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Ormat Technologies, Inc. (ORA)

Q3 2021 Earnings Call· Fri, Nov 5, 2021

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Hello, and welcome to the Ormat Technologies Q3 2021 Earnings Call. My name is Robyn, and I'll be coordinating your call today. [Operator Instructions] I will now hand you over to your host, Jeff Stanlis from FNK IR. Jeff, Please go ahead.

Jeff Stanlis

Analyst

Thank you, Robyn. Hosting the call today are Doron Blachar, Chief Executive Officer; Assaf Ginzburg, Chief Financial Officer; and Smadar Lavi, Vice President of Corporate Finance and Investor Relations. Before beginning, we would like to remind you that the information provided during this call may contain forward-looking statements relating to current expectations, estimates, forecasts and projections about future events that are forward-looking as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These forward-looking statements generally relate to the company's plans, objectives and expectations for future operations and are based on management's current estimates and projections, future results or trends. Actual results may differ materially from those projected as a result of certain risks and uncertainties. For a discussion of such risks and uncertainties, please see Risk Factors as described in Ormat Technologies Annual Report on Form 10-K and Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q that are filed with the SEC. In addition during the call, the company will present non-GAAP financial measures such as adjusted EBITDA. Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP measures and management reasonings for presenting such information is set forth in the press release that was issued last night as well as in the slides posted on the website. Because these measures are not calculated in accordance with GAAP, they should not be considered in isolation from the financial statements prepared in accordance with GAAP. Before I turn the call over to management, I would like to remind everyone that a slide presentation accompanying this call may be accessed on the company's website at ormat.com under the presentation link that is found on the Investor Relations tab. With all that said, I'd now like to turn the call over to Doron Blachar. Doron the call is yours.

Doron Blachar

Analyst

Thank you, Jeff, and good morning everyone. Thank you for joining us today. During the third quarter, we completed several strategic initiatives that support our long term position, including a sizable geothermal acquisition in Nevada, new resource adequacy contract for our Energy Storage segment, a joint venture for exploration in Indonesia and several new product wins, providing further evidence that the COVID related disruption in our product segment is abating. This development, support our long-term goals and further our efforts to expand our generation capabilities towards our goal to achieve a run rate of $500 million in annual EBITDA towards the end of 2022. Looking at the third quarter our results were negatively impacted by operational challenges at three plants. We are making progress to resolve these challenges and expect them to gradually recover by the first half of 2022. Even with these challenges and the ongoing slowness in our product segment, we reported continued growth of more than 15.4% in the electricity segment, leading to revenue that was essentially flat year-over-year. This enabled us to deliver over $100 million in adjusted EBITDA for the quarter. We continue to view 2021 as a buildup year. The strategic acquisition of two operating plants and an underutilized transmission line in Nevada is an example of this buildup. The new long-term resource adequacy agreement with PG&E for our Pomona-2 project is another example as other product segment wins in Nicaragua and Indonesia, which boosted our product segment backlog. With a portfolio of over 1.1 GW of generation a rebounding product segment and a growing energy storage offering, we are well positioned to maintain our industry leadership and deliver consistent profitable growth. As we look into 2022, we anticipate increased growth as we put the short-term challenges behind us and reap the benefits of the hard work of the last year. I will turn the call over to Assi to review the financial results, before I provide further updates on our operations and future plans. Assi?

Assaf Ginzburg

Analyst

Thank you, Doron. Let me start my review of our financial highlights on slide five. Total revenues for the third quarter were $158.8 billion, essentially flat year-over-year, reflecting the contribution of the Terra-Gen acquisition offset by lower year-over-year product sales. Third quarter 2021 consolidated gross profit was $63.1 million, resulting in a gross margin of 39.8%, up from the gross margin of 34% in the third quarter of 2020. Gross margin including $15.5 million of BI income compared to $2.6 million in the third quarter last year. We delivered net income attributed to the company's stockholders of $14.9 million or $0.26 per diluted share in the quarter compared to $15.7 million or $0.31 per share in the same quarter last year, representing a decrease of 5% and 16.1% respectively, mainly as a result of a lower operating income driven mainly by a $9 million increase in the G&A expenses. Adjusted net income attributed to the company stockholder was $17.8 million or $0.32 per diluted share in the quarter compared to $0.31 per share in the same quarter last year. Net income attributed to the company stockholder was adjusted to exclude the transaction cost of $3.7 million pretax and $2.9 million after-tax related to the Terra-Gen Geothermal acquisition. Our effective tax rate for the third quarter was 9.2% which is lower than the 38.8% effective tax rate from the third quarter of 2020, mainly due to the movement in the valuation allowances for each quarter. We still expect the annual effective tax rate to stand approximately between 30% to 34% for the full year 2021. That assuming no material one-time impact or no impact from changing of lows. This will result in an overall higher tax rate in the fourth quarter of 2021. Adjusted EBITDA decreased 5.1% to $101.6 million in…

