Earnings Labs

Peoples Bancorp Inc. (PEBO)

Q3 2021 Earnings Call· Tue, Oct 26, 2021

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Peoples Bancorp Inc.’s Conference Call. My name is Jamie, and I will be your conference facilitator. Today’s call will cover a discussion of the results of operations for the quarterly period and nine months ended September 30, 2021. Please be advised that all lines have been placed on mute to prevent any background noise. After the speakers’ remarks, there will be a question-and-answer period. [Operator Instructions] Please also note today’s event is being recorded. If you do object to the recording, please note that you may disconnect at this time. Please be advised that the commentary on this call will contain projections and other forward-looking statements regarding Peoples’ future financial performance or future events. These statements are based on management’s current expectations. The statements in this call, which are not historical fact are forward-looking statements and involve a number of risks and uncertainties detailed in Peoples’ Securities and Exchange Commission filings. Management believes the forward-looking statements made during this call are based on reasonable assumptions within the bounds of their knowledge of Peoples’ business and operations. However, it is possible actual results may differ materially from these forward-looking statements. Peoples disclaims any responsibility to update these forward-looking statements after this call, except as may be required by applicable legal requirements. Peoples third quarter 2021 earnings release was issued this morning and is available at peoplesbancorp.com under Investor Relations. A reconciliation of the non-generally accepted accounting principles or GAAP financial measures discussed during this call to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures is included at the end of the earnings release. This call will include about 20 to 25 minutes of prepared commentary, followed by a question-and-answer period, which I will facilitate. An archived webcast of this call will be available at peoplesbancorp.com in the Investor Relations section for one year. Participants on today’s call will be Chuck Sulerzyski, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Katie Bailey, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer; and each will be available for questions following opening statements. Mr. Sulerzyski, you may begin your conference.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst

Thank you, Jamie. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us. We are delighted to have officially closed our merger with Premier Financial Bancorp Inc. on September 17, 2021, and welcome their associates and clients to our organization. We have successfully converted all systems with minimal customer impact. All of our team members worked hard to accomplish a smooth conversion. We are excited about the opportunities the acquisition has created for us and our ability to execute on our strength of interactions between lines of business. At this point, we have already had customers within the Premier footprint who had worked with our insurance and wealth management groups, and are now able to move their banking from other institutions to peoples with our expanded network of banking locations. We have also engaged wealth management and insurance talent to help facilitate the open lines of communication between the new office locations. For the third quarter, we had several highlights I would like to mention, including our premium finance and leasing divisions both had over 60% annualized growth in loan and lease balances compared to the linked quarter. Our net interest margin was positively impacted by the leasing division during the quarter while we maintained our focus on controlling funding costs. I am enthusiastic about our fee based businesses as we have had great growth this year and trust in investment income of 22% and insurance income of 9% compared to 2020. We had a nice surprise as our deposit account service charges we covered this quarter and were up 25% compared to the linked quarter. Our fee based income from our leasing division has also been a wonderful addition adding $716,000 year-to-date. We continue to have growth in our total revenue, which increased at an annualized rate of 26% compared to…

Katie Bailey

Analyst

Thank you, Chuck. Our net interest income continued to improve in the third quarter, increasing 7% compared to the linked quarter and 21% over the prior year quarter. At the same time, our net interest margin expanded by 5 basis points and 36 basis points respectively. Contributing to the increases over the linked quarter were higher loan yields mostly due to the leases and Premium Finance loans. Our continued decline in deposit costs, which increased 3 basis points, also positive – positively impacted net interest margin compared to the linked quarter. Compared to the prior year quarter, the leading cause of the higher net interest margin was the positive impact from our new lease portfolio, which had a yield of 19.4% for the quarter. We have had strong control over our funding costs, which declined 13 basis points compared to the third quarter of 2020. During the quarter, we recognized $3.1 million of income related to deferred fees and costs on the PPP loans compared to $3.4 million for the linked quarter. In total, PPP income added 18 basis points to net interest margin for the quarter compared to 15 basis points for the linked quarter. Compared to the first nine months of 2020, our net interest income grew 13% and our net interest margin increased 14 basis points. Again, these improvements were driven by our leases and premium finance loans, benefiting load yields, while we worked hard to reduce our deposit cost. PPP deferred fee and cost income totaled $11.2 million for the first nine months of 2021 compared to $3.8 million during 2020. For the quarter, our reported efficiency ratio grew mostly due to the non-core items, which were significant during the third quarter as Chuck previously mentioned. When adjusted for non-core items, our adjusted efficiency ratio was…

