Earnings Labs

Porch Group, Inc. (PRCH)

Q4 2023 Earnings Call· Fri, Mar 8, 2024

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Transcript

Lois Perkins

Management

Good afternoon, everyone and thank you for participating in Porch Group’s Fourth Quarter 2023 Conference Call. Today, we issued our fourth quarter earnings release and related Form 8-K to the SEC. The press release can be found on our Investor Relations website at ir.porchgroup.com. Joining me here today are Matt Ehrlichman, Porch Group’s CEO, Chairman and Founder; Shawn Tabak, Porch Group’s CFO; Matthew Neagle, Porch Group’s COO; and Jim Weld, GM of Rynoh, Porch’s title software company. Before we go further, I would like to take a moment to review the company’s Safe Harbor statement within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, which provides important cautions regarding forward-looking statements. Today’s discussion, including responses to your questions, reflects management’s views as of today, March 7, 2024. We do not undertake any obligations to update or revise this information. Additionally, we will make forward-looking statements about our expected future financial or business performance or conditions, business strategy and plans including the application for the reciprocal exchange based on current expectations and assumptions. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties, which could cause our actual results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements. We encourage you to consider the risk factors and other risks and uncertainties described in our SEC filings, as well as the risk factor information in these slides for additional information, including factors that could cause our results to differ materially from current expectations. We will reference both GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures on today’s call. Please refer to today’s press release for reconciliations of non-GAAP measures to the most comparable GAAP measures discussed during this earnings call, which are available on our website. The financial information provided today is preliminary, unedited and subject to revision upon completion of the closing and audit processes. As a reminder, this webcast will be available for replay along with the presentation shortly after this call on the company’s website at ir.porchgroup.com. I will now turn the call over to Matt Ehrlichman, CEO, Chairman and Founder of Porch Group. Over to you, Matt.

Matt Ehrlichman

Management

Thanks, Lois. Good afternoon, everybody. Thanks very much for joining. I couldn’t be more proud of the achievements and execution of the Porch team over the last year. Despite a sharp increase in interest rates over the last couple of years, higher cost of reinsurance and claims, and traction in the real estate market and historically challenging weather events, the team stuck together, stayed focused and performed. We implemented our insurance profitability actions, which you’ll hear throughout today’s presentation. This includes enhancing underwriting activities, increasing premium per policy and non-renewing higher risk policies. We launched Porch warranty and new products for our software customers, increasing pricing while maintaining our high customer retention. And we reduced costs across our business while continuing investment across key growth initiatives. And as a result of the work we have done, financial results were strong and exceeded expectations. Revenue in the fourth quarter grew 79% to $115 million, $15 million above our prior guidance. Revenue less cost of revenue grew 82% to $80 million, $20 million above guidance. And Q4 adjusted EBITDA profit was $12 million, an increase of $25 million compared to the fourth quarter 2022 and $8 million above guidance. In every measure here, it was a great quarter. A few other key updates for the fourth quarter before we dive into the presentation, one, we handily beat the second half 2023 profitability target we set 2 years ago with second half adjusted EBITDA of $21 million. Next, we had no material weaknesses, huge thanks to Shawn and the team for the expertise and leadership. This was a top priority for us as we completed system implementations and improved our control environment, a truly great achievement and well-done team. Next, our business continues to make meaningful progress across many areas. In Q4 alone, we launched a new Rynoh product for title companies. We landed a new utilities partnership, released a new HVAC micro-warranty, and a CRM product for smaller inspectors. Our moving business is executing a local full-service offering expanding on our leadership position and providing moving labor to consumers. This product increases the size of our market opportunity and provides a higher margin offering. Next, we released our first ESG report, which is available on our IR website. We look forward to sharing more on this in the future. And finally, we were admitted into Deloitte Technology’s Fast 500 for 2023. Now over to you, Shawn on the financials.

