Earnings Labs

Red Cat Holdings, Inc. (RCAT)

Q2 2024 Earnings Call· Fri, Dec 15, 2023

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Transcript

Operator

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Good afternoon, and welcome to the Red Cat Holdings Fiscal Second Quarter 2024 Financial Results and Corporate Update Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Participants of this call are advised that the audio of this conference call is being broadcast live over the Internet and is also being recorded for playback purposes. A webcast replay of the call will be available approximately one hour after the end of the call through December 15, 2024. I would now like to turn the call over to Joey Delahoussaye, Vice President of Core IR, the company's Investor Relations firm. Please go ahead, sir.

Joey Delahoussaye

Analyst

Thank you, Sarah. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us for the Red Cat Holdings Fiscal Second Quarter 2024 Financial Results and Business Update Conference Call. Joining us today from Red Cat Holdings are Jeff Thompson, Chief Executive Officer; and Joseph Hernon, Chief Financial Officer. During this call, management will be making forward-looking statements, including statements that address Red Cat's expectations for future performance or operational results. Forward-looking statements involve risks and other factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those statements. For more information about these risks, please refer to the risk factors described in Red Cat's most recently filed periodic reports on Form 10-K and Form 10-Q and in Red Cat's press release that accompanies this call, particularly related to cautionary statements in it. Content of this call contains time-sensitive information that is accurate only as of today, December 15, 2023. Except as required by law, Red Cat disclaims any obligation to publicly update or revise any information to reflect events or circumstances that occur after this call. It is now my pleasure to turn the call over to Jeff Thompson, chief Executive Officer. Jeff?

Jeffrey Thompson

Analyst

Welcome, everyone, to our fiscal year 2024 Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call. I'll start by summarizing our recent performance and achievements, and then we'll provide information related to our outlook for fiscal year 2024, after which Joseph will review our financial results, and then we will take your questions. I am pleased to report the second quarter results exceeded expectations and our guidance of $3 million by 30%. Revenue was $3.9 million, 123% sequential growth from Q1. Our margins tripled to 30%. Joseph will supply more detail on this great achievement. On our last quarterly call, I talked about some of the regulatory tailwinds, hopefully leading to the passage of the American Securities Drone Act. I am happy to report that this past the house in the Senate this week and is on the President's desk to become law. What does this mean? Well, it means the largest drone manufacturer in the world, whose largest market is in the United States, can no longer by law be bought by anyone that receives federal dollars. It's not just the Department of Defense, it's local groups, it's fire departments, it's anyone who receives any federal dollars. This will be immediate and significantly increase the total addressable market in the U.S. for Teal drones. I'll move on to revenue opportunities and investment tailwinds. I'm going to discuss the current organic revenue growth and the driver of our backlog. Let's start with organic revenue in our backlog. Today, we reported Q2 $3.9 million in revenue. Our guidance for Q3 is $5 million. We do not see a revenue from Q3 guidance for the 123% sequential growth in Q2. This guidance for Q3 is based on signed purchase orders. We also have $7.4 million and growing of funded backlog. As I said on our last…

Joseph Hernon

Analyst

Thank you, Jeff, and to everyone for joining the call today. As Jeff noted, we are reporting record revenues, record gross margin and record backlog for the second quarter of fiscal 2024 which ended on October 31. Each of these financial milestones are clear indicators that the Teal 2 is resonating in the marketplace and that Red Cat has not only reached an inflection point, but we have turned a metaphorical corner and are on a clear runway to continued growth in revenues, increasing product gross margin and a backlog that continues to grow despite record shipments. As Jeff noted, and I want to emphasize, revenues of almost $4 million for the second quarter, represent more than 400% growth year-over-year and 125% on a sequential basis. We have guided to continued growth in the current third quarter and are confident in our revenue outlook longer term. Our sequential improvement in gross margin on a percentage basis is very impressive. Two quarters ago, we had negative gross margin of 87%. And as we worked on developing a fully integrated manufacturing process for the Teal 2 and our then newly completed state-of-the-art manufacturing facility in Salt Lake City. Naturally, there were multiple test runs and processes, which required multiple efforts, resulting in negative gross margins. In our last quarter, our fiscal 2024, first quarter, we generated gross margins of 10%, which was a dramatic improvement. This quarter, we reported 30%, which is a tripling of our gross margin percentage on a sequential basis. In the eyes of a financial professional like myself, that is an impressive performance by our operating team. Looking forward, we believe that we can reach gross margins of 50% as production capacity scales and we spread our fixed manufacturing overhead over a greater number of units. There may…

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Ashok Kumar with ThinkEquity.

Ashok Kumar

Analyst

Just -- you talked a lot about the Replicator initiative from the DoD on your last call. And you didn't mention it today. So could you just update on that? The second question is, do you expect further margin expansion in fiscal third quarter and retaining your top line guidance for the January quarter of $5 million? So I just want to clarify that. And the last question is now that you are one of the two finalists for the SRR and what should we hear next and is there a chance that they select both companies?

