Earnings Labs

Oxford Industries, Inc. (OXM)

Q2 2021 Earnings Call· Thu, Sep 2, 2021

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Greetings. Welcome to the Oxford Industries, Inc. Second Quarter Fiscal 2021 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to your host, Anne Shoemaker, Treasurer of Oxford Industries. Thank you. You may begin.

Anne Shoemaker

Analyst

Thank you and good afternoon. Before we begin, I would like to remind participants that certain statements made on today’s call and in the Q&A session may constitute forward-looking statements within the meaning of the federal securities laws. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees and actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements. Important factors that could cause actual results of operations or our financial condition to differ are discussed in our press release issued earlier today and in documents filed by us with the SEC, including the risk factors contained in our Form 10-K. We undertake no duty to update any forward-looking statements. During this call, we will be discussing certain non-GAAP financial measures. You can find a reconciliation of non-GAAP to GAAP financial measures in our press release issued earlier today, which is posted under the Investor Relations tab of our website at oxfordinc.com. Due to the material impact of COVID-19 on our business in fiscal 2020, we will also include comparisons to our fiscal 2019 results. And now, I would like to introduce today’s call participants. With me today are Tom Chubb, Chairman and CEO and Scott Grassmyer, CFO. Thank you for your attention. And now, I’d like to turn the call over to Tom Chubb.

Tom Chubb

Analyst

Good afternoon and thank you for joining us. I would like to start by thanking our incredible team of people for delivering outstanding second quarter results that include record sales, gross margin, operating margin and earnings per share. Our performance was strong across all of our brands, particularly in our direct-to-consumer channels of distribution. While we are benefiting from some favorable market conditions, the numbers that we delivered are the direct result of our team’s ongoing efforts to navigate through the short-term challenges posed by the pandemic, while staying focused on our long-term strategic objective of delivering happiness to our customers. Our excellent results are attributable to the strength of our brand portfolio and how we communicate our aspirational upbeat brand messages through beautiful imagery, differentiated products and exceptional customer experiences. To deliver superior customer experience in today’s market, we need to stay focused on our long-term North Star objective of continuing to improve our customer-centric, digitally-driven seamless cross-channel shopping experience with an emphasis on mobile. We continue to invest heavily in further improving the customer experience with enhancements to our mobile apps, search engine optimization, customer data and insights, customer service and much more. The boundaries between our retail and e-commerce businesses are becoming increasingly blurry. We recognize that an ever growing number of customer journeys to purchase include both physical and digital elements. Most consumers no longer distinguish between the relationship with the digital aspect of the brand and their physical relationship with our brands, they simply think of their relationship with our brands. They want and expect to be able to mix and match digital and physical elements at will. We are determined to fulfill this desire and continue to invest in the people, processes and technology that will allow us to do so. We have talked…

Scott Grassmyer

Analyst

Thank you, Tom. As Tom just mentioned, outstanding performances in each of our brands in the second quarter resulted in record-breaking revenue, gross margin, operating margin and earnings. On the top line, demand for our products remained high and revenue exceeded 2019 levels in each of our direct-to-consumer channels and in each of our brands. Consolidated sales in the second quarter were $329 million compared to $302 million in the second quarter of 2019. Our gross margin continued to track significantly higher than 2019. On an adjusted basis, gross margin expanded 450 basis points over 2019 to 64% in the second quarter. Driving this improvement was the higher proportion of full price sales, our overall shift in our sales mix to higher margin direct-to-consumer channels of distribution, and improved IMUs. Higher freight costs put some pressure on margin in the quarter partially offsetting some of the improvement. We gained SG&A leverage in the second quarter, improving from 47% of sales in 2019 to 44% of sales. SG&A dollars increased modestly from 2019 levels with increases in performance-based incentive compensation and marketing expense partially offset by decreases in other employment costs due to headcount reductions and lower occupancy cost. In the second quarter, our consolidated adjusted operating margin expanded 820 basis points over 2019 to 22% with operating margin expansion in all operating groups. Our business is well supported by our solid balance sheet and strong cash flow from operations. Our liquidity position is strong with $180 million in cash and no borrowings outstanding under our revolving credit facility at the end of the second quarter. Cash flow remains very strong. In the first half of 2021, cash provided by operating activities was $149 million compared to $24 million in the first half of 2020. On a FIFO basis, inventory decreased…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. [Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Paul Lejuez of Citigroup. Please state your question.

