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Orion Energy Systems, Inc. (OESX)

Q3 2024 Earnings Call· Wed, Feb 7, 2024

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Orion Energy Systems Fiscal 2024 Third Quarter Conference Call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Bill Jones, Investor Relations.

Bill Jones

Management

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining today's call. Mike Jenkins, Orion's CEO; and Per Brodin, Orion's CFO, will review the company's third quarter results, financial position and outlook and then we will open the call to investor questions. Today's conference call is being recorded, and a replay will be posted on the Investor Relations section of Orion's website, orionlighting.com. Remarks that follow and answers to questions include statements that are forward-looking within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Forward-looking statements generally include words such as anticipate, believe, expect, project or similar words. Also, any statements that describe future objectives and goals, plans or outlook are also forward-looking. Such forward-looking statements are subject to various risks that could cause actual results to differ materially than currently expected. These risks include, among other matters, that the company has described in its press release issued this morning as well as in its filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Except as described therein, the company disclaims any obligation to update forward-looking statements, which are made as of today's date. Reconciliations of certain non-GAAP financial metrics to GAAP measures are also provided in today's press release. I will now turn the call over to Mr. Mike Jenkins.

Mike Jenkins

Management

Thank you, Bill. Good morning. Thank you all for joining today's call. As previewed last month, Orion's third quarter revenue rose 28%, reflecting an anticipated acceleration in contract activity on large LED lighting projects in the government sector, projects secured through energy service company or ESCO partners and projects with our largest customer. Q3 also saw growth in our electrical maintenance services business, which is benefiting from a new three-year agreement with Orion's largest customer. Our Voltrek EV charging solutions revenue was flat with a year ago period and down on a sequential basis, principally due to the variability and timing of larger projects. We are, however, seeing very encouraging progress in the build-out of our longer-term EV charging project pipeline as we engage with new and existing customers to address their EV charging requirements. Our business development progress makes us optimistic about our growth prospects across the business in quarter four and fiscal '25. In LED lighting, we have several larger retrofit projects that are underway and should contribute to growth over the next few quarters. These include the remaining $6 million in revenue from our European retrofit project for the U.S. Department of Defense, several million in annual revenue for external lighting for the next several years to support our largest customer as well as other potential projects with them. Ongoing retrofits for a large global warehouse and logistics customer, which we expect to range from $8 million to $9 million per annum for the next few years and a large multimillion dollar project for a global technology customer, which we expect to begin in the first half of fiscal '25. In our LED business, we see continued expansion through our ESCO channel partners who continue to focus on our industry-leading high-efficiency lighting products as well as our…

Per Brodin

Management

Thank you, Mike. As noted in today's press release, our Q3 '24 revenue of $26 million grew 28% year-over-year and 26% sequentially from Q2 of this year. Driven by anticipated strength in LED lighting and maintenance services. In prior calls, we noted several larger projects that we expected to ramp meaningfully in the second half. We began to benefit from that ramp in Q3. One of those projects is the $9.6 million Department of Defense project in Europe, which we had expected to complete this fiscal year. At this point, we have approximately $6 million remaining on this contract. We think approximately $1 million or more of that amount could roll over into early fiscal '25. Maintenance services revenue rose to $4.6 million in Q3 '24, which compared favorably to $3.3 million in Q3 '23 and $3.6 million in Q2 '24. A significant portion of this growth came from our 3-year agreement for preventative lighting maintenance services for our largest customers, roughly 2,000 retail locations nationwide. So those were the growth drivers in the quarter. In terms of profitability, our gross profit percentage or gross margin increased 95 basis points to 24.5% in Q3 '24 from 23.6% in Q3 '23 due to the achievement of a more favorable sales mix of products, the impact of higher sales volume on fixed cost absorption and improved margin on services. Gross margin on services rebounded sharply to 18.5% in Q3 from slightly negative in Q2 '24 and 17.6% in Q3 '23. We expect further margin benefits driven by the continued impact of new pricing on renewing contracts in coming quarters. Gross margin on Orion products improved approximately 220 basis points to 27.7% in Q3 '24 from 25.4% a year ago. The increase is attributable to new product sales as well as the benefit…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from Amit Dayal from H.C. Wainwright. Your line is now open.

Amit Dayal

Analyst

Thank you. Good morning, everyone.

Mike Jenkins

Management

Good morning.

