James R. Hatfield - Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer
Analyst · Glennhymn Capital Management
Thank you, Pete. For 2007, we reported net income of $244.2 million or $2.64 per diluted share, as compared to net income of $262.1 million or $2.84 per diluted share in 2006. On a continuing operation basis, our earnings increased 7.7% over the $2.45 per diluted share posted in 2006. As a result of asset sales at Enogex in 2006, we will distinguish between net income and income from continuing operations throughout this presentation. The contribution by business unit on a comparative basis is as follows, OG&E, $1.75 versus $1.62 in 2006, Enogex, $0.93 versus $0.84 in 2006, holding company a $0.04 loss versus a $0.01 in 2006… $2.64 versus $2.45 on a continuing operation... we will start on slide 5 and we will start with a breakdown of 2007 results for OG&E. At OG&E, net income was $161.7 million or $1.75 per share as compared to net income of $149.3 million or $1.62 per share in 2006, an 8% increase in EPS. Some of the primary drivers are as follows. Gross margin on revenues increased 1.8% to $810 million from $795.7 million and I will provide details of gross margin in a moment. Operation and maintenance expense increased $4.2 million or 1.3%. Increases in outside services, employee costs and permits were partially offset by a higher amount of capitalized labor due to the December 2007 ice storm. It is also important to note that approximately $4 million of O&M was capitalized in association with the ice storm that normally would have hit the P&L in December. Depreciation increased $9.1 million or 6.9%, primarily due to the Centennial Wind Farm being placed in service during January 2007. Taxes other than income increased $2.9 million or 5.5%, primarily due to increased [inaudible] and payroll tax expense. Net other income, expense, decreased by $2.5 million, primarily due to lower AFUDC equity in 2007, partially offset by the loss on the retirement of assets in 2006. Interest expense decreased $5.2 million or 8.7%, primarily due to a settlement with the IRS in 2007, resulting in a reversal of interest expense, which was partially offset by an one-time recognition of interest expense associated with a water storage facility in 2006. Additionally, higher levels of short-term debt were incurred for operations. The income tax rate decreased from 36.2% in 2006 to 31.2% in 2007. The primary reason for the lower rate was due to renewable energy tax credits on the wind power production from the Centennial Wind Farm. Now, looking at gross margin. The largest factor driving an increase in gross margin were higher rates totaling $25.1 million for the Centennial Wind Farm rider, security rider, and the Arkansas rate case. Other factors contributing to the gross margin variants were new customer growth and other items in OG&E service territory, which increased gross margin by $9.7 million. For 2007, OG&E saw a 1% growth in customers or over 7,000 new customers with the majority of growth being in the residential class. Increased peak demand by non-residential customers, which increased gross margin by $9.4 million. And these increases in gross margin were partially offset by cooler weather in OG&E service territory resulting in an approximate 11% decrease in cooling degree days as compared to 2006, contributing to a decrease of approximately $16.3 million in price variance due to sales and customer mix, which decreased gross margin by approximately $13.6 million. I’d like to touch briefly on the planned CapEx for the utility. This graph illustrates a $3 billion capital spending program that utility expects to under take over the next six years. The category of largest expenditures are shown in blue, which represent our infrastructure build-out in the distribution and transmission areas. This accounts for nearly $1.7 billion, followed by environmental in green at nearly $400 million, and of course the Redbud acquisition, planned for 2008, of $435 million. To put the capital spending projections in a rate base perspective, we project total company rate base to increase from approximate $2.5 billion at the end of 2007 to approximately $4.3 billion in 2013. This represents a 72% increase in rate base, which offers a tremendous growth opportunity at the utility over the next six years. Howard will discuss our regulatory calendar later. At Enogex, income from continuing operations was $86.2 million or $0.93 per share as compared to income from continuing operations of $77.5 million or $0.84 per in 2006, 11% increase in EPS. As Steve alluded to, Enogex income from continuing operations represents record results. Some of the primary drivers