Tracy Kogan

Analyst

Hi, thank you. It’s Tracy Kogan filling in for Paul. I had two questions. First, I was wondering if you guys could elaborate on your comment about August being the most impactful month and that you’re off to a good start. I guess what did you see in August that Tommy and Lilly versus August 2019, both in terms of sales and in terms of margins. And then I have 1 follow-up when you’re finished. Thank you.

Tom Chubb

Analyst

Okay. Tracy, thanks for being on the call, and I’ll let Scott talk to you about August and its importance.

Scott Grassmyer

Analyst

Yes. In August, we have – Tommy has the Friends & Family event, which is a very important event, and it was – they had a very, very strong event. And Lilly also has some gift with purchase events. Also, it’s kind of towards the end of summer where we still have some great summer string. So August is always an important month for us. And this year with the strong events at both Tommy and Lilly, it was an exceptional month. We’re not fully closed. I’m not going to give gross margin actual comparisons and numbers because we haven’t fully closed the month. But August, we are going to have strong gross margins compared to ‘19, again, and we expect that to continue not only throughout the quarter but throughout the year.

Tracy Kogan

Analyst

And I guess on the sales line, maybe you don’t want to quantify it too much, just if you could give us some sense. Have things accelerated, decelerated versus – this quarter that just passed versus 2019? Is there a sequential improvement or deceleration on the sales line?

Scott Grassmyer

Analyst

August itself has probably kept pace. I think September, October, there is just not as much opportunity. First, they are just not big months for us other – and the Lilly flash sale will be much smaller. So it used to be September, the Lilly flash sale was by far the biggest event. And then other than that, we’re really getting to that fall period where neither of our brands are overly strong in that period of time. We don’t have back-to-school businesses. In Florida – it’s kind of hurricane season in Florida. So those historically have not been very strong months other than the Lilly flash clearance, which as we said on the prepared remarks, will be about $15 million lower year-over-year.

Tracy Kogan

Analyst

Got it, thank you. And then my second question is, you guys mentioned a number of the omni-channel services you’re currently offering, such as ship from store, buy online, pick up in store. I’m wondering what are the big initiatives that you’re working on this year in the omni-channel world, in both your brands or in your key brands? Thank you.

Tom Chubb

Analyst

Well, really, Tracy, there are a whole host of projects and all of them are involved around improving the customer experience, making it easier and simpler for her to shop however she wants. And as I mentioned during the prepared remarks to really sort of mix and match physical elements of the experience and digital elements of the experience, so the more that we can merge those two channels together and make them work in harmony with each other, the better experience the consumer is. So some of the ones that I mentioned are some of the big initiatives, which we’ve either completed or are in process, and it will be similar items to that, that really improve the seamlessness of the experience. So making it easier for her to – and for the store associates to handle a return in store, maybe that’s something that she bought online or order it from the store and if they don’t have it in stock, ship it from another store or the DC, which we can do already, but we’re already – we’re improving those capabilities enhancing her ability to sample products. So we talked about the reserve online, pick up in store. The idea there is that a customer could go online, pick out five or six styles that she thought she might be interested in, reserve them online and the store staff can actually build a dressing room for her with those styles. In the dressing room, she can zip in, try them all on, she sort of prescreened them online. They are all there waiting for her to try on. So it’s that kind of thing. And it’s almost a never-ending list, but the more that we can do, the better experience that we will provide for her.

Tracy Kogan

Analyst

Got it. Thank you guys very much.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Susan Anderson of B. Riley. Please state your question.

Susan Anderson

Analyst

Hi, good evening. Nice job on the quarter. I’m curious, just looking into the back half, it looks like you’re expecting some lower profitability versus the first half. I’m just curious, is that more on the gross margin line? And would that be supply chain issues? Or are you also expecting higher SG&A expenses?

