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OneMain Holdings, Inc. (OMF)

Q2 2016 Earnings Call· Thu, Aug 4, 2016

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Welcome to the OneMain Financial Second Quarter 2016 Earnings Conference Call and Webcast. Hosting the call today from OneMain Holdings is Craig Streem, Senior Vice President, Investor Relations. [Operator Instructions]. It is my pleasure over to Craig Streem. You may begin.

Craig Streem

Analyst

Thanks, Jackie. Good morning, everybody. Thank you for joining us. Let me begin, as always, by directing you, this time to the back of the deck, Pages 29 and 30 with our important Safe Harbor disclosures. The presentation itself can be found in the investor relations section of our website and we will be referencing that presentation during this morning's call. Our discussion today contains certain forward-looking statements about the Company's future financial performance and business prospects and these are subject to risks and uncertainties and speak only as of today. The factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements are set forth within today's earnings press release which was furnished to the SEC in an 8-K report and in our annual report on Form 10-K which was filed with the SEC back on February 29, as well as in the second quarter 2016 earnings presentation that has been posted on our IR website. We encourage you, of course, to refer to these documents for additional information regarding the risks associated with forward-looking statements. In the second quarter 2016 earnings material we have provided information that compares and reconciles our non-GAAP financial measures with the GAAP financial information and we also explained why these presentations are useful to management and investors and we would urge you to review that information in conjunction with today's discussion. And if you may be listening to the replay down the road at some point after today, we want to remind you that the remarks made today are as of today, August 4 and have not been updated subsequent to this call. Our call this morning will include formal remarks from Jay Levine, our President and CEO; and Scott Parker, our Chief Financial Officer and as Jackie said, after we conclude our formal remarks we will have plenty of time for Q&A, so now it is my pleasure to turn the call over to Jay.

Jay Levine

Analyst · Moshe Orenbuch with Credit Suisse

Thanks, Craig and thanks for joining of this morning. Before we get into the slides, I want to say that the second quarter was a very good quarter for us with consumer insurance EPS of $0.96 versus $0.36 in last year's quarter, with solid performance on credit, growth, operating expenses, funding and importantly, integration. We feel very good about our business, our operating model and our competitive position. Let me begin on Slide 2 with some comments about our second quarter performance and a discussion of the key drivers of our business. First, average net receivables were up 12% year-over-year. Total receivables growth was a tad slower this quarter as the blocking and tackling of the integration of OneMain became more tangible. The timing of our integration activities is meeting all of our expectations and some cases, even ahead of plan. Given the near term introduction of new programs and the associated training requirements, it's not surprising that loan growth has slowed down this quarter, but our focus remains on capturing the fall long term benefits of the acquisition, principally around responsible profitable growth. Credit performance this quarter was consistent with our expectations of lower credit charges with net charge-offs improving to 6.95% from 7.5% in the first quarter and with delinquencies stable as well. Keep in mind that the 6.95% charge-off ratio includes a 35 basis point net benefit from the alignment of our credit policies. Both our own customers set performance as well as the overall economic environment which is a key driver of our customers performance, continue to look healthy. We're seeing continued positive trends in job growth, including the addition of almost 180,000 private sector jobs in July and no signs of deterioration in the economy. Given our market opportunity, we have no plans to relax…

Scott Parker

Analyst · Moshe Orenbuch with Credit Suisse

Thank you, Jay. Now let's turn to Slide 8 and review the highlights of our second quarter performance. We earned $26 million or $0.19 per share in the second quarter. As a reminder, our reported results for the quarter included $165 million of pretax acquisition related and other adjustments. With the sale of our SpringCastle investment last quarter, we're now focusing our commentary on the consumer and insurance segment. We will continue to report results for the acquisition and servicing segment, but we expect that contribution to be minimal going forward. Our consumer insurance segment earned $130 million or $0.96 per share in the second quarter. C&I earnings were up $0.02 versus the previous quarter and 2.5 times the prior year. Before we get to the book value per share numbers, I want to discuss the impact of our change in accounting policy regarding the application of ASC 310-30 and the treatment of our purchase credit impaired loans. This change is consistent with the preferred method used by the industry and you will be able to see the details in our 10-Q filing. This change increased our shareholders equity, at the end of the second quarter, by $59 million. It is important to note that this is a change only in the timing of when the PCI discount is accreted. The net performance over the life of the portfolio is not impacted. With that said, the numbers in the earnings summary are reflective of the policy change in all periods. On the right side of Slide 8, you will see the analysis of the performance of our C&I segment for the second quarter, walking down to a 3.9% after-tax return on receivables. Return on receivables is up from 3.7% in the first quarter, showing the benefit of cost saves and…

