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Precision Drilling Corporation (PDS) Q2 2026 Earnings Report, Transcript and Summary

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Precision Drilling Corporation (PDS)

Q2 2026 Earnings Call· Wed, Jul 29, 2026

$76.23

-1.63%

Precision Drilling Corporation Q2 2026 Earnings Call Key Takeaways

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Precision Drilling Corporation Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Precision Drilling Corporation 2026 Second Quarter Results Call and Webcast. At this time, all participants are in a listen-only mode. After the speakers' presentation, there will be a Q&A session. You need to press star one-one on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising and your hand is raised. To withdraw your question, please press. Please be advised today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your speaker today, Lavonne Zdunich, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Lavonne Zdunich

Operator

Thank you, operator, and welcome, everyone. Today, I am joined by Carey Ford, President and CEO, and Dustin Honing, our CFO. Yesterday, we reported our second quarter results. Highlighted by robust heavy oil drilling and well service activity in Canada and improving rig utilization in the U.S. Carey and Dustin will review these results, provide an operational update and outlook commentary. Once we have finalized our prepared remarks, we will open the call for questions. Please note that some comments today will refer to non-IFRS financial measures and include forward-looking statements. Which are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties. For more information on financial measures, forward-looking statements and risk factors, please refer to our news release and other regulatory filings available on SEDAR+ and EDGAR. As a reminder, we express our financial results in Canadian dollars unless otherwise stated. Carey, over to you.

Carey Ford

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is open

Thank you, Lavonne, and good morning and good afternoon. Before I hand the call over to Dustin, I would like to make a few comments on the progress toward our 2026 strategic priorities. This year, Precision Drilling aims to grow revenue through a differentiated service offering, and deepening customer relationships while generating cash flow and returning it to shareholders through debt reduction and share repurchases. Halfway through the year, we are delivering on these priorities. We have grown year-to-date revenue by 8% significantly expanded our contract book of business, executed contracted upgrades, and increased activity in both Canada and the U.S. We are on track to meet our return of capital commitments. In short, we are delivering on what we set out to accomplish in 2026. With that, I will turn the call over to Dustin to discuss the financial results released yesterday evening in detail.