Amit Dayal

Analyst

Hey, guys. On the EV side, a little bit of a drop sequentially. Was it seasonality? Or are there any other factors driving some of the quarterly variance from that segment?

Mike Jenkins

Management

Yes, good question. It was just really how the projects laid out in the quarter. Project timing overall. We continue to see, as I referenced in the comments, our project pipeline continues to build now north of $50 million in the overall pipeline. And we really haven't seen any substantial pushouts or anything out or anything along those lines due to concerns about the broader EV market.

Amit Dayal

Analyst

Okay. The $50 million pipeline you mentioned, is this all Northeast? Or is it spread across the U.S.?

Mike Jenkins

Management

No, it's spread across the U.S. It's out of the Northeast. So we're beginning -- we've begun our cross-selling work with our existing lighting customers, and we're gaining traction in multiple states around the country.

Amit Dayal

Analyst

Okay. And then your comments around focusing on higher margin customers and higher-margin revenues. How much of the sort of lower margin revenues could be impacted by this shift in strategy? Is it a small amount that is not very meaningful? Or is it larger number that we should sort of -- can make an impact on the model projections.

Mike Jenkins

Management

Specifically, we were referring to the maintenance business, the legacy maintenance business, which was acquired with Stay-Lite. And so right now, we're working -- that's the focus. We're working through those RFPs in this quarter. So we really don't have any specifics in terms of what that could look like, but it's isolated really to the business that we acquired with Stay-Lite in the maintenance side.

Amit Dayal

Analyst

Okay. Understood. Maybe just last one for me. For fiscal '25, what kind of revenue mix between lighting, maintenance and EV should we be looking for.

Mike Jenkins

Management

Well, we projected 10% to 15% guided in terms of growth for the year. We are expecting continued growth in lighting and stronger performance in EV. And the maintenance business we'll see how things are going to play out with these couple of customers through the RFP process. But certainly, growth in lighting and strong growth in EV.

Amit Dayal

Analyst

Okay. I'll take my other questions offline, guys. Thank you so much.

Mike Jenkins

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And our next question comes from Eric Stine from Craig-Hallum. Your line is now open.

Eric Stine

Analyst

Hi Mike, hi Perr. Thanks for taking the questions.

Mike Jenkins

Management

Hey, Eric.

Eric Stine

Analyst

So curious, I know with your large customer, I mean you all know who it is, with your large customer, you've clearly expanded beyond the retrofit of the footprint to the maintenance now? I know that they are very interested on the EV side. Just curious if you're seeing that dynamic with other national accounts where you are starting to see that expansion beyond just your -- I mean, I guess, it's your legacy business of the core LED retrofit.

Mike Jenkins

Management

Yes. Great question, Eric. Yes, we are. I mean I think that there's interest on certainly the EV front with a broad swath of our customers. And all of -- particularly our large public customers. A lot of those are considering their electrification strategy moving forward to support their guests, their employees and, in some cases, electrifying their fleet. So we are having conversations with a broad group of them. Some of them, the maintenance services might apply to, particularly retail customers who don't have maintenance staffs in their locations. That's really where our value proposition probably is strongest. And so there are conversations happening there as well. So we see all three of these pillars continuing to work moving forward from a cross-selling standpoint.

Eric Stine

Analyst

Got it. And then just coming back to the initial outlook here for fiscal '25. So I mean, basically, it's your implied fourth quarter the midpoint and you're annualizing that. But if you dig down into that, I mean, so you expect to be done, largely done with the DoD project. And is it fair to say that you are not assuming the renewal at better pricing with that fourth customer on the maintenance side?

Mike Jenkins

Management

Yes. We certainly agree that our projections are that we'll be substantially complete with the DoD project. On the maintenance side, we feel like we've taken reasonable considerations into the forecast.

Eric Stine

Analyst

Okay. And then as we think about that DoD project? I mean, correct me if I'm wrong, but you are kind of qualified. I know that you still have to go through the RFP process, but maybe talk about that pipeline as well, whether it's something that there are things out there that could replace the project you've completed as you get into '25 or just more about the long-term outlook.

Mike Jenkins

Management

Sure. Absolutely. Yes. The federal space is one that's of keen interest to us. We do have a significant pipeline that has been built over the years and continues to be acceleratingly built right now, both on the lighting side as well as on the EV front, and that's both working with partners like we are in the DoD situation and in some cases, on a direct basis.

