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Phibro Animal Health Corporation (PAHC)

Q1 2020 Earnings Call· Fri, Nov 8, 2019

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. And welcome to the Phibro Animal Health Corporation’s First Quarter Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions].I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Richard Johnson. Please go ahead, sir.

Richard Johnson

Analyst · David Risinger from Morgan Stanley. Your line is open

Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone and welcome to the Phibro Animal Health earnings call, for our first quarter ended September 2019.On the call today are Jack Bendheim, our Chief Executive Officer and myself Richard Johnson, Chief Financial Officer. We’ll provide an overview of our quarterly results and then we’ll open the lines for your questions.So, before we begin, let me remind you as usual that the earnings Press Release and Financial Tables can be found on the Investors section of our website at www.pahc.com. We’re also providing a simultaneous webcast of this morning’s call, which can be accessed on the website as well. Today’s Presentation slides and a replay and transcript of the call will also be available on the website later today.Our remarks today will include forward-looking statements, and actual results could differ materially from those projections. For a list and description of certain factors that could cause results to differ, I refer you to the forward-looking statements section in our earnings Press Release.Our remarks today will also include references to certain financial measures, which were not prepared in accordance with Generally Accepted Accounting Principles or U.S. GAAP. I refer you to the non-GAAP financial information section in our earnings Press Release for a discussion of these measures. Reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to the most directly comparable U.S. GAAP measures are included in the financial tables that accompany the earnings Press Release.Before we get into the numbers, let me remind everyone that we present our results on a GAAP basis and on an adjusted basis. We present adjusted results that exclude acquisition related items, unusual, nonoperational or non-recurring items such as stock-based compensation and restructuring costs and other income, expense items that are separately reported in our consolidated statement of operations, including foreign currency gains and losses, and lastly, the income tax effects related to any pretax adjustments and in addition any unusual or non-recurring income tax items.So, with that out of the way, let me introduce Jack Bendheim with some introductory comments. Jack.

Jack Bendheim

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Thank you, Dick, and thank you everyone who is joining us on the call.Much has happened at Phibro in the 10 or so weeks since our last call and I’m pleased to be able to give you an update this morning. Our September quarter largely hit our top-line and bottom-line expectations, as we reported declines compared to the previous year, as we guided in August.We knew that sales impact of the hit to our China business due to African Swine Fever, coupled with the final full quarter overlap with the exited of U.S. vaccine distribution agreement, would be too much to overcome. The balance of our core animal health business was relatively strong with nice growth in the poultry and dairy sectors for our nutritional specialty products and despite some continuing macroeconomic headwinds in the key countries, growth of approximately 5% in our vaccine product line, excluding the loss of the previously mentioned distribution agreement.The overall growth we have seen in our dairy, nutritional specialties business includes some very encouraging performance in our OmniGen line in the US. Our sales of OmniGen in the US steadily increased throughout the quarter and that strength has continued into October. This performance has no doubt benefited from the improving economics for our dairy customers and nicely set the table for us to accelerate our growth with the revamp of the OmniGen franchise being launched early in 2020.Our revamped product will deliver a ton of value to the dairy industry, so we have high expectations with industry uptake and financial performance beginning in the second half of this fiscal year.We have also seen strongly positive initial sales of our Provia Prime direct-fed microbial, or DFM, product for poultry. We believe Provia Prime is the best-in-class DFM available today and will have an important benefit…

Richard Johnson

Analyst · David Risinger from Morgan Stanley. Your line is open

Thanks, Jack. So, let me just briefly review our results for the quarter and then we’ll get to the Q&A session.Our consolidated results were about – our consolidated sales were about $190 million for the quarter that was a 5% decline versus the same quarter last year. animal health sales declined due to African Swine Fever in China and the overlap with a U.S. vaccine distribution arrangement we exited in October last year.Mineral Nutrition saw a volume growth, but revenues declined due to lower selling prices driven by lower raw material costs. Our reported net income of $2.5 million was down almost $14 million due to the reduced sales and increased SG&A expenses coupled with increased interest expense and unfavorable foreign currency movements. That resulted in reported diluted EPS of $0.06 per share for the current quarter and that decline was in line with the change in net income.And let me discuss the adjusted results on page, six. So, looking at selected line items from the P&L, I’ll discuss net sales in more detail at the individual segment level. In total, adjusted gross profit declined $7.6 million, or 11%, compared to the prior year. The Animal Health business accounted for more than the entire decline due to the reduced sales, and in addition unfavorable product mix.Mineral Nutrition gross profit contributed almost $1 million of improvement over the prior year, despite the lower revenues. Adjusted SG&A increased $3.3 million or 8%, driven by strategic investments in key development projects to position ourselves for future growth, plus the inclusion of the Osprey acquisition in our operational results.All of the year-over-year increase was reported in the Animal Health and Corporate Segments. Adjusted net interest increased to $0.5 million over last year, due to higher outstanding debt levels. Going all the way down to…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Erin Wright from Credit Suisse. Your line is open.

