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OFG Bancorp (OFG)

Q3 2025 Earnings Call· Wed, Oct 22, 2025

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

To all sites on hold, appreciate your patience, and please continue to standby. Please stand by. Your program is about to begin. If you require assistance throughout the event today, please press Good morning. Thank you for joining OFG Bancorp Conference Call. My name is Chloe, and I will be your operator today. Our speakers are José Rafael Fernández, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board of Directors, Maritza Arizmendi, Chief Financial Officer, and Cesar Ortiz, Chief Risk Officer. A presentation accompanies today's remarks. It can be found on the homepage of the OFG website under the Third Quarter 2025 section. This call may feature certain forward-looking statements about management's goals, plans, and expectations. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, outlined in the Risk Factors section of OFG's SEC filings. Actual results may differ materially from those currently anticipated. We disclaim any obligation to update information disclosed in this call as a result of developments that occur afterwards. All lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. Instructions will be given at that time. I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Fernández. José Rafael Fernández: Good morning and thank you for joining us. We are pleased to report our third quarter results. Let's go to Page three of the presentation. We had a strong quarter with earnings per share diluted of $1.16, up 16% year over year on a 5.6% increase in total core revenue. Loans and core deposit balances increased year over year with particular growth in commercial loans, which has been a strategic focus as auto loans moderated, something we have been anticipating for a while. Performance metrics continue to be strong. Credit was solid. Capital continued to grow, and we repurchased $20.4 million of common shares. Business…

Maritza Arizmendi

Management

Let's turn to Page five to review our financial highlights. All comparisons are to the second quarter unless otherwise noted. Core revenues totaled $184 million driven by solid performance across key areas. Total interest income was $200 million, an increase of $6 million. This mainly reflects higher balances of loans and investments and $1 million from one additional business day. Total interest expense was $45 million, an increase of $3 million. This mainly reflects higher average balances of core deposits, higher average balances of wholesale funding, and a $500,000 impact from the extra business day. Total banking and financial services revenues were $29 million, a decrease of $1 million. This mainly reflects a decline in mortgage banking revenues due to a change in MSR valuation. Compared to a year ago, when we were first subject to reviews interchange fees under Derby, total banking and financial services revenues were up $3 million or 11%. Other income category was $2.2 million. This included gains from OFG Ventures investment in FinTech-focused funds. Looking at non-interest expenses, they totaled $96.5 million, up $1.7 million. This reflected a strategic investment of $1.1 million in technology, people, and process improvement. Dollars 1,100,000.0 tied to increased business activity and marketing and an $800,000 reduction in foreclosed real estate costs. Income tax expenses were $9.5 million with a tax rate of 15.53%. This reflects a benefit of $2.3 million in this great items during the quarter and an anticipated rate of 23.06% for the year. Looking at some other metrics, tangible book value was $28.92 per share. Efficiency ratio was 52%. Return on average asset was 1.69%. Return on Tangible Common Equity was 16.39%. Now let's turn to Page six to review our operational highlights. Total assets were $12.2 billion, up 7% from a year ago and steady…

Maritza Arizmendi

Management

$5.6 million for specific reserves on two commercial loans, the impact of two items from our annual assumptions update to $300,000 from updated repayment assumptions in commercial loan and residential mortgage portfolio. And $2.9 million for macroeconomic factors. Provision also included $1.3 million due to the auto qualitative adjustment related to the seasonal increase in early delinquency not captured in the model. Net charge-offs totaled $20 million, up $7.4 million. Total net charge-off rate was 1%, up 36 basis points sequentially. This includes $3.6 million from one of the two commercial loans mentioned before. Year over year, the net charge-off rate improved in consumer and auto portfolios. Recovery rate in mortgage. Looking at other credit metrics, the early and total delinquency rates were up from the second quarter but in line with the range over the past year. The non-performing loan rate was 1.22%. On the capital side, our CET ratio was 14.13%. Stockholders' equity totaled $1.4 billion, up $41 million. And the tangible common equity ratio increased 35 basis points to 10.55%. Now to summarize the quarter. The third quarter. Net interest income continued to grow reflecting our strategy of an increased volume of loans in particular commercial more than offsetting our lower NIM. We continue to anticipate annual loan growth in the range of 5% to 6%. While deposits were down sequentially, they increased year over year. We continue to expect annual growth driven by both retail and commercial accounts. Net interest margin was 5.32%, for the nine months. In line with our target range of 5.3% to 5.4% for the year. During the fourth quarter, we anticipate a range of 5.1% to 5.2%. Credit quality remains stable. Reflecting the strong economic environment in Puerto Rico. Third quarter, non-interest expenses were a little above our range, but we…

Operator

Operator

Certainly. Star two. We will take our first question from Erin Cyganovich with Truist. Your line is open.