Shawn Tabak

Management

Thanks, Matt and good afternoon everyone. As Matt mentioned, we are extremely pleased to accomplish our second half 2023 adjusted EBITDA target, despite market headwinds. I wanted to thank our teams for their contribution and hard work to achieve this critical milestone. Moving to Slide 9 here to get into the financials, revenue was $114.6 million in the fourth quarter of 2023, growth of 79% over the prior year, driven by our insurance segment, which grew 179% partially offset by the Vertical Software segment. Revenue less cost of revenue was $79.9 million, resulting in a margin of 70% of revenue, which is a 120 basis point increase over the prior year, driven by the insurance profitability actions and software price increases. Adjusted EBITDA was $11.7 million, a 10% margin and a $25 million increase over the prior year driven by the insurance segment and strong cost control. Gross written premium was $112 million, a decrease compared to prior year as we focus on profitability and reducing risk through non-renewals and new business restrictions and higher risk ZIP codes. This is partially offset by an increase in premium per policy. The insurance segment was 76% of total revenue in the fourth quarter, an increase from 49% in the prior year. Revenue from our insurance segment was $86.9 million, growth of 179% over the prior year, driven by a 34% increase in premium per policy and lower reinsurance seating. Approximately one-third of the growth was from increases in premium per policy and two-thirds from the lower seating partially offset by attrition with the non-renewals. Vertical Software revenue was $27.7 million, a decline compared to the prior year, driven by the housing market headwinds, which particularly impacts moving services along with lower demand in corporate relocations. SaaS revenue remained resilient. Moving to adjusted…

Matthew Neagle

Management

Thank you, Shawn. Hello, everyone. I will start with our KPIs. The average number of companies was 30,000 in the fourth quarter, broadly similar to last quarter and prior year with continued housing market headwinds. Average revenue per company per month increased 84% to $1,277 versus $693 in Q4 2022 as we continue to monetize the insurance opportunity more effectively. We had 220,000 monetized services in the quarter, an increase of 3% despite the headwinds in the housing market and decline in corporate relocations. Finally, average revenue per monetized service was $448, up 105% versus prior year due to the growth in our higher value services such as insurance and warranty. I want to take a moment to highlight our SaaS revenue within the vertical software segment. Industry home sales declined 18% in 2022, an additional 19% in 2023. Despite this, our software and subscription revenue have remained broadly consistent over that period. While we are not assuming any improvement in the housing market in 2024, when the housing market recovers, it will be a tailwind for our businesses. Looking now at the Insurance segment, KPIs, which includes HOA, our insurance carrier, our warranty business and as of December 31, it also included EIG. Gross written premium was $112 million from 310,000 policies in force in the fourth quarter. Policies in force declined 20% compared to prior year, while GWP decreased 14%. This is due to non-renewals of higher risk policies being partially offset by increased premium per policy. Annualized revenue per policy increased to $1,120 driven by premium per policy increases and lower seating. Posting now on HOA, our insurance carrier, annualized premium per policy increased 34% to $1,861. Premium retention was 96%, approximately 10 percentage points lower than prior year, driven by the non-renewals we discussed. Our gross…

Jim Weld

Management

Thanks, Matthew, and hello, everyone. I’m Jim Weld, General Manager of Rynoh, and I have 15 years of title industry leader experience. Prior to leading Rynoh, I spent more than 3 years as President of Zillow’s title and Escrow business. I’ve been a client of Rynoh and got to experience firsthand how important and impactful this software is. Rynoh was built over many years around a single product called RynohLive that is very popular in the title industry. After the 2021 acquisition by Porch, Rynoh successfully transitioned from a one-hit wonder to a platform. Rynoh is a leading provider of SaaS solutions for our clients who are title and Escrow agents who collect and disperse funds during a real estate closing. Rynoh’s clients operate in a highly complex and regulated environment. Therefore, Rynoh is critical to their control environment. Since inception, Rynoh has projected 24 million closings having disbursements of about $8 trillion. Back in 2021, more than 30% of all U.S. residential purchases and home refinances were protected by Rynoh software. Today, that number is approaching 40%. Our priorities are to build products that add value, save time, drive cost savings and efficiencies and reduce the potential for errors. Our four core modules on this one platform support this streamlined workflow and are outlined here on slide 27. RynohLive is a module that automates bank transactions daily and alerts if payments fail to clear or do not reconcile to the accounting system. RynohEscheat was launched last year, which identifies funds that remain in Escrow after closing and streamlines processes to either return or a Escheat funds to maintain regulatory compliance. RynohOpX integrates with many accounting systems and platforms and performs daily account reconciliation and alerts for a more expansive group of clients. And we recently released a major new…

