Earnings Labs

Ranpak Holdings Corp. (PACK)

Q3 2021 Earnings Call· Sat, Oct 30, 2021

$4.18

+1.33%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Hello, and welcome to the Ranpak Q3 2021 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] I will now hand over to Sara Horvath to begin today's presentation.

Sara Horvath

Analyst

Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Before we begin, I would like to remind you that we will discuss forward-looking statements as defined under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from those forward-looking statements as a result of various factors, including those discussed in our press release and the risk factors identified in our Form 10-K and our other filings filed with the SEC. Some of the statements and responses to your questions in this conference call may include forward-looking statements that are subject to future events and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from these statements. Ranpak assumes no obligation and does not intend to update any such forward-looking statements. We should not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements, all of which speak to the company only as of today. The earnings release we issued this morning and the presentation for today's call are posted on the Investor Relations section of our website. A copy of the release has been included in a Form 8-K that we submitted to the SEC before this call. We will also make a replay of this conference call available via webcast on the company website. For financial information that is presented on a non-GAAP basis, we have included reconciliations to the comparable GAAP information. Please refer to the table and slide presentation accompanying today's earnings release. Lastly, we will be filing with the SEC our 10-Q for the 3 months ending September 30, 2021. The 10-Q will be available through the SEC or on the Investor Relations section of our website. With me today, I have Omar Asali, our Chairman and CEO; and Bill Drew, our CFO. Omar will summarize our third quarter results, and Bill will provide some additional detail before opening up the call for questions. With that, I will turn the call over to Omar.

Omar Asali

Analyst

Thank you, Sara, and good morning, everyone. I appreciate you all joining us this morning. Ranpak continued the momentum of our strong first half of 2021 by delivering another quarter of outstanding results. Our strong performance was driven by our employee base around the globe, dedicating their efforts to drive growth and improvements in the business. The focus, dedication and most importantly, the effort has been tremendous, and I could not be more proud of the team. In particular, I'd like to recognize the supply chain team for their contributions over the past few months as we navigate a complex and dynamic supply chain environment. At the same time, our business development team has helped us add meaningful capabilities to our complex through our M&A and investment efforts. Demand for our products remains robust as companies across the globe are looking to make their fulfillment processes more efficient, more reliable and more environmentally friendly. Our teams have done an excellent job to position us well to meet this increased demand. We continue to expect a record year at Ranpak, meaningfully surpassing our original guidance and entering 2022 well-positioned to achieve our longer-term growth objectives. Our diversified portfolio once again delivered balanced results with all product lines, up meaningfully year-over-year and all regions displaying double-digit top line growth. We also have a number of initiatives in process currently that we believe will position Ranpak for success over the next few years. Our profitability was up meaningfully in the quarter as the teams have been working extremely hard to address headwinds from the inflation affecting so many input costs such as commodities and transportation as well as scarcity of labor. Although we are not completely immune from these market challenges, our teams have been diligent throughout the year and their pursuit to…

Bill Drew

Analyst

Thank you, Omar. In the deck, you will see a summary of some of our key performance indicators. We will also be filing our 10-Q, which provides further information on Ranpak's operating results. Machine placement increased at its fastest rate this year, increasing 14.2% year-over-year to over 129,000 machines globally. Cushioning systems grew 5.1%, Void-fill installed systems increased 14.7% and Wrapping increased a robust 33.3% year-over-year. Overall, net revenue for the company in the third quarter was up 25.6% year-over-year on a constant currency basis, driven by excellent top line performance in Europe and APAC as well as strong growth in North America. Within Europe and APAC, from a geographic standpoint, growth was most pronounced in Eastern Europe and the Nordic region with excellent performance as well in Australia, Japan and South Korea. In North America, we experienced strength in all regions, with the West and Midwest as particular bright spots. And regarding end markets, sectors such as health and beauty, electronics, retail and 3PLs continued their momentum. From a global perspective, within PPS, all categories were up meaningfully with Cushioning up 28.0%, Void-fill up 18.5% and Wrapping up 23.8% on a constant currency basis. Our gross profit increased 25.1% on a constant currency basis, driven by higher volume and price. This rate is just slightly behind our sales growth due to the impact of higher material and overhead as well as freight costs versus the prior year, partially offset by improved margin on automation and production variance, implying a gross margin of 39.1% in the quarter compared to 39.3% in the prior year. Adjusted EBITDA rose 20.3% year-over-year to $28.5 million, implying a robust 29.8% margin. In the quarter, we benefited from strong sales growth, which was slightly offset by increased operating costs related to production and investments in…