Eric Stine

Analyst

Got it. I mean is there a way to think about what's the most typical form partners were...

Mike Jenkins

Management

Typically, we're working through it. Yes, typically, we're working through an ESCO partner who would do kind of the entire project including HVAC and other elements. And we are the lighting specialists who basically manage that, and we often manage that in a turnkey fashion.

Eric Stine

Analyst

Okay. Does that do anything to your kind of visibility into what's out there? I suspect it's something where you're working with certain partners and you kind of I would think would have a view of what the potential is out there.

Mike Jenkins

Management

Yes. We review the long-term projects, and we have a significant pipeline that's built up with core partners.

Eric Stine

Analyst

Okay, thanks a lot.

Mike Jenkins

Management

Thanks, Eric.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from BJ Cook from Singular Research. Your line is now open.

BJ Cook

Analyst

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my call. Just a couple of things here I want to touch. On the EV segment for just a second. You mentioned here in the short term that the timing of some of your larger projects, do you expect all or some of those projects just to kind of simply move to the next quarter?

Mike Jenkins

Management

Yes. I think it's the next quarter and maybe the quarter after that, both near term, some of these things have been moved out a little bit. Again, I want to stress that we're not seeing any kind of broad reaction in the marketplace to any of the headlines that we've seen about the rental car companies or anything like that. This is just normal kind of project push out. That's the way I would describe them at this point.

Per Brodin

Management

Yes. A couple of things, BJ, that can impact timing as some of these customers are waiting for permitting and sometimes they're waiting for final grant approvals and they can't move forward without that. So there's a couple of things that just are kind of gatekeepers to certain projects just it can push things up part of a month, but it will cross over a quarter. So those are the kind of dynamics we're dealing with.

BJ Cook

Analyst

Got it. Appreciate that. I guess you also talked about $50 million plus pipeline in EV that's pretty impressive. I guess I'm kind of wondering if some of that comes from the infrastructure bill? Or maybe that's further down the road and there might be a benefit in addition to what you guys are doing internally?

Mike Jenkins

Management

Yes. Good question. We're seeing that product build or that pipeline build rather, is coming from the organic Voltrek business, it's coming from cross-selling opportunities with our lighting customer. It's also coming from strategic partners like equipment providers that we work with and a true kind of partnership format and share opportunities there. So we've rapidly built that pipeline from several quarters back, it was approximately $30 million. So we've seen nice build on that. And again, the team is very focused on driving those through to converting those two wins and execution.

BJ Cook

Analyst

Just one more quick one. You guys are chatted about running off and renegotiating some of the legacy unprofitable maintenance business. I appreciate that. Can you at least give us a glimpse of what segment margins might look like on a normalized basis.

Per Brodin

Management

Yes. I think that's awfully hard to say too. A lot of it depends on our sales volumes, but we expect over time that things will be at a fairly normalized rate.

BJ Cook

Analyst

Great, thanks, I appreciate it guys.

Per Brodin

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Bill Dezellem from Tieton Capital Management. Your line is now open.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

Hi, thank you. Back in January, in the middle of the month, I believe that the government awarded something like $150 million to repair existing EV charging stations. Was Voltrek involved in that process and if not, why?

Mike Jenkins

Management

Hi, Bill, nice to hear from you. No, we have not seen that money flow through at this point in time. A lot of the funding from the federal government does take quite some time to work its way through. The NEVI funds is an example were approved probably about 18 months ago, 18 to 24 months as that funding is going to the states and now just kind of beginning to hit the street. So we have not benefited from that funding at this point in time.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

My impression, Mike, was these were actual awards that had taken place. Did I misread the announcement?

Mike Jenkins

Management

Bill, I don't know the specifics of the announcement. I would have to go back and check on that.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

Okay. Let me continue down the EV path. The $50 million of pipeline that you referenced, how does that compare to 1 year ago?

Mike Jenkins

Management

Yes. We were probably, I would say, around $30 million a year ago, maybe a little less. Actually less, yes. So it's built substantially.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

Congratulations. And then you referenced in the release and in your opening remarks that 10% to 15% growth anticipated next year. What do you currently see as the trajectory of how the year looks and really as much thinking rate of change, are you anticipating that each quarter is going to be roughly up 10% to 15%. Is it front-end weighted, back-end weighted? What's your general early read on that?