Jay Levine

Analyst · Moshe Orenbuch with Credit Suisse

Thanks, Scott. Turning to Slide 12, I want to take a step back from the discussion of the quarter and focus on the tremendous opportunity we have to drive significant earnings per share over the long term. With the acquisition of OneMain, we have fundamentally transformed the earnings power of our Company. In fact, virtually tripling it from where we were on a standalone basis. In addition we have made significant strides in reducing the leverage that we took on to fund the deal. With our largely fixed-cost base, additional asset growth is highly accretive to earnings and we're on track to generate a lower OpEx ratio than either company had as a standalone operator. The integration and the related cost savings give us built-in earnings growth and improved operating leverage. We remain comfortable with our previously stated EPS guidance for 2017 of $5.60 to $6.10 per share, with average receivables of $16 billion. Importantly, as we look out over the longer term, both market demand as well as the compelling nature of our business model are such that future asset growth drives progressively higher returns as you can see in the chart on the side. As you can imagine, this would produce very strong ROEs. To wrap up, as we complete the integration of these two companies, we have a tremendous opportunity to deliver value to all stakeholders as we continue to responsibly grow our business and serve additional customers and their communities. We're very proud of how far we've come since we acquired OneMain last November, but even more excited about the opportunities ahead of us. With that, Jackie, could you please begin the Q&A session?

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Our next question comes from the line of Moshe Orenbuch with Credit Suisse.

Moshe Orenbuch

Analyst · Moshe Orenbuch with Credit Suisse

So Jay, I was sort of wondering if you could talk a little bit about the competitive environment? A lot of things have happened I know something's we were concerned about at the beginning of the year probably less of a concern. Talk about whether -- as you look forward in terms of your customer base and others who either have been trying or might be trying to serve that and how you think about the ability to get that incremental originations from the OneMain side and what could make it worse as you go forward?

Jay Levine

Analyst · Moshe Orenbuch with Credit Suisse

Look I would say the environment as we see it today is as good as it has been over any period of time over the last two years, certainly I think we all have witnessed the disruption of what has gone on in the online space. For the most part that was largely going after a higher credit customer than we were but there was no doubt, I think some of their challenges came a bit from migrating down, thus far the things that have the evidence [ph] have been a lot less has come out from them. I think the initial read has been in -- it is slow to triple to growth to initially but we think over the long term that will all be positive. In the environment in general customer continues to be in good shape I would say largely driven by confidence and employment and job stability and we continue to see an increasing number of good applications which to us is one of the most important drivers of how we see the business over the near term and longer term.

Moshe Orenbuch

Analyst · Moshe Orenbuch with Credit Suisse

Just a follow-up on a different topic. You had mentioned that you were able to resell the junior tranches of early 2016 deals that you had originally retained. Scott, what was the benefit to you in other words how much did you benefit by selling them later?

Scott Parker

Analyst · Moshe Orenbuch with Credit Suisse

In regards to rate or just overall amount? We sold the two tranches about a $125 million of additional liquidity and we sold them below our cost of capital so we thought it was a really good transaction. It goes back to us -- as we mentioned before we wanted to wait till the market kind of stabilize in the first quarter clearly the pricing was not in the area we wanted and given some of the improvements in the market in the second quarter we had several investors call to see if we would be interested in selling them at the time and we did.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of John Hecht from Jefferies.

John Hecht

Analyst · John Hecht from Jefferies

First one if you can just detail or characterized the local merchant referral. It seems like that’s growing nicely and I wonder what kind of yields are on that and what that might mean to kind of mix shifts in consolidated yields at the portfolio level.