are as follows. Gross margin on revenues increased nearly 15% of $353.1 million from $307.4 million. I'll provide details of that in a moment. Operation and maintenance expense increased $17.4 million or nearly 16%. Higher employee costs to support growth and an increase in outside services of materials and supplies expense were the primary drivers. Interest income decreased $1.9 million from 2006, primarily due to a loss of interest income earned on cash investments as a result of the asset sales at Enogex in the prior year. Other income decreased by $6.8 million, primarily as a result of a litigation settlement and gains on a sale of stable pipeline assets in the prior year. The income tax rate was about the same at 38.3%. Now, looking at gross margin. Gross margin at Enogex increased from $307.4 million in 2006 to $353.1 million in 2007. Margins were up across all businesses. Margins in gathering and processing business increased by $28.3 million or 17% from $167.6 million in 2006 to $195.9 million 2007. Primary drivers include higher keep-whole margins of $6.7 million, realized commodity spreads of 535 versus 399 in the prior year, $6.6 million of lower imbalance expense, higher prices for [inaudible], which increased margin by $4.6 million, and renegotiated contracts with more favorable terms increased margin approximately $6.2 million. Additionally, gathered volumes increased 7.1% and processing volumes increased 5.6%. Marketing contributed approximately $24.5 million of Enogex’s gross margin in 2007 as compared to approximately $14.2 million in 2006, an increase of approximately $10.3 million. The gross margin increased primarily due to $25 million of realized gains from physical activity on the Cheyenne Plains’ transportation contract. As we stated before, we believe the Cheyenne Plains’ contribution is a 2007 event, it is not expected to be repeated in future years. In the transportation and storage business, margins increased from $125.6 million in 2006 to $132.7 million in 2007, an increase of $7.1 million or 5.7%. The increase in gross margin was primarily due to higher demand fees in the storage business reflecting the impact of new contracts, a reduction and lower cost of market adjustment to natural gas inventories. These increase were partially offset by increased imbalance liabilities. In 2007, Enogex recorded a loss of $2.5 million on non-recurring and timing items. The $2.5 million loss in storage, we anticipate to reverse in the first quarter of 2008. This is compared to a $34.9 million gain in non-recurring and timing items in 2006, primarily resulting from the gain on the sale of the Kinta assets. Now, I like to briefly touch on a couple of items for the fourth quarter. For the fourth quarter, we reported net income of $37.6 million or $0.40 per diluted share as compared to net income of $22.1 million or $0.24 per diluted share in 2006. In contribution by business unit on a comparative basis is as follows. OG&E, $0.17 versus a loss of $0.01 in 2006, Enogex, $0.24 versus $0.25 in 2006, holding company a $0.01 loss, flat in 2006, consolidated $0.40 versus $0.24. At OG&E, net income was $15.7 million or $0.17 per share as compared to net loss of $1 million or $0.01 per share in 2006. Some of the primarily drivers are as follows. Gross margin on revenues increased 31.8% to $170.3 million from $129.2 million in 2006. I will point out than in our last year's quarter we credited to customers approximately $26.7 million of additional fuel related revenues that was not intended by OCC rate order from December 2005. Operational and maintenance expense increased $7.2 million or 8.7%, primarily due to increased outside service employee costs, partially offset by increased labor activity associated with the December 2007 ice storm. Depreciation increased $2.6 million, primarily a result of Centennial Wind Farm being placed in service during January 2007. Net other income, expense, decreased by $6.8 million, primarily as a result of lower equity AFUDC in 2007. Interest expense decreased $7.1 million, primarily due to a settlement with the IRS resulting in a reversal of interest expense. I am not going to go through all of the factors on the screen, but you have the waterfall chart of the various impacts impacting gross margin in OG&E in the fourth quarter. At Enogex, income from continuing operations was $22.2 million or $0.24 per share as compared to income from continuing operation of $23.1 million or $0.25 per share in 2006. Some of the primary drivers of are as follows. Gross margin increased from $85.8 million in 2006 to $97.7 million in 2007, that represents an increase of nearly 14%. The next slide we have the details