Jeffrey Thompson

Analyst

Yes. So the Replicator initiative has made a lot of news, it's a very exciting initiative. We want to be respectful of the DoD and the [DIU's] mission and we've been getting closely more involved and their mission is to not talk about what specific things are going to be happening and what they're acquiring out there. So we're going to stick with their mission and not talk about what's going on out there and respect that as we don't want to give away what type of assets they are buying to defend against China as that the Replicator initiative is more based on China than anywhere else. The margin expansion for this Q, for Q3, we're pretty excited about getting to 30% this quick. Our biggest goal is to get to 50% and we've made quite a climb in just one quarter. We expect as we add more units to each quarter that the margins will get better. We sometimes have, can't really call them onetime items, but they are onetime items, they're actually once-in-a-lifetime items. When you're bidding on a large project like SRR, you have a lot of stuff that will be nonrecurring that you have to do that can actually end up into the margins. And most of the work for SRR Tranche 2 is done at the end of March, once we deliver the last group of systems to the Army, which is at the end of March. So a lot of costs will go away after March, and we expect margins to continue to grow throughout the rest of the year. And then the SRR program, we -- currently, it is a winner take all. But if you do see the push -- we've seen the push from things like Replicator, they need as many drones from as many people as they can get. There's only two manufacturers that manufacture drones like the drones that are being used in the Ukraine. So we are as Americans, we hope we can make enough drones. We would love to win it as a sole source contract. If they do choose two because they need so many drones -- I just got back from Ukraine, I got to be with the pilots, I guess, do a ride along. They're basically using a lot of drones just like ours, and we hope to get them more of the Teal 2. So I think I answered all three of your questions.

Operator

Operator

Our next question comes from Jim McIlree with Dawson James.

James McIlree

Analyst · Dawson James.

Can you talk about pricing this quarter versus last quarter and versus what's in the backlog?

Jeffrey Thompson

Analyst · Dawson James.

Yes. I mean our pricing is standard. Most of our stuff has to be bought through the GSA. The border patrol buys for the GSA, they all basically come through that. And so a drone and controller combo is approximately $15,000 for that combo. If you're just buying a drone with one controller, it's around a little over $10,000 just for the drone. So those prices don't change pretty much at all unless there's significant volume, which we're not there yet.

James McIlree

Analyst · Dawson James.

Yes. The volume was what I was really trying to get at is if you're hitting the volume breakpoints anytime soon. But it sounds like no.

Jeffrey Thompson

Analyst · Dawson James.

What do you mean by breakpoints?

James McIlree

Analyst · Dawson James.

Well, at some level of volume, the customer would get the lower price.

Jeffrey Thompson

Analyst · Dawson James.

Yes. No, they haven't hit those thresholds yet. It's -- there's a small discount once they order 100 systems and then the next break is pretty far up.

James McIlree

Analyst · Dawson James.

Okay. And then secondly, do you need or do you have foreign military sale of approval?

Jeffrey Thompson

Analyst · Dawson James.

We haven't applied for any foreign military sales currently. The FMS and FMFs, even though the NDA is hopefully getting signed later today by President Biden, the NDAA does not fund FMS and FMF. We -- the trip that I did just get back from to the Ukraine was to do a few things. One, you have to get your drone tested against electronic warfare and GPS jamming, then you have to basically go through the ODC and the Embassy in Ukraine, which we did. So once we get our testing parameters back from their testing sites, we then submit the letter of request that we get from the Ukrainian government to the U.S. Embassy and the ODC and they'll ship it to DSCA in Huntsville for the FMS -- to get that far, you typically get an FMS award, the U.S. Army will buy the drones and send them to the Ukraine. So that's the entire reason that I actually went to the Ukraine was for an FMS hopefully buy from the Army's for the Ukrainians.

Operator

Operator

[Operator Instructions] This concludes the question-and-answer session from call participants. I will now turn the call over to Joey Delahoussaye of Core IR to read pre-submitted questions for management. Joey?

Joey Delahoussaye

Analyst

Yes. Thank you, Sarah. Jeff, we received a few pre-submitted questions from investors recently and thought this would be a good forum for you to address those questions. So with that, the first question is last quarter, you said that you did not believe you needed to do an equity raise, and we're looking at non-dilutive financing. Can you explain maybe what changed given the recent equity raise?

Jeffrey Thompson

Analyst

Yes. No, absolutely. So the bottom line is all of the non-dilutive possibilities, we had no control over. As we likely mentioned Replicator tonight which is who knows when that's coming. We -- Getting an FMS award is they prepay the debt term sheets we were getting were horrific and would have destroyed the company. So basically, we didn't want to play Russian roulette while we're having so many good things happening, great revenue growth, margin expansion, all things that can get us to breakeven. So we raised the money that we needed to. And you'll notice that we no longer have a going concern in our queue. So we're -- we hope that this is -- Joseph wouldn't say this is enough to get it there, but I think that with everything that we have and the revenue growth that we have, I think we're going to be good.

Joey Delahoussaye

Analyst

Okay. Perhaps that addresses the next question, do you think you now have the capital you need to get to breakeven?

Jeffrey Thompson

Analyst

Yes, this gives us the opportunity to get those non-dilutive opportunities that we can't control in time, but we -- there is no way that the SRR program is not getting awarded between May and September. And we have plenty of money to get to September so that's a non-dilutive event. If the FMS contracts I was just talking about, that I went to the Ukraine for, they'll pay an upfront contract also. We are going to hopefully see our grant come in from the manufacturing grant that we just received it was non-dilutive, but that's taking more time than we thought, we hopefully get that in the next month or two. So this money gets us where we need to be, and I think it's enough to get us to breakeven.

Joey Delahoussaye

Analyst

So that was the last of the previously submitted questions, and thanks for your answers on each. Hopefully, this gave investors some additional insight into what's going on within the company. Now I'd like to turn the call back over to you for any closing remarks, Jeff?

Jeffrey Thompson

Analyst

Great. I want to thank everybody. It's unusual for us to have to do this on a Friday, but this is when our actually last day of the quarter. And to file the quarter was. We won't be doing this on Fridays anymore, we would typically done it on Wednesday or something earlier, but we last week threw us off a little bit. We've done a lot in the last two weeks. But anyway, I'm pretty excited. I want to thank the TEAL team, they're doing a great job, Biz Dev team, they're doing a great job selling our drones. It's going to be a very exciting 2024. Thanks, everybody.

Operator

Operator

The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.