Matt Ehrlichman

Management

Thanks, Jim. Appreciate it. We do hope that today’s one-off targets and disclosures on our Rynoh and warranty business units are helpful. I just note that these are just two of our many successful businesses at Porch that leverage our platform to differentiate and grow and then contribute back to expanding Porch Group’s advantages. Before wrapping, I want to take a step back and share our financial progress since we became a public company in December of 2020. Our business has grown more than 6x over the last 4 years. We’ve increased revenue at a 60% CAGR and guidance is approaching $500 million in revenue in 2024. This is driven by our Insurance segment, which has grown from virtually nothing to over $300 million of revenue in 2023 and what was then a central part of our vision has certainly become a reality. Similarly, revenue less cost of revenue is expected to grow to $233 million in 2024, a 44% for your CAGR. And finally, as we’ve said before, our adjusted EBITDA guidance for the full year is $6 million at the midpoint, a key milestone for the company to be profitable on a full year basis. And the $21 million in the second half of 2023 adjusted EBITDA, which was a $45 million improvement from the same 6 months in the prior year, shows that we are well positioned for significant profit growth potential ahead. And I’ll remind you, this amount of progress has been made during a time when the housing market contracted significantly. So just to the team sincerely well done. And as you know, we are just getting started. Finally, after looking back at the last 4 years, I want to take a moment here to look ahead and provide an update on our strategy and…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Daniel Kurnos from Benchmark Company. Your line is open.

Daniel Kurnos

Analyst

Great, thanks. Obviously, really strong into the year. So congrats on the quarter, guys. Matt, I know you’re not going to talk about the reciprocal or update us later, but can you at least just give us a sense on if you’ve gotten the filings done or the audit done on that front?

Matt Ehrlichman

Management

Shawn, you can update on some of the filings and on, but just let me quickly on reciprocal. I’m happy to talk about it actually, Dan, is just we don’t yet have timing. As we talked about previously, we will update here as we go through the year. But we continue to have a close working relationship with our friends at the TDI or just continue to do a really nice job, and we’re excited about it. We continue to be very confident that, that’s the right structure for the business and that will happen here in due course.

Shawn Tabak

Management

Yes. With respect to Dan, I think your question is about the financials for the insurance entity, which is kind of part of that. That’s on track. We’re on top of it, and we’ll do that in due course here in the month of March, which is all we typically do it.

Daniel Kurnos

Analyst

Got it. Thanks. So Matt, just kind of [indiscernible] some really good numbers about risk reduction. And now that you’ve got the additional convective storm coverage and incremental what looks like data expansion, I know you’ve guided to, let’s call it, flat x CIG Gross written premium this year, but what’s kind of your thought process now that you’ve derisked the model so much on maybe getting understanding, you’re waiting for the reciprocal, but just thinking about getting a little bit more aggressive on adding policy, especially with the rate you’re getting right now?

Matt Ehrlichman

Management

Yes. I mean, it’s an exciting time, as you know, as folks that have followed us know and our long-term investors now, certainly, the focus for second half of last year, focus for 2024 is profitability, right? We wanted to be able to make sure that we’ve really demonstrated profits. Obviously, for 2024, we want to make sure that we’re – it’s clearly seen that we are profitable as a company on a full year basis. And so we’ve made the moves that we need to make. Now clearly, you can see on the insurance underwriting results that we are positioned to be able to grow with, we believe, very strong ongoing profitability. We think we’ve made the moves. And so while we’ve been in this period where we’ve been very specifically restricting growth in certain geographies, certainly as – and we noted this in the prepared remarks, we do expect to start unlocking some of those restrictions over the course of 2024, really to set up 2025 to be growing at a nice clip, again. So that is in front of us. And then down on the first part of your question on the risk reduction just to make sure I emphasize a couple of points, it is an important part of this because we have been able to. Even while maintaining, we have been managing the roughly flat premium year-over-year is kind of what we have been targeting. We have been able to significantly reduce the pool of risks that we have and just overall the total amount of risks. And so, 23% is actually, I think the final and precise number on what we reduce risk. Here in 2024 versus ‘23 and 27%, so that’s a big shift in total risk and that doesn’t include the aggregate purchase that we have made of additional reinsurance around severe convective storms and hail, that new $30 million purchase. And so our business just becomes much more predictable, much better protected, much lower risk even as we have these we think are clear and strong goals in front of us.