Erin Cyganovich

Analyst

Good morning. Thank you. Maybe you talked a little bit about the deposits in the quarter, the costs of your deposits rose modestly. Is that driven by the competitive environment? Maybe you could talk a little bit about the dynamics impacting that? José Rafael Fernández: Yes. First of all, welcome to our call. Your first call with OFG and thank you for covering us at Truist. So appreciate that. To answer your question regarding the higher deposit cost, it's really driven by our strategy. When we talk about the Libre account, which is mass but we talk about the elite account, which is mass affluent, we really are strategically positioning ourselves to attract mass affluent clients through that account paying a little higher rate and that's kind of the short-term cost of it. But also betting on a long-term strategy of deepening that relationship with the customer. And that's how that product is structured. So what you're starting to see is a little bit of a higher cost on the savings side because we're being very successful with our strategy. We're really happy with the results. And we'll continue to leverage the added features that we're adding to our positive customers in terms of the insights and the predictive insights that we provide through AI are unique to each customer. And that's actually something that no other bank in Puerto Rico offers and it's giving us great momentum for us to attract new customers and potential for deepening. So that's a little bit of what's driving some of that higher customer cost on the savings side.

Erin Cyganovich

Analyst

Okay. That helps. And then in terms of the commercial loan originations, those were solid, but yet some pay downs on lines of credit. Maybe you'd talk about the dynamics for commercial and outlook for commercial loan growth ahead? José Rafael Fernández: Sure. So as Maritza pointed out in her remarks, part of what occurred in the third quarter was the repayment of some of the commercial lines that were drawn in the second quarter. So that's a little bit of what drove the balances to be to go down. But going forward, we have a very solid pipeline. We continue to see great business activity in Puerto Rico. And Oriental going after those opportunities. So we're very confident about our commercial pipeline in the fourth quarter and starting to build the 2026 pipeline also.

Erin Cyganovich

Analyst

All right. Thank you. José Rafael Fernández: Yes, you're welcome. Thank you. And again, welcome to the team.

Erin Cyganovich

Analyst

Appreciate it.

Operator

Operator

We'll take our next question from Timur Braziler with Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Timur Braziler

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Hi, good morning. Thanks for the question. José Rafael Fernández: Good morning, Timur.

Timur Braziler

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Just a follow-up on paying up for some of the savings account deposits. Can you just maybe talk us through what type of rate is being required to win some of those balances? And as you think about from a competitive landscape, where are you really targeting to take some market share here? José Rafael Fernández: Yes. So as I explained earlier a little bit, just we go after the mass market with a zero-cost account. It's a checking account and we drive the growth through our uniqueness in terms of the offering. On the Elite account, average cost is around 1% plus, let's say, 0.5% on average. Let's just say. And it's targeting the mass affluent. And again, it's us driving value add and focusing on the customer just to attract those customers to OFG and be able to deepen those relationships as we build trust with them. And that is again, paying playing very nicely for us on our strategy. And the key here is deepening, right? And how do we be are able to deepen that relationship through debit card utilization, auto loans, mortgage loans, wealth management, etcetera, which we offer throughout. And that's kind of what's driving that higher cost on the savings side. There's nothing else to it.

Timur Braziler

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Got it. Thanks. And then maybe two questions around credit. The first, if you could just provide any kind of additional color on the commercial loans. And then looking at that commercial portfolio, on the mainland in particular, two out of the last three quarters, we saw some pretty large charge-offs out of that portfolio. Can you just maybe speak a little bit more broadly about what you're seeing within Mainland CRE? José Rafael Fernández: Yes. So let me answer your second question first. On the Mainland portfolio, we do see some very good opportunities for us to continue to build the book and use it as a geographic diversification. We do small participations on the small and mid-sized commercial lending. With some partners and that strategy continues to play out. On the second on the first part of your question, where you've seen some charges in the last several quarters. It's part of our way of managing risk within that portfolio. And it's actually started like a couple of years ago when we started to feel pressure in the U.S. economy and felt that we should reduce some of those risks and it required some charge-offs. So that's kind of we don't see that as we see it more idiosyncratic than being more market-wide. And feel comfortable with our team and the efforts that we're doing. Now in particular to the quarter, the two commercial loans. One is a U.S. loan and one is a Puerto Rico loan. The U.S. loan it's a $5 million loan where we basically took a provision and the charge-off this quarter because we sold it. And the second loan is a Puerto Rico commercial loan. It's a company that acquired a large did a large acquisition. They're having some operating and financial weaknesses and we're proactively provisioning for that loan. So these are idiosyncratic. We see them as being market related.