Scott Grassmyer

Analyst

It’s much more top line. We called out the impact of Lanier and the impact of the Lilly flash sale. Also in the fourth quarter, we have our initial spring delivery. It’s usually – normally, it’s kind of available for a late January delivery and some people choose to take it in January, some choose to take it in February. We think with some of the supply chain issues that, that delivery might – most likely is going to be virtually all of 2022, will still be within windows of the wholesalers, but that will be more of an early 2022. So that’s providing a little bit of headwind also.

Susan Anderson

Analyst

Got it. And is that for – sorry, go ahead.

Scott Grassmyer

Analyst

Gross margin-wise, though, we still expect every quarter to have good expansion, gross margin-wise versus ‘19 in each quarter this year.

Susan Anderson

Analyst

Okay, great. And for the late delivery, is that the resort line for this year?

Scott Grassmyer

Analyst

It’s really spring one. And – yes, and we might have – we’re airing some goods, we might have some goods a little bit late in resort, but it really comes to where we still think we will be able to recapture most of that demand in the quarter. Really it’s that initial spring delivery impact on our wholesale businesses where the supply chain might push some sales from late in the fourth quarter to early in the first quarter.

Susan Anderson

Analyst

Great. And then just regionally, are you still seeing the same trends that you saw last quarter with the South being stronger? And then I’m curious if Hawaii got back to ‘19 levels and then, I guess, your expectations for the back half there because I think they may be implemented some more restrictions?

Tom Chubb

Analyst

Yes. So Susan, I would say that the relative strength of the regions was similar but that all regions really improved during the quarter. So the ones that had been weaker in the first quarter, the Northeast and the Midwest, mid-Atlantic, in particular, there is still – they haven’t caught up with some of the Southern regions, but they have closed the gap versus ‘19, which is great to see. And really all of them ended up looking pretty good as we progressed through the quarter. And then on Hawaii, there are some additional restrictions in place. I think they are working very hard in Hawaii to try to avoid a hard extended shutdown like they had last year. They are being smart about it. And obviously, they have got to be concerned about the public health issues. So undoubtedly, there’ll be a bit of turbulence there, but I do think that they are working hard to avoid the kind of scenario that we saw last year.

Susan Anderson

Analyst

Okay, great. Thanks so much. Good luck in the back half.

Tom Chubb

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Ed Yruma of KeyBanc. Please state your question.

Ed Yruma

Analyst

Hey, guys. Thanks for taking the question. I guess first, clearly, a lot of goodness on the gross margin line. As we kind of think about this longer term, how would you parse out the benefits of kind of more D2C, more e-comm and reduced wholesale versus kind of maybe what’s more transient and kind of lower markdowns? And then just as a quick housekeeping. I noticed you guys did an $11 million sale of an unconsolidated entity. Any color on what that was? Thank you.

Tom Chubb

Analyst

So first of all, on the gross margin, I’ll let Scott add to this. But I think the gross margin, a lot of what we gained, I believe, is sustainable there. There will be some pressure, as you point out, going forward from probably more promotion in the marketplace than there was – there is been really this year. But our pickup in gross margin wasn’t just about reduced promotional activity. It was also about the mix shift towards direct to consumer, which you identified. But in addition, it’s really better IMUs, which is the result of work that we’ve done on pricing and the cost of goods from the factory over the last couple of years, and I think we’re really seeing the benefits of that. And then the other thing that I would point out is that while we had those positives that helped our gross margin, we did incur a lot of additional freight cost during the quarter and we will probably for the balance of the year. Eventually, that will fade away. I’m not saying it’s going to happen during the remainder of this year. But I don’t believe those freight increases are all permanent and at some point, those will alleviate and will stop bearing that pressure that we actually had on gross margin during the quarter. And then on the callout that we had in the press release about the $11 million gain on the sale of our minority interest in an unconsolidated entity, that’s part of our emerging business units effort that we have talked about a bit, where over the last 4 years or 5 years, we have been making small investments, typically in the neighborhood of 10% in small but growing apparel brands. We have been partnering with those people and…

Scott Grassmyer

Analyst

Yes. I will give you a little more comment on gross margin. Kind of the promo discount – the lower promos and discount, so it was a little shy of 300 basis points of margin. Our sales mix change was a little bit shy of 200 basis points. IMU was a little shy – right around almost 100 basis points. But then the freight was a little over 100 basis points going the other way. So, that kind of bridges the margin. And I think the promos, while – when you have that big a drop there, we are probably missing some sales because the inventory levels are so low. So, I think there was some top line opportunity that we couldn’t fulfill because our inventories were so lean. So, even if that number comes down a little bit in the future, I think we have some top line opportunity to be better inventoried.

