Brian Smith
Analyst · Bank of America Merrill Lynch
Thanks, Bruce, and good morning. Things aren't perfect, but the positive underlying trends we experienced last quarter continued. With spaces greater than 5,000 square feet, nearly 96% leased, small shop leasing is the key to restoring occupancy to historic levels. This category led the way during the second quarter with occupancy in spaces less than 5,000 square feet increasing 50 basis points to 84.3%. Overall, operating occupancy increased by 10 basis points to 92.1%. This is despite a 30-basis-point negative impact from 19 Blockbuster move-outs and a 10-basis-point impact from development completions. We signed over 500,000 square feet of new leases, significantly more than prerecession times. Notably, 90% of these new leases were with retailers less than 5,000 square feet, and they represented over 60% of the GLA line. Renewals totaled 1.2 million square feet, which is also far more than any quarter in recent memory. The renewal rate was 78% versus 64% last quarter and 68% since 2006. Move-outs improved in the second quarter even with more than 100,000 square feet of Blockbuster move-outs. 21 Blockbuster assignments to Dish have been approved by the bankruptcy court compared to a store count of 52 at the end of 2010 or a loss of 31. This will cause an 80-basis-point decline in same-property NOI growth for the year, which is more than we originally anticipated. Rent growth, while still not nearly as good as we would like, was almost flat. Excluding spaces vacant for more than 12 months, rent growth was positive 2.8% with both new and renewal leasing registering positive spreads. In the process, we spent only $1.82 per square foot in tenant improvement dollars. And accounts receivable greater than 90 days, an indicator of existing tenant health, are down nearly 40% compared to last summer, a result of actively calling weak tenants from the portfolio. Beyond this quarter's results, there are more reasons to be optimistic about the future. Our current leasing pipeline remains robust, with nearly 1.5 million square feet of leases, or LOIs, under negotiation, a sizable cushion of almost 2x the amount of new leasing we hope to execute in the remainder of the year. We are getting tremendous amount of new activity from retailers looking to take advantage of opportunities to secure spaces in strong markets at favorable rates. This includes a good share of local tenants relative to last year. We have not experienced any slowdown in tenant interest even in light of the recent increases in unemployment and reduction in GDP growth. And finally, retail construction remains at or near all-time lows in virtually every part of the country. This is serving to benefit landlords while the supply -- or while the demand side of the business improves. While these are all good reasons to be encouraged, we are operating in an environment that continues to be choppy. Move-outs, while better, remain at levels above long-term norms. On the demand side, retailer bankruptcies and consolidations continue to have an impact on the supply of competitive space. While the leasing activity is significant, it is taking longer than expected to translate into rent paying occupancy. New leases are taking much longer to execute due to understaffing by the retailers and more difficult and drawn out lease negotiations as both sides work hard to protect their interests. Once signed, it then takes longer to get tenants open. Local governments have experienced significant staffing cutbacks, causing permitting time to increase dramatically which in turn delays rent commencement. Loan balance conditions in the operating portfolio are better now than they were last summer and much better than 2 years ago, and the trend is improving. But we remain cautious as the recovery is clearly still a slow and fragile one. Leasing in the development portfolio has been encouraging as well. On an apples-to-apples basis, our percent leased at 86% increased 400 basis points compared to the fourth quarter of 2010, and based on the recent activity and momentum, we believe we could finish the year above 88% leased. Also our 6 most recent developments and 2 most recent redevelopments are averaging 9.7% return on costs, which is about 60 basis points better than underwritten. In today's environment, this translates into profit margins in excess of 60%. This list of centers includes Seminole Shoppes, which is anchored by its highly successful 54,000 square foot Publix. Our team is able to take this project from raw land to fully built and 95% leased with a 9.9% return on cost in less than 2 years. This is a type of success we expect from our development program. We started one new development this quarter located in Greeley, Colorado. It is a T.J. Maxx build-to-suit and is the final phase of a much larger operating property. Our return on the project should be approximately 10%, which we are very happy with considering the limited risk profile of this investment. Given the depth to the high profitability pipeline, there's a good chance that we will end the year at the high end of our guidance for development starts. It's also important to note that significant progress is being made on reducing our land inventory. Sales contracts, letters of intent and land in higher profitability developments now total $45 million. Once closed, we will have effectively converted 30% of our owned land into cash for attractive new developments. Furthermore, we continue to upgrade Regency's portfolio of high-quality real estate through our capital recycling program. Today's cap rate environment is coaxing a lot of once-in-a-generation properties to market, and those are the properties that Regency is aggressively targeting for acquisition. In the second quarter, we acquired Ocala Corners, a Regency-developed center with excellent future NOI growth prospects. Ocala Corners is the main grocery-anchored center serving Florida State University in Tallahassee, Florida. It's anchored by one of the best performing public stores in the chain. The center was acquired from Charter Hill through a right of first refusal at a very attractive 7.9% cap rate. Since the end of the quarter, we also closed on Calhoun Commons, a Whole Foods-anchored property located in the uptown neighborhood of Minneapolis, Minnesota. Calhoun Commons is true infill real estate, with more than 170,000 people within 3 miles. Whole Foods sales are in the $850 per square foot range and have grown by over 40% since 2007, while shop tenant sales average approximately $450 per square foot. The tenancy is extremely stable as 94% of the tenants have been in the center since it was developed back in 1999. In addition to this quarter's closed transactions, we are under contract on 4 new acquisitions with similar attributes to those on which we've recently closed. Real estate in high barrier markets, where there is long-term pricing power or any bad news encountered, results in good news. Of course, this type of quality is not coming without a price. The best retail real estate on the market today is trading below 6%. Prices are high, but they are commensurate with the quality of the assets. So as our disposition program accelerates, I'm confident we will be able to reinvest the proceeds in the quality infill shopping centers with substantially more reliable prospects for future NOI growth. I'm truly excited by these infill opportunities and believe that their unique attributes will enhance Regency's portfolio and help drive our fundamental results for years to come, especially in comparison with the assets being sold. This quarter we disposed of a noncore asset located in Alexandria, Virginia for $3 million, a 4.9% cap rate. Additionally, we have 8 properties under contract for disposition and more being prepared for market in the near future. Leases are being signed that will improve the marketability of properties to ensure that Regency receives maximum value for these assets. To conclude, during the second quarter, the foundation was laid for more concrete improvement in key metrics. There's no doubt that the trend is pointing up, but there's no straight line to where we're headed. We continue to see bumps along the road, but we're encouraged by the momentum. Hap?