Jose Rafael Fernandez
Analyst
So what we're seeing this quarter is again, a confirmation of what we have been seeing in the last three or fourth quarters prior, inching up on the originations, inching up on loan balances particularly on the commercial side and the auto lending side as well, now lately in the consumer portfolio. So what I'm feeling right now is at the beginning of the year, last year I mentioned that I was very optimistic, my last 17 years of CEO, was the most optimistic. I think throughout 2021, we saw a confirmation that that optimism is turning into growth for the Puerto Rico economy. So I feel we're in the early innings of economic growth cycle in Puerto Rico now, maybe it's pretty much - the confirmation data is pretty much behind us from last year. So I feel that loan growth is here to stay for the next couple of years as the economy continues to grow. So what we're seeing here when we look at loan growth is production. We feel that the production, and let's call it loan origination, for 2022, the way I look at it is we're going to see higher consumer loan origination. We're going to see relatively similar auto loan origination, and a most likely similar commercial loan origination, which in itself it's a record year we had in 2021. So when we look at that scenario on the production side, I'm excited. And we are as a team very excited to look into deploying our liquidity here. Regarding the other components of the loan balances, we talked about origination, but we also need to talk about paydowns. On the mortgage portfolio, we will continue to have the repayments, and I think with interest rates now starting to inch up, we'll probably have slower repayments on the mortgage portfolio. That's good for us. We will continue to originate and sell, but we will also be a little bit more focused on non-conforming and retaining a little bit of non-confirming. That might be helpful, but we see the portfolio on mortgages, residential mortgage trending lower. On the commercial, we see a good opportunity for us to build that, particularly on the small and mid-sized commercial business clients. We're seeing good opportunities there. And I think line utilization is also going to start trending positively next year, we haven't seen that yet, but we're starting to trend positively. And then pipelines for 2022, we feel that on the commercial side the pipelines are strong and our expectation is that there's going to be opportunities for us to continue to build on those pipelines. So that's kind of my take on loan and loan growth, Alex.