Earnings Labs

Nextdoor Holdings, Inc. (NXDR)

Q1 2022 Earnings Call· Wed, May 11, 2022

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good afternoon. Thank you for attending today's Nextdoor First Quarter 2022 Financial Results. My name is Tamiya, and I will be your moderator for today's call. I would now like to pass the conference over to our host, Matt Anderson, Head of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Matt Anderson

Management

Thank you, operator. I'm Matt Anderson, Head of Investor Relations. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us today to review Nextdoor's first quarter 2022 financial results. With us on the call today are Sarah Friar, Chief Executive Officer; and Mike Doyle, Chief Financial Officer. During this call, we may make statements related to our business that are forward-looking statements under federal securities laws. These statements are not guarantees of future performance. They are subject to a variety of risks and uncertainties. Our actual results could differ materially from expectations reflected in any forward-looking statements. For a discussion of material risks and other important factors that could affect our actual results, please refer to our SEC filings available on the SEC's website and in the Investor Relations section of our website as well as the risks and other important factors discussed in today's earnings release. Additionally, non-GAAP financial measures will be discussed on today's conference call. A reconciliation of these measures to their most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in today's earnings release. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Sarah.

Sarah Friar

Management

Thank you, Matt. Hello, everyone. We had a strong start to the year, continuing our momentum from Q4 into Q1. Nextdoor is benefiting from the combined tailwind of the rise of local and social commerce. Neighbors remains highly engaged in their communities, resulting in a third consecutive quarter of accelerating year-over-year weekly active user or WAU growth. This contributed to sustained revenue growth of 48% year-over-year, consistent with Q4 and Q1 ARPU growth of 12% year-over-year, driven by continued advertiser demand. We are mindful of the macro backdrop, war in Europe, lockdowns in China, U.S. consumer price index at 8.5% and consumer sentiment at its lowest level since 2011. But we also know that in times of need, Nextdoor is a platform that neighbors turn to for help, and we are a unique and differentiated platform for advertisers of all sizes. Our purpose is our North Star, cultivating a kinder world where everyone has a neighborhood to rely on. Neighbors come for trusted information, to give and get help and to create relationships online that can be expanded into the real world. Nextdoor is about a place facilitating online action that results in real-world outcomes. For example, joining a local running group and meeting in your neighborhood for a run, offering a kid's bike at a discounted price and then selling it to parents on your block or engaging your community to petition for a new bus route and coming together at City Hall to make the case. And we are about all neighborhood stakeholders, businesses, public agencies, local schools, churches and nonprofits to name just a few. The social commerce revolution is happening, and Nextdoor is uniquely positioned to drive and grow with its fast-paced change in consumer behavior. Social commerce is weaving buying and selling into the fabric…

Michael Doyle

Management

Thank you, Sarah, and good afternoon, everyone. I'm pleased to report that we started 2022 on a strong note. In Q1, we saw a third straight quarter of accelerating neighbor growth with WAU reaching $37 million, up 33% year-over-year. Total revenue was $51 million, which was an increase of 48% year-over-year. Even through an uncertain macro and geopolitical environment, we saw healthy demand from our advertisers, particularly on our U.S. news feed, where neighbors spend the most time on Nextdoor. Resilience in core verticals like home services offset some softness in verticals like financial services. We are still early in reaching new verticals and continue to see demand from advertisers at all levels of the funnel, with a slight trend towards direct response, although we are still quite balanced between performance and brand awareness advertising. Q1 global ARPU grew 12% year-over-year to $1.39 driven by higher session frequency as a result of deeper engagement amongst our neighbors. We also saw strength in ad pricing in the quarter. We continue to innovate to create new and useful ad formats, including keyword search ads, which we launched in the first quarter of 2022. Advertisers running sponsored search today are getting 3 to 4x better cost per click compared to a regular display ad on the news feed, which is another strong indicator of Nextdoor's high-intent audience. Adjusted EBITDA for Q1 was a loss of $20 million, representing a 10-point year-over-year improvement in adjusted EBITDA margin. While Q1 is our seasonally lowest adjusted EBITDA quarter, cash flow from operations was negative $6 million as we benefited from positive working capital trends. I'll end with our outlook. The high end of our full year revenue guidance remains unchanged at $256 million. Given the macro environment, we are providing a wider range of $252 million to $256 million, which is a year-over-year growth rate of 32% at the midpoint of the range. We expect full year 2022 adjusted EBITDA margin to be negative 18%, a 5-point year-over-year improvement consistent with our prior guidance. For Q2 2022, we are expecting revenue between $54 million and $56 million, a year-over-year growth rate of 20% at the midpoint of the range and an adjusted EBITDA loss of between $21 million to $19 million. We're excited by the scale of our opportunity and our ability to execute against it. Thank you for joining our earnings call today. With that, I'll turn it over to the operator for Q&A.