Jay Levine

Analyst · John Hecht from Jefferies

It looks very much like a personal loan. The way it works is it's really about our branches really being in the communities and developing relationships with local, whatever kinds of trades or vendors have to be in local communities, let's [indiscernible] big-box retailers that tend to have relationships with financial credit card companies. It would be sort of laid out local whether it's trailer, [indiscernible] window or other markets where they have a customer and we all know most of America, way too much of America lives paycheck to paycheck and is a large thing comes up they want to have financing options and the pricing on that looks just like the rest of our personal loans. So what they are really doing is they are introducing relationships to us and we're funding a personal loan and finally make that process as seamless as we can.

John Hecht

Analyst · John Hecht from Jefferies

Second question, back on slide 11 you talked about the acquisition accounting in real estate expense in 2017. Can you break that down a little bit and give us what type of line items we might expect accounting adjustments to be in next year from the acquisition and maybe describe the wind down of the real estate activity as well?

Scott Parker

Analyst · John Hecht from Jefferies

Yes, John, this is Scott. So as you remember in March we put out an 8K financial supplement that explain the different component pieces of what we want them here as one line of acquisition accounting real estate and other. So we also provided that in the supplement an update of where we stand on 2016 kind of where we thought those are going to come in. I break it down into kind of three big bucket, one would be on the spring [indiscernible] historical the debt carried on the discount and that amortizing into earnings over the time of that maturities but some of that will expire in '16 and '17 as those debts maturities expire. Some of the debt exchanged in the April deal one is 2020 so that will amortize over the life of that extended maturity. On the OneMain acquisition we had three real big items, one was the provision catch up, we had the premium amortization on the noncredit and impaired portfolio and then we had receivable discount on the purchase credit impaired assets. The total of all those right now are kind of coming in line with the outlook that we provided and that's what we brought back in March. So one that has the least amount of certainty is the timing of the receivable premium so if we have a OneMain customer that comes in and either takes out a new loan or lease us that premium will be recognized at that point in time. So that is something that is based on customer behavior. It has been a little bit faster than the contractual term that we were expecting and we mentioned that. So all those in total I think we’re right in line what we expected and then the last two items that you mentioned were acquisition and integration costs and the real estate portfolio. So given the sales that we had Jay mentioned we will see that real estate impacts will start to decline in 2017 and beyond and the integration across really well kind of a little bit frontloaded this year as we took out the cost action so we're prepared for a lot of the amortization activities in the second half of 2016 and early 2017 then you'll see some more additional costs in 2017 as we complete some of the additional cost savings we have targeted. So in general I think we’re tracking well, but again these are estimates so I think they provide a pretty good framework for you but they're not precision.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from now line of Mark DeVries with Barclays.

Mark DeVries

Analyst · Mark DeVries with Barclays

Have some questions about what's embedded in some of the new targets you laid out for 2017, in particular the return on receivables. Can you just talk us through what the levers are that you relying to get that 50 to 100 basis point improvement you're looking for in the terms?

Jay Levine

Analyst · Mark DeVries with Barclays

Yes Mark, I will keep it simple. Is probably three things. One would be additional cost take out in 2016 and 2017 so it is at the 4% that we’re at around now. We took most of the cost out in the first half and you will start to see that go through in '16. We're also planning to take out another $100 million in 2017. The second one is expectation for credit costs based on the portfolio of more secured lending as we mentioned with OneMain being able to take unsecured losses down to more in line with the secured lending charge-offs that we mentioned in the past is a big benefit and also some of the acquisition integration related items that we’ve talked about around the policy change that we made in the second quarter. We also made a policy change at the end of last year on charge-off policies that had some impact on year-over-year comparable so I think charge-offs we expect charge-offs to be lower than 2016 will which will provide benefits. And then the rest of the operating leverage then driven by that is the growth rate in asset so I would say the asset growth is probably the more significant, those are the two are probably a he third or 40% of the benefit and then the remaining of that is the growth.

Mark DeVries

Analyst · Mark DeVries with Barclays

And then on the leverage target for mid-2018, do you get there mainly through retained earnings and then the reduced accounting drag from the acquisition or does that also contemplate some asset sales?