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst

Thank you, Katie. Moving forward to 2022, we are enthusiastically embracing our business model, which is proven to be effective. Our team is topnotch and we will look to continue to grow and expand our brand across our new footprint. We will work hard to ensure that each client is taking care of respected and heard. We separate ourselves from the competition by doing the right thing and doing what we say we will do. This resonates within the communities we serve and distinguishes our services from others. We believe that 2022 will separate the winners from the losers. We continue to be recognized not only in local communities, but also by nationally distinguished publications. I mentioned last quarter that we were recognized by Forbes as the best in state bank in both states of Ohio and West Virginia, and are the smallest of the 16 banks in the country to be recognized in two or more states this year. We strive to execute effectively, which is evidence in our results. I would like to circle back on some of the highlights for the quarter, which include phenomenal performance by our premium finance and leasing divisions. The successful closing of the Premier acquisition, which could not have been possible without dedicated effort by everyone involved. Overall growth in our fee based businesses, which continues to contribute to our revenue growth and the persistence of our lending teams who have worked tirelessly to obtain forgiveness of our PPP loans. For the remainder of 2021, we have a few thoughts on our performance and anticipate fourth quarter non-interest expenses, excluding non-core expenses will range somewhere between $46 million and $48 million. We expect net interest margin will grow and settle between 3.5% and 3.6% for the fourth quarter. We believe fee based income will increase between 3% to 5% for the fourth quarter and we anticipate loan growth of 4% to 6% annualized for the fourth quarter. Also, looking forward to 2022, here is some early guidance as we see it now, excluding non-core items. Loan growth of between 5% to 7%, excluding PPP loans, as stabilization and credit cost as the economy potentially comes out of the pandemic, net interest margin of between 3.55% and 3.75%, fee based income growth between 14% and 16% compared to 2021, our quarterly total non-interest expense between $46 million and $48 million and an efficiency ratio in the high 50s. We are excited about the execution and the connections with our clients, our teams have made during 2021 and plan to look forward to an even better 2022. This concludes our commentary and we will open the call for questions. Once again, this is Chuck Sulerzyski, and joining me for the Q&A session is, Katie Bailey, our Chief Financial Officer. I will now turn the call back into the hands of our call facilitator. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we’ll begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Our first question today comes from Scott Siefers from Piper Sandler. Please go ahead with your question.

Scott Siefers

Analyst

Good morning, guys. Thanks for taking the question.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst

Hey, Scott.

Scott Siefers

Analyst

Hey. Wanted to ask just about the some of the credit metrics on a reported basis, obviously, quite a bit of noise due to layering in Premier, but just on that reported deterioration, just want to sort of make sure you’re still comfortable with the credit quality of what you purchased. I sort of estimate that NPAs, they would’ve improved were not for Premier. So would be curious to hear your thoughts on underlying quality. And then the final question on that is how do you see those higher levels of non-accruals and OREO balances kind of getting resolved over time?

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst

I think the credit came in right, where we thought it was very consistent with our mark. So very much in line with what we thought and I am very comfortable and very confident that we’ll be able to knock those numbers more in line with our historic performance. And I don’t think it’ll take us a long time to do that.

Scott Siefers

Analyst

Okay. All right. Perfect. And then maybe just given all the noise that we’ve had this year between the leasing transaction and now layering in Premier, maybe a thought on where sort of the steady state reserve kind of flushes out. I think everybody’s sort of using as a bogie, the CECL day one, you guys have had a lot more M&A activity than most since that was established. So would be curious to hear your thoughts on where the reserve flushes out?

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst

Well, I think you tell us what the GDP forecast are and the unemployment forecast. And I could probably give you a little better answer. I think, as we improve the credit, the reserves will come down. I think we have some opportunity there.

Scott Siefers

Analyst

Okay.

Katie Bailey

Analyst

Yes. And I would just add, I mean, I think to your point, it is elevated at 9.30% and you saw that jump from 6.30% to 9.30% because of the Premier acquisition. And you’re probably familiar with PCB loans and the mark there going to the allowance. So as we work through those and as the economy continues to improve, I think we could get back closer to on a coverage ratio percentage to where we were upon adoption, but it’ll take time to work through the credit.

