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Organigram Global Inc. (OGI)

Q3 2019 Earnings Call· Mon, Jul 15, 2019

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to Organigram Holdings Inc.'s Third Quarter 2019 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] a reminder, this conference call is being recorded and a replay will be available on Organigram's website. At this time, I'd like to introduce Amy Schwalm, Vice President, Investor Relations. Ms. Schwalm.

Amy Schwalm

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Joining me today are Organigram's Chief Executive Officer, Greg Engel; and Chief Financial Officer, Paolo De Luca. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that today's call will include estimates and other forward-looking information from which our actual results could differ. Please review the cautionary language in today's earnings report regarding various factors, assumptions and risks that could cause our actual results to differ. Further, during this call, we will refer to certain non-IFRS financial measures. These measures do not have any standardized meaning under IFRS and our approach in calculating these measures may differ from that of our other issuers, and so these measures will not be directly comparable. Please see today's earnings report for more information about these measures. I will now hand the call over to Greg.

Greg Engel

Analyst

Thanks, Amy. Good morning, and thank you for joining today's call. This morning we reported results for our third quarter ended May 2019. I'll begin with some comments on Q3 as well as some macro views on the space and a discussion on our outlook, and why we're extremely excited about Organigram's prospects and those of the industry. Paula will discuss the results in more detail as well as our balance sheet strength, then the operator will open up the call for your questions. In Q3, we delivered another quarter of strong sales, and just as importantly, we delivered positive adjusted EBITDA for the fourth quarter in a row. With our strong top line and market share translate into positive adjusted EBITDA, we believe we have continued to differentiate ourselves from our peers. Our focus remains on building a sustainable business that generates attractive return on investment for shareholders in the short term as well as the long term. We made progress on a number of other fronts worth highlighting on Slide 3. We are now selling our products coast-to-coast as one of only 4 Canadian LPs with distribution in all 10 provinces. Our Phase 4 expansion is coming on very well and the last phase of Phase 4, which is 4c, is expected to be completed in December. We received Health Canada approval for all Phase 4a grow rooms, which currently puts us that 61,000 kilograms per year of license capacity, almost double the license capacity we had last quarter. We anticipate harvesting from the first grow rooms in Phase 4a before the end of July. We’ve also already submitted the initial 17 of our 33 Phase 4b rooms in June. Phase 4b in total will add approximately 28,000 kilograms per year and the remaining 16 4b rooms are…

Paolo De Luca

Analyst

Thanks, Greg. Q3 net revenue was $24.8 million from approximately 3,926 kilograms of dried flower and approximately 5,090 liters of oil sold. It was comprised of $21.8 million in rec sales and $2.8 million in medical sales with a negligible amount coming from other items. Q3 contributed $64.1 million in net revenue year-to-date for the 9 months ending May 31, 2019. Q3 net revenue declined slightly from Q2, mainly due to the timing of initial shipments to Quebec that occurred subsequent to Q3 quarter end and a large pipeline fill to Ontario in Q2 of fiscal 2019, which was not matched by recurring orders in Q3 of fiscal 2019 and fewer reorders from British Columbia on account of its unique market conditions. As Greg mentioned, we expect Ontario to do another pipeline fill in August or September ahead of the next 50 store openings slated for early October. Most of our Québec sales that started in Q4 are directly into the retail stores themselves, and there is no pipeline sale that has experienced like there is for province like Ontario, which uses a centralized wholesale distribution model. Ontario, where the majority of sales are now being conducted in physical retail stores, will in the infancy stages of direct market, have more "lumpiness" in terms of sales patterns as it prefers large warehouse pipeline fill orders and has placed caps on retail store drawdowns to ensure ongoing availability of supply to the stores. We understand why Ontario has taken this approach and are working with the province and the stores to help the business flourish in the long run. We expect that as the retail distribution points increase, not only in Ontario but nationally, that smoother and more predictable sales patterns will emerge. On the cost side, our Q3 cash and…

Greg Engel

Analyst

Thanks, Paolo. There is no question we're excited about the future, we often -- and we often get asked about our plans and when is the time that supply meets demand in the Canadian market. First, we believe the U.S. and international markets represent tremendous opportunities, particularly the CBD market. And we absolutely plan to further participate in these markets subject to compliance with applicable laws with harder work on this opportunity. Again, our priority is to deploy disciplined capital allocation with a focus on achieving sustainable and attractive return on investment for our shareholders. Over the next while, the Canadian market represents significant growth opportunity. Supply will meet demand one day. We're confident in our strategy is designed to not only maintain but grow value for shareholders. Our indoor facility means we produce high-quality dried flower, which has seen very little price compression in mature U.S. markets, and our investment in biosynthesis is expected in the future to offer us access to the input materials for derivatives and edibles at a fraction of the cost of traditional cultivation. In fact, biosynthesis has many advantages over traditional cultivation, particularly that of outdoor cultivation and greenhouses. These include reduced operating and capital costs, scalable, consistent, superior purity and quality of product, a smaller environmental footprint and the ability to meet even more rigorous standards of CPG and pharma. In closing, I'd like to thank Organigram team for their significant efforts in delivery to date and preparations for the next exciting chapter in our industry. That concludes my formal remarks. Operator, if you could go ahead and open up the line for questions.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Oliver Rowe with Scotiabank.

