Earnings Labs

Patterson-UTI Energy, Inc. (PTEN)

Q3 2024 Earnings Call· Thu, Oct 24, 2024

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Good morning. Thank you for standing by. My name is Prilla and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Patterson-UTI Third Quarter 2024 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Thank you. I would now like to turn the conference over to Michael Sabella. You may begin.

Michael Sabella

Analyst

Thank you, operator. Good morning and welcome to Patterson-UTI’s earnings conference call to discuss our third quarter 2024 results. With me today are Andy Hendricks, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Andy Smith, Chief Financial Officer. As a reminder, statements that are made in this conference call that refer to the company’s or management’s plans, intentions, targets, beliefs, expectations or predictions for the future are considered forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties as disclosed in the company’s SEC filings, which could cause the company’s actual results to differ materially. The company takes no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements. Statements made in this conference call include non-GAAP financial measures. The required reconciliation to GAAP financial measures are included on our website, patenergy.com and in the company’s press release issued prior to this conference call. I will now turn the call over to Andy Hendricks, Patterson-UTI’s Chief Executive Officer.

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Citigroup. Please go ahead

Thanks Mike. Welcome to our third quarter earnings conference call. It’s been 1 year since our first earnings call after acquiring Ulterra and merging with NexTier, and the year has been transformative for Patterson-UTI. These strategic moves have solidified our position as a leading player in the oilfield services sector. Despite a challenging macro environment including fluctuations in oil and natural gas prices and shifting industry activity across key basins, we have successfully integrated NexTier and Ulterra. All of our segments are performing well given the backdrop, and we have stayed focused on operational excellence for our customers and free cash flow for our investors. We believe that the progress we have made in just 1 year will create value over the long term for the company and for shareholders. I want to extend a sincere thank you to all of our employees whose hard work and dedication have been crucial to the success of the integration. We could not have done it without you, and we are grateful for your contributions in making this process smoother and more efficient. We believe we’ve only begun to unlock the true value of our company. There are many opportunities to further integrate our operations, and we are just starting to realize the potential commercial synergies. Our integrated approach across the entire drilling and completions process is strengthening relationships with a broader customer base and positioning us for long-term success and strong financial returns. Even in a challenging market, we think there’s still room for capital-efficient profitable growth for Patterson-UTI. In the first four quarters, since the transaction closed, we generated almost $570 million of free cash flow. We have used that free cash flow to make $346 million of share repurchases while paying a steady dividend and reducing our net debt, including…

Andy Smith

Analyst · Stephen Gengaro with Stifel. Please go ahead

Thanks, Andy. Total reported revenue for the quarter was $1,357 million. We reported a net loss attributable to common shareholders of $979 million or $2.50 per share in the third quarter. This included an $885 million impairment of goodwill, a $114 million asset retirement charge and $7 million in merger and integration expenses. Excluding the goodwill impairment, asset retirement charge and merger and integration expenses, our adjusted net income would have been $2 million. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter totaled $275 million, which also excludes the previously mentioned special items. Our weighted average share count was 392 million shares during Q3 and we exited the quarter with 390 million shares outstanding. As previously noted, during the third quarter, we reported an $885 million charge related to the impairment of goodwill that was recorded with the NexTier merger. The merger was a stock-for-stock transaction that was negotiated at a 0 premium to the market price of a share of next year at the time of the deal announcement on June 15, 2023. The recorded equity consideration was based on Patterson-UTI’s share price at the time the transaction closed on September 1, 2023, which was 34% higher relative to the announcement date. This higher share price resulted in higher recorded equity consideration, leading to the recognition of goodwill from the transaction, the goodwill impairment related to our Completion Services reporting segment. On a periodic basis, we evaluate our fleet of drilling rigs for marketability based on the condition of inactive rigs, expenditures that would be necessary to bring in active rigs to working condition and the expected demand for Drilling Services by rig type. The components comprising rigs that will no longer be marketed are evaluated, and those components with continuing utility to our other marketed rigs are transferred to other rigs…