Dustin Honing

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is open

Thank you, Carey. Our second quarter 2026 revenues increased by 11% from prior year, driven by growing momentum in Canadian operations and rebounding activity levels in the U.S. Our operating expenses were disproportionately impacted by several U.S. rig activations as we moved from a low of 32 rigs operating in April to an exit of 42 rigs operating on June 30. Results this quarter also included $3 million in costs related to restructuring our international operations. Q2 adjusted EBITDA was $97 million which equates to $95 million before share-based compensation recovery compared to prior year Q2 EBITDA of $108 million or $112 million before share-based compensation expense. Net earnings were a loss of $1 million compared to net earnings of $16 million in the second quarter of 2025. Precision generated $146 million of cash from operations equivalent to the second quarter of 2025. Capital expenditures were $76 million comprised of $46 million for sustaining and infrastructure, and $30 million for rig upgrades. These investments were made in step with our shareholder returns program reducing debt by $50 million and allocating $12 million towards share buybacks during the quarter. Moving on to our operating segments. In Canada, Q2 drilling activity averaged an all-time record 61 active rigs, an average increase of 11 rigs from Q2 2025 and one rig higher than prior guidance. Our recorded Q2 daily operating margins were $13,900 inclusive of $3 million in customer upfront payments for upgrades, compared to $15,300 in the second quarter of 2025 which was inclusive of $7 million in upfront payments. Absent these upfront payments, normalized Q2 daily operating margins were $13,300 compared with $13,900 in the second quarter of 2025. Exceeding the upper limit of our prior guidance range. Compared to prior year, Precision normalized operating margins were slightly impacted by rig mix, with a higher proportion of Super Singles and doubles working through the spring. In the U.S., we averaged 35 active rigs compared to an average of 37 sequentially from Q1 and an increase from the 33 rigs we had in prior year Q2. Our daily operating margins for the quarter were US$6,210 compared to US$9,290 sequentially from Q1. Falling below our prior guidance range. Although revenue per utilization day increased due to stronger pricing and increased technology adoption, margins were negatively impacted by reactivation costs this quarter. As Precision exited Q2 with 42 active rigs. Ahead of our prior guidance exit rig count. Internationally, Precision averaged 7 active rigs, relatively in line with prior year Q2 activity levels. International day rates averaged US$50,500 a decrease of 5% from prior year. During the quarter, rig margins were unfavorably impacted by rig mix. With one Kuwait rig idled offset by one additional rig working in Saudi Arabia. Operating expenses were again impacted by the conflict in the Middle East, and we also incurred $3 million of one-time restructuring charges from closing our office in Dubai. This restructuring is expected to generate annualized savings of $3 million per year. Our C&P segment adjusted EBITDA was $14.4 million higher than prior year Q2. Strong fundamentals in the Canadian market drove increased well servicing demand primarily in the heavy oil regions. Moving on to forward guidance. I will begin with our expectations for the third quarter of 2026. Starting in Canada, our strong presence in Canada's heavy oil unconventional natural gas and condensate markets is expected to generate continued activity growth from prior year levels. For the third quarter, we expect our average rig counts to average in between the low to mid-70s. Which compares to an average of 63 rigs working prior year period. As a result of more Super Singles working, our daily operating margins in Canada are expected to range between $12,000 and $13,000. Our expectation is that pricing will remain firm within our Super Single and Super Triple fleet throughout 2026 in the U.S., our third quarter average rig count is expected to be in the low 40s, our highest level since 2023. The coming quarter will again be impacted by reactivations, with daily operating margins expected to range between US$7,000 and US$8,000. Our business remains focused on demonstrating margin enhancement following these reactivations, with daily operating margins expected to approach US$10,000 in Q4. Internationally, we expect to run seven rigs with operating margins lower than prior year due to elevated operating costs in response to the ongoing tensions in the Middle East. In Q2, Precision secured a 5-year contract for our idled Kuwait rig. Bringing our expected international rig count to eight rigs working by mid-2027. Following planned recertification and upgrade work. Our C&P business continues to generate strong free cash flow. Driven by our well servicing and surface rental business lines. For Q3, we expect EBITDA to remain in line with prior year levels. Regarding cash flow, we anticipate Q3 to be a heavier working capital build quarter due to recent activity ramp-up in the Canadian and U.S. operations. In combination with our semiannual interest payment. In Q4, we expect cash generation to rebound to normal levels. Moving to guidance for the full year 2026. Our capital expenditures budget remains at $265 million which is comprised of $172 million for sustaining and infrastructure, and $93 million for upgrades. Which remains more weighted to Canada. Full-year depreciation is expected to be $320 million and cash interest expense from debt is expected to be approximately $45 million. Our effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 25% to 30%. PD expects business cash taxes to remain low in 2026 with cash taxes increasing in Canada in 2027. On the tax front, I will also address our 2018 notice of reassessment from the Canada Revenue Agency just received late July. As disclosed in our press release, Precision will file a notice that it intends to vigorously contest this as well as any additional reassessments that may be issued by the CRA. The company and its tax advisers believe that our tax filing position is appropriate and we will provide updates as we work through and resolve this issue in the future. For 2026, we expect SG&A to stay flat at approximately $95 million before share-based compensation expense. As previously communicated, share-based compensation guidance for the year would range between $25 million and $45 million assuming a share price $100 to $140 in a 1x multiplier. Our long-term target to achieve net debt-to-adjusted EBITDA of less than 1x remains firmly in place. In 2026, we plan to reduce debt by $100 million while allocating up to 50% of free cash flow to share repurchases. At the midyear mark, we have already reduced debt by $75 million and repurchased $16 million worth of shares. Today, we have an average cost of debt of 6.7% and over $502 million in total liquidity. With that, I will pass it back to Carey.