Oliver Rowe

Analyst

On the operational side, sales pulled back despite overall industry sales increasing, so that's sort of implying a declining market share. Could you help us separate the temporary impact in the quarter in terms of from Québec and BC from a general increase in market competitiveness? And I guess, if you expect to regain that market share in the coming quarters?

Greg Engel

Analyst

Yes. Thanks for the question, Oliver. So I think you have to look at kind of in totality across the Canadian market. We were seeing significant growth as alluded to in both Alberta and Atlantic Canada and Ontario has a significant part of the market. While sales into Ontario were lower in Q3 versus Q2 because of the pipeline fill, it doesn't necessarily mean there was a shift in market share because they have been and continue to be working through -- as you know, they have a cap of 25 kilos per store per week. And so they're working through part of that pipeline build. So don't have necessarily a market share number kind of nationally, but I wouldn't look at kind of in-bound pipeline fill, and then uptake. You have to consider what's happening as that product gets worked through. So in the majority of markets and then again, in Québec, after the quarter, so again that's a new market for us going forward.

Oliver Rowe

Analyst

Right. That make sense. You mentioned an interest in U.S. and international CBD markets. Could you maybe just update us on your serving in hemp play, and if we should expect to see some more M&A or developments in Europe to facilitate that market? And then maybe just high-level thoughts on what your U.S. CBD road map might look like?

Greg Engel

Analyst

Yes. So our investment in Indiana continues to progress. So certainly, as we've made aware before, they've been harvesting hemp -- high CBD content hemp in both Croatia and Serbia the last 3 years. They have had a pinch point in extraction, building out their own internal extraction. So they are looking to outsource some of that. They don't have current capacity to use all the hemp that they produce. So we're looking to assist them in that process by finding another third-party to help get through that, and then we're looking to access that CBD to further expand our efforts. We do also have an investment now for cannabis in Germany, which has a synthetic CBD on the market in Germany right now, through up to 5,000 pharmacies based on their distribution agreement. But we are looking at other opportunities. We see the kind of nutraceutical health and wellness side of CBD in Europe as a significant market opportunity. In the U.S., we're very actively looking at what the opportunities presents from a CBD perspective. We are not necessarily looking to be a cultivator. We're seeing kind of already pricing compression happening on the hemp side in the U.S., but we want to play at some point in the value chain. And it really comes down to what the regulations are going to look like. I mean we certainly have been following the activity, the FDA. We have seen recently some restrictions like in New York State to clamp down on the use of kind of oral consumption products, and that certainly was one of the key aspects that the FDA highlighted in their public hearings back at the end of May. And so we're very much focused on looking at what other -- how can we participate as the regulations evolve there. So nothing in place today, but we're certainly looking at a number of different opportunities.

Operator

Operator

Graeme Kreindler with Eight Capital.

Graeme Kreindler

Analyst

I just wanted to get some more color. I appreciate the commentary around the Québec shipments and the Ontario pipeline fill. I was just wondering, considering the harvest for OGI declined quarter-over-quarter, I know there is a significant amount of inventory on the balance sheet right now. But will this have any knock-on effects in terms of product available-for-sale or volumes available-for-sale in the fourth quarter?

Greg Engel

Analyst

No. I mean, what we -- again, it did have -- and maybe I'll add a bit more color to the MD&A. So we did -- the change that we did make in terms of our processes was, we did a small scale pilot study to look at some taking clones from flower -- plants and flower versus plants that we have specifically designated for vegetative growth. We're unlike other companies where we don't clone from other plants, we actually clone from veg. The pilot scale study was very promising. So as we expanded to larger scale, we didn't see that play out in a positive manner, so we reverted back. So certainly as we alluded to before the end of Q3 and certainly, in all of Q4 to date, we're seeing back to our historical levels of production. So as we said, with the inventory level that we have, certainly, it should not have impact on our ability to kind of meet the market demand. We expect Ontario, for example, to do another pipeline fill at some point in August or September, and certainly, as they prepare for the additional 50 stores to come online.

Graeme Kreindler

Analyst

Okay. And as a follow-up there, I know the press release mentioned having some lower cannabinoid content in the product that was harvested. So could there be any knock-on effects? I know your pricing was relative flat quarter-over-quarter. But could that potentially impact pricing moving forward for some of that inventory?

