Randal Kirk
Analyst · Northland Capital Markets
It’s a really good question. So as we think about it, there are really three ways to play and what we're trying to do, we’ll see if we succeed on this. It just depends on how we come out in the partnering discussions, but there are really three waves to play in this. There are parties who have a lot of gas or who have completely on market gas that has no current market or stranded gas or what have you and similarly, there are parties who have a lot of infrastructure gas, right and who move gas, pipeline companies and so forth. These parties are probably agnostic with respect to the molecule or how to play. In other words, I think such parties would be total processing agreements until the cows come home, if you'll pay them a CapEx recovery rate that they deem satisfactory and by their gas. That's at the lowest tier and I'll just say, we feel extremely confident that we could book those deals all day long. Above that there are chemical companies that have very significant, here just starting to feel like my background in pharmaceuticals actually could help us, because the people we're talking to on these single molecules are the chemical companies that have major market share already in that very chemical. And so they have the most reason to care. And so the possibility there at that one tier up from the first one I described is that we could contemplate doing a deal, an exclusive deal on a single molecule with a single worldwide player. Then above that, if you ascribe value to the sheer optionality, if you think, gosh, maybe we will really succeed big time on Isobutanol, maybe we'll finally go back to work on farnesene, C15. We’ve shown that we can make farnesene, we just have not spent any significant budget to see what the potential yield on that thing could be, but that's $1 trillion a year, farnesene, right. So that's sort of wrath of God money. If the international oil companies can think about something that is that landscape shifting, then the one tier above that, which was obviously, I would say, it’s our aspirational goal would be to partner with an international oil company on a global basis across the entire platform. So that's how we're thinking about it.