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Pan American Silver Corp. (PAAS)

Q4 2012 Earnings Call· Thu, Feb 21, 2013

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to Yamana Gold 2012 Fourth Quarter Year End Release Conference Call and Webcast. At this time all participants are in a listen-only-mode. Following the presentation, we will conduct the question-and-answer session. Instructions will be provided at that time. I will now turn the cal over to Lisa Doddridge, Vice President Corporate Communications and Investor Relations.

Lisa Doddridge

Management

Thank you for joining us this morning. Before I turn the call over to Peter, I need to advice that certain statements made during this call today may contain forward-looking information and actual results could differ from the conclusions or projections in that forward-looking information, which includes, but are not limited to, statements with respect to estimation of mineral reserves and resources, the timing and amount of estimated future production, cost of production, capital expenditures, future metal prices and the cost and timing of the development of new projects. For a complete discussion of the risks, uncertainties and factors, which may lead to our actual financial results and performance being different from the estimates contained in our forward-looking statements, please refer to our press release issued yesterday announcing our fourth quarter 2012 results, as well as our management’s discussion and analysis for the same period, and other regulatory filings in Canada and US. I would like to remind everyone that this conference call is being recorded and will be available for replay today at 2.00 p.m. Eastern. Replay information and the presentation slides accompanying this conference call and webcast are available on Yamana’s website at yamana.com. I will now turn the call over to Mr. Peter Marrone, Chairman and CEO.

Peter J. Marrone

Management

Thank you, Lisa. Good morning and thank you for joining us. We have lot of highlights to present from a productive year which we prefer to do recently. Just a few beginning remarks, our goal is reliability, we are focused on growth and sustainability, as always reserves and production, growth and sustainability of those. Increasing and sustaining new levels of assets within per share cash flow, but ultimately important also, and then supporting those resources and production growth. As we’ve already said before, we stick to what we know, jurisdictional relevance is important to us. This refers to the countries and regions of countries in which we operate, more conventional geologies, mining and processing and where we already have a competency and expertise are also important for us. Now again as we previously said before, I don’t want to leave you with the impression that we’re always going to get it right and always right across all operations. Some things are unexpected and that is the nature of any money enterprise. If you take a portfolio approached asset management to better deal with this and familiar jurisdiction and regions focusing on our competency and expertise and with better price, we feel we can execute better and moreover to provide reasonable value. Better geological interpretation preserve estimation and modeling along with more developed work, improved safety approaches leads to better production. We apply that same approach across all measures of this company and perhaps for a moment if I can just deal with an important corporate development. Cerro Moro is a good example of leveraging in country expertise and asset expertise. The ore bodies geology are similar to Mercedes and El Peñón, we are able to employ strategies and experience gains there delivering immense value to Cerro Moro. We are pleased…

Ludovico Costa

Management

Thank you, Peter. In the fourth quarter, and the full year we delivered record production. Production increased by 16% over last year. We produced just over 322,900 gold equivalent ounces in the quarter and 1.2 million gold equivalents, while the full year production was 1.2 million gold equivalent ounces within the Company’s guidance and 9% above 2011. Costs continue to decline in Q4. By April this costs where 190 to gold equivalent ounce. Our project cost is where $517 per gold equivalent ounce. Costs for the full year were below guidance, by product costs were $213 per gold equivalent ounces, operating costs were $525 per gold equivalent ounces. Chapada performed as expected, gold and copper productions were consistent with the plan. As we tried to increase the granitic processes, the CRL project is planned for 2013. Gold production expect increases in 2014 as a result of this type of gold operations in (inaudible) and expect growth in copper production for strong purposes. El Peñón performed as expected this quarter, when compared to Q4 last year, gold production increased 11%, the silver production ounce is largely down this was related to great recovery and consist with our mining plan. Process increased from Q3 has great improvement. Gualcamayo production was down compared to last year due to the transition process from Phase II to Phase III our QDD Main areas. Because of positioning, reposition work at Phase II, III could not begin in Phase II compared to which occurred in this quarter. Productions expect increased with the ramp up of production from QDD Main Phase III starting the second quarter of 2013. Costs spread up versus last year, due to the high labor, consumable process in the dehandling of which, QDD Lower West is on sched for completion in mid 2013. Production…