Daniel Kurnos

Analyst

Got it. Shawn, just maybe one quick one for you, ‘23 was a bit noisy from an event standpoint, I am just trying to get a handle on how we should be thinking about the operating or free cash in 2024?

Shawn Tabak

Management

Yes. So, we were pleased to deliver for the full year $34 million of operating cash flow in 2023. We ended the year with around $400 million of cash, cash equivalents and investments, which is a very strong position, HOA, our carrier had $52 million of surplus. The maths point, that’s a great basis for that business to be at with future profitability in the strong momentum we mentioned in the second half of the year. With respect to cash flow in 2024, the way to think about that is first and foremost, most importantly, we guided to positive adjusted EBITDA for the full year around $6 million at the midpoint. From there, the other bits to think about, for us, we don’t have a lot of CapEx. Historically, it’s been less than $10 million. Taxes are very little for us and we do have around just over $20 million of interest expense on the coupon. So, those are the other factors that kind of play into it. We have seen a big driver of that cash flow in 2023, is we have seen it less. And so that drives better working capital, when you see less and we are able to see less, obviously because the book is that much more profitable. And so that that provides a lot of that working capital benefit because we are hanging on to the cash from the policyholders instead of giving it to the reinsurance partner. So, I think we are starting 2024 in a really strong position.

Daniel Kurnos

Analyst

Got it. Here we see the springboard. I guess is what I am getting at here, so alright. Thanks guys. I appreciate it. I will step off.

Shawn Tabak

Management

Thank you, Dan. Appreciate it.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of John Campbell from Stephens. Your line is open.

John Campbell

Analyst

Hi guys. Good afternoon. Congrats on a great quarter.

Shawn Tabak

Management

Thanks John.

John Campbell

Analyst

So, on the extra – yes, for sure on the extra disclosures around warranty and Rhino [ph], that was great. Those are solid businesses. If you guys hit the 2024 targets for warranty and Rhino and then obviously just sold EIG, so that’s going to add back another $3 million of losses, that’s $27 million in EBITDA. Obviously, you have got the Corporate segment, if you take that out, I mean you are going to basically need about $40 million outside of warranty and Rhino. So, a few questions here, first on, just bigger picture, are you largely done with the cost actions within corporate and how we should maybe think about that this year? And then secondly, if you can help us unpack that remaining $40 million, is that mostly just HOA and improved gross loss ratio versus last year?

Matt Ehrlichman

Management

Yes, I can take that one. Some good questions in there. First, I will say on the corporate cost actions, those have already – those are done, but the benefits of the P&L will show in 2024 as they annualizes as opposed to 2023 was partial year. But the actions themselves are done. With respect to insurance profitability, one of the things, I think Matt mentioned in his prepared remarks is in the second half of the year, which is really when the insurance profitability actions we talked about really kicked in. We were $45 million better this year EBITDA than we were into the second half of 2022. And there is more of that, that have already been to come in 2024. So, that just kind of maybe sets the tone a little bit. And then the other the other – some other drivers of profitability in our software businesses, we continue to roll out products and increased prices as we create more value for our customers there. That all that will benefit profitability and a lot of those have already been launched is the other thing, it’s just now we need to see it kind of roll through. The second thing I will mention is, we are also continuing to increase this premium per policy. I think we mentioned today some Texas filings that we have done there. So, those are the main drivers that get us to the profitability improvement every year-over-year.

