Earnings Labs

PriceSmart, Inc. (PSMT)

Q2 2019 Earnings Call· Wed, Apr 10, 2019

$154.61

-0.59%

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good day, and welcome to PriceSmart Incorporated Earnings Release Conference Call for the Second Quarter of Fiscal Year 2019, the three and six-month period ending on February 28, 2019. All participants are currently in a listen-only mode. After remarks from our company representatives, Sherry Bahrambeygui, Chief Executive Officer; and Maarten Jager, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, you will be given an opportunity to ask questions as time permits. [Operator Instructions]. And as a reminder, this conference is being recorded, today, Wednesday, April 10, 2019. A digital replay will be available through April 17, 2019, following the conclusion of the call by dialing 1-877-344-7529 for domestic callers or 1-412-317-0088 for international callers and entering replay access code 10129327. I would now like to turn the conference over to Maarten Jager. Please go ahead, sir.

Maarten Jager

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Thank you, Anita, and thank you and welcome to our earnings call for the second quarter of fiscal year 2019. We will be discussing the information that we provided in our earnings press release and our 10-Q, both of which we released yesterday, April 9, 2019. You can find both the press release and the 10-Q filing on our Web site, www.pricesmart.com. Please note that statements made during this call may contain forward-looking statements concerning the company's anticipated future plans, revenues, and related matters. These forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements containing the words expect, believe, will, may, should, estimate, and similar expressions. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially, including the risk detailed in the company's Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended August 31, 2018, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on October 25, 2018. We assume no obligation and expressly disclaim any duty to update any forward-looking statements to reflect the occurrence of events or circumstances, which may arise after the date of this call. Now I will turn it over to Sherry Bahrambeygui, PriceSmart’s Chief Executive Officer.

Sherry Bahrambeygui

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. Since our last call I’ve continued immersing myself in the business and have been able to start making some changes in areas that are important and where there’s been good opportunity for improvement. As you might recall in Q1 of this fiscal year, I visited our clubs and operations in most major markets throughout Central America, Panama and Colombia. And since our last call, along with my senior management team, we’ve travelled to our Caribbean market and had pretty comprehensive visits of most of our clubs and related operations in DR, Trinidad, Jamaica and the USVI. We thoroughly explored all aspects of our clubs, our operations and distribution centers and the competition in those markets. I had the pleasure of spending time with many dynamic and entrepreneurial members of our local management team and associates. We also engaged directly with members on the sales force to get a better understanding of how we could bring value to their lives and their businesses. I’m excited to say that we got a quite robust business in the Caribbean and many of our locations do want further investment to increase capacity, capacity that would make it easier for our members to shop and as a result drive same-store sales. We also found many opportunities to increase efficiencies. Similar to the impression that I had after visiting Colombia and our Central American markets, in many cases our business will benefit from getting back to basics. As you’ve heard before, I refer you to the Six Rights of merchandizing that were originally introduced by Sol and Robert Price, our founders. And as a reminder, the Six Rights are having the right merchandize in the right place at the right time in the right quantity in…

Maarten Jager

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Thank you, Sherry. Let me provide some additional financial details. As you heard from Sherry, our top line continues to be impacted by currency this quarter by 3.6% continuing the trend that we began reporting in the first quarter when it was 2.6%. Our headline EPS number of $0.79 per share versus $0.47 per share a year ago is impacted by the $0.14 per share impact from the cost bundled under the Aeropost heading along with $0.05 positive impact from a payment from a credit card vendor. These two factors together represent $0.09 per share this quarter, as Sherry mentioned. Last year’s EPS reflected an impact of $0.42 per share due to tax reform. On merchandize margins, they came in at 14.0% versus 14.4% a year ago. Total gross margins increased to 16.1% from 15.7% a year ago mainly due to higher margins on non-merchandize revenue from our Aeropost marketplace and casillero legacy business units contributing 60 basis points. In addition, the payment and reclassification of shared income generated from cobranded credit cards contributed approximately 40 basis points to our total gross margins. SG&A of the total business was 11.8% versus 11.2% a year ago. SG&A accounted for as Aeropost represented 9.4 million of that or 110 basis points of the increase which was offset by an impairment and acquisition deal charges in the prior period. Operating income was 36.5 million or 4.3% of total revenue versus 37.3 million a year ago. Operating income for the core warehouse club business increased to $40.8 million versus $37.3 million a year ago, largely due to asset impairment and acquisition deal cost in the prior year and the credit card vendor payment in the current quarter offset by lower margins. Moving on to tax. For the quarter, the effective tax rate was 32.9%.…

Operator

Operator

Thank you. We will now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions]. The first question today comes from Jon Braatz with Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead.