Carey Ford

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is open

Thank you, Dustin. For my prepared remarks, I plan to cover three areas. First, progress in growing revenue aligned with our first 2026 strategic priority. Second, an update on our international business. And finally, North American activity outlook. For the company, second quarter revenue increased 11% year-over-year with a 14% increase in North American operations offset by an 11% decrease internationally. The Precision team has delivered revenue growth by completing contracted drilling rig upgrades in North America and by demonstrating differentiated technology-driven performance. The progress on contracted upgrades and deepening customer relationships in the second quarter is reflected in the increase in our contract book. With fourth quarter contracts increasing by 12 rigs in Canada and 9 rigs in the U.S., compared to our prior Q1 disclosure in April. On the topic of deepening customer relationships, in addition to rig upgrades and contracts, we view this to mean partnering with our customers scaling digital technology and operational improvements across multiple rigs, and in many cases, providing greater flexibility for our customers to execute their drilling plans with precision. I mentioned at the beginning of this year that Precision had multiple drilling rigs with 25 different customers globally and that we wanted this number to grow. Today, that number is 30 customers it is growing primarily in the U.S. Staying with the U.S., we have made significant progress not only in growing revenue but also in strengthening the business. We have increased our active rig count by 30% since our last conference call, expanded activity with existing customers, and further concentrated operations in our core markets. We expect reactivation costs and rig churn to continue through the third quarter. However, the foundation we have built positions us for meaningful margin improvement beginning in the fourth quarter and continuing into 2027. the U.S. Reactivation costs are certainly a temporary drag on margins. But we view the expenditure as an investment. We are investing in the crew training and development equipment recertification, and technology-driven startup plans to ensure flawless rig activations. And this strategy is paying off. Past quarter, we had several startups in the Permian, and multiple customers who, after working with Precision for a short period, began discussing with our team the addition of a second rig. On the technology front, I want to highlight three recent developments. First, progress on robotics continues with Precision's Alpha robotics rig working for a major in the Montney continuously outpacing pacesetter wells, and setting efficiency and speed records. This technology has been continuously operated for the past two and a half years with 54 wells drilled, over 3 million feet of tubulars handled hands-free, and 17,000 man-free hours on the rig floor. Second, this summer, Precision Drilling was awarded a grant from Emissions Reduction Alberta to support the pursuit of a rig floor robotic solution for a Super Triple 1200 rig in the Canadian market. Engineering and planning are well underway, we are in discussions with multiple Canadian customers about our next robotics rig in the country. In addition, continue to have conversations about AlphaArms with key existing and potential customers in the U.S. Finally, on the technology front, next month, we will open our Canadian Alpha Remote Operations Center on the 7th floor of our Calgary headquarters. The Calgary Alpha Remote Operations Center complements our Houston Alpha Remote Operations Center capabilities by bringing real-time collaboration and local drilling engineering expertise closer to the Canadian customers while remaining connected to Houston's broader operational expertise. As the scope of remote support expands, the two centers will operate as a single network bringing together operations, sales, engineering, and other functions across our two headquarters. To collaborate on a broader range of rig activities. You are interested in learning more about how Precision utilizes real-time data-driven insights, to drive performance and exceed customer expectations and you plan to be in Calgary or Houston, please reach out to a member of our of the Precision team. We would love to give you a tour. For an update on our international operations, I want to once again recognize Precision's leadership and crews for their performance over the past few months. amid a dynamic regional environment. In the face of these challenges, our team continues to focus on personnel safety, and with all seven rigs on delivering excellent results for our customers. As Dustin has covered, we are planning for our eighth rig activation next year. During the quarter, we streamlined our regional structure by closing our Dubai office and relocating leadership closer to our customers in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. The move also helps reduce our cost structure in a region where we expect to have eight rigs running for the foreseeable future. In Argentina, we along with our partner continue to have active conversations with all major operators about potential rig deployments in the region and we will update the market as those discussions progress. Moving on to our North American outlook. We expect the Canadian market to continue to demonstrate strength for the foreseeable future. Optimism around Western Canadian infrastructure projects, lower breakeven cost for operators, and the return of foreign capital to the basin. Have provided a unique foundation for increased industry activity. And Precision continues to deliver for customers in the most active Canadian regions with 32 Super Triple rigs available to work in the Montney and related gas and condensate producing areas, and 48 Super Single rigs available to work in SAGD applications the clear water, and other heavy oil regions. We are running 75 rigs today, and expect to reach 80 rigs within the next two weeks. We expect to have full utilization of our Super Triple and Super Single fleets between now and the end of the year, and the main activity levels between 70 and 80 rigs during the third and fourth quarter. Our Canadian drilling fleet continues to advance. And we will deliver our 20th Super Single pad rig in September and major Super Triple upgrades in October and November. Further expanding our ability to deliver for our customers. The outlook for our C&P segment in Canada is also positive. Despite one of the wettest Q2s on record our business delivered exceptional financial performance with year-over-year growth and activity, revenue, and EBITDA. Our industry leadership position crew and rig quality, and support systems continue to meet increasing customer requirements in Canada. Q3 is off to a solid start with over 80 rigs working in the field today. In the U.S., in an effort to reposition the business, Precision is meeting a growing set of opportunities with high-quality Super Series assets, a leading digital technology platform, exceptional crews, and robust operational support systems. Our strategy is working not only through increased activity and customer concentration, but also through onboarding new key customers. Based on our conversations with customers, we expect gas activity to be steady with some temporary pauses in the Northeast drilling programs this fall. and supportive oil pricing presenting an opportunity for our customers to either add a rig or high-grade their existing service provider. We believe this market presents an excellent backdrop for Precision to increase activity and expand margins between now and the end of the year setting the foundation for continued success in 2027. I would like to conclude by thanking the Precision crews, field leadership, and all Precision employees for their commitment to safety, customer service, and dedication to Precision. With that, I will hand the call back to the operator for questions.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. Our first question comes from Aaron MacNeil with TD Cowen. Your line is open.