John Campbell

Analyst

Okay. That’s very helpful. And then kind of staying on that line of questioning, you mentioned the 63% gross loss ratio for this year, that’s going to be based on the past 5 years, I think you said weighted average, I am guessing 2020 was lower than normal. But the last 2 years have been pretty tough. It seems like way outside of the norm. And then you have also got the new storm coverage. But the question here is how does that 63% gross loss ratio compared to about the historical average beyond the past 5-year look?

Matt Ehrlichman

Management

So, couple of things on the gross loss ratio. One is that we are – we think set up quite well actually with that given what we have done with reinsurance. So, for example, last year, John, was a tough weather year in terms of hail particularly, due to some weather in Q1, hit that same year happened again this year. Again with this new, whoever insurance provides us is an aggregate cover. So, while we typically and continue to get reinsurance for large event protection, we now have protection against a series of small events. We actually would have gotten the $30 million backup of additional cover, if last year were to happen again. And so that certainly just lowers our risk for the similar type of weather. As we look further back in the time, weather, more than 5 years ago and the gross loss ratio was consistently around this type of a level, but I would note that things have changed quite a bit. So, when we put in place higher deductibles, this last year there was a 2% wind inhale deductible that’s being raised a 3% went inhaled deductible, that’s important in terms of what impact it makes on a gross loss ratio and perhaps underappreciated. And so that certainly is a driver that helps us this year.

Shawn Tabak

Management

Yes. And I think the other thing that we are...

John Campbell

Analyst

Okay. That’s very helpful.

Shawn Tabak

Management

I was just going to add to that. Yes, the other thing that we are seeing in the book here is improvements in underwriting, right, and risk selection. And so I think as 5 years ago, obviously HOA wasn’t using Porch data at that point in time. And so – and then, as well as some of the other things that Matt mentioned there. So, really the combination of the things we talked about increases in premiums, underwriting actions, deductible, various exclusions, non-renewing certain policies. I think have set us up really well for this year on that front.

John Campbell

Analyst

Okay. Thank you guys.

Matt Ehrlichman

Management

Thanks John.

Operator

Operator

Your next your next question comes from the line of Josh Siegler from Cantor Fitzgerald. Your line is open.

Josh Siegler

Analyst

Yes. Hi guys. Good afternoon. Thanks for taking my question. Congrats on the really strong quarter here. First, I just wanted to dive into, with near-term profitability on the horizon, how are you really thinking about future capital allocation and could M&A really be on the table as we progress through ‘24 and ‘25?

Shawn Tabak

Management

I will take M&A one first. I would not expect any M&A or material amount of M&A. Here in the 2024 year, where we have one more year in front of us and just really being heads down, focused making sure we just execute flawlessly and produce a really solid clean year. So, that’s where we are at now. Does M&A open up back up, for us ahead, we do think that’s a capability that we have as a company and we are looking forward to the right time to be able to turn that engine back on.

Matt Ehrlichman

Management

Yes. With respect to capital allocation, I think the good news is I think we have a lot of great places to deploy capital and earn a very attractive risk adjusted return. First and foremost, the growth of the business in and of itself , I think is driving very strong returns. And then we also have the unsecured debt which is due in a couple of years. I think we have a number of options for that one in particular and plenty of time to take care of it, but – and then other opportunities as well. I won’t go into further today, but from the capital allocation perspective, I think we do have a number of very attractive investments that we are looking through.

Josh Siegler

Analyst

Got it. I appreciate the color there. And then I also wanted to talk a little bit deeper into the cross-sell opportunity between the software side and the insuring side and kind of how you are thinking about that evolving, especially if the macro starts to ease a bit?

Matt Ehrlichman

Management

Sure, I can take that. We are excited about the access that our software businesses give to us to help home buyers. We are also excited about the focus of our insurance strategy around helping home buyers. We are also excited about the app and the way the app can bring together a really nice experience. And so that’s all core to what we are doing. We continue to see year-over-year improvements and kind of the things that we measure around that strategy. And then as was mentioned here, the market has declined and that does impact our ability to cross-sell because there is fewer people who are buying homes. As of now, we are not anticipating growth this next year, but we do expect growth to come and that’s going to be the telling for our business.

