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PagerDuty, Inc. (PD)

Q4 2026 Earnings Call· Thu, Mar 12, 2026

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Transcript

Christine Cloonan

Management

Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us to discuss PagerDuty's Fourth Quarter and Full Year Fiscal 2026 results. With me on today's call are Jennifer Tejada, PagerDuty's Chairperson and Chief Executive Officer; and Howard Wilson, our Chief Financial Officer. Before we begin, let me remind everyone that statements made on this call include forward-looking statements based on the environment as we currently see it, which involve known and unknown risks and uncertainties that may cause our actual results, performance or achievements to be materially different from those expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include our growth prospects, future revenue, operating margins, net income, cash balance and total addressable market, among others, and represent our management's beliefs and assumptions only as of the date such statements are made, and we undertake no obligation to update these. During today's call, we will discuss non-GAAP financial measures, which are in addition to and not a substitute for or superior to measures of financial performance prepared in accordance with GAAP. A reconciliation between GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures is available in our earnings release, which can be found on our Investor Relations website. Further information on these and other factors that could cause the company's financial results to differ materially are included in filings we make with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including our most recently filed Form 10-K as well as our subsequent filings made with the SEC. With that, I'll turn the call over to Jennifer.

Jennifer Tejada

Management

Thank you, Christine. Good afternoon, and thanks for joining us today. Fiscal 2026 was a transformational year for PagerDuty. We stabilized ARR in Q4 and accelerated new and expansion business, ending the year with solid fourth quarter results. In our first GAAP profitable year, we continued to increase operating margin through disciplined execution, while advancing our AI-first operations for mission-critical work. In Q4, we delivered $125 million in revenue, up 3% year-over-year and 24% non-GAAP operating margin, both above our guidance ranges. Total annual recurring revenue ended the year at $499 million, with an increasing contribution from enterprise customers. Throughout the year, we expanded non-GAAP operating margin by nearly 700 basis points through consistent discipline, structural efficiency initiatives and AI adoption. We see a clear path to our long-term target of 30% non-GAAP operating margin, as we increase our own operational AI leverage and drive our customers' consumption of our AI platform. Leading growth indicators in the quarter were increasingly encouraging. Total platform customers grew significantly to over 35,000 total paid and free customers, up 14% year-over-year. Improved conversion from both free to paid and total top of funnel led to over 600 new customers, including AI natives and enterprises, accelerating 17% year-over-year. These segments combined are high value and high propensity to grow. We expanded with AI natives and AI-first companies like Anduril, CoreWeave, Snowflake and Scale AI. Companies across the globe demonstrated deep trust in PagerDuty. In EMEA, Banco Santander, Bupa and Vodafone are just a few that expanded. Likewise, our Asia Pac and Japan teams experienced success through strategic deals, including an expansion with JR East Railway Information Systems and one of Australia's largest banks. New and expansion performance in the quarter was our strongest for the fiscal year, up 6% from the previous year and sequentially…

Howard Wilson

Management

Thank you, Jen, and good day to everyone joining us on this afternoon's call. Unless otherwise stated, all references to our expenses and operating results on this call are on a non-GAAP basis and are reconciled to our GAAP results in the earnings release that was posted on our Investor Relations website. Before reviewing our fourth quarter and full year financial results, I want to highlight the durability of our business model. We achieved our first full year of GAAP profitability, a testament to our operational discipline. We expect to maintain full year GAAP profitability in FY '27. This financial strength allows us to return capital to shareholders, while simultaneously funding our transformation. In FY '26, we repurchased approximately 10 million shares under our $200 million repurchase plan, leaving roughly $63 million of the authorized amount available at quarter end. Our consistent cash generation and a strong cash position allow us to advance our enterprise transformation and invest in AI regardless of the macro environment, while returning capital to shareholders. Moving to results for the quarter, we delivered revenue of $125 million, up 3% year-over-year, with international revenue increasing 6% year-over-year, contributing 29% of total revenue. Annual recurring revenue exiting Q4 grew 1% year-over-year to approximately $499 million. Despite the macro headwind of seat compression in some of our customers, our enterprise strategy is working. Customers spending over $100,000 in annual recurring revenue grew to 861, up 1% year-over-year. More importantly, the ARR from this cohort, including our largest, most strategic customers increased to 72% of total ARR. Customers with ARR over $1 million increased to 79, up 10% year-over-year. This shift towards larger, stickier enterprise relationships is central to our long-term growth thesis. Moving to profitability, GAAP net income was $11 million, our third consecutive quarter of GAAP profitability.…

Operator

Operator

Thank you so much, Howard and Jennifer. We're going to turn to questions from the analysts joined into the call. We'll start with our representative from Morgan Stanley, Sanjit Singh. Sanjit, please go ahead.

