnection, the rate bases and just things like that is a little bit secondary. The in the end, what has to be done is to make sure that it's done at a price that is the best for customers, right? So if a rate-basing methodology is more expensive than a purchasing, well then that doesn't make sense nor will the regulators let that go through. So that's part of the process that we've got to go through as we look forward. The good news is we have the opportunity to either invest directly into it or buy. And so it's a little bit early at this juncture, frankly, to be throwing out numbers about that. As Justin just said, the RFP is out there. We've actually been working in the space here for a period of time. And if we can find good investment opportunities, we will. I think I can speak for Frank. I think absent the cost of these being very substantial, which, again, if they come back to that $30 million revenue requirement level, it should be very doable for us and our CapEx without carrying back on CapEx and the rest of the company because, frankly, the rest of that CapEx, Frank and the team have done a really good job with operations. It's line-of-sight capital. I mean it's stuff that has to be done. So whether it's some IT systems as we go forward or just pipe replacement, etc., that's pretty well locked in for a period of time here.

Richard Ciciarelli

Analyst

All right, got it. That's very helpful. And just separately, I appreciate the color that you guys provided on COVID and the financial impacts and what you're kind of seeing out there. So just given that you and many of your peers haven't experienced the COVID impacts through the peak winter heating season, curious how you guys are thinking about cost-mitigation efforts and the sustainability of those into 2H and even into 2021 as you think about those impacts going forward.

David Anderson

Analyst

Yes. This is David again. Again, I think the uncertainty out there is, number one, where we are in this pandemic. I mean it does look like this is going to carry on for a period of time and I think this is where it comes back to with at a state and federal level, what are our governments going to do stimulus-wise. Because I think one of the reasons we're in good shape now, absent the timing, is you have the payroll protection program in place and individuals had money from the federal government that allowed them to not only put food on the table, to make sure that their basic utilities were paid for, too. I also think it comes down to the regulatory process and how the regulator in all of our jurisdictions is going to look at this as we enter the winter season. And as I mentioned a minute ago, in Oregon and Washington, we're working through that. And again, I'm hopeful that we're going to come to a good resolution there that will allow us to make sure that we can handle customers' bills that are having difficulty during that period of time. So it's there's still more to be done here on this part, Richard. And I think everybody is looking for more guidance and resolution by the time we get into the winter months, which for us, is basically the November time frame is where things start for us.

Richard Ciciarelli

Analyst

All right. That's very helpful. And then last one here for me. Just on your water strategy, has COVID potentially impacted some of these smaller players out there to potentially capitulate and be more willing sellers? And how large do you envision your water strategy eventually growing? And what's the time line for that?

David Anderson

Analyst

Yes. And this is Dave again. I'll take that one. I will tell you that the properties and employees that we have now part of the Northwest Natural family, I think if you talk to them individually, they're thrilled to be part of a company like this in the midst of this COVID situation. If they needed PPE or access to capital, it's been readily available to them. And I think that, that word gets out there probably to a lot of these other smaller water utilities that I would suspect you're correct. I think some are probably hurting unfortunately worse than others. I will tell you, on the "M&A activity front," with as much as that dynamic is out there, and of course, we're here to help any water utility that needs to be helped, whether it's municipal or private, the M&A activity has been pretty slow, frankly. Because you really everybody is doing things remotely, traveling and due diligence has been slowed down a little bit. So we'll have to monitor that carefully. But as you saw, we still completed some transactions in the midst of this. And so I'm hoping as we look forward, more opportunities will present themselves.

Richard Ciciarelli

Analyst

All right, great, thanks for all the color. That's all my questions.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question is from Chris Ellinghaus from Siebert Williams. Go ahead.

Chris Ellinghaus

Analyst

Hey, everybody. How are you?

Frank Burkhartsmeyer

Analyst

Excellent.

Chris Ellinghaus

Analyst

Frank, can you give us any color on what the moving expenses were? Maybe I missed that.

