Earnings Labs

OGE Energy Corp. (OGE)

Q4 2019 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 27, 2020

$47.43

-0.34%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by and welcome to the Q4 2019 OGE Energy earnings conference call. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speaker presentation, there will be a question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions]. I will now like to hand the conference over to your host, Todd Tidwell. Sir, please go ahead.

Todd Tidwell

Analyst

Thank you Lateef. Good morning everyone and welcome to OGE Energy Corp's fourth quarter 2019 earnings call. I am Todd Tidwell, Director of Investor Relations. And with me today I have Sean Trauschke, Chairman, President and CEO of OGE Energy Corp and Steve Merrill, CFO of OGE Energy Corp. In terms of the call today, we will first hear from Sean, followed by an explanation from Steve of the year-end and fourth quarter results and finally, as always, we will answer your questions. I would like to remind you that this conference is being webcast and you may follow along on our website at ogeenergy.com. In addition, the conference call and accompanying slides will be archived following the call on that same website. Before we begin the presentation, I would like to direct your attention to the Safe Harbor statement regarding forward-looking financial statements. This is an SEC requirement for financial statements and simply states that we cannot guarantee forward-looking financial results but this is our best estimate to-date. I would also like to remind you that there is a Reg G reconciliation for gross margin in the appendix. I will now turn the call over to Sean Trauschke for his opening comments. Sean?

Sean Trauschke

Analyst

Thank you Todd. Good morning everyone and thank you for joining us on today's call. Earlier this morning, we reported 2019 consolidated earnings of $2.16 per share compared to a $2.12 per share last year. This includes earnings at the utility of $1.74, well above our initial 2019 midpoint of $1.58 per share. Steve will discuss the details of our full year earnings and the fourth quarter in a moment, but first I would like to spend a few minutes talking about our 2019 accomplishments and areas of focus for 2020. I do want to begin by congratulating everyone at the company on another successful year around safety. Our members consistently demonstrate their commitment to a culture of excellence as they work towards achieving an incident and injury free workplace. Their efforts in 2019 continued our trend of the last four years, being the four safest years in our company's history. Well done. Speaking of history, we are celebrating our 118th anniversary today. As we begin this new year and new decade, we honor those who came before us as we embark on a new chapter in our company's history. Emerging from the completion of our decade-long journey of environmental compliance investments, we now look to the future growth of our company through the lens of three priorities, growing our business, growing our communities and growing the capabilities of our employees. The integration of our River Valley and Frontier power plants continues at an excellent pace. These plants are saving our customers money. They are having a positive economic impact on the communities where they are located and we continue to enhance operations, improve efficiency and lower emissions at these plants. Now, we grow our business by enhancing the customer experience. We do this in a variety of ways. The…

Steve Merrill

Analyst

Thanks Sean and good morning everyone. For the fourth quarter, we reported net income of $35 million or $0.18 per share as compared to net income of $55 million for $0.27 per share in 2018. The contribution by business unit on a comparative basis is listed on the slide. For the full year 2019, we reported earnings of $434 million or $2.16 per share as compared to net income of $426 million or $2.12 per share in 2018. At OG&E, net income for the quarter was $29 million or $0.15 per share as compared to net income of $21 million or $0.10 per share in 2018. For the quarter, gross margin increased $28 million primarily due to the addition of environmental assets River Valley and the Frontier plants resulting in considerable savings to our customers. O&M was flat for the quarter and actually down on the per customer basis. Depreciation expense increased by $13 million for the quarter due to additional plant and service primarily associated with generation assets. Net other income decreased $8 million due to lower AFUDC and the tax gross up related to the completion of the environmental projects. Finally, income tax expense decreased $2 million primarily due to an increase in the amortization of net refundable deferred taxes and higher tax credits. Now turning to the full year at OG&E. Net income for the year was $350 million or $1.74 per share as compared to net income of $328 million or $1.64 per share in 2018. Gross margin for 2019 increased $67 million, which I will discuss on the next slide. Looking at the key drivers for the year, they are very similar to the quarter. O&M increased $19 million primarily due to new expenses related to the River Valley power plant, which has a margin…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from the line of Julien Dumoulin-Smith of Bank of America. Your line is open.

Sean Trauschke

Analyst

Hello?

Richie Ciciarelli

Analyst

Hi. This is Richie. Can you hear me?

Sean Trauschke

Analyst

Hi Richie, it's Sean. Good morning. How are you today?

Richie Ciciarelli

Analyst

Hi. Good morning. Doing well.

Sean Trauschke

Analyst

Good.

Richie Ciciarelli

Analyst

Just had a quick question for you. You are pointing to the low-end now for Enable guidance. Enable's management recently came out with saying essentially they needed to see like a rebound in commodity prices to get to the midpoint of their guidance range. I was just curious, how you are feeling about the Enable distribution now? And if there was any potential cut in the distribution, how would that impact your balance sheet, i.e. could you absorb any potential cash flow impact or would you look to expand the FFO to debt metrics?