Aaron MacNeil

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is open

We are fielding a lot of questions on the U.S. margin guide for the third quarter. I guess, what assumptions are you making around both the number of rigs being reactivated in Q3 as well as the quantum in total dollars. And how would that have compared to the second quarter?

Carey Ford

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is open

And I will let, Dustin talk about the reactivation costs and the number of reactivations, and I will give a little bit of commentary about the market backdrop.

Dustin Honing

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is open

Yeah. So, Aaron, on the reactivation front in Q2, we moved, as you know, from 32 rigs up to 42. We had 7 what we call seven major reactivations during that time frame, and that climb certainly exceeded our expectations. We thought we would exit with the rig count in the high 30s. So really good traction in Q2, but certainly had some impact on margin. When you look at Q3, it is a bit more of a rebalancing. We are seeing more increased opportunity in the Permian. And on a per day basis, think of a reactivation cost ranging between $1,500 to upwards of $2,000 a day. And that is inclusive of the labor required to make sure that we can hit the ground running. we can crew these rigs adequately, and we are ready to go and execute for our customers.

Carey Ford

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is open

And I will just add, we are guiding to a kind of low 40s rig count in Q3, and that is a result of activating rigs in the oil basins. And I mentioned in my comments that we expect a couple of our customers to have pauses in their programs in Q4, which kind of looks for a two- or three-month pause before picking up rigs again in November and December. That is why we have reactivations with an effectively a flat guide.

Aaron MacNeil

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is open

Gotcha. Sorry. Maybe just another clarification. Like, you guys had mentioned that there was the 7 reactivations more in the second quarter. And so how many are being reactivated in the third quarter or switching basins as you described it?

Carey Ford

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is open

We are expecting to have about five rigs reactivated in the third quarter.

Aaron MacNeil

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is open

Great. Yeah.

Carey Ford

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is open

And then one of the-- yeah. And just, everybody would have the question about when does the reactivation period pause. We have given guidance for Q4 margins of approaching $10,000 a day to kind of point to where when we have kind of normal activity levels without a high number of reactivations where we expect margins shake out.