Sanjit Singh

Management

I wanted to get a sense on the flex space pricing, the consumption pricing. What's been the receptivity from your customers, particularly your larger ones? They also want to solve for predictability. And so I just want to get the feedback on the receptivity of the flex space pricing. And then do you have a -- as we think about this year, do you have a -- is there a way to think about what percentage of the base will be on the new pricing model by the end of the year?

Jennifer Tejada

Management

Sure. Thanks for the question. Flex pricing has been received very positively by large enterprise. And I mentioned earlier the strength of large deals in the quarter and the $1 million-plus spend cohort growing in the teens. I think what is driving it is, one, those customers really appreciate the reduction of friction and access to new products. And by taking away the friction of counting heads or seats, they actually can go after new use cases. So we talked about a large semiconductor provider that's using us in their supply chain environment and their GPU utilization. We've had a very large manufacturer using us for manufacturing operations. And some of these really, really large enterprises that are somewhat asset-heavy are seeing opportunities to not just attack digital operations, but also traditional operations and AI operations, really anything that is software-enabled. In terms of the transition itself, you all have seen these types of transitions in the past. The leading indicators give us a lot of confidence. Those leading indicators are large deals, ARR improvement through the year, gross retention improvement that we expect through the year, success with AI natives, AI-first companies, large enterprise as well as new acquisition and expansion. And those are the measures on which I would track our progress and how we're tracking our progress in moving through the base in that transition. At the same time, we're acquiring very attractive new customers that are expanding with us regularly through the year. And we've talked about large frontier LLM model providers. We've talked about native AI applications, some of the folks in the AI infrastructure space, but again, continuing to win in enterprise. Finally, what I would say with regard to the pricing transition, we're getting much more practice with it. And as we scale that through the sales force, we expect it to continue to improve.

Sanjit Singh

Management

Awesome. And then just more broadly, I'd love to get the team's perspective on what's the best way to create shareholder value from here and the strategy for that. So I guess what I'm alluding to is, is there is a view here that we're going to be focusing on $1 million customer cohorts, maybe get smaller from a customer base perspective, but focus on really just the high end and drive margins as you sort of laid out to 30% over time? I just want to understand like what the -- what your view is on how you create -- the best way to create shareholder value given where you are from a growth and margin and free cash flow.

Jennifer Tejada

Management

Sure. Well, revenue and dollar-based net retention are lagging indicators. The leading indicators around growth, particularly in the segments we care about, large enterprise, the AI-first companies, AI natives, which are new, but they grow fast and they have a higher requirement for resilience and fidelity than the traditional software start-ups did. So we have a different moat in that segment than we had a traditional VC-backed software start-ups. So both those segments are important to us, and we see them as high value and high propensity to grow. Make no mistake about it, we are focused on reaccelerating growth, but being selective in those segments that we think are going to return value to shareholders and help build sticky value in the company. And at the same time, you can expect us to continue to execute with a high level of operational efficiency. So I think it's profitable growth. We're focused on the long-term opportunity around capturing this new category, we believe, is AI operations. And as I said, we have a lot of large enterprise customers that are still trying to get through digital transformation. Like they're not done with that and have moved on to all things AI. They actually are still trying to move towards a more efficient way of operating digitally. We're very excited about the products that we have out in the market. And frankly, software can be a little bit of a depressing place right now. There's a lot of people in Silicon Valley that are gloomy about the sort of rotation out of software. We are fired up. We just launched our spring release. We have PagerDuty on Tour happening in London today, and it will be rolling out to other cities. And we're out in the market with real Agentic products that work on a highly advantageous foundational data model that is very hard to replicate and performing at really solid gross margins as well as improving our operating margin. So it's a long game. And like I said, you should really measure us and judge the progress that we're making in reaccelerating growth on those large deals, ARR improvement through the year, gross revenue retention through the year, success with those AI natives and large enterprise customers and then the new logo acquisition and expansion where we saw a lot of momentum in the quarter.