of gross margin. Operation and maintenance expense increased $9.3 million or 31%, primarily due to increased outside service costs associated with various system integrity projects and higher employee costs due to growth initiatives. Other income decreased $1.2 million from 2006, primarily due to the recognition of the minority interest in a token [ph] 2007. Other expense increased by $2 million, primarily from a gain on the sale of certain pipeline assets in 2006. And income tax rate was relatively flat from 37.9% in 2006 compared to 37.8% in 2007. Looking at gross margin, gross margin at Enogex increased from $85.8 million in 2006 to $97.7 million in 2007. Gathering and processing margins increased $21.7 million from $45.6 million in 2006 to $67.2 million in 2007, primarily due to processing margins which increased $12.2 million, primarily due to keep-whole margin and [inaudible] sales, realized commodity spread of $7.28 versus $3.74 in 2006. Processing volumes increased 10.7%. Gathering margins increased $9.5 million, primarily due to the average price increase on fuel recoveries and higher natural gas margins due to higher prices and increased margins, due to renegotiated contracts and new business. For the quarter gathered volumes increased 10%. Transportation and storage margin decreased $8 million from $32.6 million in 2006 to $24.6 million in 2007. Transportation margin decreased $8.4 million, primarily due to a reduction in fuel reserve of $5.9 million in fourth quarter of 2006 as no such item was recorded in 2007. Throughput volumes increased 9.2% compared to fourth quarter 2006. Storage margins increased $400,000, primarily due to new storage contracts and third-party demand fees. Marketing margins decreased $1.8 million, primarily due to reduced gains on hedges, partially offset by the realized gain on Cheyenne Plains’ deliveries. Looking now at 2008 outlook. Earnings guidance for 2008 is between $223 million and $242 million of net income or $2.40 to $2.60 per diluted share assuming approximately 93.1 million average diluted shares outstanding. Cash flow from operations of between $483 million and $502 million. An effective tax rate of 33.5%. You can see the guidance for each of the businesses and I'll discuss our earnings assumptions over the next few slides. OG&E’s earnings guidance is between $145 million to $155 million or $1.56 to $1.66 per diluted share. Key assumptions for 2008 are, at OG&E, we anticipate gross margin of approximately $829 million compared to $810 million in 2007, an increase of 2.3%. The key assumptions are normal weather patterns are experienced for the remainder of the year and gross margin on weather adjusted retail electric sales to increase approximately 2%. Looking at expenses, operating expenses of approximately $536 million, interest cost of approximately $77 million, an effective tax rate of approximately 31.1%. Capital expenditures for investment in OG&E’s generation, transmission and distribution system are approximately $789 million in 2008, which includes capital expenditures in amount of approximately $435 million associated with OG&E’s planned acquisition of Redbud generating plant. Enogex's earnings guidance is $83 million to $91 million or $0.89 to $0.98 per diluted share of the company's common stock. Key assumptions underlying this guidance include total Enogex's anticipated gross margins of approximately $376 million to $390 million, an increase over 2007 of approximately 6% to 10%. The 2008 guidance includes transportation and storage gross margin contribution of approximately $141 million, gathering and processing gross margin contribution of approximately $235 million to $249 million. Key factors affecting the gathering and processing gross margin forecast are, an increase of 8% in gathered volumes over 2007, natural gas prices are at $7,25 to $7.64 per MMBtu in 2008, realized commodity spreads are $5.48 to $6.09 per MMB2 in 2008. The realized commodity spread takes into account that 59% of processing volumes of their price risk are hedged. Weighted average natural gas liquids prices are $1.20 to $1.27 per gallon in 2008. Operating expenses of approximately $201 million. Interest expense of approximately $30 million. And capital expenditures from investment in Enogex's pipeline system are approximately $292 million in 2008. As shown, the projected loss at the holding company is between $4 million and $5 million or $0.04 to $0.05 per diluted share, primarily due to interest expense related to long and short-term debt borrowings. That is a summary of the fourth quarter, full-year, and outlook. And now, I will turn the call over to Howard Motley for a regulatory update. Howard?