Haley Christofides

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Hi, thanks for the question. This is Haley on for Erin this morning. First I was wondering, how would you characterize the current MFA demand trends in the U.S.? And are you starting to see the impact or offsets from ASF in terms of increased demand from other geographies like in the U.S. or Brazil? Thank you.

Jack Bendheim

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Thank you for that. I think we are seeing and as we’ve said now for a long time – the shortage of protein in China is affecting protein production around the world, including the U.S. I mean, lots of choices that people could do to keep their animals healthy and to get – a healthier animal obviously puts on more weight. So we are seeing stronger demand I think across the world, both for MFAs, as well as nutritional specialties and we’re seeing the strong demand in some markets for vaccines with the same purpose. So I think overall it’s a good time to be in the protein business out of China.

Haley Christofides

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Great, thank you. And also, could you characterize a little bit the current trends across the dairy market; are you seeing some stabilization?

Jack Bendheim

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

So I think as I said in the presentation a few minutes ago, we are seeing the stabilization of prices, dairy prices across the world and in the U.S. We’ve seen typically our OmniGen business and our other business that we sell into dairy market increasing, slight increases or at least the declines have stopped. I think we’re seeing fewer closing of smaller dairy producers in the U.S. and I think that’s stabilizing. And a lot – it’s hard to say it is directly China, but again, milk is a protein as well and so indirectly it’s been affected by that. So we are seeing stabilization and some growth in our business in the States for that sector.

Haley Christofides

Analyst · Credit Suisse. Your line is open

Okay, that’s helpful. Thank you so much.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of David Risinger from Morgan Stanley. Your line is open.

David Risinger

Analyst · David Risinger from Morgan Stanley. Your line is open

Thanks very much. So I have two quick questions please, for you Jack and Dick. But first is, could you talk about African Swine Fever at a higher level? Is it spreading beyond China to any notable degree?And then second, with respect to the MFA issues that you touched on for Phibro outside of China, could you just provide a little bit more color on the customer ordering issues and you know whether that will continue into the December quarter or not? Thanks so much.

Jack Bendheim

Analyst · David Risinger from Morgan Stanley. Your line is open

Yes, sure. Hi David. So, you know we’ve already read as well that in the Far East African Swine Fever has, I mean jumped the borders and it’s sort of, I would say prevalent in Vietnam. It’s been reported in South Korea; it’s been reported in some of the other countries in that part of the world. It’s very, very hard to contain African Swine Fever, but the responses in most of the world using good biosecurity has always been an effective way for limiting the damage of African Swine Fever.It’s been in Spain years ago; it’s been in Eastern Europe, but you see the crisis that we’ve seen in China. So yes, while it’s moving, I don’t think we are going to see the effect that it has had in China, at least we so far have not seen the effect.So I think China is unique, but China is also the biggest country in the world and China’s also the biggest consumer of pork in the world and etcetera, etcetera and if that – and the amount of pigs that have gone missing in China because of the African Swine Fever and then it’s the fact that people just didn’t want to raise pigs, has had this unbelievable economic effect.There was an article; I believe it was in the Journal yesterday talking about Smithfield, talking about how they’ve changed. You know they are all smiling and how their exporting has gone up a lot to China. So I think it’s true for a lot of U.S. companies and it’s going to be true for a lot of animal health companies.I didn’t exactly understand your MFA business, you know question on business. Again, as you know from a long – our many discussions over these many years, animals get sick, animals get sick when you raise them together. And now in a time when you’re getting more money per kilo, more money per pound, you want to keep your animals as healthy as possible, and there are many ways of doing it.Some of them use antibiotics, some of them are going to use as a treatment with antibiotics, we have preventive antibiotics, we have pre-antibiotics; for some it’s going to be in nutritional specialties and some it’s going to be a vaccine. So there’s a whole range of solutions if you want to keep your animals healthy and if you are a producer today, you want to get the most of your animals. So it’s not necessarily just MFAs.

Richard Johnson

Analyst · David Risinger from Morgan Stanley. Your line is open

Yes David, just to add a little more specifically on your question David, no, we wouldn’t expect this to carry forward. Our forecasts don’t show this carrying forward in the rest of our year. This was as Jack described it, to this quarter.

David Risinger

Analyst · David Risinger from Morgan Stanley. Your line is open

Great, thank you.

Richard Johnson

Analyst · David Risinger from Morgan Stanley. Your line is open

You’re welcome.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Kevin Kedra from G. Research. Your line is open.