Jon Braatz

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Good morning, Sherry, Maarten.

Sherry Bahrambeygui

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Good morning.

Maarten Jager

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Good morning.

Jon Braatz

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Sherry, Maarten, in your 10-Q you talk about pricing actions to drive sales. Two questions. Is this in response to some new competitive pressures? And can you talk a little bit about the pace of that going forward? Will it be similar to what we’re seeing now or might ease up a little bit? A few thoughts on the future.

Maarten Jager

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Yes. We have taken some pricing actions as we released – mentioned in the 10-Q in part because of market factors. As we’ve talked about, we’ve had economic and geopolitical influences. Yes, competitors of course are always active but we maintain a very strong vigilance about pricing umbrella versus competitors. And we have also worked to take some actions on inventory which represented some incremental markdowns on our inventory.

Jon Braatz

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Okay. And then secondly, Maarten, I know you don’t want to starve Aeropost from – starve Aeropost, you want to continue to grow that business. How do you see the spending on Aeropost going forward from the second quarter level and loss per share of $0.14?

Sherry Bahrambeygui

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Yes, I think I’d like to take that, Jon, because with Aeropost we’ve got as it was envisioned, sort of a basket of different components and really the vision for Aeropost was that over time as we got a deeper understanding of their capabilities and how they would be able to be a driver for PriceSmart’s core business, the lines have become blurred and as a result a good chunk of what you may be seeing as part of Aeropost, the three components, there’s the acquisition cost, there’s the – actually four components. There’s the cost associated with the ongoing operations of casillero which was not a primary driver for us to acquire the company but nonetheless came to us with components that have value, like logistics, infrastructure, post order transaction knowhow, reverse logistics opportunities and various other outposts in markets where we exists and other locations. And then there’s the marketplace portion that Aeropost has which has been sort of a resource of information for us that has helped us better inform our planning with a delivered approach of trying to minimize mistakes when we build on our PriceSmart.com site. And then there’s the investment in PriceSmart.com as well as merging and blending the technology and the talent into the core of our business which is what I referred to earlier with regard to our senior executive from Aeropost who’s now responsible for member experience in our company. So the categories in terms of trying to decide how you characterize some of those expenses is much – they’re not clear lines and we’re right now still in the process of trying to figure that out and move, for example, some of the overhead that existed with Aeropost operation of this business is now getting shifted over to PriceSmart itself because we’re investing in member experience and getting to know our members better. Some of the technology talent that was part of the Aeropost overhead is now incorporated into the core of PriceSmart business to increase our efficiencies and to increase our technology which is something that as a retail company in today’s world we need to be doing. So I don’t know if that exactly answers your question, but we are in process right now trying to identify how to make the most of that investment and what should become part of our ongoing responsible management of our company and our growth plan and what of it is really just sort of one-time expenses or things that are tangential to our business that we will make decisions on going forward about what we want to do with those aspects of Aeropost.

Jon Braatz

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

So it sounds like it’s just going to be very difficult to evaluate this investment solely by looking at the results you give us on Aeropost because as you said the lines are being blurred and you just can’t look at the Aeropost numbers in isolation. It’s just not going to give us a true picture of what’s really going on. Is that a fair assessment?

Sherry Bahrambeygui

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

It may not be the answer you wanted to hear, but I couldn’t think of a better summation of it because frankly we’re doing what’s right for the business. We’re taking our time and we’re looking at where can we make the most of what we’ve acquired and we’re learning about the individuals involved, we’re learning more about the technology and we’re strategically pulling those and applying them where we’re going to get the best return in our view to drive the core PriceSmart business and it’s not a neat and tidy analysis that we can just sort of layout numbers for you. I do expect though in the future that this will clear up more and we’ll be able to categorize better this trunk, for example, the expenses associated with Aeropost has not been incorporated into the very core business of PriceSmart, this aspect of it is more directly related to, for example, casillero. And we are working on building that kind of an explanation. We don’t have it done yet. In part it’s because some of it is overlapping and those lines are blurred.

Jon Braatz

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Okay. Thank you very much.

Maarten Jager

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

This is Maarten. I’d just like to make an important clarification on the number of clubs in our market. We have in the Caribbean 12, in Central America we have 22 and in Colombia seven.

Sherry Bahrambeygui

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

I reversed the club numbers in my portion of the comments at the beginning, so we wanted to make that correction.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. The next question comes from Ronald Bookbinder with IFS Securities. Please go ahead.