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Citigroup. Please go ahead

Thanks, Andy. I want to close on a few key takeaways. First, we’re excited about the service and product capabilities that we now have at Patterson-UTI, and are proud of the teams for all they have accomplished over the last year to integrate the businesses and work together. We have created an important company in the oilfield services market, which has an unparalleled offering in drilling and completions. On the macro in Q4 in Contract Drilling, I expect that the overall industry rig count will see some declines in the fourth quarter as smaller E&Ps slow for year-end before possibly increasing in the first half of 2025. While at the same time, our Patterson-UTI Tier-1 high-spec rig count will be relatively steady. This is primarily due to the larger drilling programs that we are involved in and the continuing high grading of industry rigs to Tier-1 high-spec rigs. In our Completions business, while the fourth quarter shows a seasonal slowdown, we do not think this is an accurate representation of the way the market will take shape throughout 2025. As we move through negotiations for work in 2025, there are many things that we believe are working to our advantage. We think our top-tier assets are positioned to remain well utilized, even as the lower end of the industry fleet continues to fall off. Given the higher capital intensity on the average fleet, there is likely to be very little spare capacity in the high-end natural gas-powered portion of our fleet. Said simply, the completions dynamic in Q4 is not indicative of the frac demand setup for 2025, and demand for the high end of the frac fleet could tighten as we move through 2025. As I previously mentioned, even though we have not worked through a budget process for…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Scott Gruber with Citigroup. Please go ahead.

Scott Gruber

Analyst · Citigroup. Please go ahead

Yes, good morning.

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Citigroup. Please go ahead

Scott, good morning.

Scott Gruber

Analyst · Citigroup. Please go ahead

Hey, Andy, you mentioned higher gross profit in the first half of next year for Completion, which seems very reasonable given the kind of exaggerated seasonality you have here in 4Q, and certainly aligns with your flattish drilling activity forecast. But just thinking about where the run rate kind of profit margins for the business lands early next year, can you provide any color on where you think that lands? I realize there’s a lot of moving pieces today, so feel free to provide a range. But curious whether you can get back to the 3Q level of profit next year after we work through the seasonality? So kind of thinking about 2Q next year, can you get back to what you guys just printed here in 3Q?

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Citigroup. Please go ahead

Yeah. Thanks. So as we look at Q4, we certainly are seeing a reduction in the activity. But as I mentioned, we don’t think that’s indicative of what’s going to happen next year. We think that the start of the year brings a reset, and I think you’ll see, especially for our Completions business, a lot of equipment go back to work. And I think the pace of that is still not clear, but we do think over the first half of the year, it’s going to move back up to where we’ve had it kind of mid-year this year. So we think it’s relatively steady after that ramp-up as well. So in terms of margin and profitability, we’re certainly looking at the structure of the company. As I mentioned, we believe that the overall setup for 2025 in activity is slightly lower than what we’ve seen in 2024. And we are looking at the structure of the company, and we’ve already made some moves on that. So we do think that there’s certainly lots of room to improve profitability over what we’re going to see in Q4 because that’s really an anomaly with the customers that are slowing down for the quarter. So profitability in the margins will move up, and we’re certainly going to target margins that we had kind of mid-level of this year.

Scott Gruber

Analyst · Citigroup. Please go ahead

I appreciate that. And I just wanted to turn to the Turnwell JV, it’s certainly a very interesting development. And it sounds like your participation is going to be somewhat modest here near term. But can you provide some color on how you’ll be participating near term? Is that just advisory? I don’t believe you’re contributing rigs or pumps, but is there an opportunity to pull through bids? And then longer term, would you look to have your participation evolve? Would you aim to provide rigs longer term? So just some more color on the JV, that would be great.

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Citigroup. Please go ahead

Yeah. So, we’re really excited about the opportunities with this JV. We’re excited to participate in this project, which is moving the needle for production for ADNOC over time, over the long-term as they seek to develop their unconventional resources. I’m pleased that they wanted to work with us as a partner in this process. So we’re initially providing expertise, which we’ve already started to move some people over in that direction since signing the JV to plan to go forward. And so for now, it’s going to be expertise, and we’ll slowly add people into that system over there to help them with their program. There’s already a number of rigs that ADNOC Drilling owns that are currently working on the project. They are in discussions to increase the rig count. We may be a part of that. But one of the tenets of what we’re doing in international markets is to be very careful with how we’re deploying capital. The capital that we spend for growth has to clear the hurdle of simple things like buying back our own shares and other opportunities we may have in the U.S. And so if we move rigs over there in that direction, it will be because it makes sense from a capital deployment standpoint. And also, it doesn’t impact our plans to return cash to shareholders, which is our primary focus. So I would say that there could be that potential for us to do that. But we’re still working through that at this time, and our priorities are still returning cash to shareholders.