Operator

Operator

Next, we'll be joined by -- joining us from CGF, Kingsley Crane.

William Kingsley Crane

Management

Many of us saw the news earlier this week about the all-hands meeting AWS related to reliability concerns in large part due to AI coding. So as enterprises are shipping faster but with AI, but potentially breaking more, this seems like this should play directly into your strengths. But the question is, I guess, like where are customers at regarding that right now? Has this dawned on them yet? And then has the impending onset of these issues affected how they view your strategic value?

Jennifer Tejada

Management

Yes. I agree with you, and I've said this in the past, I'm going to keep saying it. With AI, the environments that our customers have to deliver products and services in are becoming increasingly more complex and less manageable by human beings, right? So automation, automated detection, intelligent orchestration of issues and challenges and auto remediation is becoming increasingly more important because human teams simply can't manage the scale. And we do believe that it is very much a tailwind for the business. We are seeing that in some of these larger deals that we're doing, but it's not well reflected in a seat-based pricing model. So the transition of moving to a platform model that also benefits from the consumption of more and more of our new products and easier access to those products across new use cases is important. And that's where we're seeing those leading indicators like new customer acquisition and expansion improving meaningfully from Q3 to Q4, and we think they will continue to improve over the course of the year. To your point, when you ask where customers are, I would say there's still an underestimation of how hard it is going to become to deliver enterprise resilience that customers, regulators and others expect. I was with a customer at a large bank, a large global bank the other day, and they were talking about how they're trying to bring together both enterprise resilience, operational resilience and technological resilience, and they have different manual efforts across all 3, but they're sort of colliding as you see complexity enter every function within a business, cyber threats going up, et cetera. So having a platform that can help manage all of that, but also get you to more autonomous remediation or recovery, I think, is going to become increasingly important. And those large enterprises, they tend to want one strategic partner who's best at this, but also who can demonstrate resilience in the face of this complexity. And that's where we have an architectural advantage. We've proven over time that despite public service failures, significant failures in different parts of industry and different parts of the world, we're still able to provide for our customers what they need and then business has just turned 16. We've never had a maintenance window. We've never said, oh, we're going to be down for the next several hours, while we ship something new.

Howard Wilson

Management

And I think I would also just add to that, Kingsley, today, we made an announcement around our AI ecosystem. And three of the partners that Jen mentioned in that are really focused very much on how do you using the model context protocol of agent-to-agent interaction or else even some of these products, whether it's Anthropic, Claude or Cursor or LangChain being able to, ahead of code being deployed, have it actually be tested for a risk score so that you're actually getting into the cycle of fixing problems before they happen. And that's really what PagerDuty is all about, is being able to help companies have the resilience that they need regardless of what stage in the life cycle the issue could occur. So those are really exciting developments. And the work that we've done around the AI ecosystem is because we recognize the need for the shift left, if you like, in the developer life cycle so that you can, in fact, build for resilience. So we're certainly well aligned to that, not only when something goes wrong, but actually helping support the prevention of any issues.

William Kingsley Crane

Management

Yes. That's helpful. I mean, it does seem like reliability is getting harder to ignore.

Howard Wilson

Management

It's definitely.

William Kingsley Crane

Management

And just -- but just one more, just to bridge that into pricing since you mentioned it, and it was nice to hear that you signed several multiyear deals with flexible pricing. Just curious on pacing and the strategy around that. Like could you be more aggressive? Or is there potentially a wholesale shift away from seats toward a like-for-like consumption model? I realize that could be difficult to pull off.