Doron Blachar

Analyst

Thank you Assi. Turning to slide 12 for a look at our operating portfolio. During Q3 of 2021, our power generation in our power plants increased by approximately 13.8% compared to last year. We benefited from the incremental contribution of the recently expanded McGinness Hills and the generation from Puna that is operating now at a stable level of 26 megawatts. In addition, we had the contribution of the Dixie Valley and Beowawe plants acquired from Terra-Gen with a total net annual generating capacity of approximately 67.5 megawatts. These contributions were partially offset by the lower performance of our Olkaria and Bouillante power plant. As noted on slide 13, Puna resumed operation in November 2020. We stabilized Puna generation to approximately 26 megawatts as we continue reservoir study and improvement of existing wells to maximize the long-term performance of the power plant. We have continued discussions with HELCO and PUC about our new PPA and continue selling electricity under our existing PPA, which is in effect until 2027. Turning to slide 14. Let me discuss some of the challenges we experienced this quarter in a few of our property assets and I will start with a known one in Kenya. Our revenue in the Olkaria complex was down year-over-year as a result of a reduction in the performance of the resource, which has resulted in an approximate reduction of 25 megawatts. This reduction in capacity and associated repair costs reduced our quarterly gross margin by approximately $3.6 million compared to last year. We are taking a few actions to restore the complex generating capacity. We reduced one of the wells that we plan to connect to the power plant by the end of the quarter. We are upgrading the equipment that will enable us to generate more capacity utilizing the…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Noah Kaye from Oppenheimer. Noah, please go ahead.

Noah Kaye

Analyst

Good morning and thank you for taking the questions. Maybe I could start with the portfolio growth plans. I think you mentioned some challenge in getting permits creating some delays in commissioning future projects. But looking at the timetables for project CODs it appears like it stayed fairly stable. So just wondering if you could put a finer point on your comments are you seeing permitting delays pushing projects out a quarter or 2, or can you help clarify that a little bit because again the tables don't really seem to have changed from last quarter this quarter?

Doron Blachar

Analyst

Hi Noah, thanks. So there's two kinds of delays some of the delays are between the year. If you take the Heber complex I think originally we were hoping it will be end of 2021 beginning of '22. Now it's moved to the end of '22. Dixie Meadows that was planned to be in '22 is updated in the table to 2023. So with this -- some of the delays are between the year but others like Dixie are even between years.

Noah Kaye

Analyst

Okay. And I guess if you could comment on expectations on the IRRs for these projects? And certainly, we've seen rising commodity costs, steel inflation et cetera labor availability issues and just higher logistics costs. On the other hand, I know you did a lot of your manufacturing last year for some of these projects. So, can you just kind of comment on whether an increased cost environment affects your expectations for profitability of these projects?

Doron Blachar

Analyst

Obviously raw material and labor costs are increasing transportation. I wouldn't use the word increasing but exploding basically on the cost side. But we have manufactured as you mentioned a big part of it already last year with raw materials that were acquired even before the large increases. But obviously going forward the new projects will have to endure the higher cost. And what we see in parallel to that is, increasing a demand for geothermal and increasing pricing. So, the coming projects will enjoy the lower cost that we have but also the PPA environment of the past. And now we see an increased demand for geothermal and we do expect to see in the coming in the short term increased pricing as well that will compensate us. The fact that PTC and ITC will be extended, obviously will also support the profitability. So all in all, we don't see a significant or hardly any change in the IRR when we expected IRR when we release the projects.

Noah Kaye

Analyst

Okay. Doron, it's great to hear that, you're actually seeing pricing new PPAs increasing. That's a big change from the trend in the past couple of years. Can you elaborate on that a little bit more? What sort of upward pricing at are you seeing in the US?

Doron Blachar

Analyst

Yeah. So the negotiations that are starting today obviously there are negotiations that started before which lowered pricing. But since a few weeks ago, the CPUC required to have 1,000 of new -- 1,000 megawatts of new renewable energy with an availability of higher than 80%. We see an increased demand. For geothermal, practically this is the only renewable that meets this requirement. They need to make it by 2026. So we have been approached and we started negotiations with several CCAs and utilities. And hopefully this will develop into new PPAs in the coming months that will have higher pricing or pricing back to normal.