Scott Gruber

Analyst · Citigroup. Please go ahead

Thanks, Andy. I’ll turn it back.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Stephen Gengaro with Stifel. Please go ahead.

Stephen Gengaro

Analyst · Stephen Gengaro with Stifel. Please go ahead

Thanks. Good morning, everybody. I think two for me, but maybe I’ll start. You talked about retiring some frac, some older frac horsepower. And when you think about sort of the supply/demand for pressure pumping, and you mentioned it’s a bit oversupplied right now. How do you think about like the medium term sort of ‘25, ‘26, the type of attrition that you expect to see and kind of where maybe older versus new equipment fits in? And is there a way kind of how you gauge what industry attrition should look like to kind of get us back closer to balance?

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Stephen Gengaro with Stifel. Please go ahead

I think overall, the industry is seeing attrition. We wanted to get out there and take a leadership role in making these announcements and saying that, look, we are taking out approximately 400,000 horsepower of the older equipment. At the same time, we’ve added at the high end of the spectrum with newer electric equipment. And so we think that this is prudent for us, it’s prudent for the industry, and we expect others to do similar. I think that it depends on where you’re working and the type of work you’re doing. But if you’re doing spot work in the Midland basin, you’re not probably making enough returns to actually maintain your equipment. So you’re naturally getting attrition at the same time from that. When you’re like us, you’re working on some of the larger programs for some of the bigger customers. We are maintaining our equipment, but it’s going to be, in general, higher-end equipment. We have used some of that Tier-2 equipment from time-to-time during the year, but we didn’t reinvest in the maintenance. And we just consumed it as we used it. And so that’s how we see it. I think we will – if we’re in a relatively flat market, which we believe we’re going to see next year with a little bit of overall activity down, we’re still going to use a little bit of Tier 2 here and there in the mix of our fleet, but we won’t reinvest in it and we’ll continue to consume it next year. And I think you’re going to see the same from other companies as well. So I think overall, what you’re seeing in the industry is near zero investment in that equipment because we’re certainly not investing in it. And I think it’s only the…

Andy Smith

Analyst · Stephen Gengaro with Stifel. Please go ahead

Yes, Stephen. I would add to that, I would add a little bit to that. But again, I think Andy said it right, that with higher – with more equipment on site, again, also higher utilization of that equipment. I mean, we’re pumping now 21-plus hours a day. So you’ve really gotten very efficient on site. But at the same time, that should or it stands to reason, and I can’t quantify this for you today, but it stands to reason that should increase attrition. And we’ll see that attrition at the lower end of the market on the less economic equipment, which today is the Tier-2 diesel stuff. So we think that across the industry, we’ll see more of that coming out over the near term.

Stephen Gengaro

Analyst · Stephen Gengaro with Stifel. Please go ahead

Okay, Andy. Thank you. That’s very helpful. And then the other question I had was, back in the NexTier days, I know Matt and the team are working hard on kind of the integration of services at the wellsite and adding kind of incremental profitability there. Where does that stand right now kind of across the company-wide fleet?

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Stephen Gengaro with Stifel. Please go ahead

Yes. That’s one thing NexTier done a great job of, with all the different service lines they had. So it wasn’t just hydraulic fracturing. It was [indiscernible], NexMile Logistics, power solutions and moving natural gas, managing sand, contracts, et cetera, et cetera. As we merge Patterson-UTI next year together, we were missing those pieces on the legacy Patterson-UTI fleet. And there were some quick wins on that coming out of the gate post-acquisition merger of the businesses. And then as we work through the year, we’ve seen more of that. There’s still some more upside on that, but it’s been a steady increase of various of the subsegments moving on to that fleet and further integrating over the last year.

Stephen Gengaro

Analyst · Stephen Gengaro with Stifel. Please go ahead

Great. Thank you for the details gentlemen.

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Stephen Gengaro with Stifel. Please go ahead

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Keith MacKey with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.

Keith MacKey

Analyst · Keith MacKey with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead

Hi, good morning. Maybe just wanted to start out on the free cash flow returns. Certainly, has been a priority for Patterson. You’re going to do the $400 million of returns this year. And I know it’s early to start talking about 2025. But certainly, you have mentioned potentially accelerating free cash flow returns and buybacks on this call a couple of times. So maybe if you could just kind of frame out how we should be thinking about 2025? Is it 50% of free cash flow return? Is it relative to that $400 million number? And really just at this point, what is on and what is off the table? Is it free cash flow returns will come from free cash flow? Or could you potentially use debt to fund the buyback? Just how should we be thinking about the overall framework for next year? And I know it’s early.