Omar Asali

Analyst

Thank you, Bill. To summarize, I'm very happy with our performance. The environment is not an easy one to navigate with the pandemic inflationary pressures on supply chain headwinds, but we have a great team and a great model that continues to show its power and resilience. These are exciting times at Ranpak. Our headcount is now greater than 850 people, up from 550 when Ranpak first went public. The talent we have added is across the board, and I'm pleased to report our new folks are hitting the ground running and integrating well with the Ranpak veterans, all coming together to deliver a better world. Every day, we take one step closer in our cultural development, focusing as one global team on customer centricity, performance and accountability. Along with sustainability, those principles comprise our North Star. To continue to build our ownership culture, I'm proud to share that in September, we made a companywide equity grant for employees on payroll at that date and do not receive equity as part of their annual compensation. The grant vests after two years of continued employment and is the second grant of its nature we have made since going public. I'm thankful to our Board for supporting this equity ownership program as I believe the first grant we did back in 2019 went a long way toward establishing our ownership culture. I believe this additional grant cements that mindset and instill that behavior even further. With that, thanks again for joining us this morning. I will now open it up to questions. Operator?

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question today comes from Greg Palm of Craig-Hallum Capital Group. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Greg Palm

Analyst

Thanks. Good morning, everyone and congrats on the really good results here.

Omar Asali

Analyst

Good morning, Greg.

Bill Drew

Analyst

Thanks, Greg.

Greg Palm

Analyst

So, I guess just kind of starting on supply chain logistics environment. You seem to have navigated this a whole lot better than what we're hearing from a lot of other companies out there. And so I guess my question is, was there any impact or maybe you can quantify if there was an impact. And I guess, looking ahead, do you feel like you have sufficient inventory levels and at least line of sight into at least continuing to navigate this sort of whole mess in the year and into next year?

Omar Asali

Analyst

Yes, Greg, I feel very good about the effort that the team is putting into it. Supply chain, obviously, right now is a tricky topic for all sorts of companies. I think as we look out for the next number of months, we feel very good. It's taking more work, and it's taking more effort. But I think our planning has paid off when we started investing a bit more in working capital, planning to build safety stock in our inventory as well as in our converters, all that is paying off. I think what we see right now is a continuation of some delays here and there, freight costs creeping up, but the overall picture for us continues to be a pretty good one, and we continue to feel that despite the challenges, given the incremental work we are doing, we are well-positioned.

Greg Palm

Analyst

Got it. And I know we're only allowed one question. So I just want to maybe clarify, Bill, some of your comments on profitability and challenging year-over-year compares. Obviously, last year's margin was maybe an outlier, but even with all sorts of maybe some investments and increased costs. Is it still fair to assume that you're expecting a nice bump in EBITDA margins at least sequentially.

Bill Drew

Analyst

Yes, Greg, I think that's fair. I think I just wanted to point out in the opening remarks that last year was exceptionally profitable for us. We had a favorable paper pricing environment as well as exceptional capacity utilization within the production facility. So it is a little bit more challenging year-over-year given the environment that we are in.

Greg Palm

Analyst

Yep. Make sense. All right. I will hop in a queue, thanks.

Operator

Operator

Our next question today comes from Ghansham Panjabi from Baird. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Ghansham Panjabi

Analyst

Thank you. And good morning, Omar and Drew.

Omar Asali

Analyst

Good morning, Ghansham.

Ghansham Panjabi

Analyst

Yes, so I guess my question is really on 2022. I mean there's obviously a lot going on. You have supply chain constraints, sort of your customers, sort of your suppliers. Based on what you see at this point, can you give us a framework as to how to think about how you expect machine placements and some of the major constituents as we kind of tighten up our models specific to 2022. And then related to that, North America has picked up quite a bit in terms of growth. And Europe and Asia Pac has been carrying the optics of the growth over the past several quarters. Do you see that -- do you sort of envision a more balanced sort of growth contribution in 2022, specific to those two separate regions?