Steve Merrill

Analyst

Thanks Richie. Thanks for the question. Their guidance supports a 1:3 coverage ratio. So if you back in and do the math, that's a roughly $160 million of cash cushion there. So we feel very good about the distribution in that regard. As far as the distribution cut, we don't see it but we have said many times, if Enable cut the distribution 10%, that would be $14 million to us. That's not going to move the needle in our credit metrics, as an example.

Richie Ciciarelli

Analyst

Okay. That's very helpful.

Steve Merrill

Analyst

Okay. But look, that 1:3 coverage is really strong and that cash cushion they have, that's why when we created Enable, we built the balance sheet to be strong to weather environment like this. They are built for the long term.

Richie Ciciarelli

Analyst

Got it. That makes a lot of sense. And then separately, I was just curious on the utility growth outlook, 4% to 6%. Should we be using the new 2020 guide at OG&E or still the 2019 base after you adjust out weather and normalize that for other one-time items?

Steve Merrill

Analyst

Yes. Richie, a clean number for 2019 that we would use as our base for growth is $1.65. So given where our midpoint of our guidance is, that's 6% growth rate from 2019 to 2020.

Richie Ciciarelli

Analyst

Got it. That's very helpful. And then just last one on the grid mod rider or excuse me, the enhanced recovery mechanism in Oklahoma. Just curious how much regulatory lag could that potentially mitigate if that were to be approved?

Steve Merrill

Analyst

Yes. It will basically mitigate all of it because these projects are short term in nature and we would go in each quarter with those projects that have been completed and then rates would go into place within 30 days after a commission review. So at the most, 30 days of lag associated with each quarter's completed investments.

Richie Ciciarelli

Analyst

All right. Thank you. That's very helpful.

Sean Trauschke

Analyst

Thanks Richie. Have a great day.

Richie Ciciarelli

Analyst

You too. Take care.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Our next question comes from the line of Vedula Murti of Avon Capital. Your line is open.

Vedula Murti

Analyst

Hi. Good morning Sean.

Sean Trauschke

Analyst

Hi. Good morning Vedula. How are you?

Vedula Murti

Analyst

Hi. I am okay. Just so I understand this regulatory mechanism, has this been approved or is this already part of our some statute that already exists that you will be applying these expenditures to? Can you explain it to me a little bit more? And whether there is any regulatory steps that need to occur prior to initiating this?

Sean Trauschke

Analyst

Yes. So, a good question. So this has been a very constructive and thoughtful process of partnership really that we have had with the commission and customers and the staff laying out this framework. So we made this filing. We will go through the normal customer hearings. And we have filed testimony. The commission held a public meeting where we could kind of talk about the attributes of these investments we are talking about here. So we would expect an order later this year to approve this mechanism for us. And to your other question, we are not expecting, we don't need any other regulatory approvals or anything like that. This is just what I would characterize as normal course.

Vedula Murti

Analyst

So this will be principally a 2021 and ongoing effect?

Sean Trauschke

Analyst

Yes. This has a bigger impact in 2021. We certainly want to get this done this year and get starting, get mobilized. But yes, this is a 2021 impact.

Vedula Murti

Analyst

Is there procedural schedule in terms of accomodation --

Sean Trauschke

Analyst

Yes. Not at this time, not yet.

Vedula Murti

Analyst

Okay. Thank you.

Sean Trauschke

Analyst

Thanks Vedula. Have a great day.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Anthony Crowdell of Mizuho. Your line is open.

Anthony Crowdell

Analyst

Hi. Good morning Sean. Good morning Steve.

Sean Trauschke

Analyst

Hi Anthony. Good morning.

Steve Merrill

Analyst

Good morning Anthony.

Anthony Crowdell

Analyst

Hopefully, easy question. Just if I wanted to, I guess, dig deeper into the write-down, one is, you are including that in your operating number, any chance why you are didn't exclude and I believe that some of the reason you wrote it down was lower commodity prices. If commodity prices rebound, do you then mark that back up?

Steve Merrill

Analyst

You don't. This was really goodwill at Enable, which the way the accounting rules work now, you don't amortize goodwill. It just sits there. So now that it has being written off, it's gone. It will have no future impact on a go-forward basis. So there is not a ride up that would occur if commodities rebound.

Anthony Crowdell

Analyst

Any reason you guys didn't back that out of your earnings number, like an ongoing number?

Steve Merrill

Analyst

Well, we called it out but the SEC is really cracking down on non-GAAP items and that's considered a non-GAAP item when we back that out. So we just chose to at least highlight it, but not report that as a special item.

Anthony Crowdell

Analyst

Great. Thanks for taking my question.

Sean Trauschke

Analyst

Thanks Anthony.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. At this time, I would like to turn the call back over to Sean Trauschke for closing remarks. Sir?

Sean Trauschke

Analyst

Thank you Lateef. Thank you all for your interest in OG Energy Corp and for being on the call today. Have a great day.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.