Operator

Operator

The first question is from Mark Mahaney with Evercore.

Mark Mahaney

Analyst

Okay. I think I just want to ask questions on the ad products, Nextdoor Ads and the keyword search ads. So could you describe the pace at which those are rolled out? When will those be fully available to all marketers on the platform? And I think these are just rolled out in the U.S., is that right? And then the kind of the -- I know you've already talked about it a little bit, but maybe a little bit more detail on the kind of adoption you're seeing and -- with those ad units, what it's doing to -- is it material enough to actually cause a spend per advertiser to increase?

Sarah Friar

Management

Great. Thank you, Mark. I'll start, and I appreciate the question on the ad platform. I'll start talking about Nextdoor Ads, which I talked about a little in my prepared remarks as well. So that is the front end to our ad platform. It's a proprietary campaign management platform. The big milestone that we've been working to for the last several quarters, even longer, perhaps, is to get that out to all U.S. SMB customers. So you're right, it's just launched in the U.S. and now we're turning our attention to rest of world. But the larger portion, clearly, of our SMBs today are here in the U.S. What is that giving them? Easy-to-use, really intuitive self-serve platform, and it allows SMBs to now access Nextdoor's ad formats beyond local deals and neighborhood sponsorships. So now they're getting access to more visual options, additional placements in the app itself and new CTAs, new calls to action. And so with that, we think it will continue to drive interest from small businesses on the platform. As you know, today, about 30% of our revenue is coming from SMBs, but we do think that over time, this can be even bigger. In addition to what you see on the front end and what our neighbors get to see from those SMBs, we also now have a much more comprehensive dashboard for them with better and more detailed metrics for performance tracking. And again, this is a place where we think we can really differentiate ourselves from other platforms because, for example, we can tell you what are the search terms that are happening in the neighborhood right now in and around your business. I was talking to an advertiser, who's actually on the front of our shareholder letter, in the junk removal…

Operator

Operator

The next question is with Eric Sheridan, Goldman Sachs.

Eric Sheridan

Analyst

I'd like to go back bigger picture maybe to the user side of the equation. Can you give us a more detailed update on what you're seeing both in terms of international user growth and international engagement, how much of that you're seeing from an organic nature versus maybe some of the investments you'd like to make in growing scale on the international user side? And then the second part of the question would be, you've talked before about personalization, getting that increasingly right as we move from '22 into future years. Can you talk a little bit about personalization and how you expect that to be a driver of more repeat activity and engagement on the platform overall?

Sarah Friar

Management

Great. Thank you, Eric. And yes, we're doing fine, although we recognize that this is a bumpy market that we're all living through at the moment. First of all, on engagement overall, you saw the 33% year-over-year growth in WAU, the third consecutive quarter of accelerating WAU growth. And so we're very pleased that clearly, the changes that we're making from a product standpoint and just as we grow, we create more content, which creates more utility and more community for neighbors. Going to international specifically, we saw a 55% year-over-year growth in international WAU, and that accelerated year-over-year and quarter-over-quarter as well. So very -- and very nice acceleration. And the other thing I would note is that international neighbors from a weekly active perspective are actually higher than what we see in the U.S. In the U.S., about 50% of our verified neighbors are weekly active. And in international, it's 55%. So you actually see that uptick. I think some of it may actually just be cultural, for example. In terms of what we're doing to continue to drive that engagement, it's really 3 things I would highlight. The first is notifications. So we've talked about investing in our notification platform. Whenever a post is trending, whenever there's something that we know that you would want to see from a personalization standpoint, we need to get that in front of you. And we've been doing a lot of investment on getting the data science and machine learning right in that space and it's paying dividends. Second thing is Connections. So Connections is much younger in its journey. As you know, we rolled it out really at the end of Q4. So Q1 was our first quarter of seeing Connections in action. And thus far, we're really pleased with…