Frank Burkhartsmeyer

Analyst

Well, yes, that was as we relocated from our previous facility into our new headquarters and operations center, there was a certain amount of O&M costs that we could not capitalize to relocate the business. I think that it was about $500,000. So that's kind of a onetime cost.

Chris Ellinghaus

Analyst

Okay, great. Frank, what you outlined for the $4 million, a lot of those are costs or avoided revenues that are proportionate by season. You didn't talk much about things like PPE costs or whatnot, but can you give us any kind of sense of the proportionality of what is fixed versus what might be proportional as we look into the more substantial fourth quarter?

Frank Burkhartsmeyer

Analyst

Yes, sure. Good question. I didn't mention PPE, but about $0.5 million is what we incurred. And there will be more of that, but I think the kind of that's kind of front-end loaded. About $1.7 million, Chris, is just interest. And we've got some that will be ongoing because, as you know, we put on a 364-day facility that we're going to keep in place, and it will just kind of as our cash needs to buy gas in the latter half of the year grow, it will just naturally fund that. So -- and we also put on a slightly larger first mortgage bond. It was bigger, and it helped put on some cash. So there's a little bit extra interest here. So there's just a bit more interest in the back half of the year, but that $1.7 million of incremental interest is really, again, front-end loaded. There are late and uncollectible fees. That will we have about $2.7 million a year in our rates for late fees and reconnection. And so that kind of caps out. And at this point, we recognized about $1 million just over $1 million of that as essentially uncollected. So there's maybe another $1 million to go on that across the balance of the year. And then what we get into is what happens with usage and customer losses, and that could increase in the back of the half of the year. So, the way I'm looking at it is the first half of the year, we had this $4 million after tax, $5 million pretax cost of COVID. I don't think that's unreasonable for the second half of the year, but more of that will be usage and less of that will be interest and O&M. Now bad debt cost is like usage. It could -- we have to keep an eye on that one right now. And we've got a really rigorous process in place to look at our customers and work with our customers to keep them from going delinquent. But it's a bit unknown because the economy is outside of our control, but we're doing all we can. But that's how I'm looking at it. It's kind of split between first half and second half, but the second half is more volume-based.

Chris Ellinghaus

Analyst

Okay. David, you talked about the construct for RNG. I'm curious, locally, there's obviously there's a lot of environmental interest. But what is the trade-off, or what is the thought process in Oregon about costs versus, say, carbon benefits with RNG? RNG is going to be a smaller economy of scale than delivery of just natural gas. So how does that dynamic work in the commission's mind and the legislator's intent to have that trade-off of equivalent cost to natural gas versus the benefit of decarbonizing?

David Anderson

Analyst

Yes. And I'll start. The legislation lays it out pretty clearly, right? And the last session, we did have a cap and trade bill that didn't pass that would have put a price of carbon out there. But the legislation is what really put forth to the commission that it would be okay at this juncture to have higher costs to be passed on to customers for RNG. There's not really this contemplation of cost of carbon in association with it. But that's what the ruling is. So we really don't have to that's, if I understand your question right, Chris, that's certainly not really kind of part of the process. If we can go out there and find RNG, which there's a lot out there, which I might have Kim just detail a little bit about some of the opportunities there or Justin, one of the two of you, that will just go through the rulemaking process and that will be put into rights. I hope I'm answering your question. I'm just a little unclear to me. But Kim, do you want to Kim or Justin, add anything to that?