Tom Chubb

Analyst

And I think from a big picture perspective, Ed, that’s our model is really working. And a lot of what was – what we saw in the second quarter, there are no doubt favorable market conditions out there, and that did help, and we are not going to take full credit for all of that. But I think an awful lot of what we saw in the quarter is directly attributable to initiatives that we have been working on for years that are really paying off for us, and there are things that particularly during the COVID year last year, we just never took our eye off the ball. We did what we had to do to get through the year, but we also kept focused on those bigger term – long-term objectives. And I think that’s a lot of what you are seeing in the results and a lot of that will stick with us going forward.

Ed Yruma

Analyst

Great. Thanks so much, guys.

Tom Chubb

Analyst

Thank you, Ed.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Steve Marotta of CL King & Associates. Please state your question.

Steve Marotta

Analyst

Good afternoon everybody. Wanted to talk about two things; first, just hitting the supply chain again. Can you quantify what you are seeing right now in delivery delays? And if there was – I mean you did call out the freight expense in the second quarter. Is it – was it air freight? And if so, how much was air freight in the first half and how much is built into the guidance in the second half?

Tom Chubb

Analyst

I will let Scott provide additional color on this. But the issues, Steve, are – we are incurring some air freight to try to close the gap on some of the delays that we are experiencing and airfreight is always, as you know, much more expensive sort of per unit than ocean freight would be. But ocean freight rates have also spiked up quite dramatically. In sometimes – in some cases, as much as maybe 4x what they would have been a couple of years ago. So, it’s really air freight and ocean freight, and then we are incurring other expenses, in some cases, to try to help us expedite stuff that slate. In terms of trying to quantify the amount of slate, that’s – I am not sure I can quite do that for you. But what I will tell you is that our teams are being highly responsive. They are being very nimble and agile. They are adjusting. They are launching product that we do have in the warehouse earlier to compensate for stuff that might be coming in later. They are doing what we need to do to satisfy the outstanding customer demand that we have. And I think one of the biggest impacts that we will really see from a top line perspective will be, as Scott called out, those year-end Spring One wholesale shipments that we would normally get in the current year, but it will probably drift into next year. And Scott, anything you would add on the things Steve asked about the freight numbers?

Scott Grassmyer

Analyst

Yes. The other thing in the freight is some – our e-commerce getting surcharges from the FedEx, UPS people of the world. And we will still see these freight cost pressures. They might be a little bit higher in Q3 and Q4 than they were in Q2. And it is – as Tom mentioned, it’s a combination of air freight plus much more expense of ocean freight.

Steve Marotta

Analyst

That’s helpful. And in the prepared remarks, there was lots of peppered commentary about Tommy Bahama women’s. Can you talk a little bit about any strides you made during the period in that particular initiative? Thanks.

Tom Chubb

Analyst

Yes. We had great performance in women’s and one of the things that we are very excited about as we mentioned that – but as we mentioned in the prepared remarks, Steve, was the performance of our IslandZone performance product in both men’s and women’s, but that was a real standout. I am going to let Scott give you some of the numbers in a minute. But the IslandZone product was really good. Dresses are always a strength for us and did really well. But when you look from a broader perspective, and I alluded to this in my comments, at the product, what you see is all these sort of macro trends, you see about casualization and easy care and easy to wear, as I have said in the comments, that plays right into the sweet spot of the brand, really all of our brands. And you see that in Tommy Bahama women’s. We are leaning into that. We are playing to those trends. It’s a natural for the brand and it’s really working for us.

Scott Grassmyer

Analyst

Tommy Bahama direct-to-consumer channels – or women’s business expanded from 30% share to about 32.5% shares, so about 250 basis points of share. So, women’s had great growth, and men’s grew at the same time but women’s just really gained a lot of share in the quarter.