Scott Parker

Analyst · Mark DeVries with Barclays

Well, as we mentioned, from an asset sale perspective we have $750 million of legacy real estate. Jay mentioned we sold about 40% of that in the second quarter so that $250 million liquidity, we think about it we have debt maturity, unsecured debt maturity in September, mid-September there is a $375 million debt maturity with a 5, 3/4 coupon so our expectation is we will take that 250 and apply that to reduce that debt cost to help us deleverage it, but the remaining 400 plus of real estate, it's an opportunity. Our expectations would be that be an upside to what we laid out versus kind of embedded in that outlook.

Mark DeVries

Analyst · Mark DeVries with Barclays

And then just last question. I do get some concerns from investors who wonder how prudent it is to grow so aggressively into the later stages of this economic cycle and I guess you guys are looking for $2 billion of receivable growth how in 2017. Jay, it would be interesting to get your reaction to those kind of concerns and could you argue that by actually shifting towards more secured you can actually grow your way into a more de-risked balance sheet?

Jay Levine

Analyst · Mark DeVries with Barclays

That is exactly how we think about it. Our customers need money from time to time to be very frank, our underwriting is such that we make sure there is ability of income there to support it and if you look at the job tenure it's sort of the stability of jobs that most of our customers have had, they are really quite strong. So when I say is our will moments has always been to have strong mix between secured and unsecured and make sure the customers that are likely to have challenges we want to have them [indiscernible] tend to perform much better to walk on that kinds of cycles. So I say we continue to think about responsible growth. We don’t want to put out loans that are challenging either for us or for customers and I don't think we intend to grow money faster than the market allows as the right customer mix can be put on.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of [indiscernible] with KBW.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

A similar question related to direct auto. The type of growth you are seeing there, are these people that had other choices at the larger lenders or have you got into the first? Can you maybe just anecdotally talk about that?

Jay Levine

Analyst · Moshe Orenbuch with Credit Suisse

Sure. It is actually one of the great programs that you may be surprised how successful it has been and continues to be. What it has really wound up being is most auto loans are four to five years by the time customers comes in third and fourth year of their loan, they are usually down to principal only [indiscernible]. When they come into a branch we're really showing a couple of opportunities in some cases where here it's a personal loan at a higher rate, here is a secured auto loan where we will pay off the remaining balance and when given the choice and generally a lower interest rate, substantially lower interest rate customers one, are happy to have choices, two are generally happy to have ways to consolidate other debt and to wind up in a better free cash flow position. From what we see other than local credit unions there aren't a lot of people really competing in this space on a national basis where they are really targeting the refinance of existing debt on auto, so we have not seen a lot of large-scale complications which I think has helped this program as well.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

And then when we think about the 2017 debt maturities, could you maybe talk about how you guys plan to tackle them?

Scott Parker

Analyst · Moshe Orenbuch with Credit Suisse

I think as you’ve seen we kind of taken the stack down to a reasonable amount or level of maturities. As we talk about -- we continue to have good demand for asset backed transactions and I think also we want to be a routine issuer in the unsecured market so we think between those two we have plenty of capacity to pay off those debt maturities and I also mentioned that we have paid down all of our [indiscernible] that we have use as contingent liquidity but we have, as we mentioned in the deck, about $4 billion of unencumbered assets. So we have many levers to pull in regards to how to do 2017. Our preferred method would be to do a combination of unsecured as well as ABS [ph] transaction in late 2016 early 2017 to deal with those securities.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

And are there specific cost you embedded in your 2017 EPS guidance related to those refinancing activities?

Jay Levine

Analyst · Moshe Orenbuch with Credit Suisse

As we mentioned in the first quarter, clearly we have in the estimate kind of use back at the time kind of the rates that we were seeing in the first half of the year.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Okay and where are we right now maybe in relation? I'm sorry.

Jay Levine

Analyst · Moshe Orenbuch with Credit Suisse

On the EPS side clearly things are a little bit better than they were in the beginning of the year. As I mentioned we were able to sell additional sub-tranche I would say on the unsecured, we issued in April that performed better than what we issued so it's a little bit better but I would say it's not materially different than kind of what we were thinking about back in the first quarter.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Bob Ramsey with FBR.