Ronald Bookbinder

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Good morning and thank you for taking my questions. First, Colombia comps seem to be slowing. Is that simply because of currency or is there something else going on there, just the tough comparisons versus last year?

Sherry Bahrambeygui

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Our interpretation is different, frankly. Yes, I guess if you were to look at it strictly in terms of U.S. dollars, the comps have been negatively impacted to a significant degree. I think I gave you specifics in the range of 9%. But if you were to look at it in terms of local currency, you would see a very different picture in terms of the comps.

Ronald Bookbinder

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Okay, so it is currency. And then foods seem to be one of your stronger categories and you sourced that locally, so currency shouldn’t be having an impact on that as much as the products that get brought in from Miami. Is that why that seems to be doing better or how would you look at that in a constant currency basis?

Sherry Bahrambeygui

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

I think that it’s a mixed bag. I think on the one hand you’re right, but we still have significant foods that are imported. But the bottom line is that people are buying in local currency and when we have to translate that back to U.S. dollars, there is an impact as a result of the FX because we report our comps on U.S. dollars.

Ronald Bookbinder

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Correct. Okay. Central America, its performance was consistent with the prior two quarters. Should we expect it to stay negative in the back half of this year as these political problems and sort of a bit of a slowing economy there just continues?

Sherry Bahrambeygui

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

That’s something I think we’re all watching the news almost daily to try to get our arms around. We are definitely experiencing in multiple markets extraordinary external pressures. Nicaragua, it’s all over the news. Trump’s proclamations about cutting aid off to some of the countries where we have -- El Salvador, Guatemala, Honduras where we have clubs. These external pressures are just – it’s a matter of common knowledge and so we have to be prepared for that. But it’s no secret that we operate in challenging markets and we have for quite some time, but these are markets where we feel we also have tremendous opportunity and we bring to the table a very valuable concept and we bring a business with tremendous value proposition for members and for the market and also for the shareholders. But we got to weather these storms and we got to be smart about how we nimble about how we handle those things that are beyond our control, how we respond to them in an effective way. And I think predicting the political future in these markets and the socioeconomic feature, we do our homework but it’s by no means something guaranteed in terms of how it’s going to play out. So I can’t give you any more intelligence on that than what we all are seeing in the news.

Maarten Jager

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Two things to add if I can. On Colombia, I just went back to the last kind of five quarters, Ron, of constant currency sales and they’ve all been double digits, north of 10%. So as Sherry said, we are not seeing a dip. And then in terms of not predicting, obviously we can’t predict around the business predicting the geopolitical issues and outcomes. But it is true that in Nicaragua we will be anniversarying the Nicaragua riots starting in kind of late spring, early summer we’ll start to anniversary those numbers.

Ronald Bookbinder

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Okay. And lastly, the new regional DC, could you give us some additional color as to when you expect that to be fully operational and the benefit that we could see as that really starts to rollout?

Sherry Bahrambeygui

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

The Costa Rica regional distribution center is a major area of focus for our management team right now and we are already starting to see some benefits of that by way of concessions that vendors are providing. But it is a large undertaking. It’s a very strategic investment for us and we continue to evaluate and reevaluate how to make the most of that. Obviously when you’re able to plan for inventory flow for seven clubs and have a regional distribution center that can make better judgment calls as to what to flow and post to the specific clubs that can allow for some significant improvements as well in terms of our inventory flow. But we’re right in the depth of figuring out some very best ways to create savings, create efficiencies and be able to pass that value onto the member in the context of improving the overall operations and supply chain of our business.

Ronald Bookbinder

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

So I’m a bit surprised that you’re getting vendor concessions by I guess shipping directly there to the regional DC. Shouldn’t that be able to provide extra gross margin that you’ll be able to cut prices to provide better value for your members to drive more revenue, to leverage more SG&A and continue to drive profitability?

Sherry Bahrambeygui

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Have you been studying our cycle of success?

Ronald Bookbinder

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

I just want to make that clear.

Sherry Bahrambeygui

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Well, when you’ve got vendors who don’t have to make seven different stops for seven different clubs and they can go to one location as a basic, at least there’s a starting point for a discussion there as to whether or not we can partner with our vendors, make business easier on them, motivate them to share some of their savings with us so that we can in turn provide better value to our members. So I think you’ve nailed it.

Ronald Bookbinder

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

Okay, great. Thank you for taking my questions and good luck in the back half of the year.

Sherry Bahrambeygui

Analyst · IFS Securities. Please go ahead

All right, thank you so much.

Operator

Operator

The next question comes from Donatas Uzkurelis with LGM Investments. Please go ahead.