Aaron MacNeil

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is open

Yep. Nope. Makes sense. And then Dustin, maybe a follow-up on this CRA issue. In the event that you are ultimately on the hook for these penalties, how do the tax pools come into play And maybe just a bigger picture, like, do you see it as impacting sort of your return of capital commitments?

Dustin Honing

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is open

Okay. So I am not going to go into specifics, but let me just go through the contingency announcement, and I am sure others would have questions. First and foremost, I will start by saying that we have a very strong conviction in our position and our external advisers believe that our filing position is appropriate. Although we think it is highly unlikely, Aaron, the max liability that we disclosed for any potential future reassessments on this issue would be $155 million plus interest. So to defend our position as a large business case, PD would be required to make an upfront payment of 50% of the assessed amount and the interest. So I would say think of that as about $80 million all-in. Paid out over two years. It is difficult to estimate, as far as timing. This has been quite sudden, but our estimate today is about $40 million that would be due late 2026 or into early 2027. And then the rest will be spread over the next 24 months. So we could do either a letter of credit, cash, or a combination of both. That is yet to be determined. But if we are successful defending our position, we would be reimbursed any cash that we put into this plus interest. And, you know, I also state that these processes, they do take a long time. This is likely several years, but we will be sure to report on progress in a timely manner. So as far as the cash outlay, whether it is a letter of credit or cash, that is to be determined. But our plans as far as capital allocation and how we manage the business has not changed at all. And this is an issue that came up. We will work to get through this with the CRA. And we will move forward.

Aaron MacNeil

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is open

And sorry. On the on the tax pools, like, I am not a tax expert at all, but, like, does are you able to offset that cash outlay with existing tax pools, or is it a cash out ?

Dustin Honing

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is open

The tax pools would cover the years that we flagged in the reassessment, but it would accelerate us becoming cash taxable. So that would be a cash outlay payment in a worst-case scenario.

Aaron MacNeil

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is open

Gotcha. Okay. Thanks, everyone. I will turn it back.

Dustin Honing

Analyst · TD Cowen. Your line is open

Yeah, for sure.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Keith Mackey with RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Keith Mackey

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open

Hey, thanks and good morning. Maybe just starting on the Middle East reactivation Can you just maybe, Carey, speak more broadly what you are seeing in the Middle East now? As far as operations continuity, incremental costs, disruptions, etcetera. And then for the reactivation of the Kuwait rig, what are you seeing as far as reactivation costs and do you expect those to be incurred in 2026 or 2027?

Carey Ford

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open

Yeah. Okay. So, more broadly in the region, we have had minor disruptions in activity, you know, measured in single-digit numbers of days over the course of the quarter. But there has been disruptions on primarily getting people in and out of the countries, with flights getting canceled and airports being closed. And so that is that is been the main driver of increased cost. In terms of op the opportunity set, so we have we have 6 rigs in Kuwait, four working today. We have the fifth one going to work next year. So we will have one idle rig that we will continue to market In Saudi Arabia, we effectively have three rigs that are running. And we expect those to run into the foreseeable future. And that really explains the opportunity set for Precision. We have looked at a lot of growth opportunities that require new capital outside of our existing fleet, and what we have seen in recent years is just that the paybacks on that capital investment are way too long for us to be deploying new capital. And so we have a business that is-- I would not say it is optimal scale, but it is at an appropriate scale. It generates a lot of cash flow. And it is a good foundation for if market conditions change to where the returns become more attractive, we will be able to grow. But I think the I mean, the comment in my opening remarks that we kind of see this as an eight-rig business for the foreseeable future, and that is how we are positioning it. And that really drove into our decision on streamlining our operations and closing our Dubai office because the Dubai office was I would say, was put in place for us to grow the business beyond an eight-rig business. And I think for the foreseeable future, we are going to be maximizing margins and cash flow. In terms of the eighth rig, the rig going back to work in Kuwait, there will be some capital spend this year, a lot more next year. Think of it kind of in mid-double digits, kind of in the $12 million to $15 million capital range that we would recoup that within the first couple of years of the 5-year-plus-one-year extension contract that we are signing.