Omar Asali

Analyst

I do, Ghansham. I think '22 will shape up to be a little bit more balanced given all the investments that we've done in North America. And in the last couple of quarters, we started trending nicely in the U.S., and I expect that to continue in 2022. Look, despite the challenges from a supply chain standpoint, labor market standpoint, demand for our product continues to be robust. From everything we're seeing, our expectation is that robustness will go into 2022. We expect demand for our converters, demand for our automation solutions and frankly, demand for cold chain as we build more capabilities there to be quite strong. When we look at underlying sectors in retail, in industrial activity, in automotive, toys, health and beauty, and I can go on and on, we are seeing quite a bit of strength with our end users. And despite the challenges of getting products to them on time, etcetera, and then shipping to their own customers, we think that picture is going to be with us for a little while. So our expectations is that we believe, given the demand that we are seeing and the backlog of interest that we are seeing that 2022 should shape up pretty nicely for us.

Ghansham Panjabi

Analyst

Got it. Thanks so much.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Adam Samuelson of Goldman Sachs. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Adam Samuelson

Analyst

Hi. Yes, thank you. Good morning, everyone.

Omar Asali

Analyst

Good morning.

Adam Samuelson

Analyst

Good morning. So I guess two part question. One, looking at the performance in the quarter in terms of machine placements, a sequential change in the installed base was the biggest you've had on a quarterly basis since you've been a public company. And I’ve just trying to get a sense of that activity kind of getting and trying to get ahead of supply chain challenges, getting ahead of the holiday season? Or do you think there really has been a bigger step change in terms of the demand for paper solution and with your customers? And I guess the corollary to that is with that step-up in the installed base potentially with some newer customers, does that -- does it take time for those newer customers to start pulling product and at the rate consistent with the rest of the installed base such that your kind of revenue per machine might tick down just given a less mature customer set?

Omar Asali

Analyst

I will let Bill take a big part of both of your questions, but let me start by just the following observation. I think what we are seeing with demand for our converters, you're spot on that typically the way our cycle works, is selling the idea of our product to our customer, trialing it, then it close, then you're installing and that's what you're seeing. And then there's a little bit of a ramp up period until they're using more and more of that product. I think to the point I was mentioning earlier in terms of a more balanced growth part of that more balanced approach is you're seeing more converters, more equipment being placed also in the North American market driving that growth. So that's certainly driving the number of converters out there. When we are planning ahead, certainly, we are keeping supply chain in mind as we plan ahead. But the biggest driver is the bottom-up analysis customer by customer, where we see demand and where we see the needs for our equipment. And that's reflected sort of in our numbers of growth, in terms of the number of converters out there. So I think that’s typically a great sign for our business in terms of continuously ramping up growth in revenues. But Bill, maybe I turn it over to you.

Bill Drew

Analyst

Sure. Thanks, Omar. So no, Adam, demand has been strong, right? Consumer spending has been solid. Industrial activity continues to come back and we like what we are seeing there. Even some increasing activity on the regulatory front and also some increased shareholder activity, too. So I do think that's getting folks attention and getting folks to take a look at paper-based solutions. So the demand, we feel good about kind of across the globe. There was a little bit of pent-up demand, I think, in North America as we were getting caught up on some conversions from earlier this year. But overall, it's been pretty steady. And you're spot on, 14.2% is up versus the 12.9% in the first couple of quarters of the year and then I think versus nine or so in the quarter last year. So overall, I feel good about the machine placement and continuing to go and drive growth. As far as when those start contributing, yes, there can be a lag at times as people get their operations ramped up. Sometimes they do have to work through existing inventories if they didn't make a switch from plastic or resin-based products to ours. So there could be a little bit of a lag, but not dramatic in most cases.

Adam Samuelson

Analyst

All right. That’s [indiscernible] color. I will pass it on. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Stefanos Crist of CJS Securities. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Stefanos Crist

Analyst

Omar and Bill, good morning. Congrats on the quarter.

Omar Asali

Analyst

Good morning, Stef.

Stefanos Crist

Analyst

I'd like to go in a little more on the Creapaper investment. Maybe can you discuss your long-term vision there? Will this grass paper be put in machines eventually? Any detail you can give on that would be great.