Operator

Operator

The next question is from Brian Nowak with Morgan Stanley.

Chloe Currie

Analyst

This is Chloe on for Brian. I have a couple of questions. The first would be on -- you've done a lot on product innovation. How are you seeing that driving user engagement in the ads that you are generating? How are you seeing that engagement trending? And then the second question would just be on OpEx. You pointed to some higher growth there in head count personnel. What other details are you able to provide there? And any color would be really appreciated.

Sarah Friar

Management

Great. Thanks, Chloe. Why don't I start on the user engagement? I think you're also asking about ad engagement, so kind of performance. And then I'll let Mike take the second question on personnel growth and so on and how that flows through OpEx. So on user engagement, just to remind, third quarter of accelerating WAU growth, we're really pleased with that. We think that continues to flag both improvements on the product overall, some notifications, Connections, evolution of the news feed and then better ads but also retention as well. And we've not really talked about that on the call yet, but we continue to see really strong retention rates as well. Back at Investor Day last year, we gave you retention rates of after 3 months, we see 75% retention of MAUs; after 6 months, 65% retention; and after 2 years, still more than half of new neighbors are actively engaged. And we know that, that is kind of world-class. Those trends have stayed consistent. And in fact, over the past 3 quarters, we're seeing increasing retention, especially for people who've been on the platform for more than a year. So that's always a great sign that users who have come, who have found value keep coming back for more. And then I think the other point I would make there is actually our strongest retention trends are amongst our daily active users. So this is also why it's important to keep moving people down that funnel from being a verified neighbor to a monthly active, to a weekly active, to a daily active. Because when we get you to daily, your ability to keep coming back, your retentiveness is much higher. On the ad side, what we are seeing is, as we shift more and more of our own proprietary data into the platform, frankly, as we make the ability to self-serve, so to be much more innovative with your creates and so on, make those ads more engaging, we're starting to see better and better performance. I talked about The Farmer's Dog during my prepared remarks, but that's a great example of a home delivery pet food company that came to Nextdoor test, then they went full-on, and they've actually been greatly increasing their spend in Q2 over Q1. And really, that's a result of much higher click-through rates and really to the metrics that they measure. Nextdoor is a platform that can both act top-of-funnel for advertisers, so in brand and awareness driving, but also bottom-of-funnel direct response. It's about a 50-50 split, maybe erring a little bit more into direct response right now. And I think it's important that we can do both. I'll pause there and maybe, Mike, do you want to take the question around the head count personnel growth and so on?

Michael Doyle

Management

Sure. Thanks, Sarah. And Chloe, I think your question on OpEx growth and, I think, indirectly on margins, let me take that one. I mean we're coming out of a year where we saw 18 points of margin improvement, and we're guiding to another 5-point improvement this year. Though in -- we recognize the shifting market dynamics but we believe strongly in our investment plan. And you have to, I think, appreciate that we're earlier in our product roadmap than our peers, and our future growth is really driven by our innovating today. We know the long-term margins in our business are well-established, and we've shown that we can get there and we can demonstrate margin improvement. And that remains our plan over the next, next many years. But in the near-term, we're really focused on building the team and bringing great talent on early in the year, which allows us to do more this year and sets us up well for growth in 2023. And the same is true with our margin. And so that's why we've continued to invest behind our product road map here in the first half in 2022.