Scott Siefers

Analyst

Yes. And just so I’m kind of on the same page. I mean, that was you had a reserve sort of post CECL of about a percent, right. So there’d be quite a gap between the 1.72, where you are now and where it could go down to. Is that the right way to look at it?

Katie Bailey

Analyst

Yes.

Scott Siefers

Analyst

Okay. Perfect. All right. Thank you guys very much.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst

Thanks, Scott.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Steve Moss from B. Riley. Please go with your question.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · your question.

Good morning, Chuck and Katie. This is Steve’s associate sitting in for him. Quick question, it seems like the pipeline is looking strong mid single digits here. Just curious where you guys in particular seems strength in the pipeline and as a follow-up to that, curious how loan pricing is rolling on these days.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · your question.

Yes, we feel good about the pipeline. I will say that we’ve had great production all year long. Production has been much greater than loan growth and I think that’ll continue to be the case from – as far as from where we see it. From a geographic perspective, it’s pretty much spread across the footprint where there have been times when it’s been more concentrated, but we’re seeing great opportunities in our McDonald’s portfolio. We’re seeing great opportunities in multifamily. And I would say, those are the leading of the core businesses, obviously the premium finance and the leasing businesses had extraordinary growth and we expect them to have excellent growth in the fourth quarter. We’ve experienced a little bit of a tapering in our consumer businesses indirect, still going strong, but a little less robust than it has been in the same with mortgage.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · your question.

Thank you. And what sort of role on yields are you guys seeing pieces?

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · your question.

We’re not seeing a ton of pricing pressure, that’s anymore crazy than it has been for the last year or two. So I would say, the prices are stable. There are some CRE deals that we walk away from on pricing. But that’s always been that way.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · your question.

Okay, thank you. That’s helpful. And so the capital ratios have picked up here as well. I know, you guys said that it looks like it could taper off here in the fourth quarter. But I’m sort of curious, what are your guide – what’s the capacity for capital deployment, whether that be additional M&A or share repurchases.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · your question.

We don’t see ourselves doing share repurchases at the current price. As we’ve stated, historically, we look at share repurchases as an acquisition and we’ll do it when the earn back is three years or less. So at the current prices, that’s not the case. In terms of current acquisitions, we’d certainly like to digest what we have done this year. But would look favorably at some non-bank deals, if we could help the insurance business, the investment business, the leasing business, we would be open to it. I think that from a bank standpoint, we would not be disappointed if it took us a few quarters to get to some place.

Katie Bailey

Analyst · your question.

And just back to your comment on the capital ratios tapering a bit, that comment was specific to the leverage ratio in the way that it’s calculated, it’s using an ending equity number and an average asset number. And given we did this Premier deal late in the third quarter, the average assets wasn’t really reflective of that deal at 9.30%.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · your question.

Got you. Thank you. And last question from me, just curious if I could get an update on utilization rates particularly the commercial side.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · your question.

Yes. As mentioned in the script, they were up a few percent to 34%, about $10 million. One customer was a big piece of that. We expect that piece to pay off between now and the end of the year.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst · your question.

Thank you. That’s it for me.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · your question.

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Michael Perito from KBW. Please go ahead with your question.

Michael Perito

Analyst · your question.

Hey, Chuck, Katie. Thanks for taking my questions.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · your question.

Hey, Mike.

Katie Bailey

Analyst · your question.

Hi, Mike.

Michael Perito

Analyst · your question.

I wanted to ask on the OpEx guide, the $46 million to $48 million in the fourth quarter, sounds like that carries through to next year as well. I was just curious, what kind of assumptions are you guys making around kind of personnel costs and maybe personnel turnover. And is it fair to assume that there’s some conservatism around items such as that, which could trend higher, which might offset some of the benefits of the cost save and moving the run rate down below where you are in the fourth quarter?

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · your question.

We have in our budget, a merit pool of 3.75%, which is higher than we’ve had in the 10 years that I have been here. And so I think we have accounted for some of that. I would also say that year-to-date, our turnover rate is 2% less than the prior year. So while there is a lot in the market, I think that, yes, I think that we’ve been fortunate to retain folks and I think it’s a testament to how we partner with employees from a compensation and benefits, but from a culture standpoint. It’s a pretty decent place to work. Our internal survey show employee satisfaction levels in the 90 percentiles. And anything over 75% percent is considered extraordinary. So that being said, we do have more vacancies than normal, and we all have in trouble filling those vacancies. And it’s a crazy employment market out there.