Omar Asali

Analyst

Yes, sure. So Creapaper is honestly a terrific opportunity for us. Based in Germany, they use grass fiber to produce certain paper products. So those grass pellets and fiber go into the mills. And the paper that's being made, which is of different basis weights, it's 20-30, in some cases, 40% grass fiber and the rest is the normal wood fiber. There are a couple of strategic interest that we have that we think Creapaper brings to the table: One, you guys have heard me in different quarterly calls talk about our retail effort. Creapaper with their grass fiber technology makes a lot of different consumer products, so tissue paper, toilet paper, napkins, envelopes, et cetera., that are partially made of grass paper, and these are all products that we're very interested in to broaden our retail suite as we're talking to retailers. And then the second piece is for our own paper consumption in some of our applications, in particular, Void-fill, et cetera., we think grass fiber could play a role and we are working with them on sort of implementing that solution in the future. And that makes our own paper usage other than you know the majority of our paper is recycled content, will include more fiber from grass, which saves on water usage, energy usage and carbon emissions. So we feel there is just a huge sustainable opportunity both in our core business as well as in our retail offering.

Stefanos Crist

Analyst

That’s great. Thank you. And I will jump back in queue.

Omar Asali

Analyst

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our next question comes from Alexander Leach of Berenberg Capital Markets. Your line is open. Please go ahead.

Alexander Leach

Analyst

Good morning guys and thank you for taking my question. Just on Automated Solutions, I noticed in your press release that sort of pick up in terms of its growth rate. When we start thinking about 2022, what are your backlogs looking like within this business line? And can we expect a sort of further acceleration from here on now? I understand it's sort of a low base currently, but what's the sort of outlook like when we look forward to next year.

Omar Asali

Analyst

Yes. Good morning, Alex. I think and I've said this before, for the rest of this year, we are pretty much booked for -- with automation with our slots. As you look at our backlog for the early part of 2022, it looks very, very strong. We continue, as we speak right now to work on opportunities in '22, in particular, stuff right now that we are working on that we can close, we can deliver later in the year. From a percentage standpoint, I expect automation in '22 over '21 to deliver outstanding results. But as you indicated, it's still a relatively small piece of our puzzle. I think the growth potential is frankly limited by our ability to make and ship the equipment. It's not limited in terms of demand and that's where we are investing heavily in more engineering, more machine assembly, a bigger service and parts organization so that we can meet that demand. I'm expecting that you'll see, frankly, very strong numbers from us in 2022. And certainly, if you look at it percentage wise '22 over '21, they're going to be very strong.

Alexander Leach

Analyst

Great. Thanks, guys.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We have also received a follow-up from Greg Palm. Greg, your line has been opened.

Greg Palm

Analyst

Thanks. I guess I just wanted to follow-up on the automation side because it just -- it feels like what we've seen over the last few months, probably just only adds fuel to the interest level there. And I guess, Omar, really, what I'm trying to figure out is how does this business ramp? And what is your kind of long-term vision in terms of what customers are actually asking you to do and provide for them?

Omar Asali

Analyst

So, Greg, we really are focused on end-of-line activity and that includes anything from robotic arms, putting the padding or putting the item, to box customization, to case erection, to living labeling, everything that happens toward the end of the line of putting an item inside a box or a parcel all the way to shipping it, frankly, including loading and unloading given our partnership with Pickle. We today have solutions that can automate the full part of your business. We also have solutions that could reduce the amount of labor and partially automate it. The vision is to continue to invest in that, both from a hardware standpoint, a software standpoint and the machine learning and computer vision standpoint. And frankly, we have the talent and the pieces in place to do that. So that's a division for our business. In terms of what our customers are asking for, it depends on the customer. Some customers are asking for the full solution, some customers are asking for pieces and bits of it where they may need certain help with padding or with case erection or with box sizing. So we're having a lot of dialogue with customers. I really think in automation, we are in the first inning of this opportunity. So I know we've been investing behind it and talking about it. We've been putting pieces together for the last year, 1.5 years. And during COVID, we try to invest more in our business to get ready. I think the opportunity for the next 2 to 3 years is phenomenal, and it's up to us to execute to go and deliver on that opportunity and that's what we are trying to do as a company.

Greg Palm

Analyst

Okay. That’s great. Looking forward to seeing how that evolves.

Omar Asali

Analyst

Thanks, Greg.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] At this time, we have no further questions. So I will hand back over to management.

Bill Drew

Analyst

Great. Thank you, and thanks, everybody for joining today. We look forward to catching up on the next quarterly call.

Operator

Operator

We thank you for joining today’s conference and the call is now concluded. So you may now disconnect your lines.