Jennifer Tejada

Management

Yes. We're not going to talk about timing per se because it really -- a lot of it depends on how customers demonstrate readiness to go. But what was encouraging in Q4 coming out of our launch of flexible pricing in previous quarter is that we're seeing large customers that might otherwise have downgraded based on their seat license requirements actually expand meaningfully because of the access to new products and services and the ability to allow different parts of the organization to deploy PagerDuty against new use cases. So we will be working very aggressively to get that in the hands of our larger customers. And then at the same time, I wouldn't say seats are entirely dead. We have small customers that want a really simple pricing model. They want a way to be able to frictionlessly get on the platform and get going, and that's still available to them. But what the flexible pricing platform has enabled us to do is start with the full operations cloud. And a big part of the draw, which is creating the leading indicator momentum there is the fact that they're able to immediately get access to our Agentic SRE, immediately access PagerDuty Advance and start to get the benefit of the MCP protocol, the server and agent-to-agent engagement. The other thing that I would say is fidelity and resilience and the way our platform operates continues to serve us well in terms of creating moat that makes it harder for smaller players or less technical players to come into the enterprise space. And we continue to invest in that as well. And our team puts up with our development team and our infrastructure team is under a lot of stress to constantly deliver that high level of resilience. But what's different is we've seen small AI companies raise their standard because the trust around how their products and services work, making sure their AI doesn't thrift, there isn't hallucination. It works the way it's supposed to. Their agents are operating reliably. That is a whole use case for the platform.

Howard Wilson

Management

Yes. And Kingsley, I'd make just a couple of comments because as we mentioned before, we were -- with any pricing transition, we've been very thoughtful in terms of engaging our customers and understanding what their requirements are. So Q4 was the first time that we were specifically targeting customers with our flexible pricing model. And the response has been really positive. One, as Jen said, it's giving people access across the whole platform. But certainly, the momentum that we're seeing there is strong. And we will -- that will be our first port of call in terms of how we address with large customers, how they expand and grow with us. And we would -- we anticipate by the end of this fiscal year that a meaningful portion of our ARR will be under the new licensing model.

Operator

Operator

Excellent. Thank you, team. We do have some additional hands raised. [Operator Instructions] Next from Truist, we'll hear from Miller Jump.

William Miller Jump

Analyst

So I guess maybe just pivoting to the go-to-market side a little bit. Now we've had a full quarter with Todd as CRO. I'm wondering kind of where we stand on execution changes there and kind of time line to impact? And then if you could share anything on incentive changes for the year ahead.

Operator

Operator

You're on mute, Jen.

Jennifer Tejada

Management

The old you're on mute gets you every time. I'll start and Howard, if you want to jump in, that's great. I'm really pleased with how the go-to-market organization has really risen to the occasion here, both in embracing the new flex pricing model because it's a big change and really taking that to customers proactively, not waiting to be asked and more programmatically getting in front of customers 3, 4 quarters out around their renewals so that there aren't surprises if the customer is going through their own business transition and needs a different type of offering from us. And importantly, really focusing on large strategic platform deals. And you see that in Q4, really not just the ability to compose these opportunities with customers and find some of these new use cases, but to convert them and then build on them. So that transformation, which, to some extent, started before Todd, but has accelerated under his leadership is something that I'm really pleased with. And we are really trying to incent our customer success and post-sale organization to focus on gross retention, while incenting our go-to-market organization to focus on growth. You'll recall, we also took our PagerDuty Online or what we would call our product-led growth business and moved it under Katherine Calvert, and that business is performing well. That part of our business is also driving a lot of the new logo acquisition by getting some of our new products and services in front of prospective customers right away. So I mentioned in prepared remarks, we're seeing better free-to-paid conversion. The free-to-paid -- the free numbers are up, but we're converting them more effectively. So that part of the funnel, I think, is performing better and we're also converting new logos more effectively than we have in the past by having those two teams focused on different things, but moving towards improving gross retention over the year, improving ARR over the year and continuing to build on the momentum we're seeing in new logos and in expansion. I would say that we put the organization through a lot of change, and I'm really proud of how the employees are rising to the occasion. It leaves me very energized and encouraged and frankly, inspired. And to have -- you can go on YouTube and see our SRE agent at work. Our new products, our first-class chat experience that we announced in our spring release today, they're all out there. You can watch them. They're real. This is not something that we're talking about doing someday, and they're deeply integrated into the platform.

William Miller Jump

Analyst

So I know I'm having a little bit of a connection problem. So hopefully, this comes through. But I do want to double click. I know it's not at the high, high end, but the $100,000 customers that did churn off in that mid-level you've talked about, first of all, was that full churn or partial churn? And then second of all, do you have insight into where they're going to?