Tom Chubb

Analyst

And when you think about that, Steve, that’s pretty impressive when you have a men’s business that’s twice as big as the women’s or a little more than twice as big, and it’s growing at a steady clip, and women’s is actually gaining share. That’s really pretty impressive.

Steve Marotta

Analyst

Thank you again.

Tom Chubb

Analyst

Thank you, Steve.

Operator

Operator

Our next question is from Dana Telsey of Telsey Advisory Group. Please state your question.

Dana Telsey

Analyst

Good afternoon everyone and congratulations on the results. What was also very impressive was the operating margin improvement for each brand relative to 2019. As you think of the levers for each of those brands and what drove that operating margin improvement and the continuity go forward, how would you frame it for each brand? What’s different or the same for each of them?

Tom Chubb

Analyst

Well, I think the big picture levers are really pretty similar. Everybody had improvement in gross margin. I think expense control was excellent really across the board. The gross margin improvement we talked about what was driving that, and a lot of those are things that I believe were directly attributable to long-term initiatives that we have had, including shifting more of the mix to direct-to-consumer, improving our sourcing to drive higher IMUs, working on pricing and frankly, having the brand strength to make pricing stick. And then the other thing that I will add is just the – and it’s sort of a soft factor, but that superior customer experience that we talked about in the prepared remarks, that really helps drive that full price, high rate of sell-through. And it’s both e-comm, it’s the stores and then it’s the two channels working in harmony together that are really doing that. And that has an enormous impact on our ability to drive full price sales. One of the facets of that is our ability to ship from store, which we have been talking about a lot the last three quarters or four quarters, but it’s a really big deal because we are able to match full price demand with inventory wherever it is located in the system. And that ultimately drives higher full price sell-through. And then another thing that I think I don’t want to leave this call without commenting on it is the exceptional customer experience that we provide in stores. And as excited as we are about everything that’s happening in e-comm and the sort of omni-channel blended e-comm and store experience. There is, in many cases, no substitute for that in-person, high-touch experience that you can have in one of our stores. And I have said this before, I will say it again, it’s a tribute to our teams. We will put our stores up against any, in terms of the quality of the experience that you have in those stores and that’s attributable to our great people that work in those stores. And in fact, just this week, I believe, a major news magazine rated Tommy Bahama stores #1 in customer experience, which is something that we are really proud of.

Dana Telsey

Analyst

Got it. And then the other thing you mentioned is about e-commerce, and it sounded like the profitability or the margin accretion for e-commerce has accelerated. What are you seeing there? And how do you see that profile developing?

Tom Chubb

Analyst

Do you want to talk about the e-commerce?

Scott Grassmyer

Analyst

Yes. I mean our e-commerce business obviously our top line keeps growing at a very healthy rate. But it is, again, very profitable business. Our average in retails, were increased during the quarter. And again, with e-comm, some of these extra costs that go with e-comm when you have a large ticket and you have an expanding initial gross margin, it is a very profitable business and is growing at a great rate. And we have seen just a world of opportunity for that to continue in the future.

Dana Telsey

Analyst

And just one last thing, how do you see inventories by the end of the year? Will inventories be in balance given the lean inventory levels that there are now?

Scott Grassmyer

Analyst

They will come up some from the year-over-year decreases we are having now as we are able to react to the higher selling. As you remember, early February was – we were – first few weeks of February were tracking behind plan. We really got momentum in late February and into March, and then we started trying to react later in the year buys and started increasing those. So, I think our inventory positions will continue to get healthy. I mean they are very lean now, a little leaner than we would like, but it’s not an unhealthy thing to go through, and I think we will have a little bit more inventory by the end of the year.

Dana Telsey

Analyst

Thank you.

Tom Chubb

Analyst

Thank you, Dana.

Operator

Operator

We have reached the end of the question-and-answer session. I will now turn the conference back over to Tom Chubb for closing remarks.

Tom Chubb

Analyst

Thanks to all of you very much for your interest. We hope you and your families have a safe and happy Labor Day holiday, and we look forward to talking to you again in December.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today’s conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation, and have a great day.