Michael Perito

Analyst · your question.

Right. Yes, no, I mean, that makes sense. And those numbers sound very good on a relative basis actually. But I guess, it is fair to say that, based on your opening remark there, I mean, you guys feel like, you factored in a little bit more conservatism into that expense guide in terms of kind of labor related items than perhaps historically.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · your question.

Yes. More expense. Yes.

Michael Perito

Analyst · your question.

Okay. And then on the kind of a NIM loan balance question, the – I imagine that some of the better name is due to some of the growth you’re seeing and like the leasing and the Premium Finance portfolios, and obviously benefiting from the funding you’re bringing on from Premier as we looked at the next year guide. But I guess the question is how – can you remind us your thought process around how you kind of view those portfolios within your overall loan mix moving forward or maybe set another way, I mean, as you think you’re kind of what you’re comfortable bringing remixing the loans to in terms of leasing and Premium Finance and consumer just a refresher on that would be great.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · your question.

Yes. What we have said is that we would keep the specialty finance businesses to less than 10% of the asset size of the corporation. So if we’re a $7 billion, that’s $700 million, and right now say we’ve got $250 million, $260 odd million, so we have room to grow, but we’re never going to let it get oversized compared to the total company. And obviously, we’ll do bank…

Michael Perito

Analyst · your question.

Okay. Sorry, go ahead.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · your question.

Bank deals over time.

Michael Perito

Analyst · your question.

Helpful. So then just to make sure I understand that correctly. So that’s referring to the leasing and the Premium Finance portfolios combined won’t become larger than 10% of the overall loan book.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · your question.

Correct.

Katie Bailey

Analyst · your question.

Asset size.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · your question.

Asset size.

Michael Perito

Analyst · your question.

I’m sorry. Asset size, apologies. Yeah. Okay. Also helpful. And then just lastly for me, curious you mentioned the 2022 guide, preliminary guide in the prepared remarks. So clearly you guys have spent some time budgeting for next year already and are probably still kind of finalizing maybe some of the fine points of that process. But just curious if Chuck or Katie, you guys can talk about any other kind of maybe more organic new business development opportunities that, that are on your radar, whether that be maybe fee opportunities in the West Virginia market or new lending or deposit type of customers or just anything that, that we should be aware of that we might see next year that that could be additive to the growth.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · your question.

Well, certainly introducing insurance and investments into the portions of West Virginia, Kentucky, D.C., and Maryland, that Premier did not offer those products is an opportunity for us. We also think bringing in floor plan or deal a floor plan, and the McDonald’s lending businesses over that geography is an opportunity. In terms of new businesses, we have an interest, we think we have purchased a very high quality small ticket leasing company, and we would have interest over time of having a mid-level leasing company, a mid ticket, and hope to get that accomplished at some point in time.

Katie Bailey

Analyst · your question.

And I would just add on the fee based income category, and we mentioned it in the script a couple to times, just there’s fee income associated with our leasing division today. And I think there’s opportunity there in the next year.

Michael Perito

Analyst · your question.

Got it. Helpful. Appreciate the insights guys. Thanks.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · your question.

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Russell Gunther from D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead with question.

Russell Gunther

Analyst · question.

Hi, good morning guys.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · question.

Hi, how you’re doing?

Russell Gunther

Analyst · question.

I’m well. Thanks, Chuck. Guys, I appreciate the early look at 2022. I wanted to circle back to the margin guide of 3.55% to 3.75% fairly wide and was hoping to get your view as to sort of what the glide past on the low end to the high end is, what the drivers would be. And if you’re contemplating any fed rate hikes in that number specifically.

Katie Bailey

Analyst · question.

No rate hikes in that guidance. I think, little more steepening of the curve in the higher end of that range for sure. I think when we think about margin of course for 2021, it’s been heavily impacted by PPP, as we stated in the script, much of that’ll go away. But we too look at the cash that’s been held on the balance sheet and I – we didn’t quote it in the script, but I think that was about a drag on margin of about 14 basis points in the third quarter. So you get to the low end, you pick up a little bit of accretion from the Premier acquisition. So you’re – we 3.50% was what we were for Q3. If we carry that out, replacing some of the PPP margin benefit with the cash deployment and then the loan growth that we had quoted with the mix being the growth being heavily weighted too in the – leasing division, which has a greater yield than the core kind of loans that we do. I think that’s how you get to the middle of that range again. The high end would take some steepening.