Jennifer Tejada

Management

Yes. It's always a mix in that midrange. You have some segments of the market that are under a lot of pressure there, where headcounts are really coming down. And so that drives some of the seat-based downgrades. Also, as a result of being under pressure, they become more and more price sensitive, right? If they have more basic requirements, they can choose to go to a lower cost provider because they don't care as much about the resilience per se, although I think that is starting to change. And we can be more aggressive there as well from a pricing perspective. We've got room in our gross margin. And one of the things we talk about is taking a more offensive stance there. But to be clear, I think the value to be had and the drivers of growth for the business are really around driving that platform into large enterprise and continuing to demonstrate that we are the operations platform of choice for AI natives and AI first.

Operator

Operator

From R-E-S-E-A-R-C-H A-R-M-S, hope I'm getting it. George McGreehan.

George McGreehan

Analyst

It's George McGreehan on for Koji Ikeda at Bank of America. I wanted to kind of double-click on the expectation for gross revenue retention to stabilize. I guess, could you maybe share like any color you have in terms of how customer conversations are sounding regarding their hiring plans for this year?

Jennifer Tejada

Management

Their hiring for this year will matter less and less as we move to more of the platform and consumption-based licensing. I mean, interestingly enough, we have customers that are hiring software developers. So -- and we see the mix of software developers on our platform increasing. And I think what the role is changing to some extent. But it's really less about what they're hiring for us and more about how do they prioritize enterprise resilience, how are they thinking about continuing to build automation. And we're hearing a lot from customers wanting to shift left. They want to go from simply responding to small events and minor incidents faster to preventing them from even consuming people's time. So they're using -- like when I look at our usage metrics on the platform, more incident workflows, more events flowing through the platform, et cetera. So you can see that demand there. I would also say, like when I talk to executives, they're in a pinch, right? They've got boards saying use more and more AI, but they've also got their regular saying, you better use that AI responsibly. And so they're really looking for partners, who can help them manage both delivering on that upside opportunity using AI in their products and services and internally themselves, but doing it in a way that's responsible. And when something does go wrong, they can minimize that blast radius, right? That is more of the kind of conversation that we're having. And when Todd came on board, he and I saw over 100 customers in his first 90 days here. And one of the things he said to me was our customers want to do more with us. So continue to consolidate things like event management, event consolidation, orchestration, automation, runbook automation, workflow automation and now auto remediation with our Agentic solution is a big part of that strategy. So they can start consolidating some of their operational requirements on to us. The other thing is looking at those new use cases. And that's really been led by our largest customers saying, I need to figure out how to solve this problem, and we'd like to solve it with you.

George McGreehan

Analyst

And -- that all makes sense. And kind of just on the -- as we move to consumption-based pricing and understanding that that's a smaller piece of the business today. But if you could maybe provide color on how underlying usage trends look for PagerDuty and maybe how that's contemplated in 2027 revenue guidance?

Jennifer Tejada

Management

Yes. So Howard mentioned this in his comments, our 2027 revenue guidance is conservative. And because we're going through this pricing transition, the leading indicators are somewhat clouded by the lagging indicators in that transition, and we're still operating in a pretty volatile macro environment. So we've tried to be really thoughtful about that. But coming back to your question around like how does GRR improve over the course of the year, a lot of the work that we've already done is going to serve us. So one, moving customers to multiyear agreements. It means that we have less revenue available to renew in any quarter going forward through the year. Two, giving customers the option of flex pricing and moving them to products and services that have a very clear ROI. When you start to actually be able to automate work that required people, teams, operations centers to do, it gets easier for executives to show the hard cost savings. And then also, we're seeing this realization that resilience is not just a risk that needs to be -- that resilience isn't just about mitigating risks of things going wrong and not responding to them well, but it's also about unlocking value and growth. And that's certainly true for the AI natives and the AI-first companies that see like if we can demonstrate trust in these products and services, we can sell more.