Andy Smith

Analyst · Keith MacKey with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead

Yeah. Hey, Keith, this is Andy. It is early. We are kind of on the front end of our budget cycle going into next year. And so I’m not going to commit certainly to anything more than what we have said is our long-term commitment of 50% of free cash flow to shareholders. I can say that just in general, I don’t foresee us going out and financing some kind of a buyback, doing any kind of a leverage recap through the debt markets. We’re pretty – again, as we said in the call, we’re very comfortable with our investment-grade credit rating. We don’t want to do anything to jeopardize that and a leverage recap would necessarily be kind of exactly the opposite of what you’d probably want to do, if that’s your goal. So I don’t really see that as being something that’s applicable to us, but we’ll give better guidance next quarter around what our actual goals are for 2025 once we’ve gone through our budget process and conferred with our Board.

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Keith MacKey with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead

One of the things we talked about is even though we see a slightly lower overall activity next year, that’s also reduced CapEx. So we’re still going to be producing strong free cash flow next year.

Keith MacKey

Analyst · Keith MacKey with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead

Yeah. Understood. Understood. Andy, just on the integrated job, I know that’s – you’re getting close to finishing up the pad. Can you just talk maybe about some of the early lessons learned operationally and commercially? You’ve been very clear that this isn’t bundling. Just curious to see how the reception of that has been from the customers? Do they see it that way as well?

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Keith MacKey with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead

Yeah. What I’m hearing is that the customer is very pleased with what we’ve done in this whole process. With all new things, there’s certainly some bumps as you get started. But we’ve beat the curve on every well we’ve drilled so far on the pad and things are going really well in the overall process as we move over to completions. And so overall, it’s going really well. I think the most interesting thing about a project like this, and I think as we get into discussion for more, we’ll really understand what that potential is. But we would not have necessarily run all of our services for this customer as we are doing today if we hadn’t presented this opportunity to them to allow us to allow our businesses to work together, integrate some workflows in some places and then try to exceed what their plans were and bring production forward. And so the fact that we’re running more services and selling more products from our businesses than we would have initially, to me, is probably the biggest win. And then, of course, we’re going to get a bonus for outperforming at the same time. But excited about the potential. It’s still early days. We’re in some discussions with some other E&Ps who see what we’re doing on this project. And again, as I said before, if you’re a multinational E&P, this is probably not for you. You’ve probably got plenty of support in your offices where you may not need our help across the entire spectrum. But when you think about some of the mid-tier E&Ps in the U.S. that may not be staffed the same as a multinational, and we offer some opportunities to bring in some extra expertise in different areas to bolster what they are doing and help them out and help bring production forward for them.

Keith MacKey

Analyst · Keith MacKey with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead

Okay. Thanks very much.

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Keith MacKey with RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ati Modak with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead.

Ati Modak

Analyst · Ati Modak with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead

Hi. Good morning team. So, as you talk about the budget for the next year in terms of CapEx, I am just curious about your approach to that. Do you have a target return that you are focused on and then back into the CapEx needs, or are there certain CapEx components that might be relatively more rigid given the focus on gas power fleets?

Andy Smith

Analyst · Ati Modak with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead

Yes. Again, we are just starting the budget process. I am not going to get real specific about dollar values. But I will say, in general, we are pretty comfortable with operating in an environment where we are converting about 40% of our EBITDA to free cash flow. And so if you back into that based on whatever, you sort of think about your projections for 2025, you can kind of come to a number. So, that’s really the framework that we are operating under today and that we will continue, likely continue to operate under.

Ati Modak

Analyst · Ati Modak with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead

Got it. And then you mentioned in the prepared comments that pumping hours on your electric fleets were pretty good. Any color you can provide on maybe what that number was for the electric fleets or what an average number is across the fleet mix today? How does that compare to last year and expectations for ‘25 as we work through efficiency improvements?