Kimberly Heiting

Analyst

Yes. It's Kim. One of the things that the legislation did was contemplate price protections for customers, not unlike the renewable portfolio standard on the electric side. So that's why you see that 5% cap of revenue requirement annually. And so we think this is a good starting point because it lets us get RNG in our system over time in a way that can be sort of absorbed from the customer-cost standpoint. And again, very similar to the RPS on the electric side, how they sort of stepped into that volume. I don't know if, Justin, you have anything. In terms of supply, we've had a number of early studies. We had the Oregon Department of Energy conducted a study on the technical potential of renewable natural gas in Oregon. They came out with a nearly 50 billion cubic feet of technical potential, which is equivalent to all the residential throughput in our state. That's just Oregon alone. As you may know, the legislation contemplates, again, like on the electric side, that we'll be able to procure RNG sort of nationwide. So Justin's team is out right now with that RFP looking at various opportunities of supply. There was also a study that was funded by the American Gas Foundation and many utilities across the country this year that looked at the technical potential of renewable natural gas nationwide. And again, that technical potential looks to be nearly 90% of all the current gas throughput nationwide. Now in both studies, clearly, technical potential is not necessarily economic potential. But our position is we're very early in this development curve. Those studies don't even contemplate the supply optionality of renewable hydrogen, which I think will come later, and we're certainly looking at. So we feel very good about the prospects of stepping into RNG in a way that protects customers and rates, but certainly, the supply potential that's out there.

Chris Ellinghaus

Analyst

Okay, that's good color. David, I'm sort of just sitting here thinking about how renewables initially or QFs. They have definitions of cost versus benefit, but sometimes that can get contentious in the regulatory process. And I'm just I was just wondering whether you felt that there's enough clarity that, that won't become an issue with the RNG?

Justin Palfreyman

Analyst

Yes. This is Justin. So one of the things we're working through and we always do with our regulators, we have a very robust methodology for how we calculate the cost, and really, the avoided costs in our gas procurement and our other resource decisions, and that's in our IRP. So one of the things that has been going on in parallel with the RNG rulemaking is more clarity with our OPUC staff around exactly how we quantify RNG and look at our resource options over time. And so it was important, I think, in addition to everything Kim just mentioned is we have that 5% of our revenue requirement that we're allowed to invest in RNG, which is really just the beginning of our overall kind of decarbonization of our product, that is over and above the avoided cost calculated to our customers for gas procurement. So, depending on the type of RNG that it is and depending on where it's located, it will have a certain benefit that will be netted from that cost. So I don't know if that's more confusing than sort of illuminating, but there's a fairly robust process that we go through with our stakeholders to analyze the cost and benefit of RNG and the SB98 legislation is fairly robust in what it allows us to do.

Chris Ellinghaus

Analyst

Yes, that helps. Also, as far as bad debt goes and any deferral ruling aside, were you suggesting that you're worried a little bit that sort of as Congress dillydallies with the unemployment benefit and as this pandemic gets protracted, that you're a little bit concerned if bad debt goes up later in the year or into next year?

David Anderson

Analyst

Yes. I think there's uncertainty, right? I think that's what I'm trying to point out. I mean I think if you look at some of the macro issues, it's one of the reasons our bad debt is so low to begin with right now. I mean I think we we're focused on talking about the increases. But if you look historically where we're at, remember, gas prices are down 40%, actually more than 40%, bills down 40%. And so we're actually in a really good starting point. But Chris, I do think whether it's a utility or any other company out there, the longer this moves in for us and the electric utilities in this region, the winter months are a very important time period because bills are higher. And so I would like to make sure that we have clarity in place on all these factors, whether it's the late fees, the bad debt, etc. Frank, do you want to add on?

Frank Burkhartsmeyer

Analyst

Yes. Chris, I just want to add because there's uncertainty about how long the moratorium on disconnects would go, it makes it just harder to know. So obviously, the bill can continue to accrue for months on end until we have that ability. Now of course, we will work with our customers very actively to keep them from going delinquent with that moratorium in place. It just it adds an uncertainty that wouldn't have been there in prior years.

Chris Ellinghaus

Analyst

Yes, great, I appreciate it. And basically say all right.

Frank Burkhartsmeyer

Analyst

You too, Chris. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn the conference back over to David Anderson for closing remarks.

David Anderson

Analyst

Well, everybody, Kate, thank you very much. Everybody, thank you for joining us this Friday morning or afternoon, if you're on the East Coast. If you have further questions, please reach out to Nikki Sparley, Director of Investor Relations, and she'll be happy to try to answer those questions. So with that, Kate, we'll conclude the call. Stay safe, everybody.

Operator

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.