Josh Siegler

Analyst

Okay. Thanks guys and congrats here on the results.

Matt Ehrlichman

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Jason Helfstein from Oppenheimer. Your line is open.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

Hey, this is Steve on for Jason. So, we just have two questions. One, can you give us anything on January in terms of improving house trends and kind of how much that would help software business? Maybe there is a data point you can give. And then secondly on rate increases, I know you talked about them with taxes for example. Is there any metric you can give on how many users for written premium or geographies you have increased on prices this year or thus far? Thank you.

Shawn Tabak

Management

Sure. The first – can we repeat the first question?

Matt Ehrlichman

Management

Yes, I will take it. I got it.

Unidentified Analyst

Analyst

So, we were just wondering…

Matt Ehrlichman

Management

I got it. It’s good. So, on January specifically, obviously, in attend there is more housing sales that’s going to help our business. But again, just to reiterate, what we are expecting and what our guidance represents is we expect flat year-over-year. We think that it will bounce around a little bit from month-to-month. The market is still kind of settling in. We are not obviously seeing deterioration at a market level year-over-year at this point. But certainly, it helps. Whenever we have months that where home sales picks up. I would note just one other generally macro question, I am sure people are curious about just here more recently, just around the Texas-related wildfires and tied to your Texas question. Texas, obviously, our hearts go out to the people in Texas and Oklahoma by the recent wildfires, I would want to note that we have not seen any claims, actually zero claims to-date, and we would not expect that will be a meaningful event for us. I think it continues to demonstrate our ability to select risks effectively. As we think about Texas broadly, Texas is our largest state. So, when we have an 18% rate increase, we have mentioned before that it’s actually meaningfully our largest state, that does show up in the overall results.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Danny Pfeiffer from JPMorgan. Your line is open.

Danny Pfeiffer

Analyst

Hi guys. Thanks for the questions. For the first, the sale of EIG, do you maybe see any further opportunity with pruning other non-core assets within the Porch portfolio? And or maybe was this more of a one-off transaction? And then I have a follow-up. Thank you.

Matt Ehrlichman

Management

We think about it as more of a one-off transaction. We will always be pragmatic and thoughtful in our strategy, both on acquisitions or divestitures, I suppose. I don’t expect to see many divestitures because we really like our businesses and are excited about where they are at. EIG was a special case where we could sell a business and being very aligned with our strategy. So, in terms of divestitures, that’s how I would see that. In terms of the...

Danny Pfeiffer

Analyst

And then on the second, can you may be – sorry about that.

Matt Ehrlichman

Management

Please go ahead.

Danny Pfeiffer

Analyst

Yes. So, for the second, can you maybe unpack the seasonal first half ‘24 adjusted EBITDA loss guidance? And maybe how much is the Aon reinsurance agreement and the severe storm coverage you purchase is kind of helping there?

Shawn Tabak

Management

Yes. I can cover that. So, in the presentation today in the prepared remarks, I think I showed a slide which shows the typical seasonality of our adjusted EBITDA, and that’s mainly driven by historically higher claims in the second quarter. We talked about some of the things we did this year to further protect that with different types of reinsurance cover that would have protected the – in particular, the hail storms we saw in 2023. And then I think I also mentioned in the prepared remarks, on a year-over-year basis, if you would just compare, for example, Q1 last year to what we are expecting for Q1 this year, same thing for Q2 in each of the quarters, we are expecting between $10 million to $15 million improvement year-over-year. And most of that is driven by the things we talked about today, which are the profitability actions in insurance, which is driving really strong run rate profitability in that insurance business. Again, that’s the $45 million year-over-year that we saw in the second half of 2023 as well as the price increases and more of the cost management items rolling through in 2024. So, those are the main drivers of those as opposed to like the Aon or other things like that. The Aon just as – it will be over a period of time, because that’s a long-term agreement we have with our partners at Aon.

Danny Pfeiffer

Analyst

Got it. Thanks.

Matt Ehrlichman

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ryan Tomasello from KBW. Your line is open.