Greg Engel

Analyst

No. I mean so we -- what we commented on was the fact that our actual cannabinoid levels are increasing. So we feel that we've come to kind of a great balance now of cultivation and yield in conjunction with higher cannabinoid levels, right? So that's kind of in the shift. So it wasn't that in the past quarter we had lower cannabinoid levels, it was that in the current -- in Q4 and the end of Q3, we were going to higher than historical cannabinoid levels, which should have a positive impact.

Graeme Kreindler

Analyst

Okay.

Paolo De Luca

Analyst

Yes, Graeme. It's Paolo here. In fact, if you -- we keep -- we're all keeping track of all of these particulars. Where we are right now in terms of our harvest, we're getting probably the best yields and cannabinoid levels that we've ever had at the same time. Like we've had instances where we had higher yields, and we've had instances of higher cannabinoid levels, but this is -- at this point in time, the harvest that we're getting off our facility now are the best of both worlds that we've ever had, kind of hitting on both cylinders.

Operator

Operator

David Kideckel with AltaCorp Capital.

David Kideckel

Analyst

Congratulations on the quarter everybody. Just have a couple questions here. I want to kick it off first with your -- the potential U.S. and international strategy here. So first, just understanding the U.S. and CBD and hemp in particular, that the U.S. is going to be a strategic importance to OGI. Would you be considering using the CBD from hemp? Or would this be CBD from cannabis, altogether, just to remain compliant with U.S. law?

Greg Engel

Analyst

Yes. So again our focus as it is, we're not looking at this point to be a hemp cultivator or producer. We've seen some other companies make that decision in the U.S. So we would be very much focused on CBD from hemp for the United States market because that's what the farm act and what we're seeing the regulations allow. I think David, you and I've spoken about this before, where we see future opportunity is certainly biosynthesis as an input material for many products there, and even to the point where as Hyasynth continues to kind of build out their expertise, this actually potentially put a biosynthesis facility somewhere in the United States to produce within that jurisdiction for use of product for to export from Canada into the U.S. from biosynthetic CBD. So it's a combination of both.

David Kideckel

Analyst

Okay. That's actually very helpful. So that actually was going to lead me into my next question, Greg, with respect to Hyasynth. So U.S. is on Hyasynth's radar then just from a distribution and R&D standpoint. Should we be thinking about Hyasynth now is more of an international play, not just solely Canadian?

Greg Engel

Analyst

Yes. I think Hyasynth presents a tremendous number of opportunities, right? If you think about biosynthetic production of CBD or THC or other minor cannabinoids that have synthesized THCB and CBDV, that lends itself very well to a more traditional CPG or beverage-alcohol company looking for a kind of pure ongoing input material. It also lends itself to potential opportunities from pharmaceutical companies. We know that there has been interest in pharma companies looking at cannabinoids in general, but one of the challenges they face to date is accessing them from plant-derived material, and biosynthesis is really kind of in the bailiwick of what pharma companies do and many companies are producing products today through biosynthesis, so they're familiar from it. And I think this would present an unique way to produce potentially pharmaceutical and unique pharmaceutical products with a combination of major and minor cannabinoids in the future.

David Kideckel

Analyst

Okay. That's great. My last question, and then I'll get back in the queue. Is there any -- so how should we be thinking about -- Paolo, as you're mentioning earlier on the call about gross margins for the next quarter. Should we be thinking that gross margins will stay in this range? Or due to the sort of temporary, I guess, protocol changes and other changes that occurred in the quarter, you expect margins to improve for the next Q4?

Paolo De Luca

Analyst

So for Q4, I wouldn't make a call either up or down just because Q4 the visibility on export duty dependent on the pharma sales effect of whether we get the pipeline fills and so forth. I think certainly for fiscal 2020, the first couple of quarters there where we're still selling dried flower and oil and potentially also vape pen, I would expect our efficiencies to definitely improve because our cost of cultivation is going to be back to where it was before, and certainly, our staffing, I think, I mentioned to this on the call, I think this is a important metric that people should be looking at peers as well, what's your revenue per full-time employee going to be in a more mature market? We have enough staffing now to handle almost all our growth, and so we have the benefit of even improving upon that with automation and so forth. But right now, we're really -- we're staffed up to be responsive to purchase orders -- the large purchase orders that come in, and so we made the sacrifice to capture sales, which -- we're one of the leaders in sales since Rec has been launched and those efficiencies will definitely come I think starting in Q1 and Q2 of next year.

Greg Engel

Analyst

Yes. Maybe just add a little more color to that, Paolo, is because previously in the past, we had mentioned that if you kind of asked this question about 6 months ago, what our staffing needs would be when we're fully built out, and we were talking of a number of 1,000 employees. So based on the continuous improvement projects and the amount of automation we brought in, we certainly believe that we're now only going to need 850, which only would be an additional just over 150 employees from our current base, even though our production capacity is still going to more than double where it is today and we've got new forms. We'd just continue to add to automation systems and improve kind of what we're doing on a day-to-day operation basis, so -- which again should contribute to us from a costing basis.