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Ati Modak with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead

Good question. I don’t have all those numbers in front of me. I will tell you that as we gain more experience with the electric equipment, we have increased the amount of hours that we pumped. So, they are very competitive with what we have done on Tier 4 DGB plus you get the higher substitution rates. So, in general, it’s working well. Everything that we do is pumping 20 hours to 21 hours a day at a minimum. And that’s just really kind of the baseline expectation for all of our fleets that are out there working today. And the electric is certainly in that and moving up a little bit higher at the same time.

Ati Modak

Analyst · Ati Modak with Goldman Sachs. Please go ahead

Awesome. Thank you.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Arun Jayaram with JPMorgan. Please go ahead.

Arun Jayaram

Analyst · Arun Jayaram with JPMorgan. Please go ahead

Hey Andy, I wanted to start with completions. Looking at the numbers, it does appear that PTEN has lost a bit of share in completions over the past few quarters. I was wondering if you could just comment on your thoughts on just share. How important do you think it is for PTEN to get its share back, and perhaps just your overall strategy during the current RFP season?

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Arun Jayaram with JPMorgan. Please go ahead

Yes. I don’t think we really lost any share. I think that some of it is customer mix and what different customers are doing with their plans. But share is certainly not our primary focus. Our primary focus is cash, it’s dollars, it’s margin. That’s where our focus is. But I think you will see things play out across 2025 that we will be holding our own share. I think in the fourth quarter, you are just seeing some specific customer cases that we have where we have got customers that are, in some cases, wanting to spend less than what they had budgeted. But I think with the reset you will see in ‘25, the increasing activity in the first half of ‘25 will show that we still have roughly the same share.

Arun Jayaram

Analyst · Arun Jayaram with JPMorgan. Please go ahead

Got it. And as we think about fourth quarter, a bit of an anomaly here. But as we think about the first half of next year, Andy, help us think about how many incremental fleets you expect to come back into the active fleet count for you? And just general thoughts on pricing conditions perhaps at the premium end of the market.

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Arun Jayaram with JPMorgan. Please go ahead

I think that you have seen this year – I will start with the pricing. You have seen this year where pricing has been under pressure. We are still going through a bit of an RFP season across the industry. Could be a little bit more pressure as we get into ‘25. I think that pricing will really kind of stabilize as we start off 2025 and then that – those events will be behind us. In terms of fleets, I think what you will see from us in overall activity level and active horsepower that it may not get back to where it was at the end of the first quarter. But by the end of the first half, I think we will be back to where we were at a level that kind of reflects Q2, Q3 this year.

Arun Jayaram

Analyst · Arun Jayaram with JPMorgan. Please go ahead

Great. That’s helpful. Thanks a lot.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Waqar Syed with ATB. Please go ahead.

Waqar Syed

Analyst · Waqar Syed with ATB. Please go ahead

Thank you for taking my question. Andy, do you have plans for additional e-fleet new building next year?

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Waqar Syed with ATB. Please go ahead

Hey Waqar. So, yes, we do have plans within the CapEx budget to bring in new technology. We have already brought in, for instance, a natural gas reset pump that we are working in the field today. We may expand on that. We may expand on what we are doing with electric. But we will be bringing in high-tech at the higher end of the market that burns 100% natural gas. I think it’s not a one size fits all. It’s not everybody that’s using electric out there. There is other solutions that can burn 100% natural gas. So, I think it’s a bit of a mix. But we will continue to invest at the higher end of the fleet within the overall CapEx budget, which we have said will be a little bit lower next year than this year.

Waqar Syed

Analyst · Waqar Syed with ATB. Please go ahead

Okay. And then the 155,000 horsepower that you have of e-fleet, are you running all the e-fleets in like e-fleet, they are on their own fleets, or are you taking some of the equipment and putting it into your traditional conventional equipment, so you have mixed type of fleet?

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Waqar Syed with ATB. Please go ahead

We have a mix of multiple configurations. So, we are running full e-fleets on standard. We have got full e-fleets on simul-frac, and we have also got Tier 4 DGB where we supplement and have maybe a couple of the e-pumps on location at the same time where we do that. And in some cases, we will start a Tier 4 DGB with some electric as we transition a customer from Tier 4 DGB to electric as well. So, sometimes it’s a transition. Sometimes, it’s just that we add a couple of electric pumps to boost the overall displacement of natural gas. So, we do things for a variety of reasons depending on location, basin and customer.