Noah Kaye

Analyst

Okay. Great. And one last question. I think you mentioned in the prepared remarks that you don't expect those elevated legal expenses to continue into 4Q. Could you please help us understand why that might be the case?

Doron Blachar

Analyst

Yeah. We -- as we said on the call, we -- these costs, we don't expect them to continue in the same height. Basically, the Independent Counsel that was engaged by the company reported its findings. And at this point, we don't expect to incur additional cost or lower cost going forward than what we had in the last two quarters.

Noah Kaye

Analyst

And so you said that the Independent Counsel has reported its findings already?

Doron Blachar

Analyst

Yeah. Yes. As there is customer, we cannot relate to any of these comments that -- until everything is finished.

Noah Kaye

Analyst

Okay. Thank you very much.

Doron Blachar

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, Noah. Our next question comes from Julien Dumoulin-Smith from Bank of America Securities. Julien, please go ahead.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Thank you, good morning. This is Alok [ph] on behalf of Julien. Thank you so much for taking the question. Just wanted to understand a bit more based on the comments that you made on the Kenya PPA negotiation and how Ormat's PPA prices are among the lowest.

Doron Blachar

Analyst

Regarding Kenya...

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Sorry just. Yeah, go on.

Doron Blachar

Analyst

Yes. No, no.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

The question I had was a couple of recent media reports indicated that the Energy Capital secretary had indicated lower energy prices after some renegotiation by unnamed IPTs by December. And I was curious whether any of those discussions pertain to or matter that was just a broader statement?

Doron Blachar

Analyst

It's -- I'll refer to the two points. First of all, this was a broader statement mainly relating to KPLC and required KPLC to start negotiations. As of today, we haven't been approached to have any new negotiations on any -- on our PPAs. The task force -- the President task force issued its report end of September early October. In the task force report basically, there is some analysis in comparison of PPA rates including comparing ours to KenGen. It shows that KenGen have about 10% to 12% lower PPA fees. However, we need to take into account that KenGen is a state-owned entity. They are not bound by the same requirements that the public company in the US has, they have access to funding that Ormat can get as a public company. They have also access to brands and additional concessions that the government can give them. We obviously don't know every details in KenGen operation. But as all of us are aware government-owned entity do get support from the government in different forms. So we don't think the comparison apples-to-apples. But even if you do this analysis still the difference is around 10% difference at all.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Got it. That's very helpful. And related to Kenya to I think which is serious with respect to KPLC, how the receivables were trending and whether there was any trend of -- for South kind of receivable payment or any of the older receivables were still being here?

Assaf Ginzburg

Analyst

We're actually seeing a big improvement from payments fees from our customers KPLC. They actually reduced the overdue to $33 million in the end of the quarter. And since then they pay additional $14.2 million. So if you think about it right now they are delayed roughly two months which is something that we work with them and we appreciate their support.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Got it. Thank you. And then lastly on Kenya, with respect to all carrier resource underperformance, if you could just provide a bit more color on the delay that we observed from the end of year 2021 ramp up to now first half of 2022, what exactly is causing that delay and the certainty around the newer time line?

Doron Blachar

Analyst

In Kenya every time that you deal with drilling and resource there are potential complications. So we had a few delays in the drilling, we have now a very detailed plan going forward. We expect generation to increase gradually over time. It's not one solution one-hit to solve to go back to the normal generation that we have. So we do expect to see it in stages going up. Part of the issues that we encounter is the transportation the global transportation issues. Kenya like most countries don't have in the country all the requirements, all the materials that are required to do the drilling and we need to bring it from outside of Kenya. And as you know, shipment cost today or shipment time frames are very much delayed today. So we were impacted by these delays. But we do have today plan exactly what to do and when to do it. And we see that going over the next few months and it will be gradual. It's not that one day will get back to the full capacity. We have a few parts that we want to – few elements to this project to bring it back to full capacity by the middle of next year.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Got it. Thank you. And one last question from me and then I'll pass it on. With respect to your 2023 target of 1.5 to 1.6 gigawatt capacity. I'm just curious given that some of the projects that you have in the development pipeline now are expected COD 2023. So how much of a buffer or leeway do you have with respect to that target now? Thank you.

Doron Blachar

Analyst

This is the target that we believe we can achieve. Obviously, from the geothermal part it relates a lot to permitting and the delay that we've seen. But this is the target that we think is achievable that we plan to be there.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from Jeff Osborne from Cowen and Co. Jeff, please go ahead.