Paolo De Luca

Analyst

Yes. I mean from our perspective, we realize we still haven't hit our peak efficiency. We still haven't hit our peak economies of scale, and yet, we're still showing positive EBITDA margin. And we're in a market -- we're delivering in a market right now that's not matured from a retail perspective, like we haven't been in Québec, Ontario is a largest province, it needs more retail stores. I think everybody realizes that, and we haven't even done Rec 2.0 which represents 50% of the market. So we're excited that we're able to generate margin now, positive EBITDA margin now, and I think that bodes well for us in the future with these opportunities and both on -- from our perspective on the efficiencies and from the market that will organically grow because of the realization of Rec 2.0, and obviously the increase in retail end points.

Operator

Operator

Tamy Chen with BMO Capital Markets.

Tamy Chen

Analyst

My First question is, just wanted to get an update on Ontario. So are they still implementing that retail allocation? Have they ordered a bit more ahead of the August pipeline fill? Or is it still just you are not expecting much until that big August pipeline fill comes in again?

Greg Engel

Analyst

Yes. So what they've been doing, Tamy, and thanks for the question is, so they do have this 25-kilo max on a weekly basis. They did expand and put 3 products outside of that max. We have one of those SKUs, so that are included outside of that, so our Trailblazer product is not under the 25-kilo cap. So that does give us an opportunity to sell product in. Depending on the SKUs, they have been refilling some, but what they're looking for, again, is, they've got sufficient inventory. When you actually look at kind of their warehouse and inventory numbers, they are concerned about not running out of inventory, but they certainly have many, many weeks of inventory right now with the exception of a few SKUs across a few companies. So they will be placing, they tend to want to kind of in advance of stores coming online to get that large pipeline fill to expand their warehouse capacity. So we expect to see that in August or September, which again could have something that impacts our quarter based on our Q4 ending at the end of August, right? So as the order goes in August, we're preparing hopefully and optimistically to get it out before the end of August, but it's depending upon them.

Tamy Chen

Analyst

Okay. And my second question is, I was wondering if you could give more insights to the Alberta market, the only province really have been more aggressive on retail store openings. And it looks like for this quarter, your volume still was basically flat from the prior quarter. I would have thought that notwithstanding the issues in Ontario and the timing in Quebec, just given where Alberta has been doing with their store rollout, that it should still -- it still should have contributed to some level of sequential growth. So can you talk a bit about that market?

Paolo De Luca

Analyst

Yes. So I mean certainly for us, Alberta is a significant growth. Quarter-over-quarter, we almost doubled our sales in Alberta to the Alberta kind of to the AGLC. So certainly, Alberta and the Atlantic Canada provinces, we've seen consistent growth kind of quarter-over-quarter. But again, Ontario with such a large pipeline fill had such an impact of -- not in Q2, not having that replenishment in Q3 had an impact. So while Alberta, Atlantic Canada grew, Manitoba grew for us as well. And we see that right now Alberta is adding -- originally, they were going to add 10 stores per week. The last couple of weeks, they've added 20 per week. I think the one thing we didn't highlight in any detail here is British Columbia. BC market has been more challenging. They are just now adding some additional stores. But what we're seeing in British Columbia is that -- so for unique form factors, good success there, but for dried flower that is a market that's challenging to penetrate. So BC sales for dried flower are limited due to the kind of unique nature of the marketplace, and this is consistent across every company, right? I mean people are selling, we're selling certainly pre-rolls into their companies and oils, but certainly, companies that have capsules as well those are doing well, but dried flower is still very limited in BC through the retail source.

Tamy Chen

Analyst

Okay. And just to confirm in Alberta, you mentioned -- so for example, in Ontario, you've got the centralized buy and so it causes some of the lumpiness. Does Alberta function like that at all?

Greg Engel

Analyst

They do because their throughput is so high, they're ordering on a more consistent basis. So because now with over 150 stores, what we're seeing is weekly orders out of Alberta, right? So they've got a bigger store population to fill, whereas, Ontario made a decision to build a big inventory in their warehouse and then slowly work through that. Alberta is replenishing on an ongoing basis.

Tamy Chen

Analyst

Okay.

Paolo De Luca

Analyst

So Tamy, we view Alberta as where Ontario will be, and that gives a lot of optimism obviously because it's a more smoothly functioning market at this point in time, and so that because -- even though it's a smaller market, we're actually getting more growth in Alberta, and therefore, when Ontario kind of starts to match the retail endpoints, we did the same type of growth in Ontario.