Kevin Kedra

Analyst · Kevin Kedra from G. Research. Your line is open

Thanks for taking the questions. Maybe first, you talked about how your excitement with the Provia Prime and Osprey and how’s that going? Can you give us any other insight on to what the pipeline looks like for the Osprey products and when we could start to see some other things coming out of that acquisition?And then secondly, you’ve kind of alluded to it on Rejensa that it’s off to a very good start in these initial trials. Should we really be thinking about that as kind of an opportunity next year or could we see something in the back half of the year where that product starts to become a contributor to revenue?

Jack Bendheim

Analyst · Kevin Kedra from G. Research. Your line is open

I’ll take Rejensa first. I think we should see Rejensa being a contributor next year and we are slowly building up. As I said, we are trialing, introducing the product to the vets and we’re trying to discover or find the best channels to get to the vet. So we’re seeing successes, small successes and we’ll bring you along with us on this journey, the next quarter and the following quarter, but I think this could be a product that will have some sort of a meaningful numbers in the next fiscal year.On Osprey, I think what, it’s going to be a little bit too early. We just sort of got involved with their business. What I can tell you is we are busy installing, almost a doubling of capacity of their ability to produce. So our feelings about the growth of that business is very strong, but sort of when we took them over they were sort of running full out, and you got to have the product before you can sell it. But we’re working on both sales growth, sales initiatives, as well as production initiatives.

Kevin Kedra

Analyst · Kevin Kedra from G. Research. Your line is open

Okay, thanks.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Michael Ryskin from Bank of America. Your line is open.

Michael Ryskin

Analyst · Michael Ryskin from Bank of America. Your line is open

Thanks for taking the question guys. I want to start on some of the new products you highlighted where you talked – touched on a few of these, but I want to ask about the next-generation OmniGen for the dairy industry.You talked about the second fiscal half starting in January contribution. How meaningful are we looking here; just thinking that there’s a lot of moving pieces in the guide this year versus the last year between the China MFA reduction and the distribution agreement you talked about. As we look to the second half of the year, is that often mostly coming from these new products coming online or is there something else built-in in terms of you know the pacing as you move through the year?

Richard Johnson

Analyst · Michael Ryskin from Bank of America. Your line is open

Yes, I think the new products are going to be a major contributor to that accelerating sales growth in the second half of our year, Mike, and I wouldn’t limit it to just the refreshed OmniGen product that we’ve got, you know various vaccines, you know we’ve got the DFM. We’ve got – and even in our more traditional MFA category where we’re expanding geographically and we’ve got products that are having good acceptance in some other geographies, so you know there’s a lot of things.The repositioned, refreshed OmniGen will definitely be a contributor in the second half. I think it will – like all products, it’ll ramp over time. It’s not going to be the next-generation iPhone or something like that, but...

Jack Bendheim

Analyst · Michael Ryskin from Bank of America. Your line is open

So we’re telling you to don’t buy a bag and hold it to your ear.

Michael Ryskin

Analyst · Michael Ryskin from Bank of America. Your line is open

I’ll keep that in the mind.

Jack Bendheim

Analyst · Michael Ryskin from Bank of America. Your line is open

And the other advantage of it is, it will definitely – I mean your kids won’t have a lot of screen time on it either.

Richard Johnson

Analyst · Michael Ryskin from Bank of America. Your line is open

I think, we know this business very well, we know the dairy business very well. The market has changed substantially; we’ve spoken about this often over the last couple of years. We were very successful at OmniGen with the smaller dairies and the economics of dairy business has closed a lot of the small dairies.The cows haven’t disappeared. The cows have moved, the number of cows in the United States have stayed pretty steady over these last 5 years. The cows have moved to these larger dairies and we needed to come up. So the people know the product, but we needed to come up with a product that would be more meaningful in these larger dairies and I think that’s what we’ve done now.So it’s not like we’re taking a brand new concept or a brand new product and trying to get into a market. We know this market very well. We know these customers. People have gone in from the small farms to the larger farms. So we are giving them more value and you know it took us a while to reformulate. It took us a while to do the tests and get the background and get the university tests behind us. We are very comfortable and the launch time is as we said, it’s going to be early 2020.

Michael Ryskin

Analyst · Michael Ryskin from Bank of America. Your line is open

Great, that’s helpful. And actually right along those lines, around some of the shift in the dairy industry in the United States, and perhaps some more broader than that to the MFA segment internationally as well. You know with the gross margin declines you saw in this quarter, a lot of them was tied to the volumes, but then also some product mix. As you have these new products coming out over the course of the year and going forward, are you going to be able to offset some of that volume pressure with being able to take a little bit more price potentially?