Mike Jenkins

Management

Yes. Good question, Bill. Typically, this year and the years prior, we tend to be more back-end loaded as a company. It's the way kind of the timings of some of the projects and the capital cycle tends to work out. I think that the growth rate would be applied, let's say, at this point in time, and we haven't really given any specifics on this. But I would see quarter-over-quarter growth throughout the year, but we're probably going to still the way the quarters will lay out be a bit back-end loaded.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

So Mike, just to make sure I understand what you're saying there is that the rate of change that 10% to 15% is probably similar for each of the quarters. However, in an absolute dollar sense, the year will be back-end loaded just like it was this year and that's how we get the math to be up 10% to 15% each of the quarters.

Mike Jenkins

Management

Yes. Good summary, Bill. Absolutely.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

Okay. Thank you. And then one additional question, please. You've referenced the large accounts and their interest in all three business segments. Talk a little bit more about that, if you would, please. And including to what degree this is new customers that are wanting to do a bundle of all three versus existing customers primarily and any additional insights you can share would be appreciated.

Mike Jenkins

Management

Sure. I could use two examples of customers right now. One is a customer that we did a very large EV installation for. Our team, as they've worked with this customer has made them aware of our new exterior lighting products, which are available, the new Harris ones that we launched this past year. And so we're in the process. We quoted $0.75 million project -- lighting project for them. So that's an example of cross-selling, working from an EV standpoint, to lighting. On the other side, we have a long-standing manufacturing customer of ours, public company, multiple sites throughout the U.S. They're now getting through their strategy on electrification, which will include fleet for them. And we're engaging -- actively engaging with them in terms of helping them design their layouts and requirements as they move forward and then obviously, hope to move that to execution. So those are two examples of some of the cross-selling.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

And relative to the new customers versus existing, what you described is primarily existing, do you have any new customers that are coming to you or that you're finding that are right out of the gates, wanting to talk about doing all three aspects of your business, lighting, maintenance and EV?

Mike Jenkins

Management

I think the reality is that new customers typically come to us about a pressing need in one of the three areas and that once the customer comes into the ecosystem, let's say, we cross-sell from there. That's typically the way it works.

Bill Dezellem

Analyst

That's helpful. Thank you for the time.

Mike Jenkins

Management

You bet. Thanks, Bill.

Operator

Operator

And thank you. [Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from Andrew Shapiro from Lawndale Capital Management. Your line is now open.

Andrew Shapiro

Analyst

Hi, thank you. You mentioned in your script three of four, I guess, legacy customers on the maintenance side have been converted to have their service contracts up at market prices rather than the money-losing lower price level. This last customer's contract, it runs off when? Is it during the current fourth quarter or sometime thereafter?

Per Brodin

Management

The end of April.

Andrew Shapiro

Analyst

Okay, at the end of April. And are there margins at a loss in this? Or have you recognized like a fixed price defense contract, remaining estimated loss in the revenues generated from this contract going forward or just at zero margin? Or there is some embedded loss here?

Per Brodin

Management

No, there is an embedded loss. We do not have a reserve for future losses on that contract based on the nature of that contract. So as we work through the contract, at least the completion of the current contract, we would anticipate there's additional losses as netting against the other results within maintenance.

Andrew Shapiro

Analyst

Right. Yes. No, no, already seen the improvement. And someone had asked you the question and maybe you were just hesitant to provide the numerical range of sort. Someone asked you the question on what the normalized margins would be from this segment once the money-losing contract burns off and I didn't know, are you comfortable or are you able to provide a range or that was just something that you'd rather not for whatever competitive reason that provides?

Per Brodin

Management

Full transparency, I didn't quite hear the full question before. So we anticipate that business operating in the 20% margin range.

Andrew Shapiro

Analyst

And then are there any other smaller customers that you have in that segment that are also with these kind of fixed rate terms that have to burn off with smaller amounts of money loss? Or this is it?

Mike Jenkins

Management

Yes. We've addressed all of the situation we have and are addressing all the situations, big or small, that need to be addressed from a margin standpoint.

Andrew Shapiro

Analyst

Okay, excellent, thank you guys.

Mike Jenkins

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And thank you. [Operator Instructions] And our next question comes from Steve Rudd from Blackwell. Your line is now open.