Tamy Chen

Analyst

Got it. Okay. And my last question is just back on the gross margin, it sounded like in the prior answers to the prior question that in fiscal Q4, that some of these headwinds may not be fully through. Am I hearing that correctly?

Greg Engel

Analyst

Yes. So and it has -- a lot of it has to do with like our cash cost or cultivation costs are just one component of the mix, right? So we're running right now what I'll call -- and we're doing this for a strategic reasons. We're running with a suboptimally inefficient labor pool because we want to be ready for the increased volumes that come out. So by the end of July, in a couple weeks here, we're investing from Phase 4a. We've gone from 36,000 kilos to 51,000 kilos above annual targeted production. So we can't just displace the labor pool and then bring them back. So we have that labor pool. And once that apparatus is working on a larger volume of products, which is going to be short fully, we're going to see those cost come down again. So I think, our quarter end or year-end is August 31. I think it would be reasonable to assume that we have these kind of -- these margins kind of -- slight compression in margins for Q4, but I would expect Q1 and Q2 definitely for it to go back to very attractive levels.

Operator

Operator

Matt Bottomley with Canaccord.

Matt Bottomley

Analyst

A lot of mine have been answered. Just wanted to stay on the cultivation side, and apologies if you did go into some details last earnings call. But when it comes to the -- what you call, the change in growing protocols, can you just give a little further color? Is that something that which changed wholesale in the facility where the cost -- or where the margin pressure was felt this quarter? Or is it something more transient and just part of your facility that you had to change?

Greg Engel

Analyst

Yes. So as I alluded to earlier about, we made a -- we did a pilot study on a small number of rooms where we -- if you recall, our technique is very different than other companies. We don't clone from others. We actually overproduce vegetative plants specifically to clone from them, so that we get a much healthier and vibrant clone. So we did a trial to see when we go through and trim on flower plants on the early part of their flowing cycle, whether or not we could use that for cloning, it would improve efficiency, it would reduce the number of vegetative plants we have to produce. So the early trials were very positive and directionally gave us comfort to say we could go -- we could do this on a broader scale. So we did move to that change. And what we saw is that, that trial may have been very unique to a couple of strains there we could successfully do that with. So when we did roll it out, and we picked up kind of the challenge within a number of weeks. But as you can imagine that we had already planted a significant number of rooms with that revised technique and then for us to revert back to cloning from veg took some time to do. So certainly what we saw is, well before the end of Q3 and certainly, all of Q4, we are back at historical yield levels that we kind of pride ourselves on, and with some of the other changes we've made, we're also seeing really high and positive cannabinoid levels for us. So it was a test we did. The early trial looked promising. When we used it kind of broadly across most strains, it didn't give us the results we wanted. It had a pretty significant impact on kind of the vibrancy and the yields from those plants. But you have to make a decision 4 weeks into the life cycle of a plant, do you destroy it and start from scratch? Or do you see it through its growth cycle? It still had good dissent results, but certainly not what we historically expected. So that was why you saw a big impact on cost of cultivation and also that did impact our biological assets as well.

Paolo De Luca

Analyst

Matt -- and yes, we keep -- we all keep track of the harvest very carefully, and I could tell you this, the last 30 harvests, not only are they back to normal levels, the cannabinoid profile is excellent. And what I take a lot of comfort in is the range of distribution on the yields we get for harvest is very narrow, which tells me that we really locked the predictability of the yield, so we're very, very confident on the yields going forward and excited to have new rooms coming on, getting harvested in a couple of weeks.

Matt Bottomley

Analyst

Great. Just wanted to move to sort of the cannabis 2.0 side of things. So given your commentary over really trying to get hit the ground running here with vape pens and chocolate edibles. In both of those categories, are you able to tell us what you are able to inventory in advance of -- let's say, assuming everything goes out the door or some sales start in mid-December, that might presume that you have to ship at the end of November. What are you able to do today? I imagine you've got empty vape pens but in both of those categories in order to get ahead and potentially start with a leading share in those categories?