Timur Braziler

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Okay. Thanks. And then just lastly on auto loans, the pickup in charge-offs there, it's kind of more in line where it had been 3Q, 4Q, 1Q. Is this kind of just getting back to that type of rate? I know you've been calling for origination sales down in auto for quite some time. We finally got that there. Just talk a little bit more about just broader auto trends, both from a growth standpoint and then from a credit standpoint? José Rafael Fernández: So I'll talk about the growth and I'll pass it to Cesar to talk about the credit. On the growth side, we were expecting the slowdown. I think on the auto lending side, what we're seeing is we see the bottoming coming in right now in terms of loan originations. And we might see a slightly higher in the fourth quarter. But these are more normal levels in our view. And we feel comfortable with the originating levels that we're having right now, Timur. Can you talk about the credit?

Cesar Ortiz

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Yes. On the charge-offs, what we're seeing is seasonal dynamics of the retail portfolios. Usually at the lowest levels of the first quarter and then gradually those statistics come up and they peak towards the fourth quarter. So what we saw quarter over quarter is a modest increase on charge-off and all the statistics. But when we compare it to last same period last year, we see a better trend. So we're optimistic, based on those comparisons.

Timur Braziler

Analyst · Wells Fargo. Your line is open.

Great. Thanks for the color. José Rafael Fernández: Yep. Thank you, Timur. Thank you for the call.

Operator

Operator

We will take our next question from Kelly Motta with KBW. Your line is open.

Kelly Motta

Analyst · KBW. Your line is open.

Hey, good morning. Thanks for the question. José Rafael Fernández: Hi, Kelly.

Kelly Motta

Analyst · KBW. Your line is open.

Maybe circling back to the Q4 margin guidance, 5.10 to 5.20. Wondering, Maritza, what that what that what the Fed funds assumption is in that given that you guys are asset sensitive? One. And then two, maybe you could talk a little bit about I think we on on the last quarter call, you were calling for some margin expansion provided we got some loan growth all else equal. Just with the margin being down kind of if there was anything in that that you know, differed from your expectations maybe three months ago that that drove that? Thank you.

Maritza Arizmendi

Management

Yes. Thank you, Kelly, for your question. And first, I think one point when we look back at the quarter and the inflows into the deposits that has been better than expected in the savings account that one of the deviation from our original estimate. So that's the answer to that. So the second part relates to what we are expecting in the fourth quarter. And the reality is that we are asset sensitive on the last cut was end of September. So we will have most of that impact during the fourth quarter. The repricing, the full effect will be on the cash and in the variable rate portfolio that we have in the commercial that is half of it. So that's why we are reviewing our guidance towards 5.1 to 5.2 and always depending on the funding mix. So right now, everything remaining equal is mostly related to the 25 basis point cuts. José Rafael Fernández: And I don't know if you realize too, but we do have inflows and outflows throughout the quarter. Of large deposits. And that is also part of what creates a little bit of the quarter volatility. But as Maritza said, fourth quarter guidance as as the one that she mentioned, $510 million to $5.20.

Kelly Motta

Analyst · KBW. Your line is open.

Does that just to clarify, does that $5.10 to $5.20 contemplate any additional cuts here in fourth quarter?

Maritza Arizmendi

Management

Well, we are expecting 50 basis points cuts, but since it won't be outstanding most of the quarter, the most of this impact relates to the 25 basis point that was made late September. José Rafael Fernández: Yes, we are modeling 50 basis points reduction in Fed funds in the fourth quarter.

Kelly Motta

Analyst · KBW. Your line is open.

Great. That's really helpful. Maybe one for you José. You've highlighted the investments you're making in AI to drive some efficiencies ahead and that drove expenses a bit higher. I know that's over time to generate greater revenues or recognize better improvement on the expense side. So maybe if you could talk a bit more about that and kind of, like, the cadence because I know it takes some time to realize that. So how how you strategically approaching? Thanks. José Rafael Fernández: Yep. Thank you. Not only, you know, just to clarify, we are making the investments, but we're also delivering on the features and the benefits for our customers on the value proposition that we provide and it's unique. And no other bank in Puerto Rico is actually today providing any insights to their customers based on their cash flows and their payments and whatnot. So that's a very big differentiation that we're going to continue to drive forward. Now regarding the investments that we're making in technology, we will continue to make those investments but we are also starting to see opportunities for us to bring efficiencies in our banking operations and we will be guiding you guys into the expenses of 2026 in the fourth quarter. But we're starting to see opportunities for us to bring efficiencies and be able to pass those efficiencies as part of our investment in technology. So we're very cognizant of the investments that we're making in technology, but we're equally cognizant of the importance of bringing efficiency and we're seeing it in the operating side of the bank particularly with people efficiencies.

Kelly Motta

Analyst · KBW. Your line is open.