Operator

Operator

The last question is from Ron Josey with Citi.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

This is Jeff on for Ron. First, I was just wondering on the first-party measurement solution, are you -- what type of -- are you seeing advertisers being eager to adopt this trend? And are you nearing broad adoption? Or when do you think you could get to more broad adoption on the first-party measurement side? And then also from a macro perspective, is there anything -- any color you can give just where you might be seeing -- what verticals you might be seeing weakness on the ad front or if there's been any change in the quarter on what verticals might be weaker or stronger?

Sarah Friar

Management

Okay. So maybe I'll take the first question on measurement, and then we'll go back to Mike on overall, what we're seeing broadly in the environment. So first, on measurement, I would say it's actually important to have both first-party and third-party measurement. Advertisers need to be able to see that the campaign objectives they put in front of you are working, but they also, I think, want to make sure you're not only grading your own homework. So definitely, you need to see both. But measurement is a really top priority for advertisers, particularly because there's a lot of noise out there in the environment overall because of things like IDFA, Apple's fingerprinting, right, that's coming later in the year. And for both of those reasons, it's incredibly important right now that the Nextdoor shows off the fact that we are a proprietary ad platform, our users are logged in, and we actually have a lot of our own first-party data to be able to help advertisers target and so on. Overall, if you're looking at -- from a measurement perspective, we have started to work on things such as dropping our own pixel into a particular ad so that advertisers can track not just did a click-through happen on Nextdoor, but then track that attribution more broadly. And we're seeing a lot of advertisers in the direct response category add that pixel onto the ad to check the performance. So I would say we're already quite well-developed in terms of that happening. Of course, this points to why we're continuing to invest in our own ad serving platform on the back end because our ability to add better and better data science and then ultimately, machine learning on top of that to drive performance is only going to get better and better as we go through the year. Today, over 50% of our what we call cost per acquisition, advertisers use our pixel, and that was about a 24% quarter-over-quarter increase in campaign adoption, so doing quite well on that front. With that, let me turn it back to Mike to talk about the broader macro perspective as well.

Michael Doyle

Management

Sure. Thanks, Sarah. So as we've commented in prior quarters on the impact of the pandemic and supply chain disruption, privacy, other factors, you see now, inflation, interest rates and geopolitical risks are the latest part of the conversations that we have with advertisers and better understanding their objectives. But I think it's important to understand or just to reiterate the backdrop that we're in a very attractive industry. Digital advertising grew by 35% year-over-year last year, and consensus is for double-digit growth again this year, really driven by the growth in consumer time and attention spent in digital media channels. And then specifically to our business, we've worked hard over the last few years to diversify our own revenue mix and really reducing the concentration amongst verticals and advertisers and different campaign objectives. And that's resulted in a more resilient revenue base for us today and also set us up better to better understand the objectives of our advertisers and really be there when they need our support. We are seeing a really strong performance in home services and real estate. The new verticals for us like travel and entertainment are recovering and recovering broadly. And then for us, they're new efforts for us to pick up advertisers and see the performance that we can deliver on the platform. We have seen some headwinds in things like financial services. But what is exciting for us is we've still been able to meet the needs of our advertisers by performing for them in a different stage, different layer in the marketing funnel. And so thinking about shifting ad spend away from awareness and more lower in the funnel to performance or conversion objectives and still being able to help advertisers with large budgets to spend on Nextdoor.

Sarah Friar

Management

Great. Well, thank you. Operator, any -- I don't think there are any other questions, are there?

Operator

Operator

There are no additional questions waiting at this time. Again, if you would like...

Sarah Friar

Management

Wonderful. Thank you all -- go ahead, if you want to try again.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] There are no additional questions waiting at this time. I will now pass the conference back over for any concluding remarks.

Sarah Friar

Management

Okay. Thank you, Tamiya. Thanks, everyone, for your questions today. We really appreciate it. We appreciate that all of you have a lot going on in this environment, too. And I hope that you hear how excited we are about our business, but also we want to make sure we're staying realistic. So with that, thank you, and happy to take any follow-up questions after the call. Take care. Take care.

Operator

Operator

That concludes the Nextdoor first quarter 2022 financial results. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect your line.