Greg Engel

Analyst

Yes. So I mean we can't specifically say what amount product internally we'll have. So certainly between PAX there and Feather as well as the traditional value 5/10 cartridge, we have or will have shortly kind of significant inventory of all the equipment and filling and the kind of pods and/or pens. We do have, however, significant inventory concentrate, right? So one of the key things when you look at our MD&A, one of the things we highlight is a very big shift from material for extraction. We already have at the end of the quarter, and this trend has continued, 312 kilos of 70% concentrate cannabinoid, so -- and again, we're working through additional material, both internally and with Valens. So we've got a lot of concentrate material that will help us kind of be prepared. So we will definitely be in a position to have a range of vaporizable products for the December launch. What still to be determined, as you said, Matt is, whether or not we'll be able to ship those in November into the retail chain or we have to wait until December. We really don't know yet from Health Canada. Even though we know, there is a 60 day notice. One comment I would make is, we actually today submitted all of our product forms for Rec 2.0. We wanted to be in the queue for the review cycle, so today was the first day as companies could do that, so we've already made those submissions this morning. And then for chocolates and the powdered beverages, so we want to have sufficient inventory before we launch those products. So I don't expect us to launch chocolates until January at the earliest, and I think that is going to be very much dependent on how much inventory we have. One of the things we've talked a lot about before is it doesn't do any good to kind of have intermittent supply in the market. So -- but I mean, the good news is our equipment is capable of producing very high large volume throughput. This is the same type of equipment you would see in some of the largest chocolate facilities in the world. And as we're building up extract material, so we expect to build through all of our backlog in the material before the end of the year between both internal resources and external resources.

Paolo De Luca

Analyst

Greg, just some color on the concentrate. Obviously I think you're probably aware, but just for some of listeners, 312 kilograms may not sound like much like, but when you're putting 10-milligrams into a chocolate, you can produce millions of units, right? And even for vape pens where you're putting, call it, 250-milligrams or 500-milligrams of cannabinoid concentrate, those are big numbers we can try by concentrate, and we have more of that coming.

Matt Bottomley

Analyst

Understood. And then lastly, just staying on this topic though, in terms of the infused beverage or potential infused beverage market, do you have a -- where on your priority list is potentially securing a big alcohol partner, if at all, if that's sort of on your radar right now?

Greg Engel

Analyst

Yes. So we're -- we've been very public and we're actively seeking, so either a CPG partners that's looking to do CBD beverages or a big alcohol company that's looking to THC infused beverages, which is why we've done the work on our liquid formulation as well as our partners with biosynthesis. So definitely, high in our list. Certainly something management is spending significant amount of time on. What it is really dependent upon is the status of those potential partners, right? What we have seen in discussions with potential partners is kind of varying levels of commitments where they seem to move close to making a decision and then kind of go back as they're looking because you have to consider these are global companies and they have to look at global implications. These types of decisions have to go to the -- through their boards and have to be reviewed by legal and compliance and a lot of various like that, so definitely a key aspect. We're focused on, but certainly nothing to announce at this point. And just make one additional comment. The reason we're excited about our powdered beverage, I think, the powdered beverage formulation is one that in our discussions for those of you on the call that are aware of this, the provinces over the last few weeks have been doing product calls. They've been asking for companies for a full broad ranges of products and commitments and pricing. As far as we have seen in any of those discussions, we're the only company and we've got this feedback to have a powdered beverage option. And I think what the uniqueness of that option is, you're creating an input materials that people could choose to make the beverage of their choice and to consume at the time that they want to. Certainly big savings for us in terms of shipping costs, production, labeling cost, but also for the retail stores. I think one of the challenges some of the other beverage companies are going to have is securing sufficient space within a retail environment. Many of these locations were not built out with the consideration to have refrigeration and/or large storage for kind of the volume that beverage products are going to take. I mean edibles in and of themselves are going to be a whole new SKU range in a lot of products, but -- so having that kind of discretionary package and small-volume package that people can create any beverage they want, that's going to be fast acting as a big advantage.

Paolo De Luca

Analyst

Yes. We're going to fill the rum, not the rum and coke.

Operator

Operator

Greg McLeish with Mackie Research Capital.

Greg McLeish

Analyst

Just a couple of questions. Given CannTrust issues that they had last week, do you think that there is an ability for you to gain market share from the fact that they have had product pulled from OCS, and also the ability to potentially poach some of their large patient base of medical clients?

Greg Engel

Analyst

Yes. It's a great question, Greg. So I think, certainly, we've already seen some inbounds from provincial authorities asking us about additional product availability with what we've seen with CannTrust decisions that are being made. I think, certainly, from a patient perspective, the last report I saw is that they have 72,000 patients. We have been seen as a company a pretty ongoing, steady shift of patients converting over to us from other licensed producers. And I think this goes back to the Rec launch in the fall. We were one of the companies that made a very firm commitment to supplying our medical patient population base and have always consistently have product available for them, whereas other companies had issues and had infrequent available of products. But that being said, we would not necessarily be in a position to take on an additional couple -- tens of thousands of new patients at this time, just in terms of product allocation. We can certainly gradually take on new patients, and we already are starting to see some of the companies (technical Difficultly].

Greg McLeish

Analyst

Right. And on a -- just on a macro basis, do you think that Health Canada will do a disservice to the industry if they don't permanently revoke CannTrust's licenses?