That's really helpful. Maybe last question for me. You guys were more active on the buyback this quarter. Given capital is strong, you're generating a ton of earnings, like what's the go forward outlook? Can you remind us of capital priorities here, including M&A? José Rafael Fernández: Sure. I mean, capital is strong. We feel that we have great opportunity to fund loan growth and that's our priority. But we're seeing we're going to be a lot more active on the buyback in the fourth quarter and into 2026. Because the earnings momentum that we have and the earnings power that we're having puts us in a great spot in terms of capital management. Also backed up by Puerto Rico economy that remains pretty good and it's driving infrastructure investments. We mentioned the onshoring benefits that are starting to become somewhat of a reality. It will take some time, but it's moving along. We're also seeing Puerto Rico well positioned given the current geopolitical challenges in The Caribbean and Puerto Rico being the hub for that. All those things give us confidence on the Puerto Rico economy. And certainly, it's going to drive our business forward. So from a capital management perspective, loan growth number one, buybacks and dividends number two and number three. Because we really are in a good spot right now.

Kelly Motta

Analyst · KBW. Your line is open.

Great. Thank you so much for all the color. I'll step back. José Rafael Fernández: Yep. Thank you, Kelly, for your question.

Operator

Operator

We'll move next to Anya Pellshaw with Hubd. Your line is open.

Anya Pellshaw

Analyst

Hey, guys. I'm asking questions on behalf of Brett here. I know you guys already talked about loan growth, but I was hoping you could expand on any payoff activity that might also affect commercial in the future? José Rafael Fernández: I'm sorry, I could not understand well your question. Can you repeat it?

Anya Pellshaw

Analyst

Yes. You've already talked about loan growth. But could you expand and talk about any payoff activity that might also affect commercial from here? José Rafael Fernández: Yep. Payoffs are hard to predict. But what we are seeing is there's usually some small seasonality on the lines of credit in the third quarter, given some clients that we have that receive funds, federal funds either for construction services or education. And they kind of draw on the line of credit in the second quarter. Then they get the funding in the third quarter and pay them off. That's usually on the third quarter. But we are not expecting any significant variability on the lines of credit in the fourth quarter.

Anya Pellshaw

Analyst

Thank you. And you've talked about charge-offs a little bit. But is there anything else you guys might be seeing as far as credit quality goes? José Rafael Fernández: As I mentioned, we're not seeing anything apart from a couple of idiosyncratic commercial loans that I mentioned earlier, the rest on the consumer book and the auto book we're not seeing anything that concerns us. We're seeing, again, supported by an economy that has a lot of activity. So and liquidity in the system. So not seeing anything that drives us to be concerned on credit.

Anya Pellshaw

Analyst

Thank you. Appreciate it. José Rafael Fernández: Yep. Thank you for your questions.

Operator

Operator

At this time, there are no further questions. I will now turn the call back over to management for closing remarks. José Rafael Fernández: Thank you, operator. Thanks again to all our team members. Thank all our stakeholders. Who have listened in.

Operator

Operator

My apologies. We do have a follow-up from Timur.

Timur Braziler

Analyst

Thank you. Got in there at the last second. José, you made a comment on new onshoring investments in Puerto Rico. Can you just maybe talk us through what those have been and maybe how that's progressed? In the Trump two point o administration? José Rafael Fernández: What we are what we know is what we hear and read in the papers. We are seeing around 10 or 11 multinationals that are already announcing investments in Puerto Rico. Some of them are medical devices, others are pharmaceuticals. We're seeing solar panels. We're seeing textiles. It's a little bit broader than what we have seen in the past. Again, it points out to Puerto Rico's positioning in terms of manufacturing that we've been for many years and is an opportunity for these companies to expand their production lines. Some of them have already operations. There's one or two that are going that have announced new operations in Puerto Rico, but the majority are existing companies that are announcing investments in additional production lines in the island. So overall, I think it's all driven because of the onshoring benefits that provide the tariffs, the tariff threats and all the tariffs that have been imposed. And Puerto Rico being a U.S. jurisdiction and being a manufacturing hub for medical devices and pharmaceuticals is just the right hub for those companies to invest further in the island. So it's something new for Puerto Rico because we haven't seen this in several decades. And for the first time, we're starting to see those announcements. So it's encouraging. And that will drive indirect benefits because there's a lot of hires with well-paid employees. It also drives indirect suppliers to these companies and all that. So it has a trickle-down effect to the economy that is pretty positive. So we're encouraged with that. Again, this is not flowing in now. But it's a great way of starting to see the light at the end of the tunnel when federal funds start to fade away and we have some private investments coming in. To us, it's a win-win.

Timur Braziler

Analyst

That's great color. Thank you. José Rafael Fernández: Yes. Thank you, Timur. Well, thank you everybody for the call. I appreciate everyone participating and looking forward to the fourth quarter results. Have a great day.

Operator

Operator

This does conclude today's program. Thank you for your participation. You may disconnect at any time and have a wonderful afternoon.