Charles B. Main

Management

Thank you, Ludovico. In the fourth quarter, we achieved record revenues of $630 million, an increase from $612 million in the third quarter. We also achieved record revenues for the full year 2012 of $2.3 billion, 8% higher than 2011, mainly due to the new production at our Mercedes mine and partially offset by lower copper and silver prices and lower volume of copper sales. Adjusted earnings of $197 million were 11% higher than the previous quarter, mainly due to higher mine operating earnings, which were partially offset by higher G&A and exploration expense. On a per share basis, adjusted earnings increased to $0.26 per share, compared to $0.24 in the third quarter 2012. Adjusted earnings for the year were $694 million, which is slightly lower than 2011 mainly attributable to higher exploration spend. On a per share basis, adjusted earnings were $0.93. Operating cash flow before changes in non-cash working capital items increased from third quarter to $298 million, or $0.40 per share. For the full-year, operating cash flow before changes in non-cash working capital items was in excess of $1 billion. This represents a decrease from 2011, mainly due to increased income taxes paid and the deferrable cash dividends from November in 2012. Cash and available credit at the end of the year remains solid at $1.1 billion, cash and cash equivalents were $350 million. For the full-year, G&A was $146 million, which was higher than previous year due to the company’s growing operations including the Mercedes mine. Net financed expense increased to $54 million, compared with $34 million for 2011. The higher net finance expense was mainly due to higher unrealized foreign exchange loss and the higher bank and financing fees, partially offset by higher capitalization of borrowing costs for the new mines and projects under construction.…

Evandro Cintra

Management

Thank you, Chuck. During the quarter we already continue to Agbaou development project, C1 Santa Luz is now over 95% complete, our capital operation is outstanding, but we still expect the completion of commissioning in the year 2013. The live construction is also on the schedule and is now 75% complete. The first half is expected by needed to go in 2013 with completion of commissioning by the end of this year. Underground development, our QDD Lower West continues to advance and project completion remains on schedule to be completed by mid 2013. In addition to the QDD Lower West expansion, we have now initiated a study to evaluate the milling of the so five portion of the resource that continues to grow. We expect to evaluate approximately 1.6 billion ounces for milling, which does include the operation of Rodado breccia is also available to (inaudible). Production at Gualcamayo is expected to be sustainable at 200,000 ounces beginning in 2014. We have also continued recently the second gold in three part studies at Cerro Moro as we recently announced. This is starting to engage approximately 1,000 tonnes per day for passing rate, while averaging and well production of about 200,000 ounces. In 2014, we expect all the required studies to be completed and we will lead it to our construction decision. Production at Cerro Moro could begin as early as 2016. I will now turn it over to Darcy to discuss exploration.

Darcy E. Marud

Management

Thank you, Evandro. During 2012 all of the exploration objectives were either met or exceeded. In regard to replacement of mineral reserves and resources at our operations, the mineral reserves increased by 6% to 14.2 million gold equivalent ounces. Total gold equivalent mineral reserves increased by 4.1% to 19.3 million ounces. The measured and indicated gold equivalent mineral resources increased by a full 15% to 50.6 million ounces and inferred increased by 10%. We accelerated the development of new discoveries and development projects, with the exploration drilling at Maria Lazarus at the Pilar project, the definition and inclusion of resources and reserves at Corpo Sul at Chapada and the discovery and delineation of Dorada West at El Peñón. As always development of new project is important to this company and we have declared preliminary inferred resources at our Lavra Velha and Arco Sul projects in Brazil. We continue with reconnaissance exploration to five new projects and 10-year targets were developed during the year, some of which we hope to talk to you about further on this year. Exploration spending for 2012 was approximately $125 million, which was very close to budget. Looking at Cerro Moro, we began exploration on the project in October and we completed more than 100 holes in the principal ore bodies before the end of the year. This drilling was done to increase just quantity of indicated gold equivalent resources, and we were successful in adding 44% more resources to a total of 1.954 million gold equivalent ounces in the indicated categories. Also as Peter earlier talked about, we’ve made a new discovery at Cerro Moro called the Margarita vein, drilling is ongoing right now and the initial drilling has identified the new vein zone that’s approximately four kilometers north of (inaudible). Resources have been reported…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. (Operator Instructions) The first question is from Dan Rollins of RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Dan Rollins – RBC Capital Markets: Yeah, thanks very much. Peter, I was wondering you might be able to comment on the reservoir and the water situation at C1 and have you seen improvement over the last two or three month sir?