Richard Johnson

Analyst · Michael Ryskin from Bank of America. Your line is open

Definitely, our guidance for the year and our expectations for the rest of the year is to see margins improve from where they were in Q1. I think that that margin improvement will come from new product introductions, product mix. It’s not about taking price in the sense of just going out and raising prices, but it’s providing more value to your customer with these differentiated products.

Jack Bendheim

Analyst · Michael Ryskin from Bank of America. Your line is open

Yes, we expect our margins to increase.

Richard Johnson

Analyst · Michael Ryskin from Bank of America. Your line is open

Yes, right, right.

Michael Ryskin

Analyst · Michael Ryskin from Bank of America. Your line is open

Great! And one last one if I may. On the leverage and sort of the balance sheet you highlighted you know slightly higher debt level from the Osprey acquisition. Could you talk about your leverage going forward? How high would you be willing to lever up if some assets in either the companion animal or livestock markets came up and there’s an opportunity to bolt-on to the business through an organic means?

Richard Johnson

Analyst · Michael Ryskin from Bank of America. Your line is open

So I think we are in the market and we look at assets as they come on to the market. I think we’re not that comfortable at very high leverage, but we will lever up if there’s an opportunity and we can buy right. So we’re not going to overpay and just use the available debt capacity, but we will add debt if we could buy an asset at the right price.

Michael Ryskin

Analyst · Michael Ryskin from Bank of America. Your line is open

Great, thanks so much.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of David Westerberg from Guggenheim Securities. Your line is open.

David Westerberg

Analyst · David Westerberg from Guggenheim Securities. Your line is open

Hi, thanks for taking the questions. So a question on the African Swine Fever vaccine. It’s interesting to hear a multi-billion dollar market. So can you talk about some of the sizing of that market in terms of maybe price versus the average vaccine, kind of the reach of a vaccine like that and how accommodating do you think regulators would be to getting that product out sooner rather than later?

Jack Bendheim

Analyst · David Westerberg from Guggenheim Securities. Your line is open

So, that is a great question. I’m not throwing that out as everyone always does. So in China, people are talking that in the excess of 50% of the pigs are gone and it doesn’t mean that they all have gotten an African Swine Fever. If you have a herd, you know if you have 1,000 pigs and four gets it, it’s very, very virulent and they will die within 10 days. And then basically authorities come and you cull – you kill all the other pigs that you find are not growing and then if that happens to you, you’re not going to go back and spend money and raise pigs again.So subsequently China grows and consumes approximately 800 million pigs a year, which more or less means it has a standing herd of about 400 million pigs. So you know if you just pick the number 50%, because I can’t do advanced math, that’s 400 million pigs that are missing. The rest of the world altogether raises about 400 million pigs. So this is something that cannot be solved by China just importing pigs. They have to solve it on their own. And pigs, pork is the main protein in China. It’s the basics. It’s in every food and it’s extremely important.So if we are successful in coming up with a vaccine, and our approach on this thing is quite unusual, because our approach is not using the virus as the source. So I think our product, if we are successful, and again, that’s a big if. If we are successful, it would be a very safe vaccine.That even if you can help and control and protect the pigs at 20% or something like that, there would be a market and the Chinese government will be very cooperative,…

David Westerberg

Analyst · David Westerberg from Guggenheim Securities. Your line is open

I really appreciate it. That was really great color. So then maybe can you just on a high level with poultry. I feel we’re all talking about dairy, we’re talking about ASF. Can you give us maybe a high level of what’s going on with the poultry part of your portfolio? It was slightly down last year. How confident are you in terms of rebounding there in that species? Thank you.

Jack Bendheim

Analyst · David Westerberg from Guggenheim Securities. Your line is open

And so again, you know poultry for us is the question of markets, but our biggest market is in the U.S. and Brazil and the Far East and Russia is all quite strong this year. Again, we have some new vaccines that we’re introducing in markets that seem to be quite successful. You are in some herds or out of some herds, it rotates. But overall the poultry business is strong and our business is stronger within that.And then we have this unusual nutritional product, which is strong when people go antibiotic-free in poultry and they increase their vaccines in poultry. We have a very successful nutritional product, we call it Magni-Phi, which has very, very good acceptance in the U.S. and we’re now introducing it in Brazil and in some other markets as well. So I know we never talk about poultry, we should. Thank you for raising it.

David Westerberg

Analyst · David Westerberg from Guggenheim Securities. Your line is open

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I’ll turn the call back over to Mr. Johnson.

Richard Johnson

Analyst · David Risinger from Morgan Stanley. Your line is open

Alright, everyone, we thank you for your time and for listening and we’ll talk again on our next quarterly call. Bye now.

Operator

Operator

This concludes today’s conference call. You may now disconnect.