Jeff Osborne

Analyst

Great. Thank you. Good morning. A couple of questions on my end on the increased activity or confidence of the demand in California. I was wondering if you could just update us on your land position in California, or would you be needing to use your Nevada sites that you've self-developed and I think acquired from US geothermal years ago? And then correlated to that, could you give us an update on the power line that you have between Nevada and California? And if there's a way of ballparking, how many megawatts of capacity that could serve if you were to see set demand in California?

Doron Blachar

Analyst

We have multiple land positions in California but also and also in Nevada that we are doing exploration in 2021 and in 2022 and that we expect them to mature into a project that we'll be able to supply both to NV Energy in Nevada and to the various CCAs and SCAPPA in California. So we're working in both places. As you said we did acquire from US geothermal a few land positions that we are going to explore this year. Also on the Terra-Gen acquisition, we acquired Coyote Canyon, which is a very high potential land position. And in Beowawe and Dixie, we are planning to expand the generation over there due to much better resource that we think can be utilized and generate more electricity. So on and on we see the demand and we see – and we are developing the assets to support this demand. And we're actually very happy to see the demand coming from California but we also see demand in Nevada for geothermal project.

Jeff Osborne

Analyst

That's great to hear. And then maybe just following up on the PPA pricing I think in response to Noah's question. What – how would you characterize returning to normal? I think the SCAPPA deal was done at 75 but that that was with some older assets. Do you think somewhere in the 80, 90 range is reasonable and more normalized to you? I'm just trying to get a sense of where you think the market is today.

Doron Blachar

Analyst

Well I would like to be able to tell you that 80, 90 is the right pricing, but unfortunately it's still not. All I can say is that, what we've seen in the last couple of months continued reduction of PPA pricing to the 60s and in that range and following the CPUC decision, we see that this reduction basically stopped and turned. And we do hope that we'll be able to get new PPAs that will start negotiating in these days in the high-60s maybe low-70s, but that's the range that we expect. I would say that due to the fact that we were able to improve significantly our manufacturing, NEPC capabilities were able to reduce the CapEx. Obviously the increase in raw material has an impact. But we were able to increase and to maintain the returns that we are looking for. And the fact that the bill -- the new bill that will hopefully extend the PTC, that's another $25 and if it is a cash payment. So effectively it's another $25 per megawatt hour for 10 years.

Jeff Osborne

Analyst

Got it. That's helpful. Just two quick ones here. I think on past calls, you've talked about the Heber two repowering process. Can you talk about where that RFP stands for that additional power? And then any comments on what you're seeing in Indonesia would be helpful just given the size of the resource there and some of the comments from the government.

Doron Blachar

Analyst

So we've -- as we talked, we issued a bid quite a lot of demand following that with the pricing similar to what I mentioned before, we are negotiating PPAs. And hopefully we'll be able to sign one in the next few weeks. And whenever we will sign we will obviously update the market.

Jeff Osborne

Analyst

Any quick thoughts on Indonesia?

Doron Blachar

Analyst

Indonesia is very, very interesting. If you look on the -- what we've been able to develop there, although it takes a bit longer, and COVID obviously delays things. But on top of the Sarulla 12.75% ownership that we have. We are drilling now with Ijen which is a joint venture with Medco where we own 49% and they own 51% we are drilling and we expect this to become a project towards the end COD towards the end of 2023. The other one is the announcement we did where we have a joint venture with a large mining company in Indonesia where we own 75% and they own 25% of an asset in the area of Bitung. So we see quite a lot of prospects. We have additional sites that we have exploration rights in Indonesia. And from the product segment what we expect is that in 2022, we will see a few tenders coming out in Indonesia that hopefully will be able to boost the product segment towards 2023 and onwards.

Jeff Osborne

Analyst

That’s great to hear. Appreciate the insight for this detail. Thanks.

Doron Blachar

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Julien Dumoulin-Smith from Bank of America Securities. Thank you, Julien.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith

Analyst

Hey, guys. Sorry to follow-up here. I just wanted to clarify a little bit. Just on the Ken-Gen side of the equation here, just -- and I know you don't want to negotiate this life of the call, I get that. But when it comes to renegotiating down to the Ken-Gen tariff level versus what they term as being capital structure refinance opportunities. Are those two discrete opportunities for them, or are they related here as they see cost-saving opportunities? I just want to make sure we're clear about that, because it sort of seems like there's two parallel avenues here.