Bob Ramsey

Analyst · Bob Ramsey with FBR

I know you sort of reiterated losses and that charge-off guidance. Just curious if you are seeing any pockets or areas of concern either in terms of the credit quality of the borrower, geography for the type of loan or anything else?

Scott Parker

Analyst · Bob Ramsey with FBR

I would say that we early in the year we just had a lot of focus on regions that were impacted by some of the energy crisis. As we talked about in the past we didn't see any significant difference in the performance of the loans in those regions relative to the overall business. Jay mentioned that I think when we look at the health of our consumer and customer base that things are still positive with regard to where they sit from the overall year over year basis. So we don't really see any kind of pockets that concern us so it is really managing the overall portfolio and providing more secured lending as Jay mentioned because that will help us with respect to managing through the loss cycle and we think that's a good risk return trade-off.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from allies line of Mike Grondahl with Northland Securities.

Mike Grondahl

Analyst · Mike Grondahl with Northland Securities

One, I think in the prepared remarks you said that you were starting to see some improvement in some of the later roles, could you just go into a little more detail there what you are seeing?

Jay Levine

Analyst · Mike Grondahl with Northland Securities

Sure. Those [indiscernible] roles are once you get to just before charge-off are they going to go to charge-off, obviously going figure out a way to avoid that. I think one of the key things we have done as we've migrated off the city resources on to [indiscernible] resources, we have seen greater effectiveness around collection of some of the things that have done there. So we’ve marginally moved some of the breakdown.

Mike Grondahl

Analyst · Mike Grondahl with Northland Securities

And then with your local merchant referral program starting to rollout at OneMain, do you have any goals or maybe a range of originations the rest of this year or for next year with that effort?

Jay Levine

Analyst · Mike Grondahl with Northland Securities

The answer, we would like to be as effective as we can. The high level took us a few years across Springleaf to get to the levels we're at today and I expect over time that it will be an important and meaningful one but I have any steady targets.

Mike Grondahl

Analyst · Mike Grondahl with Northland Securities

Okay and then maybe just lastly, direct auto you've done very well rolling that out what sort of the next milestone or two that you are looking at with that initiative?

Jay Levine

Analyst · Mike Grondahl with Northland Securities

I don't think that there is anything when I say continuing the growth across OneMain, customer awareness so that when loan choices are presented that the customers see a couple of choices and they can make intelligent decisions around what's best for them but clearly growth of the same size and just follow it up with financing we did at 2% against the [indiscernible] you can see how important it is for us all around. It's good for the customer, it's good for us as lender and certainly not even talking about cycles of the future we know it better.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Eric Wasserstrom with Guggenheim Securities.

Eric Wasserstrom

Analyst · Eric Wasserstrom with Guggenheim Securities

Scott, could you just -- I know this will come out in the queue in detail but can you briefly indicate why the change in the accounting policy benefited equity to the extent that it did?

Scott Parker

Analyst · Eric Wasserstrom with Guggenheim Securities

Yes. I will try to make it simple and you can have a few follow-ups with Craig here but really I would think about it very simply as we set up about $1 billion with the OneMain portfolios credit impaired. With that there was a discount taken on that around 35% and so really the change in accounting method was to be more consistent with a lot of other financial institutions using a concept of level yields for the amortization of that discount and given the difference between that level of yield amortization and this policy that Springleaf had on a historical basis you have a more standard amortization of that discount where the policy that was used in the past is a little bit backend loaded where that amortization was in later years versus year-over-year so that’s really the kind of the simple method that built the equity.

Eric Wasserstrom

Analyst · Eric Wasserstrom with Guggenheim Securities

And that was about 59 million? Was that correct?

Scott Parker

Analyst · Eric Wasserstrom with Guggenheim Securities

Yes. About 42 when we adopted it at the end of effective April 1 and then there is one another $17 million that benefited the second quarter, so for a total of 59. And that will also if you go back in the supplement there's a line in the supplement around the receivable discount and you will see in their why we were higher than what we had estimated in 2016 was because of this discount amortization and so that will actually benefit us over the next several quarters too.

Eric Wasserstrom

Analyst · Eric Wasserstrom with Guggenheim Securities

And if I can just follow up on Sanjay's question, are you thinking, Scott about, is there some kind of mix optimization in terms of funding that you are thinking about relative to the current?