Waqar Syed

Analyst · Waqar Syed with ATB. Please go ahead

Okay. And what proportion of your fleets are horsepower would you characterize as Tier 4 DGB and e-fleets?

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Waqar Syed with ATB. Please go ahead

Basically, what we have said is 80% of what we are running today burns natural gas. And there is even – in that mix, there are some Tier 2 dual fuel in that mix, and they are still bringing value to customers, but we don’t intend to continue to invest in Tier 2. But so that means that it’s probably around 70% of what we run is a combination of both Tier 4 DGB and electric or 100% natural gas reset.

Waqar Syed

Analyst · Waqar Syed with ATB. Please go ahead

Okay. And then just final question on drilling margin bottoming, you have about $15,000 margins guidance for Q4. Is that the bottom or do you see additional declines as we get into next year?

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Waqar Syed with ATB. Please go ahead

I am not sure we know yet. We haven’t really worked on the full budget for next year. I do think that activity is relatively steady. I do think that it helps us where we continue to do some technical and technology add-ons on some of the rigs that are out there. So, I will defer on that. But I would say, overall, things are relatively steady.

Waqar Syed

Analyst · Waqar Syed with ATB. Please go ahead

Okay. Great and thank you very much. Best of luck.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Connor Jensen with Raymond James. Please go ahead.

Connor Jensen

Analyst · Connor Jensen with Raymond James. Please go ahead

Hey guys. Thanks for taking my call. You noted some additional synergy opportunities still remaining with the integration of NexTier and Ulterra past what you have done to this point. Wondering if you could give some examples of where you could see additional uplift or what there is left to do there.

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Connor Jensen with Raymond James. Please go ahead

Yes. So, I was talking about earlier, especially on the NexTier now on the completion side, we have still got some frac out there that aren’t fully integrated necessarily with our wireline or our NexMile Logistics. And I think there is some – still some more opportunities where we will see that improve. And one of the things that goes underappreciated, it’s part of the completions business, but it’s submitting, and submitting is actually more related to drilling, and that business has been growing. And while it’s small relative to hydraulic fracturing, it’s doing really well. And we think we are now one of the bigger players in submitting in the U.S. as well. So, overall, there are some really good things happening in there despite what we are seeing with some of our customers slowing down in Q4. We are still seeing some good work by the teams and how they are running the businesses, how they are providing very efficient services for the customers. And we think that still bodes well for us in 2025.

Connor Jensen

Analyst · Connor Jensen with Raymond James. Please go ahead

Got it. That’s good to hear. It seems like Ulterra is doing reasonably well also, considering the environment. Maybe some additional color on what’s driving the outperformance there and how much of that is in the U.S. versus international?

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Connor Jensen with Raymond James. Please go ahead

Yes. And thanks for that. So, as I mentioned earlier, and I use this word specifically, they are doing an excellent job. I mean if you think about the market we are in, with the rig count in the U.S., the overall U.S. rig count has come down. But yes, at the same time, they continue to produce, continue to show strength in what they are doing across the U.S. And outside the U.S., I think there is still potential to grow. So, I think we have been gaining some share in the U.S. I think we are going to gain share definitely in the international markets just because we have so much more room to go there. And so they are just doing a fantastic job.

Connor Jensen

Analyst · Connor Jensen with Raymond James. Please go ahead

Great. Thanks guys.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Saurabh Pant with Bank of America. Please go ahead.

Saurabh Pant

Analyst · Saurabh Pant with Bank of America. Please go ahead

Good morning Andy and Andy.

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Saurabh Pant with Bank of America. Please go ahead

Good morning Saurabh.

Saurabh Pant

Analyst · Saurabh Pant with Bank of America. Please go ahead

Andy, if you don’t mind, still on the completion side and just to get a flavor of what to expect for the future. If you can just look back, Andy, right? We started the year with close to around $200 million in profitability. We are ending at $85 million. Can you give us some color on how much of that decline is activities/white space, right? So, cost adoption issues versus true pricing, because I am thinking pricing, if it stays flat, at least the calendar utilization white space part of it can come back. And that would give us some clever of what to expect.

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Saurabh Pant with Bank of America. Please go ahead

No, I think there has certainly been some pricing pressure this year. We have had activity come down. We have had white space in the calendar. We have got a mix of things going on. But there has been some pricing pressure in natural gas basins and even a little bit in the Permian with some of the RFP bids that people have had to go through in processes like that. I do think all that sort of stabilizes as we get going again in the first half of next year. And so even though overall activity might be down a little bit, I do think pricing stabilizes. Q4 is really where we are having the most impact because of the slowdown by some of our customers, but we are going to get into a reset early next year.