Greg Engel

Analyst

It's a interesting question. I can't necessarily comment on their decision-making. I think what we have seen in the past, with belief was the decision that was made there with product that was brought in from the black market maybe indicative of what we may or may not seek here, but I can't comment on what Health Canada is going to do. I think one of the things that I would highlight though is we're seeing a transition in the industry right now. I think one of the key things that we have seen with over the years and I guess I look back and it started with when I joined Organigram is, a transition from pen founders as leaders and CEOs of companies to bringing in kind of different people that have experience in building and growing companies or running and operating successful companies. And that transition continues right now. Certainly we saw that with Canopy, with the recent change and -- but I think that what is hearkens to is, it's really important that companies have independent governance, and we know that the governance is -- we're really proud of the fact that we have an Independent Chair and a fully independent Board with the exceptional of myself sitting on the Board. That's not necessarily the case of many of the other companies. And I think it's -- or historically was not the case and it did lead to some challenges at those companies. So...

Greg McLeish

Analyst

Right. And just to clarify, that was -- you mentioned belief, but wasn't it bona fide?

Greg Engel

Analyst

Sorry, bona fide, sorry, I apologies. Thank you for clarifying. I appreciate that.

Operator

Operator

Justin Keywood with GMP Securities.

Justin Keywood

Analyst

Given there has been a detailed discussion on the different cost items so far, just more broadly on the key performance indicators of adjusted gross margins and EBITDA, any expected ranges or goals for those metrics in Q4 and going into 2020?

Paolo De Luca

Analyst

Yes. So for Q4, like I would say Q4 more of the same as Q3, but really the eye on the prize for us is 2020 because it's just a bigger market opportunity obviously with Rec 2.0 and obviously with significantly more harvested production coming online for us and obviously the expansion of the retail endpoints across the country. So we would expect our margins actually to revert back to our previous -- or some of the previous numbers that we've achieved. So I think -- I don't think that we -- I think we could beat what we did this quarter, certainly in Q1 and Q2 of next year, and ultimately, longer term is going to be dependent on obviously the way that the Rec 2.0 market develops, what kind of pricing power is available there and the costing and so forth. So we think we have all the tools to be a leader in terms of capturing margin because we have the lowest cost of cultivation and because we have also in terms of biosynthesis an ability to even get better on that as well as to be able to drive efficiencies out of one large facility as opposed to having scattered facilities across the country. And again we're -- because of our indoor quality -- indoor grown high-quality products, we think we can also keep the margin on the flower point of it. There's very few -- very small percentage of the production in Canada that's been grown indoor, and we think that offers a level of consistency and quality that some of the greenhouses can't achieve.

Justin Keywood

Analyst

It's helpful. And I realize it's early for the Rec 2.0, but any indication on what the gross margins could be for these derivative products?

Greg Engel

Analyst

Yes. I think we -- and I mentioned this Justin in the call, I think you have to look at the products very differently between the categories. So for vaporizer pens and that technology, the cannabinoid content is quite high, so then it is dependent upon your cost of cultivation and your extraction throughput and efficiency as well as your ability to fill those products. So that is very much out of -- indicative of the margin will be related to your production cost and your conversion cost. When you move into edible products and beverages, the cannabinoid content is very small fraction of the ending products, so it really comes down to your throughput efficiency. So that's why on chocolates, for example, that we've gone to leading manufacturing equipment that we believe we'll be able to produce products at a very low cost. We become then a consumer packaged goods company and the cost of producing that consumer packaged goods is critical. And so we do know it's one of the aspects of our partnership of the -- with the Green Solution or TGS in Colorado. We do see what their margins are and we know at a lower production level where they're one of the leading providers in Colorado. I believe they have around 9% share in Colorado in total, but they still do things semiautomated versus the automation at a very strong margin. So I think we don't have numbers yet, but we certainly have expectations that certainly our ability to produce those products is going to be a big driver in the margins that we'll receive on those products. But in general, the margins on those products are higher than on dry flower.

Operator

Operator

Alec Patterson with Allianz Global.

Alec Patterson

Analyst

Yes. So I just was hoping to get a little more color on the PAX relationship in terms of would you be the seller of the finished goods or will they be? How does the sort of accounting of the relationship play out in the sales and production and the costing of all that?

Greg Engel

Analyst

Sure. You know, it's a great question, Alec. So the structure with PAX is that they are going to be selling the devices across Canada. They actually have set up an organization here in Canada and they hired a key person from Nova Scotia Liquor Corp to head up as president of the Canadian organization. So what we will be doing is getting the pods from them and filling them, and we will be then selling them to the retail stores. So part of the agreement is the royalty structure based on us filling and supplying those to the marketplace. And so, again, they'll position and make sure there is broad distribution of the PAX Era device and then we'll be selling the pods into the marketplace.

Alec Patterson

Analyst

You're saying the razor blade part of the equation?

Greg Engel

Analyst

Exactly, if you use the disposable razor analogy, certainly.