Scott Parker

Analyst · Eric Wasserstrom with Guggenheim Securities

I think right now we're about 55:45 we kind that mix kind of feel pretty good for us right now, and I think it's really going to be a matter of a great reception on the auto deals so as we originate additional auto deals I think that’s an another opportunity to go into 2017 our personal loan programs I had a previous question -- the spreads have kind of tightened in on the A&B tranches similar to probably where we would have expected them maybe in the fourth quarter of last year and then on the unsecured market, things just come in but clearly the rates in the unsecured market are still significantly higher than they were end of last year. So I think the timing of an unsecured deal is really going to be what the rate environment is at the time that we need to enter that market.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Jordan Hymowitz with Philadelphia Financial.

Jordan Hymowitz

Analyst · Jordan Hymowitz with Philadelphia Financial

If you go to page 11 for a second you got an adjusted tangible equity that goes to 17 or most of them go to 18, if I think about another $525 million change in equity and I take the real estate less than a $100 million would it be fair to think that this number should be like 25 tangible equity or about $20 per share in '18? Is that a reasonable thoughts?

Scott Parker

Analyst · Jordan Hymowitz with Philadelphia Financial

That is a reasonable thought.

Jordan Hymowitz

Analyst · Jordan Hymowitz with Philadelphia Financial

Okay. And there's a reason why this one didn’t go to '18 and everything else were to '18 is there?

Scott Parker

Analyst · Jordan Hymowitz with Philadelphia Financial

No, Jordan, we’re just trying to -- we provided previous details around '16 and '17 on a supplement so in order to not have to try to breakdown a lot more details I think your math you can roll forward the equity role as you mentioned.

Jordan Hymowitz

Analyst · Jordan Hymowitz with Philadelphia Financial

Okay. Do you think it's important, because there's tremendous upside to earnings and people concern on the downside to book and the downside to book really picks up in the next two years. That’s why I think it's important. My second question is you mentioned the discount change, is my understanding that the account has made you become more backend loaded or aggressive do you want to use that term on the discount accretion so you are accreting the discount later as opposed to earlier?

Jay Levine

Analyst · Jordan Hymowitz with Philadelphia Financial

No it's the other way around. We're just going to the industry standard, Jordan, there are systems out there that are actually kind of do the accounting for that and when we purchase that tool as part of the OneMain acquisition it's kind of one the -- we started evaluating this so what we're going to is the industry standard, you get to the same endpoint it's just the preferred method is to do a level yields on that discount and that’s what we have adopted.

Jordan Hymowitz

Analyst · Jordan Hymowitz with Philadelphia Financial

I suppose to before when you were--?

Jay Levine

Analyst · Jordan Hymowitz with Philadelphia Financial

Before it would -- discount would be more backend loaded so you would get it in later years versus the early years.

Operator

Operator

Our final question comes from the line of Michael Tarkan with Compass Point.

Michael Tarkan

Analyst · Compass Point

Just a couple of here. Do you guys expect any impact from the CFB debt collection proposal and then the second how are you thinking about accounting rules for late 2019 or early 2020 around reserving for life of loan losses up front? Thanks.

Jay Levine

Analyst · Compass Point

To great questions. As it relates to the debt collection we're not a third-party debt collector and all of the loans we collect are primarily for ourselves so I don't think it has anything to do with that. We're aware -- they are thinking about it but at this point there is no impact to us on that. The other one I will turn it over to Scott.

Scott Parker

Analyst · Compass Point

Yes, I mean not what the thinking is I think since this has being applied across the industry I think given the duration of our loans that are a little bit shorter than some others clearly that would change how we provide and built reserves but that is clearly kind of 1920 we will see how that actually ends up getting rolled out and if there's any modification to that over time. But it's an interesting -- everyone in the industry will be impacted at least in our sector on a similar basis.

Operator

Operator

That with our final question. I would like to turn the floor back over to Craig Streem for any additional or closing remarks.

Craig Streem

Analyst

Thanks, Jackie. Let me just wrap up by thanking everybody for their interest. Good questions this morning and of course we're also available for any follow-up. Thanks and have a good day.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This does conclude today's teleconference. Please disconnect your lines at this time and have a wonderful day.