Keith Mackey

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open

Okay. Very detailed. Appreciate the comments. Appreciate that you have added a lot of rigs to your contract book in the U.S. This quarter. Can you just speak to your strategy there as far as what you expect to contract one of your competitors just talked about having 50% of their rigs on 6-month-plus contracts and, you know, the customer is sort of the gating factor as far as how they do that. But what is your approach to term versus spot in this market? Do you see a lot of opportunity to increase margins by getting better rates in the spot market? Or are you looking to contract more on a longer-term basis with strategic customers?

Carey Ford

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open

Okay. Well, I think you have covered all the points on, the marketing strategy. Let's see if I can hit those. We are seeing rate increases, and we have pushed through rate increases. Some of those showed up in our Q2 day rate numbers. But we expect the rates to continue to move up throughout the course of the year. So that is just a general comment on rates. And as far as term, it is, there is some customer-specific preferences on whether they want a shorter-term contract or a long-term contract. But a lot of it is driven by kind of where the market is. And I would characterize the market today as being a call it a six-month to one-year term market. We have a few customers that want two-year contracts, but I would say that it has moved a little bit longer-term in the past couple of months as customers are looking to lock up high-quality rigs. But it is still in that kind of six months to a year. type time frame. In terms of strategy, I covered this in my opening remarks, and I would just point back to what we started how we started the year, what we communicated at Investor Day in March. This is deliberate. We are not going after activity and activity and scale for activity and scale's sake. We want to target our existing customers. We want to expand our existing business. Our business with existing customers. We do have a handful of target customers within the U.S. market. and the ones that we think are really well aligned with our philosophies on digital technology and safety and performance. And we are making progress on onboarding some new customers. So we are really excited about that. And then last comment I would make is we are trying to create a more resilient business that will have more stable activity that will help with business planning, that will help with spreading our fixed costs over a larger number of rigs and align with the customer base that really value what we can offer. So I would just say that we are executing exactly how we want to. We are not where we want to be yet, but we are making good progress. And some margin pressure in Q2 and Q3 as a result of success is something we are willing to live with.

Keith Mackey

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open

Got it. Thanks very much. That is it for me.

Carey Ford

Analyst · RBC Capital Markets. Your line is open

Okay. Thanks, Keith.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Derek Podhaizer with Piper Sandler. Your line is open.

Derek Podhaizer

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Your line is open

Wanted to go back to U.S. land and kind of talk through some of these rig moves. So you exited the quarter at 42. Sounds like you are expecting another five rigs to be reactivated. That brings you up to 47. Appreciate the guide of low 40s because you have some rig churn up in the Northeast and the pauses that you have already talked about. Just trying to think through Q4 and into 2027. Is 47 rigs kind of the right starting point if all those rigs get contracted for 2027? Then you also talked about supply. Just trying to think through these, like, reactivation expenses into 2027. Maybe your supply cycle, how many rigs could go back to work. Just trying to work through the upside here. If my numbers are right on that 42 plus five. with a starting level at 47. So just a help around that. Would be great.

Carey Ford

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Your line is open

Okay. Derek, I think you are doing some pretty good math there. You know, we do not want to guide to an average rig count for Q4, but I would say that today, with our rig reactivations and some rigs, you know, pausing their programs for just a little bit, we have around 50 rigs that are warm and, you know, upgraded warm, have recently worked, that will not require any reactivation costs to go back to work. And I think in an environment with the oil price where we see it today, and you know, gas prices being constructive around $3, we should hit a rig count in the high 40s before the end of the year. Now I am not guiding to an average rig count in a particular quarter that high, and I am not guiding to an average rig count in Q4 that high. But I do think that with customer conversations we have going right now and warm rigs available, we should be able to increase our rig count beyond where it is today.

Derek Podhaizer

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Your line is open

Okay. That is super helpful. And then just thinking about that would be approaching the US$10,000 margin, I think it sounded like fourth quarter. And if you do not have any other big major reactivations in 2027, will that continue to trend higher? Or if the demand's there, do you have the available capacity to continue doing these reactivations? I am basically just trying to work out, like, how long we have got to deal with the reactivation expenses before we see that margin inflection, which it sounds like you are getting closer to, but just wanted to extend that out to 2027 a little. Yeah.