Alec Patterson

Analyst

And in terms of the size of the market, just wondering if there's any -- about the Canadian market that differentiates it from the templates being laid out in Colorado and Nevada and California, in terms of the percent of the market that the vape market has taken, which I assume your call is around 20% or 30%. So aren't you thinking unique about Canada that's going to impact that scalability?

Greg Engel

Analyst

I think the only thing we're possibly going to see, Alec, is that at the early stages of the launch of Rec 2.0 in Canada is that vaporizer products, I think, will be one of the dominant forces in terms of what's available. Even ourselves we've indicated that we won't be launched -- we won't be launching our chocolates and our powdered beverages till kind of early part of 2020 Q1. So I think you'll see a more dominant position at the time of launch of vaporizable products here. When you look at data from any U.S. state, you're looking at a more mature market with a broad product offering, right? So I think it's going to be a -- it's part of the critical aspect of why we've got a multipronged approach with PAX Era, with Feather and then with also another 5, 10 disposable cartridges. We want to go aggressively into that market because those aren't going to be the really dominant products that are available because the other ones are more complex to produce that scale for companies.

Alec Patterson

Analyst

And just lastly, how do we think about the mix effect of the gross margin structure of value-added products like vape pens? And is there a better way to track the profitability or the trend on the business as you migrate more into these derivative products?

Paolo De Luca

Analyst

It's an excellent question and it's one that we struggle with internally because the market in Canada obviously is unique, in the sense that it's the first kind of market that's legal on this scale. And so what we can only really do is look to what's been done in the U.S. and the information that we can get from our partner there, TGS. And we've seen -- certainly as we mentioned before, we've seen margins on these derivative products, in many cases, to be higher. But having said that, we actually produce the product and establish pricing with our buyers, provinces in the retail stores. It's going to be hard to be conclusive on that. So from our perspective, it's very important to derisk the strategy to make sure that you can execute and get listings, that's very, very important to make sure we can capture market share, and also to produce, obviously, a high-quality product and that's why we've invested in the machinery that we have and the team that we have and made the partnership with someone like PAX. But also on the cost side, it's important that we have -- we drive economies of scale and that we are focused on a couple of product lines and not try to be in every single product line out there. So vape pens is obviously the biggest component of the Rec 2.0 market and edible the second. And that's why we're not really chasing beverages. We're not in a hurry to rush to capture what in the U.S. is a very small market. And admittedly, it will be a bigger market probably in Canada once it's done a bit better. So for us it's really focus on execution of both the quality of the product and also the cost in making sure that we can produce at large scale and also be efficient in what we're doing.

Operator

Operator

David Kideckel with AltaCorp Capital.

David Kideckel

Analyst

Thanks for taking my second question. Just wanted to go back to the international strategy that we are talking about outside of the call. Can you provide any sort of -- I know you mentioned, I think, Greg, Germany and its synthetic CBD play. But for the international market, should we be thinking OGI with European partners or LatAm or what part of the world does international mean for OGI?

Greg Engel

Analyst

I mean if you see today, David, we are -- we've been focused on Europe. I think that's what presents the greatest near-term opportunities for us. We see the European market and wisely keep saying CBD is a huge unmet need there is every time I'm in Europe, what you see is kind of an expansion of CBD products across the retail footprint, whether or not that's pharmacy or health and wellness stores and kind of a growing consumer demand there, as we're seeing in the U.S. as well. So that's our primary focus. I mean, we do -- we have exported and are continuing to export product to Australia, but really our kind of market that we're spending the most time evaluating because of the near-term opportunity is Europe.

David Kideckel

Analyst

Okay. And my last question, back to one of the earlier statements made, I think, you have about 700 employees now and by calendar year-end going to 850. Given your vast automation capabilities, I'm just wondering what type of labor are you looking for at OGI to grow the space? Are you looking at R&D type talent, scientific talent or will this be operational in nature? Just any color you can provide with respect to employee and labor as you look forward to year-end?

Greg Engel

Analyst

Yes. I mean certainly, what we'd expect, I mean, so our labor force needs are not that significant in terms of that group building out is. What still needs to grow for us are some of the key supporting areas, like quality that are involved in the testing and quality compliance side of things. And then R&D, as you said, I mean, that group is growing and building for us. And we've expanded out the project teams for products like chocolate. I mean, we have 2 individuals that have world-class experience and worked in markets like Belgium and other markets on chocolates. And so we've been expanding those teams as well, so it's a mix of people. But I think our automation continues to kind of reduce our requirement for labor. So we're able to have -- even just last week I was in Moncton and we had an internal job fair, so people were looking to move to other departments as kind of we evolve as a company, and it's great because it has created some new opportunities for internal people to move around as well, so it's real positive from a workforce environment.

Operator

Operator

This concludes the time we have for today's call. We thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.