Howard W. Motley Jr. - Vice President, Regulatory Affairs, OG&E Electric Services: Thanks Jim. The regulatory update this morning will cover ongoing and future activities in the Oklahoma jurisdiction. We will be discussing a Red Rock purchase and pre-approval application we’ll be filing in the future. I will also be taking about the recovery of the Red Rock cancellation cost and the December 2007 ice storm cost to restore service. And then we will be talking about the fuel adjustment clause prudence review that’s ongoing with the Oklahoma Commission. I will also briefly discuss the company’s regulatory plan for 2009 through 2012. The foundation of the OG&E’s regulatory plan is the Oklahoma and Arkansas rate increases in 2006 and 2007, along with the Centennial and the security riders. OG&E will also be requesting approval of a rider for the Redbud purchase, which will be discussed in a later slide. An Oklahoma rate case is targeted for 2008… we are on slide 23, the regulatory plan and the end of that is where I was discussing is, at the end of 2009, we will receive a new rate order from the Oklahoma Commission from a rate case, the rider for Centennial and security and then the Redbud Rider, if we are successful in getting pre-approval for Redbud this year and a rider will terminate, when we have all of the investment and cost associated with those projects in our base rates starting January of 2010. And then subsequent to that rate case, we plan to file a rate case every other year…. every year in alternate in the different retail jurisdictions in Oklahoma and Arkansas. As far as the Redbud purchase, OG&E is currently preparing its filing before the Oklahoma Commission to request pre-approval of the Redbud purchase and authorization of recovery rider, like I said, until the 2009 rate case can be completed and new rates implemented. We plan to file this application around mid-March and based on a 240-day statutory timing in Oklahoma under our pre-approval rules, the commission should make their decision no later than mid-November. Next slide, the Red Rock cancellation cost in December 2007, the company filed an application seeking recovery of about $14.7 million of Red Rock cancellation cost. We are asking the commission to allow OG&E to sell SO2 credits and retain the profits to offset the cancellation cost. There is a procedural schedule, the parties will file responsive testimony on March 24, and rebuttal testimony is due on April 15. A settlement conference is scheduled for May 2, and if not settled, the hearing will begin on May 7, and the Administrative Law Judge right now has targeted the issue, the report and recommendations to commissioners on June 6. The next case we have out there is the… the issue December 2007 ice storm. Everyone knows we faced a very destructive ice storm in December 2007 that resulted in an overall cost of around $54 million, $55 million, about $19 million of that was capital, $34.5 million of that was O&M expenditures to restore the service to our customers. In the last Oklahoma rate case, the commission authorized a regulatory asset to accrue storm cost in excess of $3.5 million annually and recover in the next rate case, which will be the 2009 case. Prior to December 2007 ice storm, the company had already experienced $3.5 million of storm cost, therefore the entire amount of $34.5 million has been accrued to a regulatory asset. And as I mentioned, in our next rate case, we will include that for recovery in our future rates. And the last activity going on at the Oklahoma Commission is our field adjustment clause prudence review. The Oklahoma staff annually files a review and audit of electric and gas utilities fuel cost adjustments in Oklahoma. The staff is currently auditing OG&E for calendar year 2006. The staff and other parties will file direct testimony on May 15, OG&E will file a responsive testimony if necessary on June 19, and rebuttal testimony is scheduled to be filed on July 17. The hearing is scheduled for August 21. I think it's good to note that during our last three commission audits, 2003, 2004 and 2005, there have been no challenges to the cost that passed through the clause and no refunds. Back to you Jim.