Russell Gunther

Analyst · question.

Okay.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · question.

I’m a bit more optimistic than my wonderful CFO. So that’s what I would say.

Russell Gunther

Analyst · question.

All right. Fair enough. I appreciate that guys. And then to be clear, you don’t contemplate the fed raising in 2022. Chuck, you’re optimistic regardless, but if that were to materialize, what – how do you feel your position for rising rates…

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · question.

Assets – continue to see a benefit.

Russell Gunther

Analyst · question.

Very good. And then just switching gears to follow-up on the fee conversation Katie, you mentioned the leasing opportunity. Any other verticals in particular that you see as drivers of that 14% to 16% growth rate that you provided?

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · question.

Yes. We also got good opportunity with treasury management in the new geography that really, we just bring a much richer product set for those – for their customers. So and they were historically a CRE lender, which doesn’t have the fee opportunities that the C&I business does. So I think all of that is going to help us.

Russell Gunther

Analyst · question.

Great. Thank you both. That’s it for me.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · question.

Thank you.

Katie Bailey

Analyst · question.

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from David Long from Raymond James. Please go ahead with your question.

David Long

Analyst · your question.

Good morning, Chuck. Good morning, Katie. Thanks for taking my question.

Katie Bailey

Analyst · your question.

Hi.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · your question.

Hi, David.

David Long

Analyst · your question.

Looking at the NIM, just to continue the discussion there a little bit, the Premier, what was their standalone NIM coming into to this transaction?

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · your question.

It was a little higher than odds.

Katie Bailey

Analyst · your question.

Yes, 3.60%, 3.70%.

David Long

Analyst · your question.

Okay, great. And then Chuck, I’d be curious, talking about the NIM and you’re being a little bit more optimistic than Katie. Where is it that you may be more optimistic? I just I look at it and I see 25 basis points of PPP fee pressure. But I get there’s some upside to where you’re at, but just curious on the – what makes you more optimistic right now?

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · your question.

Product mix where we’re seeing the growth. I’m probably, I have more optimistic on the ability of some of the higher margin products to grow.

David Long

Analyst · your question.

Got it. Okay. And then last thing, switching gears back to the operating expenses, the $46 million to $48 million run rate, with the Premier deal being done and getting some savings out of that will and keep, I was a little bit surprised that the operating expense number may be flat in the fourth quarter and the next year. We remind us of the pace of some of the savings that you expect with the Premier transaction.

Katie Bailey

Analyst · your question.

Yes. We expected 75% of the cost save in 2021 with a 100% being realized early in – starting early in 2022.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · your question.

We traditionally close and convert on the same weekend, which gives us the opportunity to cut the costs out pretty quickly.

David Long

Analyst · your question.

Got it. Okay, great. Thank you. Appreciate it.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst · your question.

Thank you.

Katie Bailey

Analyst · your question.

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

And our next question is a follow-up from Scott Siefers from Piper Sandler. Please go with your follow-up.

Scott Siefers

Analyst

Hey guys, thank you. I just wanted to return to that margin discussion a bit as well. Does give an outlook for what purchase counting benefits would be in 2022 and to what degree are those embedded in that 3.55% to 3.75% guide?

Katie Bailey

Analyst

Yes. So for the third quarter, we had about 8 basis points of accretion. I think that’ll go up to 10 to 15 basis points in 2022.

Scott Siefers

Analyst

Okay, perfect. All right. I think that actually does it, so thank you very much.

Katie Bailey

Analyst

Thank you, Scott.

Operator

Operator

And ladies and gentlemen, with that, we’ll be ending today’s question-and-answer session. I’d like to turn the floor back over to Mr. Sulerzyski for any closing remarks.

Chuck Sulerzyski

Analyst

Yes. I want to thank everyone for joining our call this morning. Please remember that our earnings release and the webcast of this call will be archived at peoplesbancorp.com under the Investor Relations section. Thank you for your time. I wish everyone good health and have a great day.

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, with that, we’ll conclude today’s conference call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect your lines.