Carey Ford

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Your line is open

I think you have got a couple things. You have got in that equation you have got a numerator and denominator. And the rate reactivation cost on a per day basis were highly impactful when we are running 35 rigs in a quarter. So, you know, reactivating a large number of rigs in a quarter when our activity levels are pretty low. it is high on a on a per day basis. As our rig activity increases, and the number of reactivations slows down, we should be able to have more resilient margins if all else is equal, that the pricing in the market is stable. Got it.

Derek Podhaizer

Analyst · Piper Sandler. Your line is open

Okay. Great, Carey. Super helpful. I will turn it back. Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Again, ladies and gentlemen, if you have a question or a comment at this time, please press one-one on your telephone. Our next question comes from Tim Monachello with ATB Cormark Capital Markets. Your line is open.

Tim Monachello

Analyst · ATB Cormark Capital Markets. Your line is open

Thanks for taking my question. Most of them have been answered, but maybe just a quick follow-up on those assumptions around that US$10,000 margin in Q4. Can you talk a little bit, I guess, the pace of pricing increases that you are seeing in the market? And then, like, are you implying any rig reactivation costs in Q4?

Carey Ford

Analyst · ATB Cormark Capital Markets. Your line is open

First of all, on rig reactivations, I think they would be relatively minor. I think, yeah, if there are, you know, a few reactivations or less, I think that margin guidance holds. In terms of pricing increases, we are, I would say that the range of pricing increases in the U.S. market for some customers where maybe they have gotten a recent upgraded rig and the contract's rolling off, but it was already at a high day rate. Maybe the increase is low-single-digit thousands of dollars a day. For some customers where the rig was, for whatever reason, a little bit below market, we are seeing rate increases of up to $5,000 a day. So I would say spread across our fleet, it would be in, you know, maybe US$500 to US$1,000 a day per quarter. Type increase.

Dustin Honing

Analyst · ATB Cormark Capital Markets. Your line is open

Yeah. And, Tim, I would also add that if you look back over the last several quarters in the U.S., even with lower activity levels, we were consistently running an operating margin around that US$9,000 a day mark.

Dustin Honing

Analyst · ATB Cormark Capital Markets. Your line is open

So fixed cost absorption, I think we can better incur any unforeseen reactivation opportunities. And then the pricing, pricing opportunities that Carey mentioned that we are pushing through right now. I think that is an attainable target. for Q4. And then I would also say that we would expect to exceed that next year, all else equal. So this is just we are trying to put a mark out there for Q4 to help people kind of understand when the dust settles. Where do we think margins will be in the fourth quarter? But that is not our goal to have an end point with our margins at that level.

Tim Monachello

Analyst · ATB Cormark Capital Markets. Your line is open

Got it. On CapEx, the number in the quarter is centered around the high end of the previous CapEx range for the year. Can you talk about I guess, what is solidified in the outlook to drive to the higher end? And do you see any further opportunities to deploy more capital in terms of CapEx this year? Do you think that is sort of it, they can drive at this point?

Dustin Honing

Analyst · ATB Cormark Capital Markets. Your line is open

Well, we messaged Q2 as, disproportionately higher in our capital spending. There were some deliveries that did trickle into Q3, but I would say our program is a little bit more front-weighted. Especially it will be more in the third quarter. We talked about the major Super Triple upgrades going on in Canada. there are two of those. That spend has been underway, and it will continue into Q3 and at the beginning of Q4 where those rigs are mobilized and deployed. I think overall comment I would make, Tim, is we feel really comfortable about a $265 million budget. And that allows us to further recognize some activity increases in the U.S. We mentioned the warm rigs that we have available. And if you look at the majority of our reactivation expense has been in expense, not capitalized. So we are comfortable with the $265 million number.

Tim Monachello

Analyst · ATB Cormark Capital Markets. Your line is open

Okay. I have not heard much about pricing increases in Canada, but it does sound like activity levels in the back half of the year should be pretty strong. You talked about your full utilization, your Super Singles and Super Triples. Are you seeing any signs of momentum in Canadian pricing at all?