Saurabh Pant

Analyst · Saurabh Pant with Bank of America. Please go ahead

Okay. I got it. So, it sounds like pricing is stabilizing, right. So, as utilization starts to normalize, you get your profitability back?

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Saurabh Pant with Bank of America. Please go ahead

Yes, I think we have seen the majority of the pricing pressure this year and it stabilizes early next year.

Saurabh Pant

Analyst · Saurabh Pant with Bank of America. Please go ahead

Okay. Perfect. I got it. And then Andy Smith, I know CapEx, we will have to wait a little longer to get the details. But as a frame of reference, Andy, can you just remind us the $690 million in CapEx for this year? How do we split that into the various buckets across maintenance, across the market upgrades, across growth? And then for next year, should we bake in some CapEx for the Turnwell joint venture?

Andy Smith

Analyst · Saurabh Pant with Bank of America. Please go ahead

Yes. So, maintenance is somewhat tricky when you start thinking about it because, again, as we retire Tier 2 fleets and we replace those with electric fleets, how does that characterize? Is that growth CapEx or maintenance CapEx? So, as you think about it going forward, I don’t think we have anything in our minds that would be necessarily incremental supply to the market. There will be some items that we have traditionally called growth that are high-value return items. I mean these are very good returns, and we spend probably in the neighborhood of $40 million to $60 million on those types of items every year. And then the rest of it is really maintaining kind of our sort of fleet size as well as enhancing the capability of our assets, at the same time just doing the traditional maintenance, which is really kind of the R&M side. So, it’s very difficult to break it into maintenance either this year and/or going forward. So, what I would say is we are looking at a CapEx number next year, just first pass, that is, again, below kind of where we are looking at today, and we will just give better guidance on that as we go forward next quarter.

Saurabh Pant

Analyst · Saurabh Pant with Bank of America. Please go ahead

Okay. No, that’s fair, Andy. And then one very quick one, Andy, and I know somebody asked on the integrated drilling and completion contracts and what’s the feedback from the customers. I will ask the same question, but I will ask you what’s the feedback from Patterson-UTI within the organization, what’s the biggest advantage you see for yourself in execution from a planning, supply chain, technology standpoint, what’s the biggest advantage to you as an organization?

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Saurabh Pant with Bank of America. Please go ahead

I see a lot of excitement in the people. The people that I talk to on our teams that are overseeing this project and managing the different aspects and coordinating across the different business lines, I see a lot of excitement in the people and that excitement is contagious. And that type of excitement leads to more work. And so that’s exciting. I am going to go with that.

Saurabh Pant

Analyst · Saurabh Pant with Bank of America. Please go ahead

Good to hear. Okay. Andy, thank you for the answers, I will turn it back.

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Saurabh Pant with Bank of America. Please go ahead

Thanks Saurabh.

Operator

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Kurt Hallead with Benchmark Company. Please go ahead.

Kurt Hallead

Analyst · Kurt Hallead with Benchmark Company. Please go ahead

Hey. Good morning everybody.

Andy Smith

Analyst · Kurt Hallead with Benchmark Company. Please go ahead

Hey Kurt.

Kurt Hallead

Analyst · Kurt Hallead with Benchmark Company. Please go ahead

Hey. So Andy, maybe just kind of beat the completion horse again here just in the context of maybe the conviction in the recovery in activity that you expect, I know you referenced a number of different times during the call some specifics related to customers that are going to be a drag for you here in the fourth quarter. So, are those – I am assuming, but I just want to be clear that those same customers are telling you yet, we are going to slow down here in the fourth quarter, but you better make sure you got your stuff ready to go because we are going to be kicking it in starting January. Is that the underpinning of the conviction you have on the recovery on frac activity going into next year?

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Kurt Hallead with Benchmark Company. Please go ahead

We have very, very strong conviction that these customers are going to restart early in 2025. Our biggest challenge right now is balancing, carrying the cost through Q4 so that we can restart. And so that’s the challenge with what you are seeing in the margins for completions in the fourth quarter. But we want to make sure that we can get off on the right foot when we do restart in the first quarter because service quality is always paramount important along with safety, everything else. So, we are carrying some extra costs in the fourth quarter because we have very strong convictions that they are going to restart.