Howard Wilson

Management

Yes. And George, just one comment from me is why this pricing change makes sense for us and for our customers is because more work is happening on the platform. The amount of work that happens on our platform compared to our competitors, there's no comparison. We do billions of events. We have nearly 1 billion incidences last year. We do millions of workflows each month. So our customers are using the platform more. And often, the discussions that we're having with our customers is that they, in fact, have had to make hard choices around head count. But PagerDuty has enabled them to do so because we're actually doing more of the work for them. We're automating work that was previously done by humans. Now when we start showing them how they can use our platform more broadly, then they have the opportunity to expand with us, but in fact, generate incremental savings for themselves and get to better levels of resilience. So it's an interesting conversation that we've had and the early conversations we've had with customers and the success we had in Q4 around the new licensing model have been super positive because there's a very clear correlation to how they're thinking about managing work in their organization, how they're thinking about resilience. So I think it's -- we'll continue to just see momentum build around that transition.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Next up, we are going to hear from Craig-Hallum. We have Vijay Homan.

Vijay Homan

Analyst

This is Vijay on for Jeff. I just wanted to circle back to the go-to-market effort. Obviously, you guys have your leadership team set there. I'm just wondering, should we expect to see any jump in the spend commensurate with that sales motion? Or will the focus be on reallocating existing resources and potentially even seeing savings there?

Howard Wilson

Management

Yes. So Vijay, it's certainly a case of us reallocating capital. We're still, as per our guide, looking at demonstrating improvements in terms of operating margin this next year. We've done a fair amount of work with Todd and Katherine on the sales and marketing front around how we can be more efficient as a business, how we can leverage AI ourselves, how we're able to organize our teams to be more effective with a very clear distinction in terms of the responsibilities across those teams. So we would expect to see, again, improvements in terms of sales and marketing efficiency as we go into this next year.

Vijay Homan

Analyst

Great. And then just one more for me. As far as enterprise, I think it was the second consecutive quarter, the number of customers with more than $100,000 ARR kind of ticked down. Obviously, you're alluding to some potential improvement in the coming year. I was wondering if you could just elaborate on kind of the puts and takes in the pipeline there.

Howard Wilson

Management

Sure. And I'll go first, and Jen, you can jump in. What we do see within that $100,000 cohort, we obviously had some customers, where there might have been a modest contraction, which took them down below the $100,000 mark. That has sometimes happened, particularly for maybe a mid-market customer, who has ended up in that cohort and is now under intense pressure from a cost perspective. But at the same time, we have others that matriculate into that category. A lot of our focus has been, though, on the top end of that cohort and making sure that we're putting in place contractual arrangements with our largest, most important customers in order to help them take more benefit of the platform, increase the value they're getting from PagerDuty and typically in large multiyear deals. So what we would expect to see is that, that cohort will continue to grow over time, but we're certainly going to be focusing a lot more of our attention on sort of the larger 6- and 7-figure customers and how do we help them mature and grow at a greater pace.

Operator

Operator

Okay. Thank you, team. It looks like that rounds us out for the day. Appreciate your time. Jennifer, we'll turn it over to you for any final remarks to close this out.

Jennifer Tejada

Management

Thank you. AI is the new risk layer for enterprise. And as the control plane for AI operations, we are well positioned to support enterprise resilience across our customers' strategic digital and AI operations with both large enterprises and AI natives. The leading indicators in Q4 demonstrate the momentum from new customer acquisition and expansion, our pricing transition, our product velocity and expansion into cutting-edge use cases that continue to widen our competitive moat. We are energized by the opportunity AI presents for PagerDuty and confident in our ability to capture it. Before I close, I want to take a moment to recognize Howard Wilson's leadership. and his contribution to PagerDuty for nearly a decade. Together with our team, we've built the company from a single product, $50 million in revenue and a few thousand customers to the leading AI operations platform for enterprise, generating nearly $500 million in profitable revenue with over 35,000 customers. And while Howard has been our CFO since 2018, he has seen -- he's been a tremendous partner and visionary leader who has supported almost every function across our company at some point in time. His infinite passion for our mission, his advocacy for our customers as well as for our people and Howard's unwavering integrity leave an indelible legacy and a strong foundation for us to continue building on. His personal imprint in our business will continue to shine through the incredible team that he's built and the many capable leaders he has developed and mentored here. I know you all will join me in thanking Howard for his leadership and his stewardship of PagerDuty. Thank you all, and have a great day.