Ryan Tomasello

Analyst

Hi, everyone. Thanks for taking the questions. Just following up on the capital structure, Shawn, maybe if you could just discuss some of the path you have to efficiently addressing the 2026 convert maturity. Obviously, you bought back a little bit here at a discount. Is that something that you will continue to opportunistically chip away at? And also just remind us, from a corporate structure perspective, if you would have any access to the sizable chunk of liquidity at HOA to help with those maturities depending on how the reciprocal evolves, just trying to understand all the moving pieces here for the capital structure? Thanks.

Shawn Tabak

Management

Yes. Thanks for the question. So I would say, first of all, as I mentioned, we ended the year in a strong position with about $400 million of cash, cash equivalents and investments. Within that, there was also a roughly $50 million surplus note between HOA and Porch Group. That provides the coupon and an intercompany payable back to Porch Group. The other thing, obviously, we just talked about Aon and EIG, those deals collectively contributed an additional $35 million of cash in January of 2024 that we will see on the Q1 ‘24 balance sheet. So I think – and then finally, I guess the last point there is that HOA is in a really healthy position with $52 million of surplus at the end of 2023. So – and then we talked about generating adjusted EBITDA and profitability actions in 2024. So, that’s also driving it north going forward. With respect to taking care of the debt, I am not going to get into any specifics. I think what I would just say is I’ll leave it at. We have a number of options in how to take care of that and we – sitting here today, we have over 2 years to do that. So, plenty of time on our side there as well.

Ryan Tomasello

Analyst

Okay, great. Thanks for that color. And then in terms of the ‘24 guide just given all the noise this year – the past year from Vesttoo and lower seating on revenue in the back half, you have the resale of the insurance – the sale of the insurance agency this year, just trying to understand like what level of organic revenue growth the 2024 guidance implies as we kind of normalize for those different factors if that makes sense?

Shawn Tabak

Management

Yes. I mean it’s all – I would label it is all organic. I mean I think with what we are doing with our insurance book, where we are seating less quota share, in particular, quota share is the element of reinsurance that we’ve cut back on. And we are able to do that, because we have significantly increased the profitability of the book. So, I mentioned the risk, which is the probable maximum loss of the insurance for it. We will have gotten better by 50% and collectively almost between 2022 and 2024. And that, along with the profitability actions go hand in hand and that’s what puts us in a position where we could have less quota share reinsurance in the book. And that will continue to some extent in 2024 as well as the price increases that we mentioned, the premium per policy increases. So, that’s how I would think about it. I think it’s all the levers kind of come together when we are thinking about the insurance business and the profitability and what that means in terms of reinsurance as well.

Ryan Tomasello

Analyst

Got it. Thanks for taking the questions.

Matt Ehrlichman

Management

Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Jason Kreyer from Craig-Hallum. Your line is open.

Jason Kreyer

Analyst

Great. Thank you, guys. I just wanted to ask on property data. I know you have been using that for the last 2 years now. Just wondering if you can give an overview of where you have seen that data provide more of a pricing edge or any numbers around how frequently that data is being used in quoting? And then if you can give any indications of where you plan to use that more going forward? Thank you.

Jim Weld

Management

Sure. I can take that. We are excited about the advantages of the data can provide and we are already seeing measurable results in our own underwriting and it’s going to be a key ongoing opportunity for us. There is a variety actually of ways that we can use the data. We have actually done a number of filings in multiple states using the data. And it’s things that you would expect if you were to start to imagine what would you want to know, right? So it’s things tied to the age and condition of the roof, it’s tied to the type of plumbing. It’s tied to where is the water heater located so that in the event something happened, what type of damage is going to take place. We think we are early in our ability to take advantage of this data. There is still a lot of data points that we think we can get about the interior of the home and we are excited about them.

Operator

Operator

And we have run out of time for our question-and-answer period. I will now pass the call over to Matt for closing remarks.

Matt Ehrlichman

Management

Well, first, thanks everybody for the questions and the time. Thanks everybody for being here. Most I just want to thank the Porch team for their efforts and for the truly significant progress that’s been delivered, also to our long-term investors who do see the vision and where we are and all that’s ahead for us. We look forward to speaking to you all – with you all again in our Q1 earnings in May until then.