Kurt Hallead

Analyst · Kurt Hallead with Benchmark Company. Please go ahead

Got it. Okay. That’s great. And then maybe just a follow-up on the Drilling Products, just maybe an update on what percent of that revenue through the first nine months of the year have been international? And then you got the JV, which should help. But what do you think the – there a lot of conversation about international activity kind of flattening out into next year and especially in Saudi. But given that backdrop, and I think you guys were needing some market share, so can you give us an update on how you think the Drilling Products international business could grow relative to the market?

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Kurt Hallead with Benchmark Company. Please go ahead

Yes, I don’t have the exact numbers in front of me. It’s in the range of 30% to 40%, really excited about the international potential for Ulterra just because they are still relatively new in a lot of markets over there. The JV in Abu Dhabi with ADNOC Drilling is – may be a part of that. But I would say it’s not really factoring into the plans. Saudi still has potential for growth. There is other markets. Even though Saudi rig count is coming down, our percent of the share is smaller compared to others, we are moving from a remanufacturing facility to a full manufacturing facility in Saudi. And so we anticipate share growth over there. We are getting more traction in some of the offshore international markets as well where the company has only really started to play over the last couple of years, so excited about the potential.

Andy Smith

Analyst · Kurt Hallead with Benchmark Company. Please go ahead

Yes, Kurt, I would add to that. And again, you know this, but relative to sort of our larger service-oriented businesses, completions and drilling, where if you think about putting an asset into those markets, into those international markets, you really have to be kind of clear on the economics long-term as it’s a pretty big commitment. Ulterra and Drilling Products, they are selling a product and so they can be much more nimble and can really – I mean they are all over the place around the world selling drill bits, and it is a much more – it’s very efficient and it’s, again, it’s a much easier operation to run and to make inroads into the international markets and say the heavy equipment service side would be. So, they continue to sort of expand their international reach, and we will continue to do so, so pretty excited about that.

Kurt Hallead

Analyst · Kurt Hallead with Benchmark Company. Please go ahead

Got it. Appreciate the color. Thank you.

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Kurt Hallead with Benchmark Company. Please go ahead

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Your final question comes from the line of Eddie Kim with Barclays. Please go ahead.

Eddie Kim

Analyst · Barclays. Please go ahead

Hi. Good morning. Just one question from me. So, you and others have called out and guided to a fairly steep sequential decline in the completions business into 4Q. You mentioned normal seasonal holidays and customers trying to spend within budgets. But is there anything outside of that, that you think could be at play here? Customers holding off on activity because of oil price volatility or waiting to get more clarity on what OPEC is going to do? Just any other factors you are seeing based on your conversations that might be contributing to customers kind of slowing down here in 4Q?

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Barclays. Please go ahead

Yes. That’s a good question, and welcome to our calls. So, what we are seeing in completions over the last couple of years has been steady increasing efficiency. And I think that a number of our customers have not completely baked their plans around these increasing levels of efficiency. In a lot of cases, we have finished programs early and customers have elected not to spend early on the next year’s budget yet until they get clarity on what that’s going to look like. I really don’t think it has to do with volatility in commodities. I think that our customers have been more neutral to what’s going on with commodities because they have been trading within a range. And I don’t hear from any customers that they are waiting on any signal from OPEC or any other changes in commodity. I really think it’s really more about planning and looking at their specific budgets. And in our case, we had six customers that didn’t want to overspend or dip into next year’s budget. In some cases, wanted to reduce this year’s budget, but I think as we get into ‘25, we will see the E&Ps working with our own teams to better prepare for what that pace looks like for the year and things could be more normalized next year than they were this year.

Eddie Kim

Analyst · Barclays. Please go ahead

Got it. Great. Thanks for that color. I will turn it back.

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Barclays. Please go ahead

Thanks.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And that is the end of our Q&A session. I would like to turn the conference back to Andy Hendricks for closing remarks.

Andy Hendricks

Analyst · Citigroup. Please go ahead

Thanks Perilla. So, I just want to thank everybody for dialing into the call today. And once again, I would like to thank all of our teams across Patterson-UTI for all the great work that you do for our customers and for our shareholders. Thanks a lot.

Operator

Operator

Thank you. And this concludes today’s conference call. Thank you all for participating. You may now disconnect.