Steve Rudd

Analyst

Hi, I want to just focus on your last statement that you've addressed. You are addressing all the margin issues. And I appreciate the prior callers or questioners clarification on the fourth customer. On the three of the four customers that have not been -- that have been converted to the new pricing model with our better margins. What I want to understand is, are there contracts now fully -- the negative margin contracts fully done, just like you said, in April and fourth customers loss contract will be done. Is it that there's -- those other three customers, there are no more contracts with them that have these negative margins? Or is it simply that they're accepting prospectively on new contracts, better margins, but there's still contracts with them that have yet to work off with the negative margins.

Mike Jenkins

Management

Yes. Good question and good ask for clarification. So we have -- to be clear, we have gone to these customers within contract periods and we have successfully repriced three out of the four. As also indicated in my comments earlier, this is the RFP season, let's say, for the majority of these accounts. So the majority of the RFPs are taking place now in our quarter four. And so therefore, we are -- as we suggested, some of these RFPs may not renew because of the profitability concerns that we have.

Per Brodin

Management

Another way to think about it, while the three of the four open the contract -- mid-contract, we did not extend those contracts. So they went back to the regular RFP cycle.

Steve Rudd

Analyst

Okay. And what I want to clarify here, it's interesting, and I'm glad you guys reached out to these three of the four customers. What's -- or to the four of four, but you had success with this three of the four. What's interesting to me was their willingness to reprice the existing contracts. And I think the implication there is that those contracts are no longer unprofitable. Is that, first of all, correct implication that these existing contracts with them are no longer unprofitable?

Mike Jenkins

Management

Correct. The ones that have been repriced are profitable.

Steve Rudd

Analyst

And then the second half of that is with the customers' willingness to reprice those existing contracts, there's what I hear in your answer is an implication that the -- we probably won't be doing much more with a number of them, and that's kind of a strange outcome where, yes, we understand that we need to reprice. But no, we really don't see -- we don't see the model going forward. And I just don't -- I don't know how that lines up, but you see what I mean. We need to reprice our contract. But going forward, we really don't see ourselves doing much more business. Yes, I don't know how those two line up. Do you follow the conflict I'm trying to resolve?

Mike Jenkins

Management

Sure. Sure. I understand. I would say that they understood the inflationary environment, and therefore, we negotiated our way to pricing within contract periods. Anytime you get into an RFP situation, it's a competitive situation. And so therefore, there's a lot of unknowable’s. What we do know is that we're not going to take on business which is not profitable. And if we end up shedding some of the revenue because of its unprofitable nature and especially for one of these situations, that will benefit us in the long-term.

Steve Rudd

Analyst

Okay. All right. And that's obviously the way to go. I do want to ask you one thing, though. Have you or do you have any ability in the marketplace to go forward on a cost-plus model because it seems to me that we got squeezed on our -- like everybody did on margins during the pandemic and the bottlenecks, et cetera. But your particular business, I think, might lend itself to a cost-plus model so that we reduce the risk that either we get our pricing wrong or that other exogenous events, which are floating around in massive possibility whack us yet again. So is that a possibility to cost plus?

Mike Jenkins

Management

Unfortunately, that's not the way the industry works. And so it's basically a fixed price three year, and the customers are all use the same methodology. So we have to subscribe to that if we're going to end up doing business with them. So again, we feel like we've had some wins. We've had some contracts which have been won in some RFPs, which we've gotten pricing through which we feel good about. And but we do have some that we're in the midst of right now, which are unknowable, except for the fact that we're not going to take on unprofitable business. So that's what we've committed to, okay?

Per Brodin

Management

Pretty deep into the weeds, if you want to have a detailed conversation some time maybe you could reach out to the IR group, and we could schedule a separate call for that.

Steve Rudd

Analyst

Okay, we can do that. I appreciate it. Thanks, guys.

Per Brodin

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And that concludes the Q&A session. I'll now turn the conference back to Mr. Jenkins for concluding remarks.

Mike Jenkins

Management

Thank you all for joining our call today. We look forward to updating you when we report our full year results and as we progress through fiscal '25. We also hope to speak with you at upcoming investor events, including Singular Research, Emerging Growth and Value Leaders webinar on February 22, or to meet with you in person at the LD Micro Invitational in New York City, April 8 and 9. Please contact our Investor Relations team with any questions or to schedule a management call or meeting. The IR team's contact information is in today's press release. Thank you again.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's call.