Peter J. Marrone

Management

Yeah. There has been an improvement more into the rainy season. most of the rainfall as you (inaudible) February and March, but to be more significant improvement bringing outside of our control, but the most significant improvement within our control is discovery of new water wells. Water wells alone would not be enough to build the reservoir to allow us separations, but they’re going to put very big supplement at the rainwater and wouldn’t provide a good outset in the event of the rainy season is not as we anticipate it to be much sufficient. so we anticipate the rainy season to be sufficient by the end of this month and March, we expect the effective rainfall that should bring the forecast consistent with prior, and discovered these water wells, which we now move and look a little bit water well would make supplement (inaudible). Dan Rollins – RBC Capital Markets: Okay, great. And then just on Gualcamayo, I’m not sure if you’re able to provide any information on the potential milling scenario there, but if you are, do you have any ideas of what type of throughput you’d be looking at right now?

Peter J. Marrone

Management

We are at the early stage. Dan Rollins – RBC Capital Markets: Okay.

Peter J. Marrone

Management

A point – to see that. We’re just at the point of leaving an initial stop in study, should be our expectations there that is in progress, but we would be in a better position to be, let’s say what will do with that already 1.6 million ounces of (inaudible), but as Darcy mentioned, every new mines discovered, sulphide ounce is of higher grade, so we anticipate the (inaudible). By the end of the year, early next year, we should be in a better position to be say, this is our plan or processing… Dan Rollins – RBC Capital Markets: Okay, great, thanks very much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Steve Butler of Canaccord Genuity. Please go ahead. Steven Butler – Canaccord Genuity: Good morning guys. Question for you, Darcy perhaps on Corpo Sul, and we saw the reference to the specific booking of the reserves or increase to reserves component for Corpo Sul, is there a bigger resource beyond reserves, on the books for Corpo Sul, if you can quantify, if you have it if not get back to me later? I just wanted to get a sense for what strike length of you define the reserve base on Corpo Sul versus the full extend of the strike length for that particular zone? Thanks guys.

Darcy E. Marud

Management

Yeah, Steve I could talk to little bit to that. I do not recall the real definition or split out story of the reserves versus mineral resources, so we will get back to you on that. But I do know that the reserve is outlined over above 1.2 kilometers of the strike length, the full strike length of Corpo Sul now is about 2.6 kilometers I believe, so probably about half of it is defined as reserves. As we move to the South West, it gets deeper so stripping ratios that is precluding us from incorporating a lot of that into the reserve. Steven Butler – Canaccord Genuity: Okay.

Darcy E. Marud

Management

This year I just got the results here in front of me for the mineral reserves and resources Steve, we do have about 900,000 ounces in the P&P reserves and additional to that we have about 386,000 measured and indicated and 309,000 inferred. Steven Butler – Canaccord Genuity: So Corpo Sul in total was 900,000 ounces, P&P is that what you’re saying?

Peter J. Marrone

Management

That’s correct. Steven Butler – Canaccord Genuity: Okay. Have you guys saw the – you referred to at Mercedes development work continues in the Barrancas zone talking about that higher grade liquid Norte vein, you talked about rate to oil, where do you see the potential for ultimate resource conversion, is it in both of these areas or is there only a small portion of reserves in the Barrancas zone, maybe just give us a bit of context there?

Peter J. Marrone

Management

Yeah. I think next year we will see the reserve addition and resource growth coming from is probably Rey de Oro and Barrancas, but more Rey de Oro. At the end of last year, we had some very good intersects down deep in Rey de Oro that are higher grade. (inaudible) Mercedes, that’s what we will be following up and trying to connect with [Quandite] this year. Barrancas, we are waiting to get that development completed to drill that from underground. If you will recall, the problem that we have with Barrancas is about a 100 meters to 150 meters of post mineral cover sitting on top of that, which makes drilling and targeting very difficult from surface, so we wanted to do that from underground going forward. Steven Butler – Canaccord Genuity: Okay. Thanks very much. That’s it.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. The next question is from Salim Ben Mansour of BMO Capital Markets. Please go ahead. Salim Ben Mansour – BMO Capital Markets: Thank you. Hi, Peter. First question relating to the three new mines coming off provision in Brazil, I know you indicated first startup by mid year. Just want to know if you, how soon we are anticipating commercial production at each of the new mines?

Peter J. Marrone

Management

We were still planning same as what we said in the past, our expectation is that commercial production, the program offers in the period of three months, six months, the good measured to be approximately four months. Salim Ben Mansour – BMO Capital Markets: Okay.

Peter J. Marrone

Management

So in the case of – and just (inaudible) we’re still planning for the quarter and for the year. In the case of [Sequin and Sebaou] we will close at the end of the year Sebaou in operation in middle of the year, so that’s closer to the end of the year. So I would anticipate the end of Q2, within Q2 proposed at the end of (inaudible). Salim Ben Mansour – BMO Capital Markets: Thank you. And still in Brazil, I know you touched on it last quarter on the new mining law being introduced, any update on this or any anticipated impact?