Donatas Uzkurelis

Analyst · LGM Investments. Please go ahead

Hello. Thank you very much for the call and I have a number of questions. Let’s start with the four new clubs planned for this calendar year. Could you give us some color on preopening expenses? How much have you booked let’s say in this quarter and how much we should expect in the next few quarters? Also can you talk a little bit about your cannibalization expectation on those clubs? Also certainly four new clubs is almost 10% as you mentioned to the total club number. How should we think about the financial year 2020 from that perspective? Is there a chance for you to add more clubs in addition to the four planned for that year? And also can you talk a little bit about your margin? The operating margin has been – it was lower year-on-year but it’s been better than the last two quarters as far as I can see. How should we think about it going forward? Should we see more pressure on it or some improvement? That’s it for now. Thank you.

Maarten Jager

Analyst · LGM Investments. Please go ahead

Sorry, the third question was unclear to us. The first one was about the clubs and preopening expenses. The second one was about cannibalization expectations.

Sherry Bahrambeygui

Analyst · LGM Investments. Please go ahead

There were four. What were the third and fourth?

Donatas Uzkurelis

Analyst · LGM Investments. Please go ahead

New openings for 2020 and also how should we think about your margins going forward?

Sherry Bahrambeygui

Analyst · LGM Investments. Please go ahead

All right. Well, I’ll start with some general comments and I’m sure Maarten’s going to have some more in depth insights for you on this. Basically we don’t share that level of detail on our expenses in terms of the planned expenses for preopening of the four clubs. I can tell you that we have a very well established approach for handling the preopening and for new members sign up and for getting the word out and building membership to attract them to the clubs. And with regard to Bolivar, given that we are promoting a club that is an enhanced or different depending on how you look at it, concept from what we’ve traditionally done, I could see a little bit more expense there and investment there. It may not all be our expense, it could include vendors who are excited about what we’re doing and wanting to participate. So we are looking at doing slightly more there to inform and educate our membership about the additional value and opportunities from this new concept. But generally speaking I don’t see our preopening expenses to be anything outside the norm, again with a slight exception of what we talked about on Bolivar and I think that’s about all the color I can give you on that generally.

Maarten Jager

Analyst · LGM Investments. Please go ahead

And what we booked in the current quarter is in the 10-Q.

Sherry Bahrambeygui

Analyst · LGM Investments. Please go ahead

Right. With regard to cannibalization, our efforts are to try to identify locations where we think are going to be additive and Veraguas is the next club to open up. It’s a smaller format. It’s in a more remote location relative to where we are in our other locations in Panama City and it’s intended to draw upon a slightly different demographic with a more targeted merchandize plan that responses to that area. So it’s been planned for thoughtfully to minimize cannibalization, but nonetheless it’s hard to predict exactly what the cannibalization will be. Let’s see, what did you talk about? Going forward for 2020, the new openings, we do not announce new openings. At least that’s not our current practice until we have a signed contract and secured a location and have a legal commitment basically to go forward. So I can’t give you any more color on that at this point. But as soon as we have and there are others that we are exploring and negotiating and actively working on that are in the pipeline and as we’re able to release those, we will release them to the market. With regard to more pressure – what was the last one?

Donatas Uzkurelis

Analyst · LGM Investments. Please go ahead

On margins.

Sherry Bahrambeygui

Analyst · LGM Investments. Please go ahead

With regard to margins, again, our business model is to try to reduce margins through better efficiencies while generating a reasonable profit. And this is the core discipline for our company and one that’s different from what you might see with traditional retailers. This is a key differentiator between us as a club model and your standard retailer. So again, we do have to respond from time-to-time due to competitive factors, due to external factors, due to currency fluctuations and that causes us to adjust margins where appropriate. But I do want to get across clearly that our goal is to be successful in being able to reduce margins. So that’s about as much color as I can provide. And Maarten, if you would like to fill anything out, please do.

Maarten Jager

Analyst · LGM Investments. Please go ahead

I think everything is well said. I did mention on the preopening expenses for the quarter we booked $97,000 in the 10-Q. And on the cannibalization, we do very detailed models, market studies, traffic flows, demographics, household income demographics and we look of course at the impact of the new club on the other clubs and look at the business case on an incremental economic value creation basis as you would expect us to do. But other than that, I have nothing else to add. Operator, thank you very much. I will now turn it over to you.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. This concludes our question-and-answer session and also concludes our conference. Thank you for attending today. You can now disconnect.

Sherry Bahrambeygui

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Thank you everyone.

Maarten Jager

Analyst · Kansas City Capital. Please go ahead

Thank you.