Carey Ford

Analyst · ATB Cormark Capital Markets. Your line is open

Yes. I think for our Super Singles, you know, particularly with all the pad Super Singles and then the Super Triples, we have working in the Montney, the opportunities to raise rates there are muted. We have raised some rates for that rate class. And then we do, as I mentioned, have some rigs that are getting deployed in the third and fourth quarter upgrades, which would have a positive impact to the fleet pricing because they are you know, top of the market rigs. I think there is a little bit of opportunity to move rates, but I would say broadly, we are not quite seeing it yet.

Tim Monachello

Analyst · ATB Cormark Capital Markets. Your line is open

Okay. I appreciate it. And then I guess just one quick one on the pause that you are seeing in the Northeast. Is that related to a specific customer or a couple of customers activity programs? Are they moving from one customer to another?

Carey Ford

Analyst · ATB Cormark Capital Markets. Your line is open

No. It, it does relate to two or three different customers in the region, and it is really how they execute their drilling programs. A lot of times, they will drill wells in the first two or three quarters of the year. Pause, and then frac the wells, and then start drilling again. And so this is not a new seasonal impact that we have seen, but just in it is, it is highlighted where we are reactivating rigs and have a flat overall rig count. So we are making note of it for the market.

Tim Monachello

Analyst · ATB Cormark Capital Markets. Your line is open

Okay. Understood. I appreciate all the details. Bye.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from John Daniel with Daniel Energy Partners.

John Daniel

Analyst · Daniel Energy Partners

Hey, guys. Thanks for including me. The incremental rigs which you expect to go to work in Q4 and the U.S., would those largely be for public or private operators? And do you see any of those additions being used to displace your competition?

Carey Ford

Analyst · Daniel Energy Partners

So it is a mix of public and private operators. Maybe the rig additions that we see in the near-term would be more weighted towards public operators for Precision. Think the first half of the year it was mostly private. Now it is more public. And then we at least have two opportunities where we are displacing with two rig-adds where we know we are displacing a competitor.

John Daniel

Analyst · Daniel Energy Partners

Okay. Got it. And then going back to the Marcellus for a second, I know that is a number of those operators have first-half-weighted budgets, so this is not new. But in prior cycles, if you will, have there been periods where you guys get paid a standby rate during when the rigs are released, or, like, is the market strong enough where you might contemplate moving that rig to another basin? And what would it take you to come to that decision to do so?

Carey Ford

Analyst · Daniel Energy Partners

Okay. I would first say that we really like the Northeast. We like our rig fleet there, our operation, our reputation, and our customers. So we are not eager to move a rig out of the Northeast just to keep our rig count in the U.S. higher. So I think it would take a lot to move a rig out of there. Second of all, if a rig is on contract, and a customer pauses, we would get a standby rate. And we have had instances where customers will not have a rig on contract, but they want to either keep the crew warm or give us some economic incentive to keep the rig kind of marked as theirs. And so we do sometimes have those types of arrangements.

John Daniel

Analyst · Daniel Energy Partners

Okay. That is a bit of a mixed bag. Mixed bag. Fair enough. Well, do those crews when the rigs go down, do you recycle them to other basins? to keep them working? How do you handle the labor situation?

Carey Ford

Analyst · Daniel Energy Partners

If we are not doing anything, we would typically do that. The Northeast is a bit different where a lot of the crews are local. And so we would try to work them on other rigs in the region. if we can.

John Daniel

Analyst · Daniel Energy Partners

Okay. Okay. Thank you very much.

Operator

Operator

All right, Joseph. I am not showing any further questions at this time. I would like to turn the call back over to Lavonne for any closing remarks.

Lavonne Zdunich

Operator

Thank you, everyone, for joining today and taking the time to learn a little bit more about Precision Drilling. Should you have any follow-up questions, please reach out to the Investor Relations team. Thank you again.

Operator

Operator

Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. This does conclude today's presentation. We thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect, and have a wonderful day.