Assaf Ginzburg

Analyst

Julien, good morning. We appreciate the question. It's Assi. So the task force report is actually a public report and you can look at it online. And it shows very specifically that the tariff of format is basically 10% higher from the tariff of Ken-Gen, when you look at Ken-Gen cost including the steam costs. I will also say that based on that report, Ormat is the lowest IPP in Kenya, when you exclude some very small plans that are barely operating. So when you talk about negotiation, we are providing the cheapest electricity in Kenya and we are quite large IPP over there. So, just those are the facts. With respect to the report as you said that they are using maybe potentially structuring of our debt as a way for us to reduce the tariff. But they are saying specifically that's the reason to reduce the tariff. They are not suggesting that there is a double forward reduction in tariffs. Again this is their request from us which we haven't seen yet. Everything we've seen through the report. And as I told you before and we said before we're always ready to talk to our customers any customers that will talk to us and request any kind of change in the agreement we are ready to talk to them. And I'm sure there is a win-win situation similar to what happened in Puna in the past when we lowered the tariff and we got extension and more capacity. So this is something that I'm sure can be on the table. But overall right now there is no negotiation and we will continue to support KPLC.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith

Analyst

Right. And maybe actually if I can clarify that. You talked about being 10% higher than Ken-Gen. But what about royalties for instance in other costs in your cost structure that may not exist for instance with Ken-Gen? I mean when you think about this negotiation presumably some of those factors would presumably try again try to reconcile one versus the other there as well I take it.

Assaf Ginzburg

Analyst

Exactly as Doron mentioned during the script, our cost structure and Ken-Gen's cost structure is different including royalties. We don't have the details of exactly what's in their numbers. We know that our numbers does include a small amount of royalties that we do pay. It's a few million dollars a year. But as I said it's very clear in the report that they would like us to reduce the tariffs slightly. And we will discuss with them and we'll do the negotiation between us and them and not on Wall Street paper.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith

Analyst

I very much respect that. That's excellent. And -- but that -- it just relative a few million dollars relative to the $12 million that was identified here in annual costs right a bit again it's a nontrivial though there as a percent. If I can just to clarify on the cadence of opportunities in California as well. I know you've been asked this a couple of different ways. But when you think about the next 24 months when you think about your resources what you could put towards California given how extreme the situation is with seemingly negative reserve margins in California they need to move quickly? How much resource can you bring to bear to address the California resource adequacy deficit here that seems to lay in front of them? Especially responding to the -- what seems like upwards of a full gigawatt of resource asked from them at least in the current RFP notwithstanding further procurement. Again I just want to understand what you can bring to the table in terms of resource in the very near term 24 months -- 36 months?

Doron Blachar

Analyst

Okay. I think if you look on the coming 24 months basically end of 2023 you see most of the assets that we list in our presentation. I think there's maybe one or two additional that we are in final stages of fluctuation that can come into this time frame. But looking into 2024 and 2025. And if I remember correctly the requirement is until 2026. So we are doing exploration in multiple sites today in Nevada and California. So we'll be able to add to the 2024 -- 2025 much more. And as you know in February when we announced our guidance for 2022 we also update an additional year basically 2024 focus on growth. And over there we'll be able to see the exploration and prospects that we expect to have.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith

Analyst

Got it. And the one to two additional projects you just alluded to do they have interconnect already, or where are you in the process with transmission there just being able to get those done in the next couple of years? You seem to allude to actually being able to get that prior to 2024?

Doron Blachar

Analyst

Look we hope we will be able to get them. As I said and we said multiple times permitting in California and Nevada is a big challenge today and we need the legislations and to push and to make sure that on one hand if they put targets for renewable energy on the other hand they also allow renewable energy to develop and build. So this is a challenge that will work all the time. And that's where we that's what we believe we'll be able to do until 2023 and 2024 we are working now to get you the best number in February.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith

Analyst

Excellent. I wish you guys best of luck. And hopefully those permit come along. All right.

Doron Blachar

Analyst

Thank you.

Julien Dumoulin-Smith

Analyst

I leave it there. Thank you for your patience.

Doron Blachar

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This now concludes our Q&A session. I will hand back to Doron Blachar for any further comments. Thank you.

Doron Blachar

Analyst

Thank you. I would like to thank you all for joining us. We see the boost for renewable energy coming across the globe and specifically in the US and we see the increased demand. And as the leading Geothermal company, we plan to supply a big part of this demand. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you everyone. You may now disconnect your lines.