Peter J. Marrone

Management

Yeah, I think the important thing to mention about Brazil is there are – and that these mining is in events in a country where all these a bit of a challenge, certain types of these because there is a lack of similarity with what one requires, what the impact of (inaudible) is on investment, and employment in the like. I would comfortably say, even Brazil doesn’t came into that category. Brazil is a country that recognizes the importance of mining, recognizes its contribution performance, contribution capital investment country. Revenues driven up of operations. And so we stand where we should, but now we also see what we said before, which is – there is more cooperation amongst various departments of governments up to the presidency on making sure that mining companies are protected in terms of getting their licenses and properties. Just to recap for those who are coming here, Brazil has indicated that the potential investment in mining which has been a cooperative process, but that is not yet been introduced. It’s also indicated that what we’d like to do is to issue new permits under that mining law. So the challenge that it presents itself, is what happens while that mining laws goes to production and for legislation and in fact (inaudible) but there has been a very cooperative process never been was the case last year and within what we saw last year, we said to you, it would occur. So there has been enough discussion that has taken place on what to give on a interim basis. And on an interim basis, we do have temporary licenses where we need them, I think it’s also important to say that things are not always binary, it does not have a license, it doesn’t have a license, the case of admissive policy be affirmative with regard – final permitting with regards to two mines in regard to sequence of dilutive and the amalgamation of different conjunctions, some of which are perfect and then some of which need final products. So it has become better than what it was last year, but consistent with what we forecast last year and sort of that cooperative approach to go from where we were last year to a provisional arrangement we’re permitting before the mining passed and then ultimately introduction and has to do with mining. Salim Ben Mansour – BMO Capital Markets: Okay. That’s it from me. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. (Operator Instructions) The next question is from Steve Parsons of National Bank Financial. Please go ahead. Steve Parsons – National Bank Financial: Yes. Good morning, thanks for taking my question, just a quick question, maybe in the press release or somewhere, but of the guidance provided for 2013 of 1.44 million to 1.6 million GEO, how much of that is expected to be commercial?

Peter J. Marrone

Management

There is a series of indication to that, but that you have some 10%, and if we don’t see, we’ll get back to you on the numbers, but you’re well directed and it’s a good clarification that 1.44 million ounces is the full production for the year. Steve Parsons – National Bank Financial: Right.

Peter J. Marrone

Management

So that would not include free commercial production for this policy (inaudible) and QDD Lower West, Gualcamayo, so give us a bit of an opportunity if you don’t mind, if you have any other questions, we are more than happy to address them, but Chuck and Patty are just going for the budgets just to keep you up more precise number to what we think. Steve Parsons – National Bank Financial: Okay, that will be great. I will actually leave it there for now. Thanks, okay.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. There are no further questions registered at this time. I would like to return the meeting over to Mr. Marrone.

Peter J. Marrone

Management

Yes, so we have that number…

Charles B. Main

Management

Just on the commercial production there is 100,000 ounces that would be pre-commercial production.

Peter J. Marrone

Management

So just over 1.3 million ounces. Just let me conclude the call then by making couple of clarifications and an opportunity to provide some final thoughts. And thank you for participating today. We know that this is a period of significant financial results being delivered by many companies in this industry. We would hope that our financial results and our operational results have been received well, certainly in absolute terms and by comparison with peers. A couple of clarification and some final thoughts; in our development slide, please note the C1 Santa Luz production averages 100,000 ounces after the first couple of years that should be higher initially. In the case of Pilar, we show 140,000 to 150,000 ounces. We will begin Pilar as we have said before with an annual production level of approximately 120,000 ounces. It is planned to increase above 140,000 ounces as the mining rate increases to match the plant capacity, and with better ounces as Darcy mentioned from Maria Lazarus that will give us an opportunity to get that production level. So final thoughts perhaps I can leave with you are the follows; we have had another year of strong exploration, operational and financial performance. We are now setting our sites into this current year and the years to follow. As Darcy state before mining is always challenging, although our objective remains to deliver growth, resources, reserves and production while it distracts the volume growth, we expect to continue to deliver comparatively low costs, and ultimately strong levels of cash flow and financial performance. And we have a track record of doing that, certainly this year is another, just keep it as another year of what I think is exemplary performance from an operations point of view, from a reserve and resource point, and from a financial performance point. And we anticipate being able to in this year and the nearest fall. With that, I’d like to thank you for joining us today.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, Mr. Marrone. The conference is now ended. Please disconnect your lines at this time and we thank you for your participation.